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Multinomial Logit Modeling: Focus on Regional Rail Trips (다항로짓모형을 이용한 지역간 철도통행 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Tae;Lee, Jin-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2007
  • Increasingly, the emphasis in regional Passenger rail Planning is finding ways to more efficiently use existing facilities, with particular attention being Paid to Policies designed to spread Peak-Period travel demand more evenly throughout the week with consideration of train classification. In this context the individual's choice of time to travel is of crucial significance. This paper investigates the use of multinomial logit analysis to model ridership by rail classification using data collected for travel from Seoul to Busan during the one week in October 2004. The Particular model form that was successfully calibrated was the multinomial logit (MNL) model : it describes the choice mechanism that will Permit rail systems and operations to be planned on a more reliable basis. The assumption of independently and identically distributed(IID) error terms in the MNL model leads to its infamous independence from irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property. Relaxation of the IID assumption has been undertaken along a number or isolated dimensions leading to the development of the MNL model. For business and related rail travel patterns, the most important variables of choice were time and frequency to the chosen destination. The calibrated model showed high agreement between observed and Predicted market shares. The model is expected to be of use to railroad authorities in Planning and determining business strategies in the Increasingly competitive environment or regional rail transport.

Clinical Study of Scalp Acupuncture Effects on Patients with Broca Aphasia (두침요법을 이용한 브로카 실어증 치험례)

  • Park, Sae-Wook;Lee, Min-Goo;Lee, Seung-Eon;Kim, Yong-Jeong;Ryu, Hyun-Hee;Lee, Yun-Jae;Rhim, Eun-Kyung;Lee, Ju-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Gi;Lee, In;Moon, Byung-Soon;Yun, Jong-Min
    • The Journal of Internal Korean Medicine
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2004
  • Objectives : This study was designed to report the clinical effects of scalp acupuncture on patients who suffered from broca aphasia caused by cerebral hemorrhage, Methods : Scalp acupuncture therapy was applied on the above patients for several weeks, For the evaluation of improvement, language field was monitored by aphasia test(RISS) and speech field was monitored by phonetic analysis in the computerized speech lab. Results : According to the above evaluation items, the treatment was beneficial. The score of most items rose in the language field. And scalp acupuncture affected VOT, TD and articular error patterns positively in the speech field. Conclusions : The above results suggest that scalp acupuncture has good effects on the patients with broca aphasia caused by cerebral hemorrhage.

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Study on Material Fracture and Debris Dispersion Behavior via High Velocity Impact (고속충돌에 따른 재료 파괴 및 파편의 분산거동 연구)

  • Sakong, Jae;Woo, Sung-Choong;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Tae-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1065-1075
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    • 2017
  • In this study, high velocity impact tests along with modeling of material behavior and numerical analyses were conducted to predict the dispersion behavior of the debris resulting from a high velocity impact fracture. For the impact tests, two different materials were employed for both the projectile and the target plate - the first setup employed aluminum alloy while the second employed steel. The projectile impacts the target plate with a velocity of approximately 1 km/s were enforced to generate the impact damages in the aluminum witness plate through the fracture debris. It was confirmed that, depending on the material employed, the debris dispersion behavior as well as the dispersion radii on the witness plate varied. A numerical analysis was conducted for the same impact test conditions. The smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH)-finite element (FE) coupled technique was then applied to model the fracture and damage upon the debris. The experimental and numerical results for the diameters of the perforation holes in the target plate and the debris dispersion radii on the witness plate were in agreement within a 5% error. In addition, the impact test using steel was found to be more threatening as proven by the larger debris dispersion radius.

Wide-area Surveillance Applicable Core Techniques on Ship Detection and Tracking Based on HF Radar Platform (광역감시망 적용을 위한 HF 레이더 기반 선박 검출 및 추적 요소 기술)

  • Cho, Chul Jin;Park, Sangwook;Lee, Younglo;Lee, Sangho;Ko, Hanseok
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.2_2
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    • pp.313-326
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    • 2018
  • This paper introduces core techniques on ship detection and tracking based on a compact HF radar platform which is necessary to establish a wide-area surveillance network. Currently, most HF radar sites are primarily optimized for observing sea surface radial velocities and bearings. Therefore, many ship detection systems are vulnerable to error sources such as environmental noise and clutter when they are applied to these practical surface current observation purpose systems. In addition, due to Korea's geographical features, only compact HF radars which generates non-uniform antenna response and has no information on target information are applicable. The ship detection and tracking techniques discussed in this paper considers these practical conditions and were evaluated by real data collected from the Yellow Sea, Korea. The proposed method is composed of two parts. In the first part, ship detection, a constant false alarm rate based detector was applied and was enhanced by a PCA subspace decomposition method which reduces noise. To merge multiple detections originated from a single target due to the Doppler effect during long CPIs, a clustering method was applied. Finally, data association framework eliminates false detections by considering ship maneuvering over time. According to evaluation results, it is claimed that the proposed method produces satisfactory results within certain ranges.

Effects of Zoning Structure on Travel Demand Forecasts (존 체계 구축이 교통수요 추정에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Myeong-Ju;Seong, Hong-Mo;Baek, Seung-Han;Im, Yong-Taek;Lee, Yeong-In
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates some critical errors influencing travel demand estimation in Korea Transportation Data Base (KTDB), and through this investigation reasonable traffic analysis zone (TAZ) size and internal trips ratio are analyzed. With varying zone size, the accuracy of travel demand estimation is studied and appropriate level of zone size in KTDB is also presented. For this purpose zonal structure consisting of location of zone centroid, number of centroid connecters has been constructed by social economic index, and then some descriptive statistical analyses such as F-test, coefficient of correlation are performed. From the results, this paper shows that the optimum levels of zone system were various according to the order and capacity of roads, and also shows that the smaller TAZ, the less error in this research. In conclusion, in order to improve accuracy of traffic demand estimation it is necessary to make zone size smaller.

Proposing a Technique for Regional Flood Frequency Analysis: Bayesian-GLS Regression (국내 지역 홍수빈도해석을 위한 기법 제안: Bayesian-GLS 회귀)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il;Stedinger, Jery R.;Kim, Young-Oh;Sung, Jang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 2007
  • 국내 홍수빈도 분포의 매개변수 추정에서 지점추정(at-site estimate) 방법은 유량 자료의 부족으로 발생하는 표본오차(sampling error)가 크기 때문에 충분한 유량 자료를 보유한 지점에 한하여 제한적으로 사용되고 있다. 대안으로 동질성을 가진 유역의 유량 자료를 모아 지역 매개변수를 추정하는 지수홍수법(Index Flood Method)이 제안되기도 하였으나, 이질성이 큰 우리나라의 유역특성 때문에 적용이 쉽지 않다. Stedinger와 Tasker가 1986년 제안한 GLS(Generalized Least Square) 기법은 유역을 동질지역으로 구분할 필요가 없으며 지점들간의 상관관계와 이분산성을 고려할 수 있어, 국내 홍수빈도 해석을 위해서 꼭 도입해야할 기법으로 생각된다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 GLS 기법의 단점을 보완한 Bayesian-GLS 기법을 이용하여, 국내 대유역에 골고루 위치하며 댐의 영향을 받지 않는 31개 지점의 연최대 일유량 시계열의 L-변동계수(L-moment coefficient variation)와 L-왜도계수(L-moment coefficient skewness)를 추정할 수 있는 회귀모형을 제안하였다. 위 회귀모형을 구성하기 위한 유역특성으로는 유역면적, 유역경사, 유역평균강우 등을 사용하였다. Bayesian-GLS (B-GLS) 적용 결과를 OLS(Ordinary Least Square) 및 Bayesian-GLS 기법에서 지점간의 상관관계를 고려하지 않는 Bayesian-WLS(Weighted Least Square)와 비교 평가하여 그 우수성을 입증하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제안된 B-GLS에 의한 지역회귀모형은 국내의 미계측유역이나 또는 관측 길이가 짧은 계측유역의 홍수빈도분석을 위해 매우 유용할 것으로 기대된다.년 홍수 피해가 발생하고 있지만, 다른 한편 인구밀도가 높고 1인당 가용 수자원이 상대적으로 적기 때문에 국지적 물 부족 문제를 경험하고 있다. 최근 국제적으로도 농업용수의 물 낭비 최소화와 절약 노력 및 타 분야 물 수요 증대에 대한 대응 능력 제고가 매우 중요한 과제로 부각되고 있다. 2006년 3월 멕시코에서 개최된 제4차 세계 물 포럼에서 국제 강 네트워크는 "세계 물 위기의 주범은 농경지", "농민들은 모든 물 위기 논의에서 핵심"이라고 주장하고, 전 프랑스 총리 미셀 로카르는 "...관개시설에 큰 문제점이 있고 덜 조방적 농업을 하도록 농민들을 설득해야 한다. 이는 전체 농경법을 바꾸는 문제..."(segye.com, 2006. 3. 19)라고 주장하는 등 세계 물 문제 해결을 위해서는 농업용수의 효율적 이용 관리가 중요함을 강조하였다. 본 연구는 이러한 국내외 여건 및 정책 환경 변화에 적극적으로 대처하고 물 분쟁에 따른 갈등해소 전략 수립과 효율적인 물 배분 및 이용을 위한 기초연구로서 농업용수 수리권과 관련된 법 및 제도를 분석하였다.. 삼요소의 시용 시험결과 그 적량은 10a당 질소 10kg, 인산 5kg, 및 가리 6kg 정도였으며 질소는 8kg 이상의 경우에는 분시할수록 비효가 높았으며 특히 벼의 후기 중점시비에 의하여 1수영화수와 결실율의 증대가 크게 이루어졌다. 3. 파종기와 파종량에 관한 시험결과는 공시품종선단의 파종적기는 4월 25일부터 5월 10일경까지 인데 이 기간중 일찍 파종하는 경우에 파종적량은 10a당 약 8${\ell}$이고 늦은 경우에는 12${\ell}$ 정도였다. 여기서 늦게 파종한 경우 감수의 가장 큰 원인은 1수영화수가 적어지기 때문이었다. 4. 건답직파에 대한 담수상태로 관수를 시작하는 적기는 파종후

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Accuracy Assessment of Feature Collection Method with Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Images Using Stereo Plotting Program StereoCAD (수치도화 프로그램 StereoCAD를 이용한 무인 항공영상의 묘사 정확도 평가)

  • Lee, Jae One;Kim, Doo Pyo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2020
  • Vectorization is currently the main method in feature collection (extraction) during digital mapping using UAV-Photogrammetry. However, this method is time consuming and prone to gross elevation errors when extracted from a DSM (Digital Surface Model), because three-dimensional feature coordinates are vectorized separately: plane information from an orthophoto and height from a DSM. Consequently, the demand for stereo plotting method capable of acquiring three- dimensional spatial information simultaneously is increasing. However, this method requires an expensive equipment, a Digital Photogrammetry Workstation (DPW), and the technology itself is still incomplete. In this paper, we evaluated the accuracy of low-cost stereo plotting system, Menci's StereoCAD, by analyzing its three-dimensional spatial information acquisition. Images were taken with a FC 6310 camera mounted on a Phantom4 pro at a 90 m altitude with a Ground Sample Distance (GSD) of 3 cm. The accuracy analysis was performed by comparing differences in coordinates between the results from the ground survey and the stereo plotting at check points, and also at the corner points by layers. The results showed that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) at check points was 0.048 m for horizontal and 0.078 m for vertical coordinates, respectively, and for different layers, it ranged from 0.104 m to 0.127 m for horizontal and 0.086 m to 0.092 m for vertical coordinates, respectively. In conclusion, the results showed 1: 1,000 digital topographic map can be generated using a stereo plotting system with UAV images.

Determination of Hot Air Drying Characteristics of Squash (Cucurbita spp.) Slices

  • Hong, Soon-jung;Lee, Dong Young;Park, Jeong Gil;Mo, Changyeun;Lee, Seung Hyun
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.314-322
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to investigate the hot air drying characteristics of squash slices depending on the drying conditions (input air velocity, input air temperature, and sample thickness). Methods: The developed drying system was equipped with a controllable air blower and electric finned heater, drying chamber, and ventilation fan. Squash (summer squash called Korean zucchini) samples were cut into slices of two different thicknesses (5 and 10 mm). These were then dried at two different input air temperatures (60 and $70^{\circ}C$) and air velocities (5 and 7 m/s). Six well-known drying models were tested to describe the experimental drying data. A non-linear regression analysis was applied to determine model constants and statistical indices such as the coefficient of determination ($R^2$), reduced chi-square (${\chi}^2$), and root mean square error (RMSE). In addition, the effective moisture diffusivity ($D_{eff}$) was estimated based on the curve of ln(MR) versus drying time. Results: The results clearly showed that drying time decreased with an increase in input air temperature. Slice thickness also affected the drying time. Air velocity had a greater influence on drying time at $70^{\circ}C$ than at $60^{\circ}C$ for both thicknesses. All drying models accurately described the drying curve of squash slices regardless of slice thickness and drying conditions; the Modified Henderson and Pabis model had the best performance with the highest R2 and the lowest RMSE values. The effective moisture diffusivity ($D_{eff}$) changes, obtained from Fick's diffusion method, were between $1.67{\times}10^{-10}$ and $7.01{\times}10^{-10}m^2/s$. The moisture diffusivity was increased with an increase in input air temperature, velocity, and thickness. Conclusions: The drying time of squash slices varied depending on input temperature, velocity, and thickness of slices. The further study is necessary to figure out optimal drying condition for squash slices with retaining its original quality.

Quality Control on the BOD, COD, TN, TP of Water Quality Pollutant (수질오염물질 BOD, COD, TN, TP의 정도관리(I))

  • Park, Sun-Ku;Kim, Tae-Seung;Ryu, Jae-Kyun
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.312-317
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    • 1999
  • Quality control was carried out the three analytes, BOD, COD, TN, TP of high and low concentration for thirteen laboratories. Evaluation values of Quality control was determined from average value which were made by six times test, repeatedly and periodically. This value had not only error ratio of within 5% from prepared sample value but also high precision of standard deviation, 0.44 (BOD, low concentration), 2.15 (BOD, high concentration), 0.12 (COD, low concentration), 1.63 (COD, high concentration), 0.35 (TN, low concentration), 1.99 (TN, high concentration), 0.05 (TP, low concentration), 0.14 (TP, high concentration). Upper (Lower) Warning Limit (ULWL) and Upper (Lower) Acceptance Limit (ULAL) values made from quality control chart. Three (5.30, 9.70, 5.30 mg/L) and five laboratories were over ULAL value in low and high BOD concentration, respectively. Two (41.00, 30.60 mg/L) and four laboratories were over ULAL value in low and high COD concentration, respectively. while, other eleven laboratories appeared reliable data. One laboratory (0.70 mg/L) was over ULAL at low TN concentration, while other eleven laboratories had reliable values. In case of high TN concentration, eleven laboratories were over ULAL value, it should be focuced for improvement of reliability about measurement and analysis of TN. Four (1.14, 0.45, 0.64, 1.49mg/L) and seven laboratories were over ULAL in low and high TP concentration, respectively.

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The Study on the Analysis of High School Students' Misconception in the Learning of the Conic Sections (이차곡선 학습에서 고등학생들의 오개념 분석)

  • Hong, Seong-Kowan;Park, Cheol-Ho
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.119-139
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze students' misconception in the teaming of the conic sections with the cognitive and pedagogical point of view. The conics sections is very important concept in the high school geometry. High school students approach the conic sections only with algebraic perspective or analytic geometry perspective. So they have various misconception in the conic sections. To achieve the purpose of this study, the research on the following questions is conducted: First, what types of misconceptions do the students have in the loaming of conic sections? Second, what types of errors appear in the problem-solving process related to the conic sections? With the preliminary research, the testing worksheet and the student interviews, the cause of error and the misconception of conic sections were analyzed: First, students lacked the experience in the constructing and manipulating of the conic sections. Second, students didn't link the process of constructing and the application of conic sections with the equation of tangent line of the conic sections. The conclusion of this study ls: First, students should have the experience to manipulate and construct the conic sections to understand mathematical formula instead of rote memorization. Second, as the process of mathematising about the conic sections, students should use the dynamic geometry and the process of constructing in learning conic sections. And the process of constructing should be linked with the equation of tangent line of the conic sections. Third, the mathematical misconception is not the conception to be corrected but the basic conception to be developed toward the precise one.

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