• Title/Summary/Keyword: Area of vulnerability

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Changes in Potential Distribution of Pinus rigida Caused by Climate Changes in Korea (기후변화에 따른 리기다소나무림의 잠재 생육적지 분포 변화 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-Kyung;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Kim, Young-Hwan;Oh, Suhyun;Heo, Jun-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.3
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2012
  • In this research, it was intended to examine the vulnerability of Pinus rigida to climate changes, a major planting species in Korea. For this purpose, the distribution of Pinus rigida and its changes caused by climate changes were estimated based on the 'A1B' climate change scenario suggested by IPCC. Current distribution of Pinus rigida was analyzed by using the $4^{th}$Forest Type Map and its potential distribution in the recent year (2000), the near future (2050) and the further future (2100) were estimated by analyzing the optimized ranges of three climate indices - warmth index(WI), minimum temperature index of the coldest month (MTCI) and precipitation effectiveness index(PEI). The results showed that the estimated potential distribution of Pinus rigida declines to 56% in the near future(2050) and 15% in the further future (2100). This significant decline was found in most provinces in Korea. However, in Kangwon province where the average elevation is higher than other provinces, the area of potential distribution of Pinus rigida increases in the near future and the further future. Also the result indicated that the potential distribution of Pinus rigida migrates to higher elevation. The potential distributions estimated in this research have relatively high accuracy with consideration of classification accuracy (44.75%) and prediction probability (62.56%).

Estimating Tree Shape Ratio by Region for Pinus Densiflora and Larix Kaempferi in Korea (우리나라 소나무 및 일본잎갈나무의 지역별 형상비 추정)

  • Kang, Jin-Taek;Ko, Chi-Ung;Yim, Jong-Su;Lee, Sun-Jeoung;Moon, Ga-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.108 no.4
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    • pp.600-609
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to highlight the necessity for a stand density control management plan in consideration of the shape ratio of Pinus densiflora and Larix kaempferi in Korea. A total of 2,112 Pinus densiflora samples and 2,030 Larix kaempferi samples were cut, and their diameter at breast height (DBH), height, and clear length were measured for regional shape ratio (height/DBH) comparison and analysis.The shape ratio of Pinus densiflora was 72.3% in the Gangwon district, 64.0% in the central district, and 70.8% on average, indicating a higher percentage of Pinus densiflora in Gangwon than in the central area. Regionally, Yeongju had the highest percentage at 78.4%, with Yeongwol indicating 77.5%. Measured by diameter, results showed a presence of 90.4% for small diameter trees (6-16 cm), 71.7% for medium diameter trees (18-28 cm), and 56.1% for large diameter trees (30 cm). As density increased, the shape ratio of height to tree trunk diameter also increased; below 70% indicated a more stable trunk, while a result above 80% indicated trunks prone to wind hazards and snowstorms, and, therefore, the need for density control in partial areas. The overall shape ratio of Larix kaempferi was 90.6%. Pyeongchang indicated a 108.5% ratio, Yeongju 105.4%, and Danyang 100.5%, respectively.According to diameter class, small diameter trees showed 104.9% occurrence, medium diameter trees 92.7%, and large diameter trees 73.4%. The shape ratio of Larix kaempferi was higher than 80% overall, indicating vulnerability to wind hazards and snowstorms. Therefore, appropriate stand density management is required.

A Study on the Classification of Role-playing as a Design Method and Its Utilization (디자인 방법으로서의 롤플레잉의 분류와 그 활용 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Ga Young;Yeoun, Myeong Heum
    • Design Convergence Study
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 2017
  • User-centered design and Experience Design are emerging in the design area. Therefore, the Role-Playing Method has been actively utilized in the process of design development. But the terms of Role-Playing Method which follow these trends. has not been integrated. Further, it is hard to utilize the process of design development because the process method is not settled yet. Therefore, this study is into two parts of the research: Defining the concept of Role-Playing and the experiment of Role-Playing. Firstly, defining concept part is to research the design method corresponds to a wide range of Role-Playing that has a similar definition. After then, analyzed the examples of Role-Playing Methods which was derived matrix from Role-Playing classification. With this process, two axes of the matrix have been produced such as role·scenario and puppet. Through the analysis of the utility and vulnerability of the Role-Playing classification matrix, this study was able to propose the using step of the Role-Playing in the double diamond model. Secondly, two experiments were conducted in the experiment part. Through the pilot experiment explored the possibility of a study of the Role-Playing Method. In the second experiment, the process was conducted with Role-Playing classification matrix. As a result, each Role-Playing has different insights. In terms of design, different aspects of composing elements were found. Plus, in the position of the user, Role-Playing are can observe different parts of user's cognition between acting and puppet. Thus, the role-playing was proven to be useful to find out the point of improvement and insight in service from different perspectives and it resulted in the role playing which can be utilized selectively according to the type of service.

Application of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System in Forest Sector (원격탐사와 지리정보시스템의 산림분야 활용)

  • Lee, Woo-Kyun;Kim, Moonil;Song, Cholho;Lee, Sle-gee;Cha, Sungeun;Kim, GangSun
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.27-42
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    • 2016
  • Forest accounts for almost 64 percents of total land cover in South Korea. For inventorying, monitoring, and managing such large area of forest, application of remote sensing and geographic information system (RS/GIS) technology is essential. On the basis of spectral characteristics of satellite imagery, forest cover and tree species can be classified, and forest cover map can be prepared. Using three dimensional data of LiDAR(Light Detection and Ranging), tree location and tree height can be measured, and biomass and carbon stocks can be also estimated. In addition, many indices can be extracted using reflection characteristics of land cover. For example, the level of vegetation vitality and forest degradation can be analyzed with VI (vegetation Index) and TGSI (Top Grain Soil Index), respectively. Also, pine wilt disease and o ak w ilt d isease c an b e e arly detected and controled through understanding of change in vegetation indices. RS and GIS take an important role in assessing carbon storage in climate change related projects such as A/R CDM, REDD+ as well. In the field of climate change adaptation, impact and vulnerability can be spatio-temporally assessed for national and local level with the help of spatio-temporal data of GIS. Forest growth, tree mortality, land slide, forest fire can be spatio-temporally estimated using the models in which spatio-temporal data of GIS are added as influence variables.

Predicting the Potential Distribution of Pinus densiflora and Analyzing the Relationship with Environmental Variable Using MaxEnt Model (MaxEnt 모형을 이용한 소나무 잠재분포 예측 및 환경변수와 관계 분석)

  • Cho, NangHyun;Kim, Eun-Sook;Lee, Bora;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Kang, Sinkyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2020
  • Decline of pine forests happens in Korea due to various disturbances such as insect pests, forest fires and extreme climate, which may further continue with ongoing climate change. For conserving and reestablishing pine forests, understanding climate-induced future shifts of pine tree distribution is a critical concern. This study predicts future geographical distribution of Pinus densiflora, using Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt). Input data of the model are locations of pine tree stands and their environmental variables such as climate were prepared for the model inputs. Alternative future projections for P. densiflora distribution were conducted with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios. As results, the future distribution of P. densiflora steadily decreased under both scenarios. In the case of RCP 8.5, the areal reductions amounted to 11.1% and 18.7% in 2050s and 2070s, respectively. In 2070s, P. densiflora mainly remained in Kangwon and Gyeongsang Provinces. Changes in temperature seasonality and warming winter temperature contributed primarily for the decline of P. densiflora., in which altitude also exerted a critical role in determining its future distribution geographic vulnerability. The results of this study highlighted the temporal and spatial contexts of P. densiflora decline in Korea that provides useful ecological information for developing sound management practices of pine forests.

A Study on Estimating the Crossing Speed of Mobility Handicapped for the Activation of the Smart Crossing System (스마트횡단시스템 활성화를 위한 교통약자의 횡단속도 추정)

  • Hyung Kyu Kim;Sang Cheal Byun;Yeo Hwan Yoon;Jae Seok Kim
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2022
  • The traffic vulnerable, including elderly pedestrians, have a relatively low walking speed and slow cognitive response time due to reduced physical ability. Although a smart crossing system has been developed and operated to improve problem, it is difficult to operate a signal that reflects the appropriate walking speed for each pedestrian. In this study, a neural network model and a multiple regression model-based traversing speed estimation model were developed using image information collected in an area with a high percentage of traffic vulnerability. to support the provision of optimal walking signals according to real-time traffic weakness. actual traffic data collected from the urban traffic network of Paju-si, Gyeonggi-do were used. The performance of the model was evaluated through seven selected indicators, including correlation coefficient and mean absolute error. The multiple linear regression model had a correlation coefficient of 0.652 and 0.182; the neural network model had a correlation coefficient of 0.823 and 0.105. The neural network model showed higher predictive power.

Case Study of the Stability of a Large Cut-Slope at a Tunnel Portal (터널 입구부 대절토 사면 안정성 사례 연구)

  • Park, Dong Soon;Bae, Jong-Soem
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2015
  • The cut-slope of a large-sectional tunnel portal is recognized as a potential area of weakness due to unstable stress distribution and possible permanent displacement. This paper presents a case study of a slope failure and remediation for a large-scale cut-slope at a tunnel portal. Extensive rock-slope brittle failure occurred along discontinuities in the rock mass after 46 mm of rainfall, which caused instability of the upper part of the cut-slope. Based on a geological survey and face mapping, the reason for failure is believed to be the presence of thin clay fill in discontinuities in the weathered rock mass and consequent saturationinduced joint weakening. The granite-gneiss rock mass has a high content of alkali-feldspar, indicating a vulnerability to weathering. Immediately before the slope failure, a sharp increase in displacement rate was indicated by settlement-time histories, and this observation can contribute to the safety management criteria for slope stability. In this case study, emergency remediation was performed to prevent further hazard and to facilitate reconstruction, and counterweight fill and concrete filling of voids were successfully applied. For ultimate remediation, the grid anchor-blocks were used for slope stabilization, and additional rock bolts and grouting were applied inside the tunnel. Limit-equilibrium slope stability analysis and analyses of strereographic projections confirmed the instability of the original slope and the effectiveness of reinforcing methods. After the application of reinforcing measures, instrumental monitoring indicated that the slope and the tunnel remained stable. This case study is expected to serve as a valuable reference for similar engineering cases of large-sectional slope stability.

Model Test Study on the Reinforcing Effect of Inclined System Bolting (경사볼트의 보강효과에 대한 모형시험 연구)

  • Lee, Jea-Dug;Kim, Byoung-Il;Piao, Ming-Shan;Yoo, Wan-Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.5C
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2012
  • The rockbolt functions as a main support, which restricts enlargement of the plasticity area and increases stability in the original ground around tunnels, and prevents a second deformation of an excavated surface by supplementing vulnerability arising from opening of the excavated surface. System bolting is generally applied if ground conditions are bad. System bolting is generally installed perpendicular to the excavation direction in every span. If a place is narrow, or it is difficult to insert bolts due to construction conditions, it may be connected and used with short bolts, or installed obliquely. In this study, laboratory model tests were performed to analyze the effect of the ground being reinforced by inclined bolts, based on a bending theory that assumes that the reinforced ground is a simple beam. In all test cases, deflections and vertical earth pressures induced by overburden soil pressure were measured. Total of 99 model tests were carried out, by changing the installation angle of bolts, lateral and longitudinal distance of bolts, and soil height. The model test results indicated that when the installation angle of bolts was less than $75^{\circ}$, deflections of model beams tended to increase rapidly. Also, the relaxed load that was calculated by earth pressure was rapidly increased when the installation angle of bolts was less than $75^{\circ}$. However, the optimum installation angle of inclined bolts was judged to be in the range of $90^{\circ}{\sim}75^{\circ}$. Also, as might be expected, the reinforcement effect of bolts was increased when the longitudinal and lateral distance of bolts was decreased.

A Case Study on the Cause Analysis of Land creep Using Geophysical Exploration (물리탐사를 활용한 땅밀림 원인분석의 사례적 연구)

  • Jae Hyeon Park;Gyeong Mi Tak;Kook Mook Leem
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.3
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    • pp.382-392
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    • 2023
  • Recent reports have indicated a rapid increase in the frequency of sediment disasters due to climate change and other changes in the geological environment. Given this alarming situation and the recent increase in the frequency of land creep in Korea, systematic and efficient recovery and management of land creep areas is essential. The purpose of this study is to identify disaster vulnerability by conducting a physical exploration of land creep in San 4-1, Jayeon-ri, Gaegun-myeon, Yangpyeong-gun, Gyeonggi-do, and examine stability by identifying the overall geological structure of the affected ground. In addition, drilling surveys are conducted to verify the reliability of the measured data. The results of the study reveal that low specific resistance abnormalities are distributed in the upper part of the soil layer and weathering zone and that this section is a 50-120 m exploration line. It is also confirmed to be a low-hardness ground area where tensile cracks are observed. Therefore, there is a need for research focused on developing measures to reduce economic and social damage within the domestic context by continuously monitoring indicators of land creep and identifying land creep risks.

A Study and Analysis on Case Study of Security Evaluation Tool (보안성 평가 도구 사례 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-il;Park, Kyungyun;Seo, Changho;Moon, Daesung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the liberalization of industrial control systems has been accompanied by a major change in the structural paradigm of information systems in the public and public sectors, and potential cyber security problems in the future major infrastructure control systems that cannot respond to the level of security of existing information systems. To cope with this, a cyber security evaluation tool that can evaluate security vulnerability in three dimensions against various infrastructure control system environment is needed. However, a cyber security evaluation in the domestic environments does not have the concept of the current security status and satisfy settings of the infrastructure. Also, the most of items in that environments have had short-term inspection themselves which makes a limitation by a technical area. In order to overcome this problems, many researches are needed to apply CSET (Cyber Security Evaluation Tool) which is the US cyber security evaluation tool to the control environment of various domestic infrastructure. In this paper, first, we analyze methods to apply to the major domain through the analysis of various case studies on existing security assessement tools. Finally, we discuss future directions.