• 제목/요약/키워드: Aggregate planning

검색결과 66건 처리시간 0.029초

수요 예측 평가를 위한 가중절대누적오차지표의 개발 (A New Metric for Evaluation of Forecasting Methods : Weighted Absolute and Cumulative Forecast Error)

  • 최대일;옥창수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2015
  • Aggregate Production Planning determines levels of production, human resources, inventory to maximize company's profits and fulfill customer's demands based on demand forecasts. Since performance of aggregate production planning heavily depends on accuracy of given forecasting demands, choosing an accurate forecasting method should be antecedent for achieving a good aggregate production planning. Generally, typical forecasting error metrics such as MSE (Mean Squared Error), MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation), MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and CFE (Cumulated Forecast Error) are utilized to choose a proper forecasting method for an aggregate production planning. However, these metrics are designed only to measure a difference between real and forecast demands and they are not able to consider any results such as increasing cost or decreasing profit caused by forecasting error. Consequently, the traditional metrics fail to give enough explanation to select a good forecasting method in aggregate production planning. To overcome this limitation of typical metrics for forecasting method this study suggests a new metric, WACFE (Weighted Absolute and Cumulative Forecast Error), to evaluate forecasting methods. Basically, the WACFE is designed to consider not only forecasting errors but also costs which the errors might cause in for Aggregate Production Planning. The WACFE is a product sum of cumulative forecasting error and weight factors for backorder and inventory costs. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed metric by conducting intensive experiments with demand data sets from M3-competition. Finally, we showed that the WACFE provides a higher correlation with the total cost than other metrics and, consequently, is a better performance in selection of forecasting methods for aggregate production planning.

An Aggregate Production Planning for An Optical Instrument Industry

  • Hwang, Hark;Oh, Myung-Joo;Lee, Seong-Beak
    • 산업공학
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 1990
  • This paper presents a linear programming formulation of the aggregate production planning problem for an optical instrument manufacturing company. Taking into account of the various requirements of the company, an L.P model is developed whose objective is to minimize the total cost of production during the planning horizon. The application results and its implications are well understood by the management and expected to be used as a guide line for future production planning.

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Interactive Fuzzy Linear Programming with Two-Phase Approach

  • Lee Jong-Hwan
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.232-239
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    • 2006
  • This paper is for applying interactive fuzzy linear programming for the problem of product mix planning, which is one of the aggregate planning problem. We developed a modified algorithm, which has two-phase approach for interactive fuzzy linear programming to get a better solution. Adding two-phase method, we expect to obtain not only the highest membership degree, but also a better utilization of each constrained resource.

총괄계획을 위한 선형결정법과 탐색결정법에 관한 연구 (I) (A Study on the Linear Decision Rule and the Search Decision Rule for Aggregate Planning (I))

  • 고용해
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제6권8호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 1983
  • Aggregate planning coordinate the control variable over long-term to apply a demand variable and forcasting. In order to necessary the goal that doesn't make an inter-contradiction and explicitly defined. We made a considerable point of system approach for scheduling establishment. It include the control variables of aggregate planning : 1) employment 2) over time working and idle time 3) inventory 4) delivery delay S) subcontract 61 long - term facility capacity. Each variables composed of pure strategy as like a decision of inventory level, a change of employment level, etc. md alternative costs make a computation on the economic foundation. But the optimum alternative costs represent the mixed pure strategy. The faults of this method doesn't optimum guarantee a special scheduling as well as increasing a number of alternative combination. Theoretical, Linear Decision Rule make an including all variables, but it is almost impossible for this model to develope actually And also make use of the aggregate planning problem for developing system approach : LDR, heuristic model, Search Decision Rule, all kind of computers, simulation. But these models are very complex, each variables get an extremely inter-dependence. So this study be remained by theory level, some approach methods has not been brought the optimum solution to apply in every cases.

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우리나라 서남해안 간척지 및 간석지 토양의 입단분포 (Soil Aggregate Distribution in Reclaimed Tidelands and Tidelands of Southwest Coastal Area of Korea)

  • 손재권;최진규;황선아;박봉주;조재영
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 2005
  • A aggregate size distribution of soils is an important in successful crop production in reclaimed tidelands. The aggregate size distribution for this study were determined of 0.1mm, 0.25mm, 0.5mm, 1.0mm, and 2.0mm by wet sieving method. Agricultural activity, period of reclamation showed significant effects on aggregate size distribution in reclaimed tidelands. Aggregate MWD was greater in SS and KH(above 1.0m) than in YSG, GHD, SMG, and DH(below 0.5mm) reclaimed tidelands and tidelands. The percentage of aggregates less than < 2mm for SMG, GHD, and SM reclaimed tidelands and tidelands were ranged 8.9%, 36.7%, and 38.0%, respectively. The percentage of > 0.1mm aggregates for SMG, GHD, and SM reclaimed tidelands were ranged 9.0%, 26.0%, and 48.9%, respectively. Results indicated that aggregate size distribution of reclaimed tidelands and tidelands under various agricultural systems vary with reclamation period and soil type.

Solving a New Multi-Period Multi-Objective Multi-Product Aggregate Production Planning Problem Using Fuzzy Goal Programming

  • Khalili-Damghani, Kaveh;Shahrokh, Ayda
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.369-382
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a new multi-product multi-period multi-objective aggregate production planning problem. The proposed problem is modeled using multi-objective mixed-integer mathematical programming. Three objective functions, including minimizing total cost, maximizing customer services level, and maximizing the quality of end-product, are considered, simultaneously. Several constraints such as quantity of production, available time, work force levels, inventory levels, backordering levels, machine capacity, warehouse space and available budget are also considered. Some parameters of the proposed model are assumed to be qualitative and modeled using fuzzy sets. Then, a fuzzy goal programming approach is proposed to solve the model. The proposed approach is applied on a real-world industrial case study of a color and resin production company called Teiph-Saipa. The approach is coded using LINGO software. The efficacy and applicability of the proposed approach are illustrated in the case study. The results of proposed approach are compared with those of the existing experimental methods used in the company. The relative dominance of the proposed approach is revealed in comparison with the experimental method. Finally, a data dictionary, including the way of gathering data for running the model, is proposed in order to facilitate the re-implementation of the model for future development and case studies.

운송 문제의 최소비용 우선 배정 알고리즘을 적용한 총괄계획 (Aggregate Planning Using Least Cost First Assignment Algorithm of Transportation Problem)

  • 이상운
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2021
  • 총괄생산계획을 작성하는데 있어 운송법은 일반적으로 운송문제에 특화된 NCM, LCM, VAM 중 어느 하나로 초기 해를 구하고 SSM, MODI 중 어느 하나로 최적화를 수행하는 TSM에 대해 선형계획법 소프트웨어 패키지를 활용하고 있다. 반면에, 본 논문에서는 소프트웨어 패키지 도움 없이도 총괄생산계획을 쉽고 빠르며, 정확하게 작성하는 운송법을 제안한다. 제안된 알고리즘은 단순히 최소비용 우선 배정법을 적용하고, 재고기간을 최소화하는 방법을 제안하였다. 제안된 알고리즘을 6개의 실험데이터에 적용한 결과 VAM이나 LP에 비해 4개 데이터에 대해서는 보다 좋은 결과를, 나머지 2개 데이터에 대해서는 동일한 결과를 얻었다.

순환골재 품질인증 기준설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Quality Certification Guideline of Recycled Aggregate)

  • 이세현;송태협;심종우
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집(II)
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    • pp.113-116
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    • 2006
  • After laws for recycling promotion of construction wastes was established on December, 2003, successive technical and institutional measures related to construction wastes are driven. Typically quality standards for recycled aggregate were enacted and officially announced, and recently the quality assurance system for recycled aggregate is promoted to be established. In relation, this study reviewed major factors affecting certification examination necessary to carry out quality assurance system for recycled aggregate and related standards to guarantee the quality of recycled aggregate. More specifically it is suggested that working place examination related to manufacturing facility and planning, quality control manpower and system, environmental and safety control, etc, and quality inspection with classified by for road construction, for concrete, and for asphalt concrete are used as quality assurance standards.

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