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Methods of Combining P-values for Multiple Endpoints of Various Data Types (제 3상 임상시험에서 여러 형태 반응변수의 다변량 검정법인 P값 병합법)

  • Kim, Su-Young;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 2008
  • Comparative studies in Phase III clinical trials quite often involve two or more equally important endpoints, and one cannot select primary endpoint from them. O'Brien(1984) proposed for continuous endpoints the OLS and GLS statistics as milti-variate test statistics. Pocock et al. (1987) mentioned the possibility of analyzing a mixture of data types, such as quantitative, binary and survival data types, with the OLS and GLS statistics, but the authors did not explore problems in combining several endpoints of different types. Furthermore, they did not perform a simulation study to assess the efficiencies of the OLS and GLS statistics for endpoints of a mixture of data types. In this paper, we propose the combining methods of correlated P-values for the analysis of multiple endpoints, and compare the efficiencies of this method with those of OLS and GLS statistics for a mixture of data types with a simulation study. Among the several methods of combining P-values that are more advantageous than combining of OLS and GLS statistics, method B maintains nominal significance levels and is more efficient, while method F and G have type I error rates that are larger than the specified significance levels, which might occasionally lead to a wrong conclusion.

A Study on Introduce Measures for Local Government Activation Local & Municipal Police - Focus on Jeju Local & Municipal Police Case - (지방자치 활성화를 위한 자치경찰제 도입 방안에 관한 연구 - 제주자치경찰제 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Sang-Yong
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.41
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    • pp.327-356
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    • 2014
  • The ultimate goal of the local government is the owner of the residents welfare of the community. Welfare of the residents will start from the protection of life and property of the inhabitants. Much of this protective activity is a function of the police. Therefore, to be a municipal & local police that is based on the autonomy of the local conceptual prerequisites for the welfare of the population. Municipal & local police activities are activities for the local community rooted in the community that the police and to rejoin the community, municipal & local police activities taking place in the center of the area to solve the problem, but to reduce the fear of crime and disorder, crime as an expression of the efforts of the local residence themselves to improve the overall quality of life of the community as a partner recognition local residents. Municipal & local police in this case be introduced across the board in the central and local governments is careful review of the various alternatives been prepared on analysis is crucial to reduce the trial and error by providing the best alternative. priority should be to figure out exactly what the reason to introduce a municipal police. in other words, the introduction of the municipal & local police in the central and local governments, state police and municipal & local police, the ruling party and the opposition, regional self-government initiative unseen conflict between organizations and local governments are not welcomed by local residence in local time truly 'safe' and will have to face that the 'improve quality of life'.

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Pulmonary artery index as a predictor of early postoperative result and a critrion for rastelli operation of cyanotic congenital heart disease (폐동맥 면적지표가 청색증 심장 기형에 있어서 라스텔리씨 수술후 조기 예후 판정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;No, Jun-Ryang
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.957-969
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    • 1988
  • There is tendency of increasing number and decreasing age of patients who are indicated for Rastelli operation for their cyanotic congenita heart disease. So there is the need to find the creiterion which saves the patients from early postoperative hemodynamic disturbances. We reviewed the 26 patients who had been performed Rastelli operation at Seoul national University hOipital from January 1981 to June 1988. mean age of the patients was 7.8 $\pm$ 3.4 years (range 2.5-1.5 years), mean body surface area(BSA) 0.79 $\pm$ 0.25 $m^{2}$(range 0.49-1.51 $m^{2}$) and mean hematocrit 57.95 $\pm$ 12%(range 48-80%). We diveded these patients into survived group and died group before postoperative 72 hours, and analysed preoperative arterial oxygen saturation($SaO_{2}$), the ratio of diameter of fight pulmonary artery to ascending aorta(RA:/AA), the ratio of both right and left pulmonary artery diameter to descending thoracic aorta(RPA+LPA/DTA), pulmonary artery index(PA index), cardiopulmonary bypass time, aorta cross-clamping time, postoperative perfusion state and total amount of dopamine infused postoperatively. The results showed that RPA+LPA/DTA and PA index were statistically significatn factors to influence early postoperative cardiac death rate (P<0.05). Especially there were good linear correlations between PA index(X) and perpheral perfusion index(Y)(Y = -1.15 + 0.02 X, r = 0.86, P<0.01) and between PA index(X) and total amount of dopamine infused before postoperative 72 hours(mg/kg, Y)(Y = 61.94 - 0.15 X, r = - 0.80, P<0.01). Also there were tendencies that the higher RPA + LPA/DTA(Y), the betterperipheral perfusion (X) and the lower need of dopamine(X), but no statistical significance. (Y = 0.78 + 1.60 X, r = 0.49, P>0.05) And the discrimant analysis showed that patients with PA index over 221 $mm^{2}$/BSA could undergo correction with 25 per cent of error rate. In conclusion, early postoperative hemodynamic states could be predicted by preoperatively measured PA index, and which can be used as a criterion for Rastelli operation performed on cyanotic congenital heart disease.

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A Study of New Modified Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model Development Using Direct Parameter Estimation (직접적인 매개변수 추정방법을 이용한 새로운 수정된 Neyman-Scott 구형펄스모형 개발 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Joo, Kyoung-Won;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2011
  • Direct parameter estimation method is verified with various models based on Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model (NSRPM). Also, newly modified NSRPM (NMSRPM) that uses normal distribution is developed. Precipitation data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 47 years is applied for parameter estimation. For model performance verification, we used statistics, wet ratio and precipitation accumulate distribution of precipitation generated. The comparison of statistics indicates that absolute relative error (ARE)s of the results from NSRPM and modified NSRPM (MNSRPM) are increasing on July, August, and September and ARE of NMNSRPM shows 10.11% that is the smallest ARE among the three models. NMNSRPM simulates the characteristics of precipitation statistics well. By comparing the wet ratio, MNSRPM shows the smallest ARE that is 16.35% and by using the graphical analysis, we found that these three models underestimate the wet ratio. The three models show about 2% of ARE of precipitation accumulate probability. Those results show that the three models simulate precipitation accumulate probability well. As the results, it is found that the parameters of NSRPM, MNSRPM and NMNSRPM are able to be estimated by the direct parameter estimation method. From the results listed above, we concluded that the direct parameter estimation is able to be applied to various models based on NSRPM. NMNSRPM shows good performance compared with developed model-NSRPM and MNSRPM and the models based on NSRPM can be developed by the direct parameter estimation method.

APPLICATION STUDY OF CHEMOINFOMETRICAL NEAR-INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY IN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

  • Otsuka, Makoto;Kato, Fumie;Matsuda, Yoshihisa
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.2111-2111
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    • 2001
  • A chemoinfometrical method for evaluating the quantitative determination of crystallinity one polymorphs based on fourie-transformed near-infrared (FT-NIR) spectroscopy was established. A direct comparison of the data with the ones collected from using the and compared with the conventional powder X-ray diffraction method was performed. [Method] The pPure a and g forms of indomethacin (IMC) were prepared by reportedusing published methods. Six kinds of standard samples obtained by physically mixing of a and g forms. After the powder X-ray diffraction profiles of samples have been measured, the intensity values were normalized to against the intensity of silicon powder as the as an external standard. The calibration curves for quantification of crystal content were based upon the total relative intensity of four diffraction peaks from of the form g crystal. FT-NIR spectra of six calibration sample sets were recorded 5 times with the NIR spectrometer (BRAN+LUEBBE). Chemoinfometric analysis was performed on the NIR spectral data sets by applying the principal component regression (PCR). [Results] The relation between the actual and predicted polymorphic contents of form g IMC measured using by the X-ray diffraction method shows a good straight linen linear relation., and it has slope of 0.023, an intercept of 0.131 and a correlation coefficient of 0.986. PCR analyses wereis was performed based on normalized NIR spectra sets offer standard samples of known content of IMC g form. IMC. A calibration equation was determined to minimize the root mean square error of the predictionthe prediction. Figure 1 shows a plot of the calibration data obtained by NIR method between the actual and predicted contents of form g IMC. The predicted values were reproducible and had a smaller standard deviation. Figure 2 shows that the plot for the predicted transformation rate (%) of form a IMC to form g as measured by X-ray diffractomeoy against to those as measured by NIR method. The plot has a slope of 1.296, an intercept of 1,109, and a correlation coefficient of 0.992. The line represents a satisfactory correlation between the two predicted values of form g IMC content. Thus NIR spectroscopy is an effective method for the evaluation to the pharmaceutical products of quantitative of polymorph.

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Evaluation of Dry Matter Intake and Average Daily Gain Predicted by the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System in Crossbred Growing Bulls Kept in a Traditionally Confined Feeding System in China

  • Du, Jinping;Liang, Yi;Xin, Hangshu;Xue, Feng;Zhao, Jinshi;Ren, Liping;Meng, Qingxiang
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.1445-1454
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    • 2010
  • Two separate animal trials were conducted to evaluate the coincidence of dry matter intake (DMI) and average daily gain (ADG) predicted by the Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (CNCPS) and observed actually in crossbred growing bulls kept in a traditionally confined feeding system in China. In Trial 1, 45 growing Simmental${\times}$Mongolia crossbred F1 bulls were assigned to three treatments (T1-3) with 15 animals in each treatment. Trial 2 was conducted with 60 Limousin${\times}$Fuzhou crossbred F2 bulls allocated to 4 treatments (t1-4). All of the animals were confined in individual stalls. DMI and ADG for each bull were measured as a mean of each treatment. All of the data about animals, environment, management and feeds required by the CNCPS model were collected, and model predictions were generated for animals on each treatment. Subsequently, model-predicted DMI and ADG were compared with the actually recorded results. In the three treatments in Trial 1, 93.3, 80.0 and 73.3% of points fell within the range from -0.4 to 0.4 kg/d for DMI mean bias; similarly, in the four treatments in Trial 2, about 86.7, 73.3, 73.3 and 80.0% of points fell within the same range. These results indicate that the CNCPS model can accurately predict DMI of crossbred bulls in the traditionally confined feeding system in China. There were no significant differences between predicted and observed ADG for T1 (p = 0.06) and T2 (p = 0.09) in Trial 1, and for t1 (p = 0.07), t2 (p = 0.14) and t4 (p = 0.83) in Trial 2. However, significant differences between predicted and observed ADG values were observed for T3 in Trial 1 (p<0.01) and for t3 in Trial 2 (p = 0.04). By regression analysis, a statistically different value of intercept from zero for the regression equation of DMI (p<0.01) or an identical value of ADG (p = 0.06) were obtained, whereas the slopes were significantly different (p<0.01) from unity for both DMI and ADG. Additionally, small root mean square error (RMSE) values were obtained for the unbiased estimator of the two variances (DMI and ADG). Thus, the present results indicated that the CNCPS model can give acceptable estimates of DMI and ADG of crossbred growing bulls kept in a traditionally confined feeding system in China.

Finite Element Analysis in Finite Length Bar under Constant Amplitude Loading (일정진폭하중을 받는 유한 길이 봉의 유한요소해석)

  • Hwang, Eun-Ha
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2010
  • Direct time integration method such as Newmark method is numerically performed under the assumption that continuous load function such as constant amplitude load can be treated as a discontinuous load fuction. It is due that the load can be treated as a constant value at the given time period regardless of variation of load at the time increment interval. It means the numerical results should be accompanied by the error due to approximation of load fuction. In contrast, the load function is calculated by convolution integral for the given time interval at finite element equation based on Gurtin's variation equation. Therefore. precise numerical results can be obtained by Gurtin's method because of convolution integral for the continuous load fuction curve even at the variation of load function in the given time interval. In this study, we prove that Gurtin's method can be more suitable than Newmark method in the problem of constant amplitude loading, using the numerical results for the free end of the one-dimensional rod. This study also shows that Gurtin's method is more effective in constant amplitude loading than in constant loading. The accuracy and the validity are verified by comparison between the results of in-house FORTRAN code and ADINA, a commercial software supporting Newmark method.

${\beta}$-1,4-Xylosidase Activity of Leuconostoc Lactic Acid Bacteria Isolated from Kimchi (김치에서 분리된 Leuconostoc 속 젖산균의 ${\beta}$-1,4-xylosidase 효소생산 특성)

  • Jang, Mi-Hee;Kim, Myoung-Dong
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2011
  • The ${\beta}$-xylosidase (EC 3.2.1.37) production capabilities of lactic acid bacteria in the genus Leuconostoc, isolated from a variety of kimchi (fermented vegetables), were examined. The intracellular levels of ${\beta}$-xylosidase were similar to the extracellular levels, when most Leuconostoc lactic acid bacteria were grown in a medium containing xylose as the carbon source. Intracellular ${\beta}$-xylosidase with a maximum activity of $1.2{\pm}0.1units/mL$ (mean${\pm}$standard error) was obtained from Leuconostoc lactis KCTC 13344, which was isolated from fermented Chinese cabbage. The optimum reaction conditions for Leu. lactis KCTC 13344 ${\beta}$-xylosidase activity were pH 6.0 and $30^{\circ}C$, and the addition of most divalent cations, except zinc, to the reaction mixture resulted in a slight increase in enzyme activity. Compared with a media containing other carbon sources, the ${\beta}$-xylosidase activity was 5 times higher when Leu. lactis KCTC 13344 was grown in a medium containing xylose as carbon source. Zymographic analysis indicated that the synthesis of Leu. lactis KCTC 13344 ${\beta}$-xylosidase (approximate size, 64 kDa) is induced by xylose. A maximum intracellular ${\beta}$-xylosidase activity of $7.1{\pm}0.3units/mL$ was obtained in a batch cultivation in an MRS medium containing 30 g/L xylose.

The Dynamic Relationship between Stock Returns and Investors' Behavior : Trading Hour and Non-trading Hour Analysis (주가와 투자 주체의 상호 관계에 관한 연구 : 거래 시간대와 비거래 시간대 수익률 분석)

  • Ko, Kwang-Soo;Kim, Kwang-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.145-167
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    • 2010
  • We investigate the dynamic relationship between stock returns and investors' behavior. For the putpose of the paper, daily KOSPI returns are decomposed into two parts: overnight returns and daytime returns. Overnight return is measured by the closing price of the previous day and the opening price of the current day. And daytime return is measured by the opening and closing prices of the current day. Qvernight returns are assumed to reflect global economic information, and daytime returns, domestic or local information. Major results are as follows: Foreign investors' behavior has an effect on the overnight returns more than the daytime returns. Individual investors' behavior, however, has little effect on the overnight returns, but not the daytime returns. Consequently, forecast error variance decomposition shows that the variance explanation power of foreign investors is higher in overnight returns rather than in the daytime returns. And the variance explanation power of individual investors is higher in daytime returns rather than in overnight returns. It implies that foreign investors employ dynamic hedging strategies and give more weight to global economic information rather than to domestic information. We conclude that investment behavior of foreign investors and domestic individuals is based on different economic information. This paper's findings are consistent with the economic situation that the Korean capital markets have faced since the global financial crisis of August 2008.

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Performance Analysis of an Optical CDMA System for multi-user Environment (다중 사용자 환경에서의 광 CDMA 시스템 성능 분석)

  • 전상영;김영일;이주희
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.6B
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    • pp.1134-1141
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we implement an optical code division multiple access(OCDMA) system and analyze the performance of the implemented system. In the implemented system, a transmitter encodes input data into optical pulses by using laser diode, and spreads the encoded pulses in an encoder which consists of 4 stage delay lines. The decoder which is the same structure as that of encoder delays and combines the spreaded pulses, and thus recovers the original data. At first, we discuss the auto- and cross-correlations of OCDMA signals under both environments of single user and multi-users, and then verify the simulation results with experimental results. We also evaluate the effect of a number of stages of delay line and code length on the system performance through computer simulations. As experimental results we can see that if the decoder have the same configuration as that of encoder, the peak auto-correlation characteristics can be achieved, and thus we can recover the original data from received data. As simulation results we can see that although bit error rate decreases as code length decreases or the number of stage of delay line increases, it is difficult to implement the system because the pulse width becomes narrow. From the results, we can apply CDMA technologies to optical communication networks.

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