• 제목/요약/키워드: Adverse Selection Risk

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.028초

정보비대칭 관점에서 서울 오피스 시장의 월세미납리스크에 관한 연구 (A Study on The Risk on the Non-payment of Monthly Rent of Seoul Office Market in the Framework of Asymmetric Information)

  • 김성남;최영상;고성수
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제15권7호
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    • pp.531-543
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    • 2015
  • 현재까지 서울 오피스 시장의 경우 관례적으로 고정된 보증금/월세 비율로 인해 보증금에 대한 이론적인 분석의 여지가 없었다. 하지만 본 연구는 글로벌 스탠다드인 점유비용의 개념을 도입하여 오피스 임대시장의 월세 미납 리스크에 대한 분석을 시도한다. 또한 정보비대칭 상황에서 보증금의 수준이 임차인의 역선택 문제를 해소하는 수단으로 사용될 수 있다는 Benjamin, Lusht, and Shilling(1998)의 견해에 따라 본 연구는 정보비대칭 상황인 서울 오피스 시장을 대상으로 보증금과 월세의 수준이 어떻게 정보비대칭 문제를 해결하는지 검증하고자 한다. 실증분석 결과 오피스 임대인들은 월세 미납 리스크를 헤지하기 위해 약 9%의 리스크 프리미엄을 점유비용에 부과하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 오피스 임대시장에서 보증금 및 월 임대료의 운용수익률을 산정할 때, 임차인이 가지는 월세 미납 리스크의 반영 수준을 추정할 수 있게 한다.

날씨파생상품을 이용한 경북지역 사과농가 경영안정 효과 분석 (Analysis of Farm Management Stabilization Effects Using Weather Derivatives for Apple Farmers in Kyeongpuk District)

  • 윤성욱;최장훈;정원호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.459-475
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes weather derivatives as an alternative risk management tool to stabilize farm revenue to complement the existing crop insurance program which suffers from asymmetric information problems such as adverse selection, moral hazard, and verifiability. We estimated apple yield functions to observe the relationship between yields and weather indices such as temperature and precipitation. Based on the estimated yield functions we designed weather futures and options products underlying temperature and precipitation, and calculated the prices of futures and options by two different approaches, historical distribution and Monte Carlo simulation. We found that weather futures and options stabilize farm revenue based on the estimated four risk indicators: Coefficient of Variation, Value at Risk, Certainty Equivalence, and Risk Premium. As a result, weather derivatives could be considered as a potential farm risk management tool through studying more in legal and institutional strategies and developing various derivatives products.

Assessment of the Risk of Exposure to Chemical Carcinogens

  • Purchase, Iain F.H.
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2001
  • The methods used for risk assessment from exposure to chemicals are well established. in most cases where toxicity other than carcinogenesis is being considered, the standard method relies on establishing the No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) in the most sensitive animal toxicity study and using an appropriate safety factor (SF) to determine the exposure which would be associated with an acceptable risk. For carcinogens a different approach is used because it has been argued there is no threshold of effect. Thus mathematical equations are used to extrapolate from the high doses used in ani-mal experiments. These methods have been strongly criticised in recent years on several grounds. The most cogent criticisms are a) the equations are not based on a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis and b) the outcome of a risk assessment based on such models varies more as a consequence of changes to the assumptions and equation used than it does from the data derived from carcinogenicity experiments. Other criticisms include the absence of any measure of the variance on the risk assessment and the selection of default values that are very conservative. Recent advances in the application of risk assessment emphasise that measures of both the exposure and the hazard should be considered as a distribution of values. The outcome of such a risk assessment provides an estimate of the distribution of the risks.

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Complications reported with the use of orthodontic miniscrews: A systematic review

  • Giudice, Antonino Lo;Rustico, Lorenzo;Longo, Miriam;Oteri, Giacomo;Papadopoulos, Moschos A.;Nucera, Riccardo
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.199-216
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the complications and side effects associated with the clinical use of orthodontic miniscrews by systematically reviewing the best available evidence. Methods: A survey of articles published up to March 2020 investigating the complications associated with miniscrew insertion, in both the maxilla and mandible, was performed using 7 electronic databases. Clinical studies, case reports, and case series reporting complications associated with the use of orthodontic miniscrew implants were included. Two authors independently performed study selection, data extraction, and risk-of-bias assessment. Results: The database survey yielded 24 articles. The risk-of-bias assessment revealed low methodological quality for the included studies. The most frequent adverse event reported was root injury with an associated periradicular lesion, vitality loss, pink discoloration of the tooth, and transitory loss of pulp sensitivity. Chronic inflammation of the soft tissue surrounding the miniscrew with mucosal overgrowth was also reported. The other adverse events reported were lesion of the buccal mucosa at the insertion site, soft-tissue necrosis, and perforation of the floor of the nasal cavity and maxillary sinus. Adverse events were also reported after miniscrew removal and included secondary bleeding, miniscrew fracture, scars, and exostosis. Conclusions: These findings highlight the need for clinicians to preliminarily assess generic and specific insertion site complications and side effects.

A Mechanism to Derive Optimal Contractor-type & Action Comginations of a Single-source Procurement Contract

  • 정승호
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 1999
  • In sole-source procurement contraction for government goods and services, the buyer (government) needs to derive the optimal actions from the contractor so the buyer can obtain the maximum utility and the contractor, or single-source supplier, is guaranteed the equivalent of a minimum level of profit. Under the assumption of risk-neutrality for both the buyer and the contractor and the buyer's unobservability of the contractor's action, it is necessary for the buyer to design a (mathematical) model to achieve the above objective. This paper considers the mathematical formulation in which two problems - moral hazard and adverse selection - are present simultaneously; furthermore, from the formulation, a GAMS (General Algebraic Modeling System) program is used for a possible buyer to obtain the optimal actions.

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고지의무(告知義務)와 진단과실(診斷過失) (Duty of Representation & Negligence of Medical Examination)

  • 윤병학
    • 보험의학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 1986
  • In life insurance the goal of medical examination is to exclude medical, environmental adverse-selection to the utmost. And keeping the principle of equity and the homogeneity of risk in the group of the insured, you are able to manage the company reasonably and realize the orginal ideal of life insurance, namely, the mutual assistance. And yet, the cases of the misrepresentation have been occurred frequently so far. As a result of them, the development of life insurance industry has been obstructed, and public criticism has been caused. Carrying medical examination, you have to know how the representation is important, And citing what the misrepresentation and false representation influenced the results, I want you to refer to medical exam-business.

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Warranties for Products with Varying Usage Intensity

  • Kim, Jae Soong;Kim, Ji Sung
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제24권64호
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2001
  • Most warranty studies assume that the usage intensity is the same for all buyers. However, in real life the usage intensity varies across the population of buyers. In the general case, one can divide the population into $\kappa$ categories. This has implications for manufacturers of products. Should a manufacturer produce one product and offer different warranties for the $\kappa$ groups or produce different products (one for each group) and offer the same warranty. A warranty cost analysis is needed to choose between these options. The analysis complicated by factors such as adverse selection , buyers attitude to risk and the price structure. In this paper we develop models to study the expected warranty cost for products with free replacement warranty with varying usage intensity. Numerical examples are presented.

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Contagious Effect of the Fees for the Consolidated Financial Services under the Asymmetric Information

  • Song, Soo-Young;Hwang, Sun-Wung
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.83-102
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    • 2009
  • Banks traditionally focus on the financial services against the uncertain future liquidity needs, i.e. saving as well as lending. As the business model of banks has been shifted from the originate to hold model to the originate to distribute model since the enactment of Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services Modernization Act in 1999, the financial services encompass information gathering and generating, underwriting and risk sharing through packaging claims for the investors, in addition to the payment and settlement services. Ensued are the financial market integration and diversification of financial services, with which the accessibility to financial services is arguably significantly enhanced. Such integration and diversification necessarily entails the risk of contagion due to the non-fulfilling service over the several other financial services, which would be contained easily under the separate financial services. This paper addresses the pricing of fees for the integrated financial services through which the contagion could spread when the users of financial service are not immune to the failure to fulfill their obligation due to the economic turmoil. Consequently the information asymmetry about the clients is unavoidable. Higher fees could drive out the otherwise good clients out of the pool of customers for the financial services. Then, the risk could be exacerbated due to the proliferation of bad clients who are vulnerable to the financial distress and liquidity crunch. So the banks should take into account the interactional effect of the fees between/among the non interest based activities and interest based activities under the information asymmetry. Contrary to our general perception, the current analysis demonstrates that the bank should focus on the reduction of cost associated with good clients rather than that of bad clients.

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The effects of remdesivir on mortality and the requirement for mechanical ventilation in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review stratified by disease severity

  • Seungeun Ryoo;Miyoung Choi;Su-Yeon Yu;Young Kyung Yoon;Kyungmin Huh;Eun-Jeong Joo
    • The Korean journal of internal medicine
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.160-171
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    • 2024
  • Background/Aims: The effectiveness of remdesivir treatment in reducing mortality and the requirement for mechanical ventilation (MV) remains uncertain, as randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have produced conflicting results. Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and other data resources to find RCTs published prior to April 10, 2023. The selection of studies, assessment of risk of bias, and meta-analysis were conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and the need to initiate MV. Results: A total of 5,068 articles were screened, from eight RCTs comprising 11,945 patients. The meta-analysis found that, compared to standard care or placebo, remdesivir treatment provided no significant all-cause mortality benefit (pooled risk ratio [RR], 0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-1.02; 8 studies; high certainty evidence), while subgroup analyses revealed a trend towards reduced mortality among patients requiring oxygen but not MV (pooled RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-1.00; 6 studies; I2 = 4%). The need to initiate MV (pooled RR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.59-0.94; 7 studies; moderate certainty evidence) in remdesivir-treated patients was also reduced compared to controls. Remdesivir significantly increased clinical improvement and discharge and significantly reduced serious adverse events. Conclusions: In this systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs, it was found that remdesivir treatment did not show a substantial decrease in the risk of mortality. However, it was linked to a reduction in the necessity for additional ventilator support, suggesting remdesivir could be beneficial for COVID-19 patients, particularly those who are not on MV.

이익조정과 스톡옵션이 자사주 매입 공시효과에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Earnings Management and Stock Options on the Disclosure Effect of Share Repurchases)

  • 김경순;김유진;김홍렬
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.343-359
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between earnings management and the disclosure effect of share repurchase. In addition, we analyze whether the relationship between earnings management and share repurchase is affected by executive stock options. Design/methodology/approach - We calculate the discretionary accrual amount for the year immediately preceding the share repurchase and the cumulative excess return around the announcement of the share repurchase, and examine the relationship between the two by regression analysis. Findings - We confirmed a negative relationship between discretionary accrual in the year immediately preceding the share repurchase and the market response to the share repurchase disclosure. In particular, it was found that the negative relationship between discretionary accrual and stock price return on share repurchase announcement was found to decrease in companies to which executive stock options were granted. Research implications or Originality - When uncertainties exist in the motives for share repurchase, we find that earnings management and executive stock options can be useful tools for reducing the adverse selection risk inherent in share repurchase announcements.