• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual Mean Rainfall

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Rainfall Seasonality and Estimation Errors of Area-Average Rainfall (강수의 계절성과 면적평균강수량의 추정오차)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.575-581
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    • 2002
  • This study evaluates the variation of estimation error of area-average rainfall due to rainfall seasonality. Both the cases considering and not considering the spatial correlation are compared to derive the characteristics of estimation error. Similar cases with different accumulation time without considering the rainfall seasonality are also investigated. This study was applied to the Geum-river basin with total 28 rain gauge measurements haying more than 30 years of daily rainfall measurements. As results of the study we found that: (1) The absolute estimation error of monthly area-average rainfall show strong seasonality like the total rainfall amount. However, the relative estimation error normalized by its mean was estimated to have similar values about 5 to 8% except January and December. (2) The relative estimation error of annual area-average rainfall estimated was found to have the estimation error about 3% of its annual mean. (3) However, the relative estimation error normalized by the standard deviation remains almost the same for both monthly and annual rainfall amounts, which was estimated about 11% of its standard deviation. (4) Finally, the estimation error without considering the spatial correlation was found to become almost twice the estimation error with considering the spatial correlation.

Development of the Annual Runoff Estimation Model (연유출량 추정모형 개발)

  • 김양수;정상만;서병하
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 1991
  • The study was focused on developing a new model to estimate annual runoff. This model can be used to estimate the available water resources for ungaged catchments for long-term water resources development planning. Data used in the model development were daily rainfall and daily runoff of the sample basin with record length from 1945 to 1988 years in Korea. The sample basin selected by consideration whether the flow is virgin and quality of discharge data is good. As a result, 46 stage gaging station were selected. Annual runoff was determined by sum of daily runoff calculated by daily stage data of the sample basin. Also, the annual mean precipitation by using daily rainfall data was estimated and the annual runoff ratio for each sample basin was calculated, and the annual mean runoff ratio was estimated. The linear regression model was proposed and calibrated using auunal mean precipitation values and geomorphological characteristics of the basins. To verify reasonableness of this model, the regression model was applied to the gaging stations which have historical data.

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A Study on Estimation of Rainfall Erosivity in RUSLE (RUSLE의 강우침식도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Joon-Hak;Jung, Young-Hun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1324-1328
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    • 2008
  • RUSLE(Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation) is one of empirical models for estimating the soil loss effectively, when there is no measured data from the study areas. It has been researching into application and estimation of the RUSLE parameters in Korea. As one of the RUSLE parameters, the rainfall-runoff erosivity factor R, is closely connected hydrologic characteristics of the study areas. It requires a continuous record of rainfall measurement at a minute time step for each storm to calculate an accurate R factor by the RUSLE methodology and it takes a lot of time to analyze it. For the more simplified and reasonable estimation of the rainfall erosivity, this study researched for correlation between the rainfall erosivity and mean annual precipitation used 122 data from the existing studies in Korea. Considering hydrologic homogeneity, new regression equations are presented and compared with other annual erosive empirical index for the test of application. As the results, the study presents the isoerodent map at 59 sites in Korea, using annual rainfall data by the Korea Meteorological Administration from 1978 to 2007.

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Development of Diameter and Basal Area Growth Models for Larix leptolepis in Eastern Mountain Areas, Jeollabuk-do (전라북도 동부 산악지역 낙엽송의 직경 및 흉고단면적 생장모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun;Jo, Young-Jin;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of agriculture & life science
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to develop the growth model for diameter at breast height (DBH) and basal area (BA) of Larix leptolepis stands grown in eastern mountain areas, Jeollabuk-do and to enhance the precision of the models by adding regional and climatal factors, such as altitude, mean annual rainfall, and mean annual temperature. In results, it was analyzed that Schumacher polymorphic equation might be the best model to estimate DBH and BA growth. In case of the DBH growth model, precision was improved by adding altitude and mean annual rainfall. Moreover, in case of the BA growth model, precision was improved by adding mean annual rainfall. Meanwhile, it would be necessary for more precise model to add various factors, such as stand density, mortality, thinning ratio, and edaphic status along with regional and climatal factors.

A Study on the Estimation of Probable Maximum Precipitation Frequency Factor in Korea (우리나라의 최대하강수량 빈도계수 산정에 관한 연구)

  • No, Jae-Sik;Lee, Won-Hwan;Lee, Gil-Chun
    • Water for future
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.249-258
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    • 1986
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the PMP frequency factor for evaluation of the Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) in Korea. The value of PMP is the criterion of the determination of design rainfall in Planning and designing hydraulic structures, and water resources management. To obtain the object, 12 key stations were selected in which have the automatic rain0recording paper of 20 years, and the annual maximum rainfall values were calculated for each 7 durations(10 min., 1, 2, 4, 6, 12, 24 hr.). The statistics(mean, standard deviation)were estimated, and diagram which shows the relationship between mean annual maximum rainfall($$) and frequency factor for each durations were drawn. PMP was estimated by statistical method using the PMP frequency factor obtained from the diagram and statistics($$, Sn). The PMP-Duration Equation was derived from the envelope curve in order to obtain the PMP for an arbitrary duration. The isohyetal map of 24 hours PMP and PMP. DAD curve for the whole of Korea were drawn in accordance with the point PMP values.

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Effect of Period of Record on Probable Rainfall Prediction (강우기록년한이 확률수문량 추정에 미치는 영향에 관한연구)

  • 이근후;한욱동
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 1981
  • Long term precipitation gaging station record (58 years) was analyzed by progressive mean method to compare the estimated effective period of records for computing mean and probable values. Obtained results are as follows: 1. Fifty-eight years precipitation records at Jinju, Gyeong Sang Nam Do was analyzed by double mass analysis method. Result was appeared that the record was consistent with time. 2. The effective period of records for estimating mean values with the departure of 5% or less from the true mean are up to 33 years for annual precipitation, 20 years for annual maximum daily precipitation and 45 years for maximum successive dry days in summer season. 3. To estimate the probable values by Gumbel-Chow method within the departure of 5% level from true value, periods of 51 years, 38 years and 45 years were required for annual precipitation, annual maximum daily precipitation and maximum successive dry days in summer season, respectively.

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A Study for Sedimentation in Reservoir -on district of Chin Young- (저수지의 퇴사에 관한 연구 -진양지구를 중심으로-)

  • 류시창;민병향
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.3840-3847
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    • 1975
  • With 30 excisting reservoirs in the Chin-Young area, the Sedimentation of the reservoirs has been calculated by comparing the present capacity with the original value, which revealed its reduced reservoir capacity. The reservoirs has a total drainage area of 3l4l ha, with a total capacity of 43.23 ha-m, and are short of water supply due to reduction of reservoir capacity, Annual sedimentation in the reservoir is relation to the drainage area, the mean of annual rainfall, and the slop of drainage area. The results of obtained from the investigation are summarized as follows: (1) A Sediment deposition rate is high, being about 7.03㎥/ha of drainage area, and resulting in the overage decrease of reservoir capacity by 16.1%. This high rate of deposition coule be mainly attributed to the serve denudation of forests due to disorderly cuttings of tree. (2) An average unit storageof 116mm as the time of initial construction is decreased to 95.6mm at present. This phenomena cause a greater storage of irrigation water, sinceit was assumed that original storage quantity itself was already in short. (3) A sediment deposition rate as a relation to the capacity of unit drainge area is as follow: Qs=1.27(C/A)0.6 and standard deviation is 185.5㎥/$\textrm{km}^2$/year. (4) A sediment deposition rate as a relation to the mean of annual rainfall is as follow: Qs=21.9p10.5 and the standard deviation is 364.8㎥/$\textrm{km}^2$/year. (5) A sediment deposition rate as a relation to the mean slop of drainage area is follow: Qs=39.6S0.75 and the standard deviation is 190.2㎥/$\textrm{km}^2$/year (6) Asediment deposition rate as a relation to the drainage area, mean of rainfall, mean of slope of drainage area is: Log Qs=0.197+0.108LogA-6.72LogP+2.20LogS and the standard deviation is 92.4㎥/$\textrm{km}^2$/year

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Application of the Large-scale Climate Ensemble Simulations to Analysis on Changes of Precipitation Trend Caused by Global Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 강수 특성 변화 분석을 위한 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의자료 적용)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Son, Minwoo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Recently, Japan's Meteorological Research Institute presented the d4PDF database (Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change, d4PDF) through large-scale climate ensemble simulations to overcome uncertainty arising from variability when the general circulation model represents extreme-scale precipitation. In this study, the change of precipitation characteristics between the historical and future climate conditions in the Yongdam-dam basin was analyzed using the d4PDF data. The result shows that annual mean precipitation and seasonal mean precipitation increased by more than 10% in future climate conditions. This study also performed an analysis on the change of the return period rainfall. The annual maximum daily rainfall was extracted for each climatic condition, and the rainfall with each return period was estimated. In this process, we represent the extreme-scale rainfall corresponding to a very long return period without any statistical model and method as the d4PDF provides rainfall data during 3,000 years for historical climate conditions and during 5,400 years for future climate conditions. The rainfall with a 50-year return period under future climate conditions exceeded the rainfall with a 100-year return period under historical climate conditions. Consequently, in future climate conditions, the magnitude of rainfall increased at the same return period and, the return period decreased at the same magnitude of rainfall. In this study, by using the d4PDF data, it was possible to analyze the change in extreme magnitude of rainfall.

Estimation of irrigation supply from agricultural reservoirs based on reservoir storage data

  • Kang, Hansol;An, Hyunuk;Lee, Kwangya
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.999-1006
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the quantitative management of agricultural water supply, which is the main source for water consumption in Korea, has become more important due to the effective water management organization of the Korean government. In this study, the estimation method for irrigation supply based on agricultural reservoir storage data was improved compared to previous research, in which drought year selection was unclear, and the outlier data for the rainfall-irrigation supply were not eliminated in the regression analysis. In this study, the drought year was selected by the ratio of annual precipitation to mean annual precipitation and the storage rate observed before the start of irrigation. The outlier data for the rainfall-irrigation supply were eliminated by the Grubbs & Beck test. The proposed method was applied to nine agricultural reservoirs for validation. As a result, the ratio of annual precipitation to mean annual precipitation is less than 53% and the storage rate observed before the start of irrigation is less than 55% it was judged to be the drought year. In addition, the drought supply factor, K, was found to be 0.70 on average, showing closer results to the observed reservoir rates. This shows that water management at the real is appling drought year practice. It was shown that the performance of the proposed method was satisfactory with NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient) and R2 (coefficient of determiniation) except for a few cases.

The Redetermination of USLE Rainfall Erosion Factor for Estimation of Soil Loss at Korea (토양유실량 예측을 위한 강우침식인자 재산정)

  • Park, Chan-Won;Sonn, Yeon-Kyu;Hyun, Byung-Keun;Song, Kwan-Cheol;Chun, Hyen-Chung;Moon, Young-Hee;Yun, Sun-Gang
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.977-982
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to redetermine the rainfall erosion factor (R factor) in USLE for the estimation of soil loss at Korea. The redetermined R factor may be applied more precisely to interpret the changes of regional/yearly/seasonal patterns, including the amount of rainfall and the kinetic energy of rainfall, in Korea. This study calculated the R factors based on 60-minute precipitation data from 60 sites covering the whole country for 30 years from 1981 to 2010. As a result, the annual mean rainfall was $4,147MJ\;mm\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}\;hr^{-1}$ in Korea. Coastal regions of Jeonnam and Gyeongnam, northwest regions of Gyeonggi, and Seoul had the greater values of R factor compared to other regions. The annual mean R factors for every decade were 3,988, 4,085, and $4,370MJ\;mm\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}\;hr^{-1}$ in 1981~1990, 1991~2000, and 2001~2010, respectively. Generally, the R factors had an increasing tendency over and over pest decades. The ratios of summer R factor to total annual mean R factor were 69.8% (1981~1990), 73.7% (1991~2000), and 74.2% (2001~2010). We found that the absolute values and the relative ratios of summer rainfall are gradually increased.