• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.755-767
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• 1997

Analyzing autocorrelated data set is still an open problem. Developing on easy and efficient method for severe positive correlated data set, which is common in simulation output, is vital for the simulation society. Bootstrap is on easy and powerful tool for constructing non-parametric inferential procedures in modern statistical data analysis. Conventional bootstrap algorithm requires iid assumption in the original data set. Proper choice of resampling units for generating replicates has much to do with the structure of the original data set, iid data or autocorrelated. In this paper, a new bootstrap resampling scheme is proposed to analyze the autocorrelated data set : the Threshold Bootstrap. A thorough literature search of bootstrap method focusing on the case of autocorrelated data set is also provided. Theoretical foundations of Threshold Bootstrap is studied and compared with other leading bootstrap sampling techniques for autocorrelated data sets. The performance of TB is reported using M/M/1 queueing model, else the comparison of other resampling techniques of ARMA data set is also reported.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.123-142
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• 1999

Conventional SPC assumes that observations are independent. Often in industrial practice, however, observations are not independent. A common approach to building control charts for autocorrelated data is to apply conventional SPC to the residuals from a time series model of the process or is to apply conventional SPC to the weighted or unweighted subgroup means. In this paper, we propose a robust CUSUM control scheme for the detection of level change, without model identification or subgrouping of autocorrelated data. The proposed CUSUM chart and other conventional control charts are compared by a Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the proposed CUSUM chart is more effective than conventional CUSUM chart when the process is autocorrelated.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.33-38
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• 1994

The OLS-estimator of the distribance variance in the linear regression model is shown to be asymptotically unbiased when the disturbances are MA(1)-process or particular s-th autocorrelated AR(s)-process.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.1025-1034
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• 2015

Traditional Shewhart control charts assume that the observations are independent over time. Current progress in measurement and data collection technology lead to the presence of autocorrelated process data that may affect poor performance in statistical process control. One of the most popular charts for autocorrelated data is to model a correlative structure with an appropriate time series model and apply control chart to the sequence of residuals. Model parameters are estimated by an in-control Phase I reference sample since they are usually unknown in practice. This paper deals with the effects of parameter estimation on Phase II control limits to monitor autocorrelated data.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.29-38
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• 2009

Estimating the Bass diffusion model often creates a time-interval bias, which leads the OLS approach to overestimate sales at early stages and underestimate sales after the peak. Further, a specification error from omitted variables might raise serial correlations among residuals when marketing actions are not incorporated into the diffusion model. Autocorrelated disturbances may yield unbiased but inefficient estimation, and therefore invalid inference results. This phenomenon warrants a modified approach to estimating the Bass diffusion model. In this paper, the authors propose a modified Bass diffusion model handling autocorrelated disturbances. To validate the new approach, authors applied the method on two different data-sets: CT Scanners in the U.S, and FPD TV sales in Korea. The results showed improved model fit and the validity of the proposed model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.289-301
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• 2003

In this paper, we propose Shewhart control chart and EWMA control chart using the autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.122-139
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• 2008

With the proliferation of in-process measurement technology, autocorrelated data are increasingly common in industrial SPC applications. A number of high performance control charting techniques that take into account the specific characteristics of the autocorrelation through time series modeling have been proposed over the past decade. We present a survey of such methods and analyze and compare their performances for a range of typical autocorrelated process models. One practical concern with these methods is that their performances are often strongly affected by errors in the time series models used to represent the autocorrelation. We also provide some analytical results comparing the robustness of the various methods with respect to time series modeling errors.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.289-296
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• 2001

This paper proposes multivariate control chart for autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase in the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a vector autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and therefore the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.71-76
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• 1982

A procedure is established for combining a regression model and a time series model to fit to a set of autocorrelated data. This procedure is based on an iterative method to compute regression parameter estimates and time series parameter estimates simultaneously. The time series model which is discussed is basically AR(p) model, since MA(q) model or ARMA(p,q) model can be inverted to AR({$\infty$) model which can be approximated by AR(p) model. The procedure discussed in this articled is applied in general to any combination of regression model and time series model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.105-112
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• 2002

In this paper we establish bivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts for autocorrelated processes using residual vectors. We first derive the residual vectors, their expectation, variance-covariance matrix, then evaluate the control chart based on the average run length (ARL).