• Title/Summary/Keyword: Air Transportation Demand

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Air Pollution Forecasting Using Urban Transportation Planning Models and Air Pollution Dispersion Models (都市交通計劃 모델과 大氣汚染 擴散모델을 이용한 都市地域 大氣汚染 豫測)

  • 董宗仁;趙康來;金良均;兪 浣
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1986
  • Motor vehicle related air pollution has become more serious because of rapid increase of number of cars, specially in the urban area. The increase trend seems to be accelerated, however, the fact is that road conditions, parking facilities and traffic control systems are far behind coping with this situation. In spite of the lack of related basic data, urban transportation planning (UPT) and air pollution dispersion models were applied to predict air pollution level. In standard UPT model, trip generation, distribution, modal split and network assignment were estimated by experimental equations and appropriate models. The air pollution level in the central business area was believed to be higher and it will increase continuously due to the increase of traffic demand. To meet this situation, air pollution problem should be considered as a part of integrated plannings of urban plans or transportation plans as well as more stringent motor vehicle emission standards, have to be enforced.

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A Quantitative Study on Air Transportation Demand Forecasting in Heuksando (흑산도의 항공수요예측에 관한 정량적 연구)

  • Song, B.H.;Song, Y.K.;Choi, Y.C.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2001
  • Heuksando is an island which belongs to Shinangun, Jeonllanamdo and is located on the southwest sea of the Korean peninsula. Around this island, there are many beautiful islands which embroider the archipelago such as Hongdo, Soheuksando, Haeuido, Gageodo. However in the transportation mode we could not offer convenience to all the visitors coming to this area because access to this place can be made only by ship from Mokpo harbor. So new airport is desirable to solve this problem in this area. Therefore, this study is forecasting air transportation demand between Heuksando and several domestic places in order to give the fundamental materials not only to address the appropriateness to construct a new airport but also to determine it's size and necessary facilities.

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Optimal Allocation of Three Modes for the Intercontinental Transportations of Mass-Market Products

  • Okita, Katsuhisa;Amemiya, Takashi
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.294-302
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    • 2010
  • There is a trend toward the world's manufacturing sites moving to East Asia. After manufacture, these products are transported to the advanced nations for their consumption demands. Among such advanced nations, the U.S.A. has the largest demand, and then Japan and European countries follow. It should be noted that the infrastructures of the Asian districts used for the production sites are rather limited, and the volume of products transported from these districts of Asia to the U.S.A is becoming tremendously large. This situation is causing very serious traffic problems. New products are required to be transported swiftly by air. Once the consumption and market demands are stable however, the products should be sent rather slowly, but in larger amounts. However, the airports of China are quite restricted in capacity, while the transportation volume is becoming large. As a result, transportation cost and the time required for transportation are increasing. Now, a third method is appearing. This is the so-called Sea and Air transportation. The cost and time in transit of this mode take mean positions between Air and Ocean services. At present there exists no well-thought-out strategy for how to allocate these three methods of transportation. This paper is an attempt to theoretically describe this mechanism and to discover the optimal way to allocate the three modes. For this purpose, several mathematical properties of value and cost of the products are defined, and on this basis a simulation of the transportation is established.

Application of SARIMA Model in Air Cargo Demand Forecasting: Focussing on Incheon-North America Routes (항공화물수요예측에서 계절 ARIMA모형 적용에 관한 연구: 인천국제공항발 미주항공노선을 중심으로)

  • SUH, Bo Hyoun;YANG, Tae Woong;HA, Hun-Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • For forecasting air cargo demand from Incheon National Airport to all of airports in the United States (US), this study employed the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) method and the time-series data collected from the first quarter of 2003 to the second quarter of 2016. By comparing the SARIMA method against the ARIMA method, it was found that the SARIMA method performs well, relatively with time series data highlighting seasonal periodic characteristics. While existing previous research was generally focused on the air passenger and the air cargo as a whole rather than specific air routes, this study emphasized on a specific air cargo demand to the US route. The meaningful findings would support the future research.

Estimation of Air Travel Demand Models and Elasticities for Jeju-Mainland Domestic Routes (제주-내륙 간 국내선 항공여객수요모형 및 탄력성의 추정)

  • Baek, Seung-Han;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2008
  • Jeju-Mainland demand for air passenger is variated by the season because most of the demands stem from the leisure travel. This research is to estimate the econometrics demand models(A simple time series model and the partial adjustment model) and elasticities of each models for the Jeju-Mainland domestic routes air travel market using the time series aggregate data between the year 1996 and 2005. As the result of estimating, income elasticity was evaluated to be elastic(1.55) and fare elasticity was inelastic(-0.49${\sim}$-0.59) for A simple time series models. In the partial adjustment model's case, income elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic(0.51) in short-run whereas it was evaluated to be elastic(1.88) in long-run. Fare elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic in short-run(high-demand season: -0.13, slack season: -0.20) and long-run(high-demand season: -0.48, slack season: -0.72).

Forecasting the Air Cargo Demand With Seasonal ARIMA Model: Focusing on ICN to EU Route (계절성 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 항공화물 수요예측: 인천국제공항발 유럽항공노선을 중심으로)

  • Min, Kyung-Chang;Jun, Young-In;Ha, Hun-Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.3-18
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    • 2013
  • This study develops a forecasting method to estimate air cargo demand from ICN(Incheon International Airport) to all airports in EU with Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model using volumes from the first quarter of 2000 to the fourth quarter of 2009. This paper shows the superiority of SARIMA Model by comparing the forecasting accuracy of SARIMA with that of other ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) models. Given that very few papers and researches focuses on air route, this paper will be helpful to researchers concerned with air cargo.

A Study on the Risk Assessment in LPG Transportation by Tank Lorry (LPG 탱크로리 수송중 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 이재준;김윤화;윤성렬;엄성인;백종배;고재욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 1997
  • Demand of LPG and LNG will increase continuously due to high calories, clearness, and convenience for usage. These gases are used widely for power plants, industrial plants, and domestic fuel. But accidents related with gas are increasing in proportion to increment of gas usage. Especially LPG has high ignitability due to weak dispersion to air and accumulation at low place because LPG is heavier than air. There are many hazards during transportation as well as production, storage, and usage of LPG. Commonly, tank lorry is used for inland transportation of LPG. If tank lorry were to raise leakage incidents and then LPG released during transporting, the accidents cause serious effects on the environment as well as human damage of surrounding area. In this study, therefore, hazards which cause LPG of tank lorry to leak during transportation were identified and risk of LPG transportation was assessed quantitatively. Also, the result of this study might be a useful measure for predicting damage and preparing safe transportation strategies of LPG tank lorry.

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The Prospect of the Development of Sea&Air Transportation Routes around the Yellow Sea Regions (환황해권 Sea&Air 수송의 발전 가능성 전망)

  • Kim, Tae-Seung;Won, Dong-Woo;Yun, Jung-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.189-207
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    • 2006
  • As the development of Northeast Asian logistics hub becomes one of the national agenda for further development, the sea&Air transport around the Yellow Sea regions has drawn attention of many scholars and government officials. The Sea&air transport is a mode of transportation combining the advantage of high-speed in air transport with the advantage of low-price in sea transport. Hence the sea&air aims at a niche market between air and sea. This paper reviews the possibility of development of the sea&air transport in the aspects of competitiveness over other modes, future demand condition, and the change of the technology and transport environment. The result is that the sea&air is competitive in the aspect of time as well as cost, and sustainable in the aspect of future demand condition. But, it is not stable in the aspect of the conditions of technology or transport demand. Especially, the progress of air transport technology which is aiming at the door-to-door transport among mid- and small- cities, and the rapidly increasing strategic alliances of international airlines with Chinese airlines for the market of China will undermine the stability of the sea&air transport seriously As alternatives, this paper proposes the 3-stage development strategy of sea&air transport. First, at the stage of transshipement, the development of high speed vessels to reduce the time crossing the Yellow Sea and the proactive marketing strategy to induce Chinese-owned products should be emphasized. Second, the value added logistics activity which will secure the demand of the sea&air transport should be developed. Third, demand creation by developing the SCM hub in Incheon is final goal for the logistics hub strategy as well as the sea&air transport.

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A Study on the Application Effect of Intelligent Air Cleaning systems for EMU (도시철도 차량의 지능형 공기청정 시스템 적용 효과에 대한 고찰)

  • Cho, Kwan-Hyun;Kwon, Soon-Bark;Kim, Kwan-Su;Nam, Hee-Bog;Kim, Woo-Kyo;Nam, Goon-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.594-600
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    • 2011
  • "The guidelines on the management of indoor air quality of public transportation" was enacted in December 2006 due to the fact that the interest and demand of improving the air quality for citizen using public transportation have been increased. Thus this research has considered what has influenced on the passenger cabin HVAC as well as the improvement of customer service as we proceed the study for better indoor air quality inside of the train by developing the module of cleaning air system for pollutants of a car air.

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The Improvement Method for Air Pollution Level through Optimal Allocation of Urban Facilities( I ) (도시시설의 도로기능별 적정입지분석을 통한 대기오염 저감방안에 관한 연구( I ))

  • Kwon, Woo-Taeg;Kim, Hyung-Chul;Kim, Ki-Bum
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.18 no.3 s.49
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2003
  • There are two ways of reducing air pollution. One is the approach of the pollutant source control and the other one is the traffic demand decreasing approach. This study is focusing on the approach of land use planning and optimal location of urban facilities because those are the basic cause to generate transportation demands. So, the purpose of this study would be to analyze the changes of NOx and CO distribution on environmental air by functional hierarchy of urban roads and to make evaluation model of 'Transportation-Land Use -Air Pollution'. It will contribute to improve the air pollution level at same actual traffic generation according to different location.