• Title/Summary/Keyword: Artificial neural network prediction

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Displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering based on evolutionary neural network

  • Gao, Wei;He, T.Y.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.845-860
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    • 2017
  • It is very important to study displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering. Nowadays, the grey system method, time series analysis method and artificial neural network method are three main methods. Based on the brief introduction, the three methods are analyzed comprehensively. Their merits and demerits, applied ranges are revealed. To solve the shortcomings of the artificial neural network method, a new prediction method based on new evolutionary neural network is proposed. Finally, through two real engineering applications, the analysis of three main methods and the new evolutionary neural network method all have been verified. The results show that, the grey system method is a kind of exponential approximation to displacement sequence, and time series analysis is linear autoregression approximation, while artificial neural network is nonlinear autoregression approximation. Thus, the grey system method can suitably analyze the sequence, which has the exponential law, the time series method can suitably analyze the random sequence and the neural network method almostly can be applied in any sequences. Moreover, the prediction results of new evolutionary neural network method is the best, and its approximation sequence and the generalization prediction sequence are all coincided with the real displacement sequence well. Thus, the new evolutionary neural network method is an acceptable method to predict the measurement displacements of geotechnical engineering.

Forecasting performance and determinants of household expenditure on fruits and vegetables using an artificial neural network model

  • Kim, Kyoung Jin;Mun, Hong Sung;Chang, Jae Bong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.769-782
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    • 2020
  • Interest in fruit and vegetables has increased due to changes in consumer consumption patterns, socioeconomic status, and family structure. This study determined the factors influencing the demand for fruit and vegetables (strawberries, paprika, tomatoes and cherry tomatoes) using a panel of Rural Development Administration household-level purchases from 2010 to 2018 and compared the ability to the prediction performance. An artificial neural network model was constructed, linking household characteristics with final food expenditure. Comparing the analysis results of the artificial neural network with the results of the panel model showed that the artificial neural network accurately predicted the pattern of the consumer panel data rather than the fixed effect model. In addition, the prediction for strawberries was found to be heavily affected by the number of families, retail places and income, while the prediction for paprika was largely affected by income, age and retail conditions. In the case of the prediction for tomatoes, they were greatly affected by age, income and place of purchase, and the prediction for cherry tomatoes was found to be affected by age, number of families and retail conditions. Therefore, a more accurate analysis of the consumer consumption pattern was possible through the artificial neural network model, which could be used as basic data for decision making.

FORECASTING THE COST AND DURATION OF SCHOOL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

  • Ying-Hua Huang ;Wei Tong Chen;Shih-Chieh Chan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.913-916
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

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Optimizing Artificial Neural Network-Based Models to Predict Rice Blast Epidemics in Korea

  • Lee, Kyung-Tae;Han, Juhyeong;Kim, Kwang-Hyung
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.395-402
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    • 2022
  • To predict rice blast, many machine learning methods have been proposed. As the quality and quantity of input data are essential for machine learning techniques, this study develops three artificial neural network (ANN)-based rice blast prediction models by combining two ANN models, the feed-forward neural network (FFNN) and long short-term memory, with diverse input datasets, and compares their performance. The Blast_Weathe long short-term memory r_FFNN model had the highest recall score (66.3%) for rice blast prediction. This model requires two types of input data: blast occurrence data for the last 3 years and weather data (daily maximum temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation) between January and July of the prediction year. This study showed that the performance of an ANN-based disease prediction model was improved by applying suitable machine learning techniques together with the optimization of hyperparameter tuning involving input data. Moreover, we highlight the importance of the systematic collection of long-term disease data.

Application of Artificial Neural Networks for Prediction of the Strength Properties of CSG Materials

  • Lim, Jeongyeul;Kim, Kiyoung;Moon, Hongduk;Jin, Guangri
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2018
  • The number of researches on the mechanical properties of cemented sand and gravel (CSG) materials and the application of the CSG Dam has been increased. In order to explain the technical scheme of strength prediction model about the artificial neural network, we obtained the sample data by orthogonal test using the PVA (Polyvinyl alcohol) fiber, different amount of cementing materials and age, and established the efficient evaluation and prediction system. Combined with the analysis about the importance of influence factors, the prediction accuracy was above 95%. This provides the scientific theory for the further application of CSG, and will also be the foundation to apply the artificial neural network theory further in water conservancy project for the future.

Pixel level prediction of dynamic pressure distribution on hull surface based on convolutional neural network (합성곱 신경망 기반 선체 표면 압력 분포의 픽셀 수준 예측)

  • Kim, Dayeon;Seo, Jeongbeom;Lee, Inwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2022
  • In these days, the rapid development in prediction technology using artificial intelligent is being applied in a variety of engineering fields. Especially, dimensionality reduction technologies such as autoencoder and convolutional neural network have enabled the classification and regression of high-dimensional data. In particular, pixel level prediction technology enables semantic segmentation (fine-grained classification), or physical value prediction for each pixel such as depth or surface normal estimation. In this study, the pressure distribution of the ship's surface was estimated at the pixel level based on the artificial neural network. First, a potential flow analysis was performed on the hull form data generated by transforming the baseline hull form data to construct 429 datasets for learning. Thereafter, a neural network with a U-shape structure was configured to learn the pressure value at the node position of the pretreated hull form. As a result, for the hull form included in training set, it was confirmed that the neural network can make a good prediction for pressure distribution. But in case of container ship, which is not included and have different characteristics, the network couldn't give a reasonable result.

Pipeline wall thinning rate prediction model based on machine learning

  • Moon, Seongin;Kim, Kyungmo;Lee, Gyeong-Geun;Yu, Yongkyun;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.4060-4066
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    • 2021
  • Flow-accelerated corrosion (FAC) of carbon steel piping is a significant problem in nuclear power plants. The basic process of FAC is currently understood relatively well; however, the accuracy of prediction models of the wall-thinning rate under an FAC environment is not reliable. Herein, we propose a methodology to construct pipe wall-thinning rate prediction models using artificial neural networks and a convolutional neural network, which is confined to a straight pipe without geometric changes. Furthermore, a methodology to generate training data is proposed to efficiently train the neural network for the development of a machine learning-based FAC prediction model. Consequently, it is concluded that machine learning can be used to construct pipe wall thinning rate prediction models and optimize the number of training datasets for training the machine learning algorithm. The proposed methodology can be applied to efficiently generate a large dataset from an FAC test to develop a wall thinning rate prediction model for a real situation.

A MapReduce-based Artificial Neural Network Churn Prediction for Music Streaming Service

  • Chen, Min
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2022
  • Churn prediction is a critical long-term problem for many business like music, games, magazines etc. The churn probability can be used to study many aspects of a business including proactive customer marketing, sales prediction, and churn-sensitive pricing models. It is quite challenging to design machine learning model to predict the customer churn accurately due to the large volume of the time-series data and the temporal issues of the data. In this paper, a parallel artificial neural network is proposed to create a highly-accurate customer churn model on a large customer dataset. The proposed model has achieved significant improvement in the accuracy of churn prediction. The scalability and effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is also studied.

Prediction of Deep Excavation-induced Ground Surface Movements Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망기법을 이용한 깊은 굴착에 따른 지표변위 예측)

  • 유충식;최병석
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the prediction of deep excavation-induced ground surface movements using artificial neural network(ANN) technique, which is of prime importance in the damage assessment of adjacent buildings. A finite element model, which can realistically replicate deep excavation-induced ground movements, was employed to perform a parametric study on deep excavations with emphasis on ground movements. The result of the finite element analysis formed a basis for the Artificial Neural Network(ANN) system development. It was shown that the developed ANN system can be effective for a first-order prediction of ground movements associated with deep-excavation.

Prediction of Deep-Excavation induced Ground surface movements using Artifical Neural Network (인공신경망기법을 이용한 깊은 굴착에 따른 지표변위 예측)

  • 유충식;최병석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the prediction of deep excavation-induced ground surface movements using artificial neural network, which is of prime importance in the perspective of damage assessment of adjacent buildings. A finite element model, which can realistically replicate deep-excavation-induced ground movements was employed and validated against available large-scale model test results. The validated model was then used to perform a parametric study on deep excavations with emphasis on ground movements. Using the result of the finite element analysis, Artificial Neural Network(ANN) system is formed, which can be used in the prediction of deep exacavation-induced ground surface displacements. The developed ANN system can be effecting used for a first-order prediction of ground movements associated with deep-excavation.

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