• 제목/요약/키워드: Area under the curve

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청소년의 성별에 따른 Cortisol 분비의 일주기 차이 : 반복측정에 따른 Area Under the Curve 분석법 사용 (Gender Differences in the Diurnal Rhythm of Salivary Cortisol in Adolescents : Area under the curve analysis)

  • 이상관
    • 대한한방내과학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.829-836
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    • 2010
  • Purpose : This study investigated the diurnal rhythm of cortisol in male and female adolescents. Methods : Salivary cortisol was examined in 52 normally developing subjects aged 13 to 14 years. Subjects provided saliva samples at 08:00h, 12:00h, 16:00h and 20:00h. Results : Males and females showed similar pattern of cortisol, which elevated cortisol in the morning and decreased in the evening. There were no differences of gender at 08:00h, 12;00h and 20:00h. There were also not difference between males and females using an area under the curve analysis. Conclusions : The same diurnal cortisol rhythm were found in male and female adolescents. Further research is needed to examine differences of gender in cortisol awakening response.

Estimating the AUC of the MROC curve in the presence of measurement errors

  • G, Siva;R, Vishnu Vardhan;Kamath, Asha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.533-545
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    • 2022
  • Collection of data on several variables, especially in the field of medicine, results in the problem of measurement errors. The presence of such measurement errors may influence the outcomes or estimates of the parameter in the model. In classification scenario, the presence of measurement errors will affect the intrinsic cum summary measures of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. In the context of ROC curve, only a few researchers have attempted to study the problem of measurement errors in estimating the area under their respective ROC curves in the framework of univariate setup. In this paper, we work on the estimation of area under the multivariate ROC curve in the presence of measurement errors. The proposed work is supported with a real dataset and simulation studies. Results show that the proposed bias-corrected estimator helps in correcting the AUC with minimum bias and minimum mean square error.

Bayesian hierarchical model for the estimation of proper receiver operating characteristic curves using stochastic ordering

  • Jang, Eun Jin;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2019
  • Diagnostic tests in medical fields detect or diagnose a disease with results measured by continuous or discrete ordinal data. The performance of a diagnostic test is summarized using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC). The diagnostic test is considered clinically useful if the outcomes in actually-positive cases are higher than actually-negative cases and the ROC curve is concave. In this study, we apply the stochastic ordering method in a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the proper ROC curve and AUC when the diagnostic test results are measured in discrete ordinal data. We compare the conventional binormal model and binormal model under stochastic ordering. The simulation results and real data analysis for breast cancer indicate that the binormal model under stochastic ordering can be used to estimate the proper ROC curve with a small bias even though the sample sizes were small or the sample size of actually-negative cases varied from actually-positive cases. Therefore, it is appropriate to consider the binormal model under stochastic ordering in the presence of large differences for a sample size between actually-negative and actually-positive groups.

생존 분석 자료에서 적용되는 시간 가변 ROC 분석에 대한 리뷰 (Review for time-dependent ROC analysis under diverse survival models)

  • 김양진
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2022
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) 곡선은 이항 반응 자료에 대한 마커의 분류 예측력을 측정하기 위해 널리 적용되어왔으며 최근에는 생존 분석에서도 매우 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 여러 가지 유형의 중도 절단과 원인 불명 등 다양한 종류의 결측 자료를 포함한 생존 자료 분석에서 마커의 사건 발생 여부에 대한 예측력을 판단하기 위해 기존의 통계량을 확장하였다. 생존 분석 자료는 각 시점에서의 사건 발생 여부로 이해할 수 있으며, 따라서 시점마다 ROC 곡선과 AUC를 구할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 우중도 절단과 경쟁 위험 모형하에서 사용되는 다양한 방법론과 관련 R 패키지를 소개하고 각 방법의 특성을 설명하고 비교하였으며 이를 검토하기 위해 간단한 모의실험을 시행하였다. 또한, 프랑스에서 수집된 치매 자료의 마커 분석을 시행하였다.

Optimization of Classifier Performance at Local Operating Range: A Case Study in Fraud Detection

  • Park Lae-Jeong;Moon Jung-Ho
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.263-267
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    • 2005
  • Building classifiers for financial real-world classification problems is often plagued by severely overlapping and highly skewed class distribution. New performance measures such as receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under ROC curve (AUC) have been recently introduced in evaluating and building classifiers for those kind of problems. They are, however, in-effective to evaluation of classifier's discrimination performance in a particular class of the classification problems that interests lie in only a local operating range of the classifier, In this paper, a new method is proposed that enables us to directly improve classifier's discrimination performance at a desired local operating range by defining and optimizing a partial area under ROC curve or domain-specific curve, which is difficult to achieve with conventional classification accuracy based learning methods. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated in terms of fraud detection capability in a real-world fraud detection problem compared with the MSE-based approach.

Research on the Applicability of Target-detection Methods for Land-based Hyperspectral Imaging

  • Qianghui Wang;Bing Zhou;Wenshen Hua;Jiaju Ying;Xun Liu;Lei Deng
    • Current Optics and Photonics
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.282-299
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    • 2024
  • Target detection (TD) is a research hotspot in the field of hyperspectral imaging (HSI). Traditional TD methods often mine targets from HSIs under a single imaging condition, without considering the influence of imaging conditions. In fact, the spectra of ground objects in HSIs are uncertain and affected by the imaging conditions (weather, atmospheric, light, time, and other angle conditions including zenith angle). Hyperspectral data changes under different imaging conditions. Therefore, the detection result for a single imaging condition cannot accurately reflect the effectiveness of the detection method used. It is necessary to analyze the performance of various detection methods under different imaging conditions, to find a more applicable detection method. In this paper, we study the performance of TD methods under various land-based imaging conditions. We first summarize classical TD methods and evaluation methods. Then, the detection effects under various imaging conditions are analyzed. Finally, the concepts of the stability coefficient (SC) and effective area under the curve (EAUC) are proposed to comprehensively evaluate the applicability of detection methods under land-based imaging conditions, in terms of both detection accuracy and stability. This is conducive to our selection of detection methods with better applicability in land-based contexts, to improve detection accuracy and stability.

누적손상법(Miner's rule)을 이용한 철도차량 차체 용접부의 피로평가 (The fatigue analysis using cumulative damage rule (Miner's rule) for the welding areas of carbody structure)

  • 김광우;박근수;박형순
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.30-34
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    • 2007
  • Structural integrity of railway vehicles should last for a long period against various and continuous fatigue loadings, and the carbody structures of railway vehicle are manufactured by applying multiform welding types for each material. Since the most of cracks are occurred and proceeded at the vicinity of welding area during the lifetime of carbody structure, the fatigue strength evaluation for welding area of carbody structure should have been carried out. Rotem Company has evaluated lifetime and fatigue strength of carbody structure according to the fatigue analysis based on the international standard and/or inner-official regulation. This study introduces the fatigue analysis method that we have evaluated and calculated the damages for the welding areas of carbody structure under various fatigue loading conditions using cumulative fatigue damage rule(Miner's rule) to verify whether the cumulative damage does exceed unity. This study contains the fatigue test of specimens to derive stress-life relations(S-N curve), sub-modeling analysis and the calculation of cumulative damages under fatigue loading. The fatigue analysis verifies the welding area shall be capable of withstanding under fatigue loading, identifies how critical area shall be selected and presents the principles to be used for design verification.

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민감도와 특이도 직선을 이용한 부분 AUC (Partial AUC using the sensitivity and specificity lines)

  • 홍종선;장동환
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.541-553
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    • 2020
  • Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) 곡선은 민감도와 특이도로 표현되며, ROC 곡선을 이용하는 최적분류점도 민감도와 특이도만을 반영하지만, 본 연구에서는 질병률과 효용을 추가하여 고려하는 기대효용함수를 연구한다. 특히 교차하는 ROC 곡선들의 area under the ROC curve (AUC) 값들이 유사한 경우에 특정한 부분의 부분 AUC를 비교해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 정의된 민감도 직선과 특이도 직선을 바탕으로 각각 높은 민감도와 특이도를 나타내는 부분 AUC를 제안한다. ROC 곡선들이 교차하고 동일한 AUC 값을 갖는 다양한 분포함수를 설정하여, 민감도 직선과 특이도 직선을 이용하여 구한 부분 AUC를 비교하면서 모형의 판별력을 향상시키는 방법을 제안한다.

메탄 가스 기반 가스 누출 위험 예측을 위한 다변량 특이치 제거 (Multivariate Outlier Removing for the Risk Prediction of Gas Leakage based Methane Gas)

  • 홍고르출;김미혜
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제11권12호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는, 천연가스(NG) 데이터와 가스 관련 환경 요소 간의 관계를 기계학습 알고리즘을 사용하여 가스 누출 데이터를 직접 측정하지 않고 가스 누출 위험 수준을 예측하였다. 이번 연구는 서버가 제공하는 오픈 데이터인 IoT 기반 원격 제어 피카로(Picarro) 가스 센서 사양을 기반으로 사용했다. 천연 가스는 공기 중으로 누출이 되며, 대기 오염, 환경, 그리고 건강에 큰 문제가 된다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 방법은 천연 가스의 누출 위험 예측을 위한 랜덤 포레스트(Random Forest) 분류 기반 다변량 특이치 제거 방법이다. 비지도 k-평균 클러스터링 후에 실험 데이터 집합은 불균형 데이터이다. 따라서 우리는 제안된 모델이 중간과 높은 위험 수준을 가장 잘 예측할 수 있다는 점에 초점을 맞춘다. 이 경우 각 분류 모델에 대한 수신자 조작 특성(ROC) 곡선, 정확도, 평균 표준 오차(MSE)를 비교했다. 실험 결과로 정확도, 수신자 조작 특성의 곡선 아래 영역(AUC, Area Under the ROC Curve), MSE가 각각 MOL_RF의 경우 99.71%, 99.57%, 및 0.0016의 결과 값을 얻었다.

The prognostic value of median nerve thickness in diagnosing carpal tunnel syndrome using magnetic resonance imaging: a pilot study

  • Lee, Sooho;Cho, Hyung Rae;Yoo, Jun Sung;Kim, Young Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2020
  • Background: The median nerve cross-sectional area (MNCSA) is a useful morphological parameter for the evaluation of carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS). However, there have been limited studies investigating the anatomical basis of median nerve flattening. Thus, to evaluate the connection between median nerve flattening and CTS, we carried out a measurement of the median nerve thickness (MNT). Methods: Both MNCSA and MNT measurement tools were collected from 20 patients with CTS, and from 20 control individuals who underwent carpal tunnel magnetic resonance imaging (CTMRI). We measured the MNCSA and MNT at the level of the hook of hamate on CTMRI. The MNCSA was measured on the transverse angled sections through the whole area. The MNT was measured based on the most compressed MNT. Results: The mean MNCSA was 9.01 ± 1.94 ㎟ in the control group and 6.58 ± 1.75 ㎟ in the CTS group. The mean MNT was 2.18 ± 0.39 mm in the control group and 1.43 ± 0.28 mm in the CTS group. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis demonstrated that the optimal cut-off value for the MNCSA was 7.72 ㎟, with 75.0% sensitivity, 75.0% specificity, and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69-0.95). The best cut off-threshold of the MNT was 1.76 mm, with 85% sensitivity, 85% specificity, and an AUC of 0.94 (95% CI, 0.87-1.00). Conclusions: Even though both MNCSA and MNT were significantly associated with CTS, MNT was identified as a more suitable measurement parameter.