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Multivariate design estimations under copulas constructions. Stage-1: Parametrical density constructions for defining flood marginals for the Kelantan River basin, Malaysia

  • Latif, Shahid;Mustafa, Firuza
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.287-328
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    • 2019
  • Comprehensive understanding of the flood risk assessments via frequency analysis often demands multivariate designs under the different notations of return periods. Flood is a tri-variate random consequence, which often pointing the unreliability of univariate return period and demands for the joint dependency construction by accounting its multiple intercorrelated flood vectors i.e., flood peak, volume & durations. Selecting the most parsimonious probability functions for demonstrating univariate flood marginals distributions is often a mandatory pre-processing desire before the establishment of joint dependency. Especially under copulas methodology, which often allows the practitioner to model univariate marginals separately from their joint constructions. Parametric density approximations often hypothesized that the random samples must follow some specific or predefine probability density functions, which usually defines different estimates especially in the tail of distributions. Concentrations of the upper tail often seem interesting during flood modelling also, no evidence exhibited in favours of any fixed distributions, which often characterized through the trial and error procedure based on goodness-of-fit measures. On another side, model performance evaluations and selections of best-fitted distributions often demand precise investigations via comparing the relative sample reproducing capabilities otherwise, inconsistencies might reveal uncertainty. Also, the strength & weakness of different fitness statistics usually vary and having different extent during demonstrating gaps and dispensary among fitted distributions. In this literature, selections efforts of marginal distributions of flood variables are incorporated by employing an interactive set of parametric functions for event-based (or Block annual maxima) samples over the 50-years continuously-distributed streamflow characteristics for the Kelantan River basin at Gulliemard Bridge, Malaysia. Model fitness criteria are examined based on the degree of agreements between cumulative empirical and theoretical probabilities. Both the analytical as well as graphically visual inspections are undertaken to strengthen much decisive evidence in favour of best-fitted probability density.

Aboveground biomass, growth and yield for some selected introduced tree species, namely Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus saligna, and Pinus patula in Central Highlands of Ethiopia

  • Tesfaye, Mehari Alebachew;Gardi, Oliver;Anbessa, Tesfaye Bekele;Blaser, Jurgen
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.8-25
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    • 2020
  • Background: Species of the genera Eucalyptus, Cupressus, and Pinus are the most widely planted tree species in the country in general and in Chilimo dry Afromontane forest in particular. Eucalyptus covers 90% of the total planted forest area in the country. However, only limited information exists in the country regarding aboveground biomass (AGB), belowground biomass (BGB), growth, and yield. This study was conducted to assess the variables on 25 and 30 years of age for three planted species: Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus saligna, and Pinus patula in Chilimo plantation forest, in the Central Highlands of Ethiopia. A two-times inventory was conducted in 2012 and 2017. A total of nine square sampled plots of 400 ㎡ each, three plots under Cupressus lusitanica, 3 Eucalyptus saligna, and 3 Pinus patula were used for data collection. Data on height, diameter, soil, and tree stumps were collected. Percent C, % N, and bulk density was performed following chemical procedure. Results: The aboveground biomass ranged from 125.76 to 228.67 t C ha-1 and the basal area and number of stems from 3.76 to 25.50 ㎡ ha-1 and 483 to 1175 N ha-1, respectively. The mean annual basal area and volume increment were between 0.97 and 1.20 ㎡ ha-1 year-1 and 10.79 and 16.22 ㎥ ha-1 year-1. Both carbon and nitrogen stock of the planted forest was non-significant among the tree species. Conclusion: The aboveground biomass, growth, and yield significantly varied among the species. Cupressus lusitanica had the highest aboveground biomass, volume, and basal area, while Eucalyptus saligna had the lowest value. To a depth of 1 m, total carbon stored ranged from 130.13 to 234.26 t C ha-1. The total annual carbon sequestration potential was 12,575.18 t CO2 eq. Eucalyptus has the highest carbon stock density and growth rate than other species.

Environmental Health Strategies in Korea (우리 나라의 환경정책 방향)

  • 조병극
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1992
  • Since 1960's along with industrialization and urbanization, economic growth has been . achieved, however, at the same time, environmental condition has been seriously deteriorated. . Currently, volume of wastewater has been increasing at annual rate of 7% in sewage and 20% in industrial wastewater. However, the nation's sewage treatment serves only 33% of the municipal wastewater as of 1991. Major portion of air pollutants comes from combustion of oil and coal which comprise 81% of total energy use and emission gases from motor vehicles increasing at an accelerated rate. It is known that Korea generates the highest amount of waste per capta. Nevertheless, it is not sufficient to reduce the volume of waste by means of resources recovery and recycling. Recognizing the importance of global environmental problems such as ozone layer depletion, global warming and acid rain, international society has been making various efforts since the 1972 Stockholm conference. In particular, it is expected that the Rio conference which has adopted the Rio declaration and Agenda 21 will form a crucial turning point of the emerging new world order after the Cold War confrontation. To cope with such issues as domestic pollution and global environmental problems, the fundamental national policy aims at harmonizing "environmental protection and sustainable development". The Ministry of Environment has recently set up a mid-term comprehensive plan which includes annual targets for environmental protection. According to the government plan, gradual improvement of various environmental conditions and specific measures to achieve them is planned in time frame. Additional sewage treatment plants will be constructed in urban areas with the target to treat 65% of the nation's municipal sewage by 1996. Supply of clean fuels such as LNG will also be expanded starting from large cities as a cleaner substitute energy for coal and oil. In parallel with expansion of LNG, emphasis will be placed on installation of stack monitoring system. Due to the relatively limited land, government's basic policy for solid waste treatment is to develop large scale landfill facilities rather than small sized ones. Thirty three regional areas have been designated for the purpose of waste management. For each of these regions, big scale landfill site is going to be developed. To increase the rate of waste recycling the government is planning to reinforce separate collection system and to provide industries with economic incentives. As a part of meeting the changing situation on global environmental problems after UNCED, and accommodation regulatory measures stipulated in the global environmental conventions and protocols, national policy will try to alter industrial and economic structure so as to mitigate the increasing trends of energy consumption, by encouraging energy conservation and efficiency. In this regard, more attention will be given to the policy on the development of the cleaner technology. Ultimately, these policies and programs will contribute greatly to improving the current state of national public health.

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Fundamental Research for Establishing a Job-Exposure Matrix (JEM) for Farmers Related to Insecticides (I): Rice Cultivation (농약물질 중 살충제 관련 농업 종사자들의 직무 -노출 매트릭스 구축을 위한 기초 자료 조사 연구 (I) : 수도작)

  • Kim, Ki-Youn;Cho, Man-Su;Lee, Sang-Gil;Kang, Dong-Mug;Kim, Jong-Eun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The principal aim of this study is to investigate and analyze domestic usage amounts of insecticide in rice cultivation in order to provide fundamental data for establishing a job-exposure matrix(JEM) related to farmers working with agricultural insecticides. Materials and Methods: An investigation of domestic usage amounts of insecticides rice cultivation was performed through two methods. The first method utilized information on agricultural pesticides published annually by the Korea Crop Protection Association(KCPA). The second method made use of area of cultivation of rice as officially determined by Statistics Korea(SK). An estimation of domestic usage of insecticides in rice cultivation through the second method was determined by multiplying the total cultivation area of rice($m^2$) by the optimal spray volume of insecticides for rice cultivation per unit of cultivation area($kg/m^2$). Results: As a result of the analysis of public data regarding insecticides in rice cultivation, it was found that the domestic usage amount has decreased sharply from the first year of market sales(1969) to the final data year(2012). There is little difference in the annual usage trend of insecticides in rice cultivation between shipment and estimation. Also, the annual usage trends of insecticides in rice cultivation based on regional classification were nearly similar to those based on the overall aspect. Conclusions: The region which used the largest volume of insecticide in rice cultivation in Korea was the Jeolla Provinces, followed by the Gyeonsang Provinces, the Chungcheong Provinces, Seoul/Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province and Jeju Province. Substantially, the mean ratio of usage amounts of insecticide based on shipments and those based on estimation by cultivation area was $96{\pm}29%$, which indicates that the domestic usage amount of insecticide for rice cultivation corresponded to the optimal spray standard per unit area.

Studies on the Productive Structure and the Productivity of × Populus albaglandulosa Plantation (은수원사시나무의 조림지(造林地)의 생산구조(生産構造)와 생산성(生産性))

  • Kim, Joon Ho;Sun, Soon Hwa;Lee, Suk Koo;Kim, Chung Suk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 1977
  • The productive structure and the productivity of ${\times}$Populus albaglandulosa plantations, where are middle parts of the Korean peninsula, were studied by means of stratifying clip technique and of allometry. The densities of stands in the sample areas were 693 trees/ha in 6 year-old plantation and 527 or 625 trees/ha in 9 year-old one. The photosynthetic part of the productive structure was not shown normal conical form but layering. So this was efficient to transmit solar radiation into the stand floor. The standing crop of the terrestrial parts of 6 year-old plantation was 18.11 ton/ha and that of 9 year-old one 38.8 to 47.3 ton/ha. The wood volume to trunk to 6 year-old was $31.3m^3/ha$ and that of 9 year-old was 68.8 to $83.9m^3/ha$. The annual net production of 6 year-old plantation was 4.8 ton/ha/year and that of 9 year-old one was 10.0 to 11.7 ton/ha/year and its wood volume of trunks was 17.9 to $21.1m^3/ha/year$. In the 9 year-old plantation the standing crop or the annual net production was different between two sample areas. This seemed that the cause was not due to chemical character but to physical character of soil.

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Characteristics of the Early Growth for Korean White Pine(Pinus koraiensis Sieb. et Zucc.) and Effects of Local Climatic Conditions on the Growth -Relation between Periodic Annual Increment and Local Climatic Conditions- (지역별(地域別) 잣나무의 초기생장(初期生長) 특성(特性)과 미기후(微氣候)의 영향(影響) - 정기평균생장량(定期平均生長量)과 미기후(微氣候)와의 관계(關係) -)

  • Chon, Sang-Keun;Shin, Man Yong;Chung, Dong-Jun;Jang, Yong-Seok;Kim, Myung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.88 no.1
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to reveal the characteristics of the early growth by locality for Korean white pine planted in Gapyung and Kwangju, Kyunggi-Do and Youngdong, Choongchungbuk-Do. The effects of local climatic conditions as one of environmental factors on the growth were also analyzed. For this, several stand variables such as number of trees survived, mean DBH, mean height, basal area per hectare, and volume per hectare by stand age were measured and summarized for each locality. Based on these statistics, periodic annual increments for 8 years from stand age 10 to 18 were calculated for each of stand variables. A topoclimatological technique, for the estimation of local climatic conditions, which makes use of empirical relationships between the topography and the weather in study areas was applied to produce reasonable estimates of monthly mean, maximum, minimum temperatures, relative humidity, precipitation, and hours of sunshine over remote land area where routine observations are rare. From these monthly estimates, 17 weather variables such as warmth index, coldness index, index of aridity etc. which affect the tree growth, were computed for each locality. The periodic annual increments were then correlated with and regressed on the weather variables to examine effects of local weather conditions on the growth. Gapyung area provided the best conditions for the growth of Korean white pine in the early stage and Kwangju area ranked second. On the other hand, the growth pattern in Youngdong ranked last overall as expected. It is also found that the local growth patterns of Korean white pine in juvenile stage were affected by typical weather conditions. The conditions such as low temperature, high relative humidity, and large amount of precipitation provide favorable environment for the growth of Korean white pine. Especially, the diameter growth, basal area growth, and volume growth are mainly influenced by the amount of precipitation. However, it is proved that the height growth is affected by both the precipitation and temperature.

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Design Hourly Factor Estimation with Vehicle Detection System (차량검지기자료를 이용한 고속도로 설계시간계수 산정 연구)

  • Baek, Seung-Geol;Kim, Beom-Jin;Lee, Jeong-Hui;Son, Yeong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2007
  • Design Hourly Volume (DHV) is the hourly volume used for designing a section of road. DHV is also used to estimate the expected number of vehicles to pass or traverse the relevant section of road in a future target year. The Design Hour Factor (DHF) is defined as the ratio of DHV to Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT). In addition to high precision of predicted traffic volume, in order to design a roadway to be the proper scale, applying appropriate DHFs considering traffic flow characteristics and type of area which surrounds the relevant roadway is important. This study categorizes sections of expressway (Suh Hae An Expressway) according to their area type and estimates DHFs utilizing traffic data obtained from a vehicle detection system (VDS). This study shows that DHFs calculated using VDS data are different from those using traffic data acquired from a coverage survey. While AADTs from both data show similar values, peak hour volumes from both data show significant differences especially for recreational areas. DHFs from the coverage survey are quite different from the values provided by the Korean design guide or previous research results and DHFs for urban areas are higher than recreational areas. However, DHFs from VDS shows similar values to previous research results. The result of this study suggests that using VDS for estimating DHFs is more reliable than using a coverage survey.

Study on Vessel Traffic Risk Assessment according to Waterway Patterns in a Southwest Offshore Wind Farm (서남해 해상풍력발전단지 내 항로형태에 따른 선박통항 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Da-Un;Kim, Deug-Bong;Jeong, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2019
  • Domestic southwest offshore wind farms have problems such as the reduction in fishing rights by prohibiting vessel traffic, which delays their development. As such, there is a need to develop offshore windfarms in Europe to permit the passage of vessels and fishing operations in specific offshore windfarm areas. In this study, we used the environmental stress (ES model) and the IALA Waterway Risk Assessment Program (IWRAP) to determine the ratio of risk to the route type (cross pattern, grid pattern) and traffic volume (present, 3 times, 5 times and 10 times) to derive the risk factors of specific vessels for offshore windfarms. As a result, ship operators' risk related to offshore windfarms did not rise in both route types and there was no significant difference in the annual probability of collision in the present traffic volume. In conditions that increased traffic volume by 3 times, 5 times and 10 times, the risk ratio increased as ship operator risk and collision probability increased at the crossing points. Furthermore, when the traffic volume of the ship increased, the risk could be more effectively distributed in the grid route compared to the cross route. The results of this study are expected to apply to the operation type, route operation method, safety measures, etc. in offshore wind farms.

A Comparison for Treatment Planning of Tomotherapy and Proton Therapy in Prostate Cancer (전립선암에 대한 토모치료와 양성자치료의 치료계획 비교)

  • Song, Gwan-Soo;Bae, Jong-Rim;Kim, Jeong-Koo
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2013
  • The prostate cancer is the most common malignant tumor in males. Prostate cancer is the most common malignant tumor that occurs in the male in Korea in 2007 to an annual average of 5,292 cases and 3.3% of the total cancer incidence seventh occurred. Our study compared property for tomotherapy and proton therapy in radiotherapy of prostate cancer patients. We analyzed DVH(Dose Volume Histogram) and dose distribution for prostate, bladder and rectum for radiation treatment planning of prostate cancer with 11 patients in Ilsan K cancer hospital from June to November 2011. There was no differences between tomotherapy and proton therapy in the purpose of prostate cancer therapy for PTV. The adjacent organs of bladder and rectum of average dose-volume were 2port proton therapy that it was low dose treatment comparing with tomotherapy and 5port proton therapy. $H{\cdot}I$ of proton therapy was less than $H{\cdot}I$ of tomotherapy. Also, 5port was less than 2port in $H{\cdot}I$ of proton therapy. However, 2port proton therapy has more advantage over 5port proton therapy that the bladder and rectum of average dose-volume and control time of equipment in radiotherapy of prostate cancer.

Traffic Correction System Using Vehicle Axles Counts of Piezo Sensors (피에조센서의 차량 축 카운트를 활용한 교통량보정시스템)

  • Jung, Seung-Weon;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2021
  • Traffic data by vehicle classification are important data used as basic data in various fields such as road and traffic design. Traffic data is collected through permanent and temporary surveys and is provided as an annual average daily traffic (AATD) in the statistical yearbook of road traffic. permanent surveys are collected through traffic collection equipment (AVC), and the AVC consists of a loop sensor that detects traffic volume and a piezo sensor that detects the number of axes. Due to the nature of the buried type of traffic collection equipment, missing data is generated due to failure of detection equipment. In the existing method, it is corrected through historical data and the trend of traffic around the point. However, this method has a disadvantage in that it does not reflect temporal and spatial characteristics and that the existing data used for correction may also be a correction value. In this study, we proposed a method to correct the missing traffic volume by calculating the axis correction coefficient through the accumulated number of axes acquired by using a piezo sensor that can detect the axis of the vehicle. This has the advantage of being able to reflect temporal and spatial characteristics, which are the limitations of the existing methods, and as a result of comparative evaluation, the error rate was derived lower than that of the existing methods. The traffic volume correction system using axis count is judged as a correction method applicable to the field system with a simple algorithm.