• Title/Summary/Keyword: Adaptive Expectations

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Drivers' Learning Mechanism and Route Choice Behavior for Different Traffic Conditions (교통상황에 따른 운전자의 경로선택과 학습행동에 관한 연구)

  • 도명식;석종수;김명수;최병국
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2003
  • When a route choice is done under uncertainty, a driver has some expectation of traffic conditions that will occur according to the route chosen. This study tries to build a framework in which we can observe the learning behavior of the drivers' expectations of the travel time under nonstationary environment. In order to investigate how drivers have their subjective expectations on traffic conditions in response to public information, a numerical experiment is carried out. We found that rational expectations(RE) formation about the route travel time can be expressed by the adaptive expectation model when the travel time changes in accordance with the nonstationary process which consists of permanent shock and transient shock. Also, we found that the adaptive parameter of the model converges to the fixed value corresponding to the route conditions.

Modeling Spatial Patterns of an Overheated Speculation Area (투기과열지역의 공간패턴 모형화)

  • Sohn, Hak-Gi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.104-116
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    • 2008
  • Overheated speculation areas which have high potential of becoming speculative are the target of many real estate policies. This paper proposes a model for spatial patterns of house price volatility and suggests a spatial pattern of overheated speculation areas. House prices are determined by economic behaviors of sellers and buyers who have rational or adaptive expectations. Spatial patterns of house price volatility are formed by tendencies of their economic behavior. If there is a majority of adaptive sellers and buyers in an area, it may appear as a "hotspot" by showing high volatility of house prices and simultaneous price increases. Overheated speculation areas are formed by adaptive sellers and buyers who want to realize maximum expectation profit, therefore these areas patterns are defined as hotspot patterns of price volatility.

Efficient Adaptive Global Optimization for Constrained Problems (구속조건이 있는 문제의 적응 전역최적화 효율 향상에 대한 연구)

  • Ahn, Joong-Ki;Lee, Ho-Il;Lee, Sung-Mhan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.557-563
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    • 2010
  • This paper addresses the issue of adaptive global optimization using Kriging metamodel known as EGO(Efficient Global Optimization). The algorithm adaptively chooses where to generate subsequent samples based on an explicit trade-off between reduction of global uncertainty and exploration of the region of the interest. A strategy that saves the computational cost by using expectations derived from probabilistic nature of approximate model is proposed. At every iteration, a candidate test point that seems to be feasible/inactive or has little possibility to improve for minimum is identified and excluded from updating approximate models. By doing that the computational cost is saved without loss of accuracy.

Dynamic Adaptive Model based on Probabilistic Distribution Functions and User's Profile for Web Media Systems (웹 미디어 시스템을 위한 확률 분포 함수와 사용자 프로파일에 기반 한 동적 적응 모델)

  • Baek, Yeong-Tae;Lee, Se-Hoon
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we proposed dynamic adaptive model based on discrete probabilistic distribution functions and user's profile for web media systems(web based hypermedia systems). The model represented that the application domain is modelled using a weighted direct graph and the user's behaviour is modelled using a probabilistic approach that dynamically constructs a discrete probability distribution functions. The proposed probabilistic interpretation of the web media structure is used to characterize latent properties of the user's behaviour, which can be captured by tracking user's browsing activity. Using that distribution the system attempts to assign the user to the best profile that fits user's expectations.

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An Econometric Analysis of Imported Softwood Log Markets in South Korea - on the Basis of the Lagged Dependent Variable -

  • Park, Yong Bae;Youn, Yeo-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.2
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    • pp.148-155
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is to know market structures of softwood logs being imported to South Korea from log producing countries. Import demand of softwood logs imported to South Korea from America, New Zealand and Chile is fixed as a function of log prices, the lagged dependent variable and output. On the basis of the adaptive expectations model, linear regression models that the explanatory variables included and the lagged dependent variable were estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The short-run and long-run own price elasticity of America's softwood log import demand is -1.738 and -4.250 respectively. Then long-run elasticity is much higher than short-run elasticity. Short-run and long-run crosselasticity of New Zealand's softwood log import demand with respect to American's softwood log import price are inelastic at 0.505 and 0.883 respectively. Short-run and long-run cross-elasticity of Chile's softwood log import demands with respect to American's softwood log import prices were highly elastic at 2.442 and 4.462 respectively. Long-run elasticity was almost twice as high as short-run elasticity.

Robust Multiuser Detection Based on Least p-Norm State Space Filtering Model

  • Zha, Daifeng
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2007
  • Alpha stable distribution is better for modeling impulsive noises than Gaussian distribution in signal processing. This class of process has no closed form of probability density function and finite second order moments. In general, Wiener filter theory is not meaningful in S$\alpha$SG environments because the expectations may be unbounded. We proposed a new adaptive recursive least p-norm Kalman filtering algorithm based on least p-norm of innovation process with infinite variances, and a new robust multiuser detection method based on least p-norm Kalman filtering. The simulation experiments show that the proposed new algorithm is more robust than the conventional Kalman filtering multiuser detection algorithm.

Boundless Technologies: Mind-setting Value Creations

  • Rolfsen Rolf Kenneth;Kongsvold Kenneth;Kjolle Kari Hovin;Karlsen Stale
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.95-120
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    • 2005
  • Utilization of information and communication technologies is commonly accepted as important to value creation in the knowledge economy. Nevertheless, empirical findings from our business case studies often show that while sophisticated technological tools may be developed, the potentials are not realized. It is evident that technology is subject to adaptive and emergent strategies of use, diverging from the original intention. Within this space of opportunities, we elaborate the importance of constructing strategic concepts as communication tools to support organisational implementation of technologies. We use the concept of organisational implementation as a way of taking the technology into use in order to support changes and value creation in the user organisation. In this paper we present our findings related to how use and experiences are conditioned by the users' expectations. We have conducted a business case study in order to understand and explore how users employ and use a particular wireless technology infrastructure. On behalf of the infrastructure vendor, we have studied three different organisations that use this technology. The overall research goal of our joint research project was to find out what is good use and for whom. We find that users struggle to go beyond the expectations they had when they were conceptualising and telling us about their practice. We have good indications that a narrowed consciousness was also conditioning the users' use of the technology. In this paper we draw the conclusion that technological implementations towards changing work practices and value creation must not be viewed by the company solely as a knowledge acquisition process, but as a process of knowledge creation. Organisational implementation is an ongoing process, a learning process at both the organisational and individual level. Flexible tools and technologies are constituted and shaped in interaction and communication in the workplace. Based on that knowledge, we build up an argument for an organisational implementation framework, including strategic discussions, learning spaces, and concept constructions.

Factors Affecting Job Performance and Turnover Intention of Call Center Representatives : Focusing on Individual Characteristics and Organizational Characteristics (콜센터 상담사의 직무성과 및 이직의도에 영향을 미치는 요인 : 개인특성과 조직특성을 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Kyeongsook;QU, MIN
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.55-82
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the factors that influence the turnover intention, job performance of call center representatives based on the adaptive structuration theory (AST). This study intended to empirically examine how individual characteristics of representative affect the technological and task adaptation, how they affect job performance and turnover intention. On the other hand, this study also explains how rational culture and organization a reputation which are considered as dimensions of organizational characteristics affects organizational commitment, and verifies the relationship between organizational commitment and job performance and turnover intention. Finally this paper aim to provide academic and practical implications. In order to solve the above research problems, this research proposed a model based on the adaptive structuration theory. In order to identify the relationship between the proposed variables and the AST for individual, we conducted an empirical test on the call center representatives. The structural equation model was used to verify the research model and hypotheses. The results of the empirical analysis show that the personal characteristics of counselors, such as communication skills, multitasking abilities, and innovativeness have a positive effect on skill adaptation, and skill adaptation has a positive effect on task adaptation, furthermore, it influences on job performance and turnover intention Respectively. In addition, among the factors of organizational environmental dimensions of the call center, it was found that organizational reputation not only increase continuance commitment but also increase normative commitment. Contrary to our expectations, perceived rational culture didn't have a positive effect on organizational commitment. Also, continuance commitment and normative commitment are valid predictors of job performance, but they have nothing to do with turnover intention. On the contrary, emotional commitment is the only one variable among three dimensions of organizational commitment have a positive effect on turnover intention, but is not a valid predictor of job performance.

'Viewpoints/ Concerns' on empirical methodologies for Socio/ cultural studies

  • Ashis, Jalote Parmar;Lee, Kun-Pyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Design Studies Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.212-213
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    • 2004
  • Since the advent of man there has been a constant struggle to define social pattern, and understand ways of cultural thinking. Every culture has it's own limitations and freedoms, problems and expectations. For centuries now anthropologist, ethnographers have worked on mapping and defining these differences. These findings instigate the designers to formulate new design theories and research methodologies for drafting cultural specific solutions. The question arises 'in a cross cultural application how effective and applicable are the basic research methodologies'? Quoting one such example the 'Privacy' issue seems to be a very strong component in the Japanese culture but is often a deterring factor in allowing the 'home ethnographic study to take place effectively'. However in countries like India similar studies could have a more welcoming reaction owing to the adaptive social culture. Similarly, the high rate of 'Illiteracy' in rural India closes many doors for 'form filling' user surveys. This leads to the scope of research for understanding specific cultural traits that may effect adaptation and re-improvisation of these existing methodologies. Quite often the cultural traits of a country may lead in forming new research methodologies.

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Server Side Solutions For Web-Based Video

  • Biernacki, Arkadiusz
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.1768-1789
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    • 2016
  • In contemporary video streaming systems based on HTTP protocol, video players at the client side are responsible for adjusting video quality to network conditions and user expectations. However, when multiple video clips are streamed simultaneously, an intricate application logic implemented in the video players overlays the TCP mechanism which is responsible for a balanced access to a shared network link. As a result, some video players may not obtain a fair share of network throughput and may be vulnerable to an unstable video bit-rate. Therefore, we propose to simplify the algorithms implemented in the video players, which are responsible for the adjustment of video quality and constrain their functionality only to sending feedback to a server about a state of the player buffer. The main logic of the system is shifted to the server, which is now responsible for bit-rate selection and prioritisation of the video streams transmitted to multiple clients. To verify our proposition, we performed several experiments in a laboratory environment which show that when the server cooperates with the clients, the video players experience fewer quality switches and the system achieves better fairness when allocating network throughput among the video players. However, this comes at the cost of worse utilisation of network bandwidth.