• 제목/요약/키워드: Agricultural drought

검색결과 602건 처리시간 0.042초

SPI 가뭄지수의 EOF 분석을 이용한 가뭄의 시공간적인 특성 연구 (A Study of Drought Spatio-Temporal Characteristics Using SPI-EOF Analysis)

  • 장연규;김상단;최계운
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권8호
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    • pp.691-702
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 가뭄의 공간적인 특성을 파악하고 가뭄의 진행에 따른 피해규모를 산정하기 위하여 가뭄 심도-영향면적-생기빈도 곡선을 작성하여 제시하였다. 이를 위하여 전국의 기상관측소 지점별로 SPI를 산정하였으며, 산정된 지점별 SPI 자료를 이용하여 EOF 분석을 실시하였다. EOF 분석으로부터 추출된 핵심 공간패턴자료들은 다시 공간적으로는 Kriging 기법을 이용하여 보다 세밀한 공간정보를 갖는 자료로 확장되었으며, ARMA 모형을 이용하여 장기간의 가뭄사상을 모의발생하였다. 모의발생된 공간적인 장기간의 가뭄사상들로부터 특정 가뭄심도별 영향면적별 생기빈도 곡선을 작성할 수 있었다.

식생가뭄반응지수 (Vegetation Drought Response Index, VegDRI)를 활용한 북한지역의 농업가뭄 특성 분석 (Analysis of Agricultural Drought Characteristics using Vegetation Drought Response Index (VegDRI) in North Korea)

  • 이희진;남원호;윤동현
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.364-364
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    • 2019
  • 최근 전세계적으로 기후변화로 인한 국내외 가뭄에 대한 피해 및 발생 빈도가 점차 증가하고 있으며, 우리나라의 경우 2000년대 이후 가뭄 주기가 점점 짧아져 2013년 이후 매년 가뭄이 발생하고 있다. 북한은 자연재해에 취약한 국가이며 특히 가뭄으로 인한 식량난 문제가 대두되고 있지만, 북한의 제한적인 정보로 인해 북한 지역에서의 가뭄의 발생과 피해 정보는 한정적이고, 활용할 수 있는 자료의 경우 외국 기관의 정보에 의존하는 실정이다. 향후 농업부문에 대한 대북한 지원과 통일 후를 대비한 농업정책의 수립을 위하여 북한의 가뭄에 대하여 독자적으로 신속한 정보를 취득, 분석할 수 있는 능력을 확보하는 것이 필요하다. 위성영상을 이용한 원격탐사 기술은 접근이 용이하지 못한 지역의 주기적인 관측이 가능하며, 동일한 정확도로 기상자료의 획득이 가능하다. Vegetation Drought Response Index (VegDRI)는 위성영상기반의 가뭄지수인 정규식생지수(Nomalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI), 기상학적 가뭄지수를 활용한 기후적 요소, 토지피복 및 생태지역 등의 생물물리학적 요소를 활용한 가뭄지표이다. 본 연구에서는 MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 위성의 MOD13Q1 영상자료의 NDVI (2001~2018년)를 이용하였으며, 북한의 기상자료를 이용한 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI)와 파머가뭄심도지수 (Palmer Drought Severity Index, PDSI), 그리고 북한 지역의 토지피복 및 생태지역 등의 요소들을 활용한 VegDRI를 통하여 북한의 가뭄 시기에 따른 시도별 가뭄 특성에 대하여 분석하고자 한다.

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표준강수지수(SPI)를 이용한 가뭄에 대한 지표수와 지하수 반응 비교 (Comparison of Surface Water and Groundwater Responses to Drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI))

  • 구민호;김원겸;송성호
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2022
  • A correlation analysis was performed to investigate differences in the response of surface water and groundwater to drought using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Water level data of 20 agricultural reservoirs, 4 dams, 2 rivers, and 8 groundwater observation wells were used for the analysis. SPI was calculated using precipitation data measured at a nearby meteorological station. The water storage of reservoirs and dams decreased significantly as they responded sensitively to the drought from 2014 to 2016, showing high correlation with SPI of the relatively long accumulation period (AP). The responses of rivers varied greatly depending on the presence of an upstream dam. The water level in rivers connected to an upstream dam was predominantly influenced by the dam discharge, resulting in very weak correlation with SPI. On the contrary, the rivers without dam exhibited a sharp water level rise in response to precipitation, showing higher correlation with SPI of a short-term AP. Unlike dams and reservoirs, the responses of groundwater levels to precipitation were very short-lived, and they did not show high correlation with SPI during the long-term drought. In drought years, the rise of groundwater level in the rainy season was small, and the lowered water level in the dry season did not proceed any further and was maintained at almost the same as that of other normal years. Conclusively, it is confirmed that groundwater is likely to persist longer than surface water even in the long-term drought years.

Spatio-temporal potential future drought prediction using machine learning for time series data forecast in Abomey-calavi (South of Benin)

  • Agossou, Amos;Kim, Do Yeon;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.268-268
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    • 2021
  • Groundwater resource is mostly used in Abomey-calavi (southern region of Benin) as main source of water for domestic, industrial, and agricultural activities. Groundwater intake across the region is not perfectly controlled by a network due to the presence of many private boreholes and traditional wells used by the population. After some decades, this important resource is becoming more and more vulnerable and needs more attention. For a better groundwater management in the region of Abomey-calavi, the present study attempts to predict a future probable groundwater drought using Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) for future groundwater level prediction. The RNN model was created in python using jupyter library. Six years monthly groundwater level data was used for the model calibration, two years data for the model test and the model was finaly used to predict two years future groundwater level (years 2020 and 2021). GRI was calculated for 9 wells across the area from 2012 to 2021. The GRI value in dry season (by the end of March) showed groundwater drought for the first time during the study period in 2014 as severe and moderate; from 2015 to 2021 it shows only moderate drought. The rainy season in years 2020 and 2021 is relatively wet and near normal. GRI showed no drought in rainy season during the study period but an important diminution of groundwater level between 2012 and 2021. The Pearson's correlation coefficient calculated between GRI and rainfall from 2005 to 2020 (using only three wells with times series long period data) proved that the groundwater drought mostly observed in dry season is not mainly caused by rainfall scarcity (correlation values between -0.113 and -0.083), but this could be the consequence of an overexploitation of the resource which caused the important spatial and temporal diminution observed from 2012 to 2021.

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옥상녹화를 위한 남천 외 3수종의 내건성 평가 (Drought Resistance Assessment of Four Shrub Species Including Nandina Domestica for Extensive Green Roof)

  • 신창섭;이학석
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 비교적 내건성이 강하여 옥상녹화 소재로 이용될 수 목본식물들 중 수수꽃다리(Syringa dilatata), 사철나무(Euonymus japonica), 쥐똥나무(Ligustrum obtusifolium), 남천(Nandina domestica)등 4 수종에 대해서 내건성을 비교하고 영구위조계수를 알아보기 위하여 수행되었다. 식물의 내건성을 비교하기 위하여 2013년 6월4일~7월 20일까지 무관수 처리하였고 7일 간격으로 잎의 상대함수량, 상대전기전도도, 수분포텐셜 등을 측정하였으며, 영구위조계수를 알아보았다. 실험 결과 충분히 관수한 화분을 옥상으로 옮기고 2일 후에 측정한 잎의 상대함수량은 쥐똥나무 91.3%, 수수꽃다리 92.9%, 남천 91.2%, 사철나무 90.1%였다. 그 후 28일 동안 관수하지 않은 상태에서 측정한 상대함수량은 쥐똥나무 60.2%, 수수꽃다리는 67.8%로 크게 감소되었으나, 남천과 사철나무는 각각 80.1%, 81.7%로 감소되었다. 상대전기전도도와 수분포텐셜에서도 남천과 사철나무가 쥐똥나무와 수수꽃다리에 비하여 내건성이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 수종별 영구위조계수는 쥐똥나무 3.1%, 수수꽃다리 2.1%, 남천 1.6%, 사철나무 0.7%로 나타났다. 즉 위의 공시수종 모두 내건성이 강하지만 그 중에서도 특히 사철나무의 내건성이 가장 크고 다음은 남천> 수수꽃다리> 쥐똥나무 순인 것으로 분석되었다.

Reduction of Stress Caused by Drought and Salt in Rice (Oryza sativa L.) Crops through Applications of Selected Plant Extracts and the Physiological Response Mechanisms of Rice

  • Hyun Hwa Park;Young Seon Lee;Yong In Kuk
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2022년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.57-57
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    • 2022
  • In many areas of the world, salt damage and drought have had a negative impact on human survival due to a decrease in agricultural productivity. For instance, about 50% of agricultural land will be affected by salt damage by 2050. Biostimulants such as plant extracts can not only increase the nutrient utilization efficiency of plants, but also promote plant growth and increase resistance to abiotic or biotic stress. Therefore, the objective of this study was to determine how selected plant extracts might reduce levels of stress caused by drought and salt and to better understand the physiological response mechanisms of rice plants. In this study, we used Soybean leaves, Soybean stems and Allium tuberosum, Allium cepa, Hizikia fusiforme, and Gracilaria verrucosa extracts were used. These extracts had been used in previous studies and were found to be effective. The materials were dried in a dry oven at 50℃ for 5 days and ground using a blender. Each 50 g of materials was put in 1 L of distilled water, stirred for 24 hours, filtered using 4 layers of mirocloth, and then concentrated using a concentrator. Rice (cv. Hopumbyeo) seeds were immersed and germinated, and then sown in seedbeds filled with commercial soil. In drought experiments, three rice seedlings at 1 week after seeding was transplanted into 100 ml cups filled with commercial soils and grown until the 4-leaf stage. For this experiment, the soil weight in a cup was equalized, and water was allowed to become 100% saturated and then drained for 24 hours. Thereafter, plant extracts at 3% concentrations were applied to the soils. For NaCl treatments, rice plants at 17 days after seeding were treated with either 100 mM NaCl or plant extracts at 1%+ 100 mM NaCl combinations in the growth chamber. Leaf injury, relative water content, photosynthetic efficiency, and chlorophyll contents were measured at 3, 5, and 6 days after treatments. Shoot fresh weight of rice under drought conditions increased 28-37% in response to treatments of Soybean leaf, Soybean stem, Allium tuberosum, Allium cepa, Hizikia fusiforme, and Gracilaria verrucosa extracts at 3% when compared with control plants. Shoot fresh weight of rice subjected to 100 mM NaCl treatments also increased by 6-24% in response to Soybean leaf, Soybean stem, Allium tuberosum, Allium cepa, Hizikia fusiforme, and Gracilaria verrucosa extracts at 3% when compared with control plants. Compared to the control, rice plants treated with these six extracts and subjected to drought conditions had significantly higher relative water content, Fv/Fm, total chlorophyll and total carotenoids than control plants. With the exception of relative water contents, rice plants treated with the six extracts and subjected to salt stress (100 mM NaCl treatments) had significantly higher Fv/Fm, total chlorophyll and total carotenoids than control plants. However, the type of extract used did not produce significant difference in these parameters. Thus, all the plant extracts used in this study could mitigate drought and NaCl stresses and could also contribute substantially to sustainable crop production.

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한강수계 논의 순별 단위용수량 변환계수 (Conversion Factors for Ten-Day Irrigation Duties of Paddy Rice in the Han River Basin)

  • 강문성;박승우;김현준;강민구
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2000
  • Seasonal water requirements by paddy rice is important to water budgeting for the water resources planning at a basin scale. This paper compares the water requirements resulting from different approaches for the Han River Basin. The demands from the drought years of 1967 and 1968 were found to be significantly less than the irrigation standards. This may result in significant underestimation of the basin-wide water demands. A conversion factor method is proposed to define seasonal irrigation demands. The factor is defined from the ratios of the standards for each growing stage to the drought year demands. The results were compared satisfactorily with those from the irrigation standards, and readily applicable to the water resources planning.

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자연하도 하구부에서 갈수시 양수에 의한 지하수 유독특성 및 취수능력 결정에 관한 연구 (Study on the Characteristics of Groundwater Movement Caused by Pumping During Drought Period and Estimation of Pumping Capacity in Natural River Estuary)

  • 안승섭;최윤영
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.88-98
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    • 1997
  • In this study, pumping capacity in the area of natural river estuary is estimated by the quantitative analysis using finite element method. The study area is Iga-ri pumping station in the estuary of Seojung-chun which runs to the East coast. First of aH, hydraulic properties and effects of different seawater levels are analyzed in this area. Variations of groundwater level caused by pumping and properties of seawater intrusion are analyzed, then compared the case of reinforcing the existing intake weir with the case of setting up an weir at the upper stream. The observed data of groundwater drawdown caused by pumping during drought period and seawater intrusion are compared with results of the analysis done by groundwater model using finite element method, and it is found that both are similar. Accordingly, groundwater model used in this study reflects well the variation of groundwater level caused by pumping.

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주성분 분석을 활용한 자연가뭄지수 산정 및 평가 (Estimation and assessment of natural drought index using principal component analysis)

  • 김선호;이문환;배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권6호
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    • pp.565-577
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 인위적 수공시설물을 고려하지 않는 자연상태의 가뭄해석을 위해 자연가뭄지수(NDI)를 산정하고 활용성을 평가하였다. 자연가뭄지수는 주성분 분석을 이용하여 산정하였으며, 입력자료는 3개월 누적강수량, 자연유량, 토양수분량 자료이다. 강수량은 ASOS 59개 지점 자료이고, 자연유량 및 토양수분량은 지표수문해석모형의 결과를 이용하였다. 가뭄지수의 평가기간은 1977~2012년이며, 활용성 평가를 위해 시계열 분석, 지역별 분석 및 가뭄특성인자 분석을 수행하였다. 시계열 분석결과, 자연가뭄지수는 가뭄의 시작과 끝에 대한 평균절대오차는 0.85로 가장 정확하게 나타났다. 과거 가뭄사례와 가뭄특성인자를 분석한 결과, 자연가뭄지수의 지속기간과 발생간격의 평균절대오차는 각각 1.3, 1.0으로 가뭄의 지속기간 및 발생간격을 적절히 반영하는 것을 확인하였다. 지역별 분석결과, 자연가뭄지수는 단일변량 가뭄지수의 지역별 가뭄상황을 적절히 반영하여 활용성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 가뭄의 시작, 끝, 지속기간, 발생간격에 대한 자연가뭄지수, 표준강수지수, 표준유출지수, 표준토양수분지수의 순위를 분석한 결과 자연가뭄지수가 가장 높은 순위로 산정되었다. 자연가뭄지수는 기존 단일변량 가뭄지수의 상이한 가뭄상황을 종합적으로 반영하며, 가뭄의 특성을 정량적으로 제시한다는 점에서 활용성이 높다고 판단된다.