• 전기학회논문지
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• 제62권1호
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• pp.140-142
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• 2013

Cognitive radio (CR) has been recently proposed to dynamically access unused-spectrum. Since the spectrum availability for opportunistic access is determined by spectrum sensing, sensing control is identified as one of the most crucial issues of cognitive radio networks. Out-of-band sensing to find an available channels to sense. Sensing is also required in case of spectrum hand-off. Sensing process needs to be done very fast in order to enhance the quality of service (QoS) of the CR nodes, and transmission not to be cut for longer time. During the sensing, the PU(primary user) detection probability condition should be satisfied. We adopt a channel prediction method to find target channels. Proposed prediction method combines chaotic global method and chaotic local method for channel idle probability prediction. Global method focus on channel history information length and order number of prediction model. Local method focus on local prediction trend. Through making simulation, Proposed method can find an available channel with very high probability, total sensing time is minimized, detection probability of PU's are satisfied.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.183-183
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• 2021

Deep learning methods and their application have become an essential part of prediction and modeling in water-related research areas, including hydrological processes, climate change, etc. It is known that application of deep learning leads to high availability of data sources in hydrology, which shows its usefulness in analysis of precipitation, runoff, groundwater level, evapotranspiration, and so on. However, there is still a limitation on microclimate analysis and prediction with deep learning methods because of deficiency of gauge-based data and shortcomings of existing technologies. In this study, a real-time rainfall prediction model was developed from a sky image data set with convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These daily image data were collected at Chung-Ang University and Korea University. For high accuracy of the proposed model, it considers data classification, image processing, ratio adjustment of no-rain data. Rainfall prediction data were compared with minutely rainfall data at rain gauge stations close to image sensors. It indicates that the proposed model could offer an interpolation of current rainfall observation system and have large potential to fill an observation gap. Information from small-scaled areas leads to advance in accurate weather forecasting and hydrological modeling at a micro scale.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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• pp.56-58
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• 2005

This paper for the Train control system which has been used in the railway system for the purpose of headway control is regarded as safety-critical system, which is based on embedded controller. Therefore, for the maintainability, the maintenance time shall be predicted correctly in order to improve availability of railway system and the predictive values shall be proved through the test. In conclusion, for the maintainability of train control system, the solution for exact prediction based on related international standard and the system for justification of derived predictive values shall be proposed.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.25-37
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• 2015

To predict the surface subsidence of salt rock storage, a new surface subsidence basin model is proposed based on the Logistic function from the phenomenological perspective. Analysis shows that the subsidence curve on the main section of the model is S-shaped, similar to that of the actual surface subsidence basin; the control parameter of the subsidence curve shape can be changed to allow for flexible adjustment of the curve shape. By using this model in combination with the MMF time function that reflects the single point subsidence-time relationship of the surface, a new dynamic prediction model of full section surface subsidence for salt rock storage is established, and the numerical simulation calculation results are used to verify the availability of the new model. The prediction results agree well with the numerical simulation results, and the model reflects the continued development of surface subsidence basin over time, which is expected to provide some insight into the prediction and visualization research on surface subsidence of salt rock storage.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제83권3호
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• pp.363-375
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• 2022

Flexural capacity prediction is a challenging problem for externally prestressed concrete beams (EPCBs) due to the unbonded phenomenon between the concrete beam and external tendons. Many prediction equations have been provided in previous research but typically ignored the differences in deformation mode between internal and external unbonded tendons. The availability of these equations for EPCBs is controversial due to the inconsistent deformation modes and ignored second-order effects. In this study, the deformation characteristics and collapse mechanism of EPCB are carefully considered, and the ultimate deflected shape curves are derived based on the simplified curvature distribution. With the compatible relation between external tendons and the concrete beam, the equations of tendon elongation and eccentricity loss at ultimate states are derived, and the geometric interpretation is clearly presented. Combined with the sectional equilibrium equations, a rational and simplified flexural capacity prediction method for EPCBs is proposed. The key parameter, plastic hinge length, is emphatically discussed and determined by the sensitivity analysis of 324 FE analysis results. With 94 collected laboratory-tested results, the effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed, and comparisons with the previous formulas are made. The results show the better prediction accuracy of the proposed method for both stress increments and flexural capacity of EPCBs and the main reasons are discussed.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.10-16
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• 1983

복잡한 시스템의 신뢰도를 해석하기 위해서는 가용도 (Availability) 및 각종 고장간격 등의parameter를 계산하여야 한다. 따라서 이들 parameter를 정의하고 이의 적용성에 대하여 언급하였으며, Markov process를 적용하여 각종 고장간격을 계산하는 기법을 유도하였다. 본 Markov process에 의한 신뢰도 해석기법은 제반 시스템의 상태확률을 계산하여 각종parameter를 구하게 되므로 다양한 시스템의 상태를 해석할 수 있으며, 시스템의 신뢰도 예측은 물론 정비계획을 수행하는 데에도 광범위하게 응용할 수 있다.

• 태양에너지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.67-75
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• 1998

Daylight illuminance are always changing. Nevertheless, when the energy savings due to daylight are calculated an accurate estimate of daylight availability is required. Where artificial lighting is photoelectrically controlled the relevant quantity is the cumulative distribution of daylight illuminance. This paper describes an experiment which measured daylight illuminance over one whole working year. Also using measured data on availability of daylight, equations are drived to predict the maximum possible savings from photoelectric controls for an interior lighting installation. The equations are applied to a space as a worked example and figures are given for the relative maximum savings in artificial lighting use of three control systems: on/off, dimming and mixed.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1327-1335
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• 2011

Recently, also in railway vehicles, related products are being designed and manufactured through RAMS activities in order to secure their reliability, availability, maintainability & safety. Subway operators are conducting R&D on various preventive maintenance methods and applying them to the field so as to establish a reliability centered maintenance(RCM) system. In this connection, manufacturers shall carry out R&D based on reliability from the first design stage of development to provide high quality products to subway operators. And operators shall have the products operated properly to their particular operating environment and managed based on the standard maintenance manual. Not only that, but the related field data shall be fed back into the manufacturers to upgrade upcoming products by organic cooperation between manufacturer and operators. However, the mutually beneficial cooperative relationship is not still developed in the domestic railway industry. In terms of methodology for life prediction, this study was intended to analyze field data on relays used for rolling stocks considering operational characteristics in the position of subway operators and predict parts reliability using reliability prediction program from the standpoint of manufacturers as well.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1994년도 춘계공동학술대회논문집; 창원대학교; 08월 09일 Apr. 1994
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• pp.561-568
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• 1994

A man model can be used as an effective tool to design ergonomically sound products and workplaces, and subsequently evaluate them properly. For a man model to be truly useful, it must be integrated with a posture prediction model which should be capable of representing the human arm reach posture in the context of equipments and workspaces. Since the human movement possesses redundant degrees of freedom, accurate representation or prediction of human movement was known to be a difficult problem. To solve this redundancy problem, a psychophysical cost function was suggested in this study which defines a cost value for each joint movement angle. The psychophysical cost function developed integrates the psychophysical discomfort of joints and the joint range availability concept which has been used for redundant arm manipulation in robotics to predict the arm reach posture. To properly predict an arm reach posture, an arm reach posture prediction model was then developed in which a posture configuration that provides the minimum total cost is chosen. The predictivity of the psychophysical cost function was compared with that of the biomechanical cost function which is based on the minimization of joint torque. Here, the human body is regarded as a two-dimensional multi-link system which consists of four links ; trunk, upper arm, lower arm and hand. Real reach postures were photographed from the subjects and were compared to the postures predicted by the model. Results showed that the postures predicted by the psychophysical cost function closely simulated human reach postures and the predictivity was more accurate than that by the biomechanical cost function.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.1013-1019
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 Delay Tolerant Network(DTN)에서 Markov chain으로 노드의 속성 정보를 분석하여 노드의 이동경로를 예측하는 알고리즘을 제안한다. 기존 DTN에서의 예측기반 라우팅 기법은 노드가 미리 정해진 스케줄에 따라 이동하게 된다. 이러한 네트워크에서는 스케줄을 예측할 수 없는 환경에서 노드의 신뢰성이 낮아지는 문제가 있다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해 노드의 속성 정보를 Markov chain을 적용하고 일정 구간에서 시간에 따른 노드의 이동 경로를 예측하는 CMCP(Context-awareness Markov-Chain Prediction)알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안하는 알고리즘은 노드의 속성 정보 중 노드의 속력과 방향성을 근사한 후 Markov chain을 이용하여 제한된 주기와 버퍼의 범위에서 확률전이 매트릭스를 생성하여 노드의 이동 경로를 예측하는 알고리즘이다. 주어진 모의실험 환경에서 노드의 이동 경로 예측을 통해 중계 노드를 선정하여 라우팅 함으로써 메시지 전송 지연 시간이 감소하고 전송률이 증가함 보여주고 있다.