• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual change

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Parameter optimization of agricultural reservoir long-term runoff model based on historical data (실측자료기반 농업용 저수지 장기유출모형 매개변수 최적화)

  • Hong, Junhyuk;Choi, Youngje;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2021
  • Due to climate change the sustainable water resources management of agricultural reservoirs, the largest number of reservoirs in Korea, has become important. However, the DIROM, rainfall-runoff model for calculating agricultural reservoir inflow, has used regression equation developed in the 1980s. This study has optimized the parameters of the DIROM using the genetic algorithm (GA) based on historical inflow data for some agricultural reservoirs that recently begun to observe inflow data. The result showed that the error between the historical inflow and simulated inflow using the optimal parameters was decreased by about 80% compared with the annual inflow with the existing parameters. The correlation coefficient and root mean square error with the historical inflow increased to 0.64 and decreased to 28.2 × 103 ㎥, respectively. As a result, if the DIROM uses the optimal parameters based on the historical inflow of agricultural reservoirs, it will be possible to calculate the long-term reservoir inflow with high accuracy. This study will contribute to future research using the historical inflow of agricultural reservoirs and improvement of the rainfall-runoff model parameters. Furthermore, the reliable long-term inflow data will support for sustainable reservoir management and agricultural water supply.

Characteristics of Naturalized Plants in the Wetland Protection Areas of Inland Wetlands (내륙습지 습지보호지역의 귀화식물 특성)

  • Cho, Kwang-Jin;Lim, Jeoncheol;Lee, Changsu;Yoon, Jungdo;Kim, Mijeong;Chu, Yeounsu
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.374-387
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to provide basic data for monitoring the trend of ecosystem change and establishing management plans for wetland protection areas by understanding the status of naturalized plants. In 21 wetland protection areas, 129 taxa, including 10 invasive alien species, were recorded. The naturalized plants appeared mostly as 71 taxa in the Chimsil wetland and were not observed in the Moojechineup and Sumeunmulbaengdui wetlands. Among the naturalized plants, 42 taxa (32.6%) originated from North America. Annual and biennial plants accounted for 68.2% (88 taxa). The frequencies of occurrence of naturalized plants growing in dry secondary grasses such as Erigeron annuus and Trifolium repens were high, and clonal plants that propagated by making stolons and struck roots accounted for 19.4% (25 taxa). The naturalized and urbanization indices showed positive correlations with location factors such as wetland, agricultural land, and used area. However, a negative correlation was found between altitude and forest. Therefore, a management plan that synthetically considers the occurrence frequency and growth characteristics of naturalized plants as well as the locational characteristics of wetland protection areas is required.

An Estimation of Carbon Stocks in Harvested Wood Products in Korean Houses (우리나라 주택분야 내 목제품의 탄소저장량 추정)

  • Choi, Soo Im;Joo, Rin Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.4
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    • pp.708-714
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    • 2011
  • Wood store carbon that the forest absorbed until burned or decomposed over a long period. Such materials are most used in houses except in paper and pulp, and the use of wood in houses play an important role in reducing green-house gases. Therefore, we estimated the amount of carbon stocks in Korean houses, and analyzed how much contribution such stocks offers to green-house gas reduction. As the result, the carbon stocks amount of the wood products in Korean houses was 28.4 million $tCO_2$, which is 4.6% of the total annual green-house gas emission in Korea (620 million $tCO_2$ e), and 77.4% of forest sinks (LULUCF). Even though few wooden houses which use most wood in housing exist in Korea, the carbon stocks of wood products in houses in 2010 increased to 4.1 times that in 1975 (21.4 million $tCO_2$) because the carbon stocks increased due to apartment construction, which hit its stride from the last 1980's.

Impact of Future Air Quality in East Asia under SSP Scenarios (SSP 시나리오에 따른 동아시아 대기질 미래 전망)

  • Shim, Sungbo;Seo, Jeongbyn;Kwon, Sang-Hoon;Lee, Jae-Hee;Sung, Hyun Min;Boo, Kyung-On;Byun, Young-Hwa;Lim, Yoon-Jin;Kim, Yeon-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.439-454
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the change in the fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration and World Health Organization (WHO) air quality index (AQI) in East Asia (EA) under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). AQI is an indicator of increasing levels about health concern, divided into six categories based on PM2.5 annual concentrations. Here, we utilized the ensemble results of UKESM1, the climate model operated in Met Office, UK, for the analysis of long-term variation during the historical (1950~2014) and future (2015~2100) period. The results show that the spatial distributions of simulated PM2.5 concentrations in present-day (1995~2014) are comparable to observations. It is found that most regions in EA exceeded the WHO air quality guideline except for Japan, Mongolia regions, and the far seas during the historical period. In future scenarios containing strong air quality (SSP1-2.6, SSP5-8.5) and medium air quality (SSP2-4.5) controls, PM2.5 concentrations are substantially reduced, resulting in significant improvement in AQI until the mid-21st century. On the other hand, the mild air pollution controls in SSP3-7.0 tend to lead poor AQI in China and Korea. This study also examines impact of increased in PM2.5 concentrations on downward shortwave energy at the surface. As a result, strong air pollution controls can improve air quality through reduced PM2.5 concentrations, but lead to an additional warming in both the near and mid-term future climate over EA.

Investigation of the change in physical habitat in the Geum-gang River by modifying dam operations to natural flow regime (자연유황 회복을 위한 댐 운영에 따른 금강의 물리서식처 변화 분석)

  • Choi, Byungwoong;Jang, Jiyeon;Choi, Sung-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.985-998
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    • 2021
  • In general, the upstream dam changes downstream flow regime dramatically, i.e., from natural flow regime to hydropeaking flows. This study investigates the impact of the natural flow pattern on downstream fish habitat in a regulated river in Korea using the physical habitat simulation. The study area is a 13.4 km long reach of the Geum-gang River, located downstream from the Yongdam Dam, Korea. A field monitoring revealed that three fish species are dominant, namely Zacco platypus, Coreoleuciscus splendidus, and Opsariichthys bidens, and they account for 70% of the total fish community. Specially, Opsariichthys bidens is an indigenous species in the Geum-gang River. The three fish species are selected as target fish species for the physical habitat simulation. The Nays2D model, a 2D shallow water equation solver, and the HSI (Habitat Suitability Index) model are used for hydraulic and habitat simulations, respectively. To assess the impact of the natural flow pattern, this study uses the annual natural flow regime and hydropeaking flows from the dam. It is found that the natural flow regime increases significantly the Composite Suitability Index (CSI) in the study reach. Then, using the Building Block Approach (BBA), the scenarios for the modifying dam operations are presented in the study reach. Both Scenario 1 and scenario 2 are proposed by using the hydrological method considering both magnitude and duration of the inflow and averaging the inflow over each month, respectively. It is revealed that the natural flow regime embodied in scenario 1 and scenario 2 increases the Weighted Usable Area (WUA) significantly, compared to the hydropeaking flows. In conclusion, the modifying the dam operations by restoring to the natural flow pattern is advantageous to fish community.

Predicting the amount of water shortage during dry seasons using deep neural network with data from RCP scenarios (RCP 시나리오와 다층신경망 모형을 활용한 가뭄시 물부족량 예측)

  • Jang, Ock Jae;Moon, Young Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2022
  • The drought resulting from insufficient rainfall compared to the amount in an ordinary year can significantly impact a broad area at the same time. Another feature of this disaster is hard to recognize its onset and disappearance. Therefore, a reliable and fast way of predicting both the suffering area and the amount of water shortage from the upcoming drought is a key issue to develop a countermeasure of the disaster. However, the available drought scenarios are about 50 events that have been observed in the past. Due to the limited number of events, it is difficult to predict the water shortage in a case where the pattern of a natural disaster is different from the one in the past. To overcome the limitation, in this study, we applied the four RCP climate change scenarios to the water balance model and the annual amount of water shortage from 360 drought events was estimated. In the following chapter, the deep neural network model was trained with the SPEI values from the RCP scenarios and the amount of water shortage as the input and output, respectively. The trained model in each sub-basin enables us to easily and reliably predict the water shortage with the SPEI values in the past and the predicted meteorological conditions in the upcoming season. It can be helpful for decision-makers to respond to future droughts before their onset.

Management Period Setting Study of through Analysis of the Growth Amount after Planting of Deciduous Broadleaf Species Planted in Ecological Restoration Sites (생태복원지에 식재된 낙엽활엽수종의 이식 후 생장량 분석을 통한 관리기간 설정 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Dong;Bae, Soon-Hyoung
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.496-506
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    • 2022
  • The growth of trees planted through transplantation rapidly decreases immediately after planting due to extreme disturbances such as root cutting and crown damage. Although the growth rate is recovered as time elapses, the time required to restore the original growth varies by species. Therefore, it is necessary to set an appropriate tree management period for survival after transplantation by analyzing each species' annual growth change. In this study, we analyzed the growth amount of deciduous broad-leaf species planted in the area where the riparian ecological belt was formed and proposed the management period based on the results. Slowed growth immediately after planting is a common phenomenon due to root cutting and pruning, the pre-works performed to increase tree survival rate during the transplantation process. Afterward, the original growth rate is recovered as time passes, but the time required may vary depending on the species and planting environment. Most of the trees showed a rapid decrease in growth immediately after transplantation. After that, although it is different for each species, most of them showed a gradual recovery from 2 years onwards. The analysis of the growth rate by tree species confirmed that it took 2 to 4 years, depending on the tree species, to recover the growth level before transplantation after a rapid decrease in growth immediately after transplantation. The results suggest that improving the defect rate of planted trees is necessary to meet the project objectives: ecological restoration and pollutant reduction. It requires setting a tree management period of at least two years and creating an appropriate base environment.

The change of Publication rate of abstracts of oral and posters presented at Korean Academy of Pediatric Dentistry annual meetings (대한소아치과학회 연차총회에서 발표된 구술 및 포스터 초록의 출판률 변화)

  • Jung Sung, Woo;Bum Soo, Kim;Jeong Wan, Son;So Youn, An
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.30-35
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    • 2022
  • Previous studies in various medical specialties have shown that fewer than 50% of abstracts presented at meetings are subsequently published, but only a few studies have been performed in pediatric dentistry. The purpose of this study was to investigate the rate of publication of articles based on abstracts presented at the Korean Academy of Pediatric Dentistry (K.A.D.P) spring and fall Congress for 2001 to 2011. The abstracts for both oral and poster presentation were collected. A RISS search was then performed to identify the publication of full-length articles based on those titles of the abstracts. A total of 706 abstract presentations were done at the 24 meetings (477 as oral presentation, 229 as poster presentations). Of these, from 45.2%(319) in 2011 to 82.9%(585) in 2022 was subsequently published. The publication ratio for orally presented abstracts was from 52.2%(249) in 2011 to 86.6%(413) in 2022, poster presentations from 30.6%(70) in 2011 to 75.1%(172) in 2022. We suggest that presenters at these meetings should expand their abstracts into full manuscripts and seek to publish them in peer-reviewed journals for the benefit of the profession. We believe that the results of changes in the publication rate over the past 12 years are attributable to the digitalized environment such as electronic literature search and electronic publication.

The Moderating Effect of Gender in the Relationship between Physical Education and Adolescents' Internalizing and Externalizing Problem Behaviors: Using Multi-level Growth Modeling (체육시간과 청소년의 외현화·내재화 문제와의 관계에서 성별의 조절효과: 다층성장모형의 적용)

  • Taekho Lee;Seokyoung Lee;Yoonsun Han
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.131-158
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the relationship between physical education and externalizing(aggression) and internalizing(depression, social withdrawal) problem behaviors among adolescents. The moderating role of gender and time in the association between physical education and problem behavior was also identified. This study used data from the second, third, and fourth waves of the middle school student cohort (N=2,133, N=2,151, N=1,979) of the Korean Children-Youth Panel Survey(KCYPS). Main analyses involved multilevel growth model with interaction terms. The dependent variables were aggression, depression, and social withdrawal. The independent variables were gender and physical education (exercise hours) at school. The control variables were abuse, school-adjustment, annual household income and parents' highest level of education. The major longitudinal findings of this study are as follows: First, there was significant change according to the passage of time only in aggression among externalizing and internalizing problems. Second, gender differences exist in aggression and depression. Third, exercise hours of physical education had a negative relationship with internalizing problems. Fourth, there were no gender differences over time in both externalizing and internalizing problems. Fifth, the interaction between exercise hours of physical education and time was statistically significant for social withdrawal. Sixth, the interaction between exercise hours of physical education and gender was statistically significant for depression. The results of this study may become an academic basis for suggesting policy directions that promote increased exercise hours in physical education classes at school.

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Trends in Ankyloglossia and Surgical Treatment among Pediatric Patients in South Korea (국내 소아청소년 환자에서의 혀유착증 진단과 설소대 수술 시행의 최근 경향)

  • Taehyun Kim;Daewoo Lee;Jae-Gon Kim;Yeonmi Yang
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.229-238
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    • 2023
  • The objective of this study was to investigate trends in ankyloglossia and its surgical treatment among pediatric patients in South Korea from 2011 to 2020. Data from Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA)'s Healthcare Bigdata Hub were used for analysis of the ankyloglossia diagnosis rate and frenum surgery rate. Considering annual population change, crude rates per 100,000 were calculated and analyzed. To investigate other factors of frenum surgery incidence besides gender and age, pediatric patient sample data from HIRA were used. The diagnosis rate of ankyloglossia increased from 204.4 in 2011 to 356.6 per 100,000 people in 2020, while the frenum surgery rate increased from 26.8 to 34.3 per 100,000 people. Males were more likely to receive frenum surgery than females. Surgeries were more likely to be done at a hospital instead of a clinic or a general hospital. In the age group of 0 - 4 years, the largest number of frenum surgeries were performed in pediatrics, and in the age group of 5 - 9 years, the largest number of surgeries were conducted in pediatric dentistry. In the older age groups, the largest proportion of frenum surgeries were performed in the departments of conservative dentistry and oral and maxillofacial surgery. The diagnosis of ankyloglossia and the operation of frenum surgery among South Korean children increased during the last decade. Since the function of the tongue can affect maxillofacial development in many aspects, pediatric dentists should pay more attention to the functional management of intraoral soft tissue in growing children.