• Title/Summary/Keyword: Agent-Based Model (ABM)

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An Agent-Based Model Analysis on the Effects of Consumers' Demand Response System (행위자기반모형을 이용한 선택적 전력요금제의 전력요금 절감효과 분석)

  • Park, Hojeong;Lee, Yoo-Soo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.225-249
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    • 2015
  • There are growing interests in the introduction of consumer's selective electricity tariff systems in order to enhance demand response in electricity market in Korea. Real time pricing (RTP) and Time of Use (TOU) are typical examples of demand response system through which electricity price is linked to real time demand. This paper adopts an agent-based model to analyze the effects of such demand system on the counsumers' electricity costs. The result shows that real time pricing system is effective to reduce electricity costs of consumers by providing more flexible tariff system, depending on each consumer's demand pattern. This finding could be used as a basis for supporting smart grid system in the presence of responsive demand environment.

A Study on War Potential Judgement of Defense Sufficiency Task Group Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation (에이전트 기반 모의를 이용한 방위충분성 기동전단 전력판단 연구)

  • Kim, Yeong-Jin;Lee, Jae-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.397-407
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, We judge War Potential of Defense Sufficiency Task Croup Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation(ABMS) and indicate the Republic of Korea Navy's future. We use ABMS model, Map Aware Non-uniform Automata(MANA), to be obtained the results. To overcome future threat of Japan and China in a sea around the Korean Peninsula. War Potential of Defense Sufficiency Task Group are to be at least 4KDX-III and $20{\sim}24$KDX-II. Therefore, Republic of Korea Navy have to increase the war potential scales, $11{\sim}15$ battleship with future including build-up plan of present war Potential and Improve The battleship' performance not less than that of KDX-II.

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Exploration of Border Security Systems of the ROK Army Using ABMS and GA Algorithm (ABMS와 유전학적 알고리즘을 이용한 한국군 경계시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Kyungtack;Lee, Jae-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2013
  • This paper explores a border security system based on agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS). The ABMS software platform, map aware non-uniform automata, is used to model various scenarios and evaluate the border security system given a set of infiltrators who have evolutionary behavior governed by genetic algorithm (GA). we formulated an optimization model and approximately solved it using a GA in order to capture near optimal behavior of an infiltrating force. The results presented give two significant insights for our border security system in that optimizing the infiltrator's behavior can make a significant difference and the quantitative results regarding the infiltrator's avoidance of each asset can be viewed as capturing their relative importance.

Analysis of the GOP Border security systems of the ROK Army by Using ABMS and NOLH design (ABMS와 NOLH을 이용한 한국군 GOP 경계시스템에 관한 분석)

  • Oh, Kyungtack
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the border security problem of the ROK Army is examined by applying the agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) concept as well as its platform, MANA. Based on the approximately optimized behavior of the infiltrator obtained using genetic algorithm (GA), we evaluate the GOP border security system which consists of human resources, surveillance, as well as command and control (C2) systems. We use four measures of effectiveness (MOEs) to evaluate its performance, and we apply a near optimal latin hypercube (NOLH) design to deal with the large number of factors of interest in our model. By using a NOLH design, our simulation runs are implemented efficiently. We hope the results of this study provide valuable data for deciding the configuration of the border security system structure and the number of soldiers assigned in the platoon.

Wildlife Habitat Prediction Model based on Specialist's Experience - A Case Study of Daecheoncheon.Cheongradam - (전문조사원 경험에 의한 야생동물 서식지 예측모형 - 대천천.청라댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Jang, Raeik;Lee, Myoun-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this study was to use the information deduced from biotopemap in Boryeong, Chungnam province conducted in 2011 and to select the wildlife survey point. The information used for the study was deduced from the knowledge and experience of wildlife specialists and was realized by 6 environmental variables (Outside distance from food vegetation, Outside distance from farm land, Outside distance from forest, Human density, Outside distance from road, Outside distance from water). 6 environmental variables were modeled by map overlay method and the model could deduce the correlation of 94.72% as a result of comparing with occurrence information. The areas predicted to have many occurrences were rural landscapes, forests, and valleys, and they can be used to deduce the quality wildlife survey results in the limit of survey range (area, schedule, and budget). However, it had the limit points such as the inside of forests was excluded, all species did not prefer the same habitat. The following studies are needed for this part in the future.

A Study on the Effective Health Examination Center Distribution and Space Coordination using Agent based Model (행위자 기반 모형을 활용한 효율적 검진센터 서비스배분 및 공간조정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Suktae;Hong, Sachul
    • Journal of The Korea Institute of Healthcare Architecture
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The important things in space plan of a screening center are improving the spatial awareness by space systemization and minimizing the examination time for customers, and reducing the required time of screening work and maximizing the capacity for the screening center. Therefore, we tried to solve the problem of improving spatial awareness and reducing the examination time by using the pedestrian based discrete event simulation at the minimum cost. Methods: We have analyzed the drawbacks and the supplement points by comparing the floor plan at the time of opening and the current floor plan. Based on the analysis, we propose an improved plan which changes the location of the examination rooms and the number of services, and we also verify the improved plan based on simulation analyses. Results: 1) Through the analyses, we derived the drawbacks of the floor plan at the time of opening, and we realized that the current floor plan reflects the drawbacks. 2) The major reasons of the long examination time are the human traffic jam and the occurrence of queues due to unreasonable allocation of services. 3) Through the discrete event simulation analyses, it was possible to specify the place of the queues manually so as to use the given space fairly. 4) Using the discrete event simulation, it was possible to reduce the examination time and to improve the spatial awareness effectively at the minimum cost. Implications: Although the proposed simulation methodology in this paper is an analysis of the existing screening center, we expect that the proposed methodology will be used to develop a more efficient architectural design process by pre-applying the method to the course of designing a screening center and finding the suitability of the proposed method with the matched number of services.

Dynamics of Technology Adoption in Markets Exhibiting Network Effects

  • Hur, Won-Chang
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 2010
  • The benefit that a consumer derives from the use of a good often depends on the number of other consumers purchasing the same goods or other compatible items. This property, which is known as network externality, is significant in many IT related industries. Over the past few decades, network externalities have been recognized in the context of physical networks such as the telephone and railroad industries. Today, as many products are provided as a form of system that consists of compatible components, the appreciation of network externality is becoming increasingly important. Network externalities have been extensively studied among economists who have been seeking to explain new phenomena resulting from rapid advancements in ICT (Information and Communication Technology). As a result of these efforts, a new body of theories for 'New Economy' has been proposed. The theoretical bottom-line argument of such theories is that technologies subject to network effects exhibit multiple equilibriums and will finally lock into a monopoly with one standard cornering the entire market. They emphasize that such "tippiness" is a typical characteristic in such networked markets, describing that multiple incompatible technologies rarely coexist and that the switch to a single, leading standard occurs suddenly. Moreover, it is argued that this standardization process is path dependent, and the ultimate outcome is unpredictable. With incomplete information about other actors' preferences, there can be excess inertia, as consumers only moderately favor the change, and hence are themselves insufficiently motivated to start the bandwagon rolling, but would get on it once it did start to roll. This startup problem can prevent the adoption of any standard at all, even if it is preferred by everyone. Conversely, excess momentum is another possible outcome, for example, if a sponsoring firm uses low prices during early periods of diffusion. The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamics of the adoption process in markets exhibiting network effects by focusing on two factors; switching and agent heterogeneity. Switching is an important factor that should be considered in analyzing the adoption process. An agent's switching invokes switching by other adopters, which brings about a positive feedback process that can significantly complicate the adoption process. Agent heterogeneity also plays a important role in shaping the early development of the adoption process, which has a significant impact on the later development of the process. The effects of these two factors are analyzed by developing an agent-based simulation model. ABM is a computer-based simulation methodology that can offer many advantages over traditional analytical approaches. The model is designed such that agents have diverse preferences regarding technology and are allowed to switch their previous choice. The simulation results showed that the adoption processes in a market exhibiting networks effects are significantly affected by the distribution of agents and the occurrence of switching. In particular, it is found that both weak heterogeneity and strong network effects cause agents to start to switch early and this plays a role of expediting the emergence of 'lock-in.' When network effects are strong, agents are easily affected by changes in early market shares. This causes agents to switch earlier and in turn speeds up the market's tipping. The same effect is found in the case of highly homogeneous agents. When agents are highly homogeneous, the market starts to tip toward one technology rapidly, and its choice is not always consistent with the populations' initial inclination. Increased volatility and faster lock-in increase the possibility that the market will reach an unexpected outcome. The primary contribution of this study is the elucidation of the role of parameters characterizing the market in the development of the lock-in process, and identification of conditions where such unexpected outcomes happen.

International and domestic research trends in longitudinal connectivity evaluations of aquatic ecosystems, and the applicability analysis of fish-based models (수생태계 종적 연결성 평가를 위한 국내외 연구 현황 및 어류기반 종적 연속성 평가모델 적용성 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Yoon;Kim, Jai-Gu;Bae, Dae-Yeul;Kim, Hye-Jin;Kim, Jeong-Eun;Lee, Ho-Seong;Lim, Jun-Young;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.634-649
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    • 2020
  • Recently, stream longitudinal connectivity has been a topic of investigation due to the frequent disconnections and the impact of aquatic ecosystems caused by the construction of small and medium-sized weirs and various artificial structures (fishways) directly influencing the stream ecosystem health. In this study, the international and domestic research trends of the longitudinal connectivity in aquatic ecosystems were evaluated and the applicability of fish-based longitudinal connectivity models used in developed countries was analyzed. For these purposes, we analyzed the current status of research on longitudinal connectivity and structural problems, fish monitoring methodology, monitoring approaches, longitudinal disconnectivity of fish movement, and biodiversity. In addition, we analyzed the current status and some technical limitations of physical habitat suitability evaluation, ecology-based water flow, eco-hydrological modeling for fish habitat connectivity, and the s/w program development for agent-based model. Numerous references, data, and various reports were examined to identify worldwide longitudinal stream connectivity evaluation models in European and non-European countries. The international approaches to longitudinal connectivity evaluations were categorized into five phases including 1) an approach integrating fish community and artificial structure surveys (two types input variables), 2) field monitoring approaches, 3) a stream geomorphological approach, 4) an artificial structure-based DB analytical approach, and 5) other approaches. the overall evaluation of survey methodologies and applicability for longitudinal stream connectivity suggested that the ICE model (Information sur la Continuite Ecologique) and the ICF model (Index de Connectivitat Fluvial), widely used in European countries, were appropriate for the application of longitudinal connectivity evaluations in Korean streams.