• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제38권4호
• /
• pp.11-33
• /
• 2013

We analyzed the structures and properties of the global financial market networks using social network analysis approach. The Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) lengths and networks of the global financial markets based on the correlation coefficients have been analyzed. Firstly, similar to the previous studies on the global stock indices using MST length, the diversification effects in the global multi-asset portfolio can disappear during the crisis as the correlations among the asset class and within the asset class increase due to the system risks. Second, through the network visualization, we found the clustering of the asset class in the global financial markets network, which confirms the possible diversification effect in the global multi-asset portfolio. Meanwhile, we found the changes in the structure of the network during the crisis. For the last one, in terms of the degree centrality, the stock indices were the most influential to other assets in the global financial markets network, while in terms of the betweenness centrality, Gold, Silver and AUD. In the practical perspective, we propose the methods such as MST length and network visualization to monitor the change of the correlation risk for the risk management of the multi-asset portfolio.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.669-677
• /
• 2013

본 연구에서는 다중자산 옵션 가격의 추정에 있어 자산의 수, 상관계수, 자산의 값들과 표준편차의 여러 조합에 대한 시뮬레이션을 통하여 저불일치 수열에 따르는 준난수 몬테칼로 방법들을 비교하였다. 결과적으로 준난수와 모로 역변환을 이용하는 것이 기본적인 몬테칼로 방법보다 정확하였으며 자산의 수와 관계없이 준난수 방법들 중 혼합법들이 더욱 효과적임을 알 수 있었다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제17권4호
• /
• pp.1099-1106
• /
• 2006

This study is an analysis of the stock trading value in terms of investor types in the Korean stock market for recent 12 years. We examined the characteristics in stock trading value variation according to each investor type and the interactive relationship in the trading value between types of investors. The results show that the trading value scale of every investor type increases overall while the proportion of the trading value by each investor type in the market exhibits variation. In addition, a statistically significant interactive relationship in the trading value between types of investors exists: the correlations are formed differently before and after events which largely influence the stock market.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제21권3호
• /
• pp.407-417
• /
• 2010

신BIS협약에서는 자본적정성 규제에 있어서 자율성 확대를 위해 내부등급시스템을 허용하였고, 이에 따라 시스템의 적합성 검증의 중요성을 더욱 강조하게 되었다. 적합성검증은 양적 질적 검증으로 나뉘며 이 때 양적 검증은 변별력, 안정성, 등급의 계량화로 구별된다. 본 논문에서는 양적 검증의 등급의 계량화 중 신용등급 변화 검정기법에 대하여 연구하려고 한다. 등급의 계량화 검정은 등급별로 추정된 부도율과 실제 부도율과의 차이를 검정하는 방법으로 한 시점에 대한 검정으로 이항검정과 카이제곱검정, Brier score, 신호등 검정이 있고, 여러 시점의 정확성을 검증하는 방법으로 정규성 검정, 확장된 신호등 검정이 있다. 신용평가시스템의 정확성을 높이고, 현실 상황에 반영이 가능하려면 상관관계를 고려하지 않을 수 없다. 본 논문에서는 부도상관관계를 고려한 확장된 신호등 검정을 제안하고자 한다.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제14권12호
• /
• pp.129-139
• /
• 2016

Purpose - This paper examines the explanatory power of the agency theory in the determination of cash holdings for Korean retail firms. If the agency theory holds, a firm with strong corporate governance structure tends to have low cash holdings. A strong governance structure makes the CEO of this firm to behave in the interests of shareholders and thus the CEO has low incentive to stockpile cash holdings, which can be easily diverted for the CEO's own managerial purposes. We investigate this relationship between corporate governance structure and cash holdings, by using corporate governance scores as a proxy variable that captures the effectiveness of corporate governance mechanism. Research design, data, and methodology - We adopt the sample of publicly listed retail firms in KOSPI market from 2005 to 2013. Financial and accounting statements are gathered from the WISEfn database. We also use the corporate governance scores published by Korean Corporate Governance Service. The relationship between the corporate governance scores and cash holdings is cross-sectionally estimated based on the ordinary least square method. This estimation method is widely accepted in the existing literature. The sample of large conglomerates, Chebol, and the remainder firms are separately examined as well, to account for the distinctive internal financing environment in these large conglomerates. Results - We mainly contribute to the extant literature by providing empirical evidence against the agency theory of cash policy. Unlike the prediction of agency theory, we confirm statistically insignificant or even positive correlations between the set of corporate governance scores and cash-asset ratios. Almost all the major corporate governance attributes including total score, shareholder rights, board structure, and the quality of information disclosure do not show negative correlations with cash holdings, which poses a strong challenge to the validity of the agency theory in the determination of retail firms' cash holdings. Conclusions - This study presents interesting empirical results with respect to the cash policy in Korean retail firms. Consistent to prior studies, I verify that the agency theory only limitedly explains the level of cash holdings. Future studies may obtain more robust results by examining a longer sample period.

• 한국병원경영학회지
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.22-36
• /
• 2001

The hospital bankruptcy rate is increasing, therefore it is very important to predict the bankruptcy using the existing hospital management information. The hospital bankruptcy is often measured in year intervals, called grouped duration data, not by the continuous time elapsed to the bankruptcy. This study introduces a hierarchical generalized linear model(HGLM) for analysis of hospital bankruptcy data. The hazard function for each hospital may be influenced by unobservable latent variables, and these unknown variables are usually termed as random effects or frailties which explain correlations among repeated measures of the same hospital and describe individual heterogeneities of hospitals. Practically, the data of twenty bankrupt and sixty profitable hospitals were collected for five years, and were fitted to HGLM. The results were compared with those of the logit model. While the logit model resulted only in the effects of explanatory variables on the bankruptcy status at specific period, the HGLM showed variables with significant effects over all observed years. It is concluded that the HGLM with a fixed ratio and a period of total asset turnrounds was justified, and could find significant within and between hospital variations.

• 아태비즈니스연구
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.123-138
• /
• 2022

Purpose - This study compares the performances of dynamic asset allocation strategies using Korean stocks and U.S. dollar, which have been negatively correlated for a long time, to examine the diversification effects in the portfolios of them. Design/methodology/approach - In the current study, we use KOSPI200 index, as a proxy of the aggregated portfolio of Korean stocks, and USDKRW foreign exchange rate to implement various portfolio management strategies. We consider the equally-weighted, risk-parity, minimum variance, most diversified, and growth optimal portfolios for comparison. Findings - We first find the enhancement of risk adjusted returns due to risk reduction rather than return increasement for all the portfolios of consideration. Second, the enhancement is more pronounced for the trading strategies using correlations as well as volatilities compared to those using volatilities only. Third, the diversification effect has become stronger after the global financial crisis in 2008. Lastly, we find that the performance of the growth optimal portfolio can be improved by utilizing the well-known momentum phenomenon in stock markets to select the length of the sample period to estimate the expected return. Research implications or Originality - This study shows the potential benefits of adding the U.S. dollar to the portfolios of Korean stocks. The current study is the first to investigate the portfolio of Korean stocks and U.S. dollar from investment perspective.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제13권8호
• /
• pp.3417-3426
• /
• 2012

본 연구는 기본적으로 소유구조(내부 외국인 지분율)가 대리인 비용(자산효율성 비중 영업외비용 비중)에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 가에 대한 실증연구이다. 그러나 소유구조와 대리인 비용의 상관성에 대한 기존연구들이 단순히 Pooled OLS Model을 사용하고 있기에 본 연구에서는 단순 Pooled OLS Model이 방대한 양의 패널형 자료의 검증에는 통계적 신뢰성이 부족하다는 전제하에, Pooled-OLS Model의 적합성 검증 결과를 토대로, 자료형성의 시점 및 기업의 효과를 반영하는 Fixed Effect Model과 Random Effect Model을 추가적인 연구모형으로 형성하고 이를 비교분석함으로써 실증분석 결과의 신뢰성 및 통계적 타당성을 높이고자 하였다. 연구 자료는 IMF 경제 위기 이후인 1998~2007년까지 10년간이며 금융업을 제외한 331개 기업을 대상으로 하였다. 주요 결과로는 모델의 적합성 검증결과 대리인 비용 항목 중 자산효율성 비중은 Random Effect Model을 사용하는 것이 적절하였으나 이에 반하여 영업외비용 비중은 Fixed Effect Model의 사용이 적합하였다. 이에 따른 실증분석결과는 Pooled OLS Model에서 채택되었던 가설이 대부분 기각되는 결과가 나왔다. 이는 실증분석에 있어서 사용하는 모형에 따라 다른 분석결과의 도출이 가능하다는 점을 보여주어 연구 자료에 따른 적합한 연구모형의 형성이 통계적으로 유의한 실증결과의 도출을 위해 무엇보다 중요하다는 점을 시사하고 있다.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제22권5호
• /
• pp.995-1005
• /
• 2009

금융 시계열 자료들 간의 상관계수는 자산의 배분, 위험관리 그리고 포트폴리오의 선택에 있어서 중요한 역할을 한다. 이러한 상관계수들을 모형화하기 위해 단변량-GARCH 모형을 다변량-GARCH 모형으로 확장시킨 MGARCH류 모형들에 대한 많은 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 특히, CCC 모형 (Bollerslev, 1990)과 DCC 모형 (Engle, 2002)은 다른 모형들에 비해 추정해야 할 모수의 수가 작다는 이점으로 인해 분석에 널리 쓰이고 있다. 본 논문에서는 국내 주가자료에 대해 CCC 모형과 DCC 모형을 적합시킨 후, 각 모형들에 대한 VaR(value at risk)와 사후검증(back-testing), 결합예측영역(joint prediction region) 등을 통하여 두 모형의 예측 능력을 비교해 보고자 한다.

• 한국학교보건학회지
• /
• 제31권1호
• /
• pp.18-28
• /
• 2018

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors that influence ego-resilience among adolescents who have experienced abuse by parents in South Korea. Methods: This correlational study used the 4th year cross-sectional data of the seventh-grade middle school students who participated in the Korean Children and Youth Panel Survey (KCYPS) in fourth grade. Data analysis was performed by using SPSS/WIN 23.0 program, which included descriptive statistics, Pearson's correlations coefficient, and hierarchical regression. Results: The results of the hierarchical regression of model 5 revealed that the quality of peer relations played the most significant role in predicting ego-resilience of abused adolescents, followed by self-identity. Also, self-esteem, the quality of teacher-student relationships, excessive expectations from parents, and community awareness had a significant impact on the variance of self-resilience in abused adolescents. This regression model explained 42% of the variance. Conclusion: This study showed that ego-resilience, an asset and resource to help adolescents overcome adverse effects of abuse, was influenced by social environment as well as individual factors. In addition, social support from peers and teachers had greater influence on ego-resilience than support from family members. Thus, the factors identified in this study need to be considered in programs designed to improve ego-resilience as well as in policies for abused adolescents.