• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.203-210
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• 2012

Traffic accident risk of young drivers(less than 25) is reported to have 8 times as high as that of middle aged drivers(between 30 and 49). Despite the rise of traffic accident risk, few have been attempted to take a look into driving characteristics of young drivers. The purpose of this paper is to analyze age-specific risks of young driver by means of database of insurance and vehicle inspection, thereby collecting data such as age, vehicle mileage, injuries and so on. We conducted Data-Mining(CART) and Portfolio analysis according to age groups(every 10 years). The conclusions which can be drawn from this empirical study are as follows: (1) Despite the fact that young drivers have low vehicle mileage, the rate of fatality is relatively high. (2) Being concerned of vehicle mileage, 24,000km of driving experience is thought to be critical in differing in fatality rate. Having annual average mileage fewer than 24,169 km, accident frequency is relatively lower than that exceeding 24,169 km(1,571 cases). Backed upon these, some recommendations about driver's license system for young driver to improve are given.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.125-136
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• 2005

현재 도로사업의 타당성 조사 시 사용하는 교통사고 감소편익 산정시 도로등급별로 사고율을 일률적으로 적용하고 있고, 도로특성 및 V/C에 따른 특성이 고려되고 있지 못하고 있다. 이와 같은 문제점을 해결하기 위해 본 논문에서는 도로유형별 V/C 및 교통 특성을 반영하여 사고를 예측할 수 있는 모형을 개발하여 도로의 신설 및 개량에서 그 도로의 안전성을 평가할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 초기 단계로서 도시지역 도로를 대상으로 하여 모형을 개발하였다. 우선 도로유형별로 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인을 선정하였다. 이 때 선정 기준은 도로설계단계에서 획득할 수 있는 자료를 위주로 선정하였으며. 교통량, 중앙분리대의 유 무, 교차점수. 연결로수, 횡단신호등수 그리고 차로수를 선정하였다. 각 요인과 사고와의 관계를 분석해 본 결과 모두 통계적으로 유의한 수준에서 상관성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 도로의 등급 및 V/C에 따라 4가지 유형으로 분류하고, 각각에 대하여 포아송 선형회귀식을 통하여 사고예측모형을 도출하였으며, 실제 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 검증결과 모형식의 결과가 실제 사고 자료에 대해 비교적 양호하게 추정력을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 V/C에 따른 도로유형별 사고예측모형을 개발함으로써 도로의 물리적인 특성으로 인한 교통사고예측이 가능하고, 이 결과를 도로의 신설 및 개량에 대한 타당성 조사시 사고비용을 추정하는데 활용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다. 본 연구에서 이용한 자료가 전라북도 한 지역으로 한정되어있어 전국적인 대표성을 지니는 데에는 한계가 있을 수 있다는 사실을 밝히고자한다.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.423-432
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• 2019

매년 해양활동이 증가하며 해양사고 발생빈도가 높아지고 있다. 이에 따라 해양안전을 위한 각종 연구 활동과 정책이 실행되고 있다. 하지만 이러한 노력에도 불구하고 매년 해양사고가 증가하고 있어 이들의 실효성에 대한 문제가 제기되고 있다. 문헌연구 결과에 따르면, 통계연보를 활용한 선행연구는 통계제공항목 간 비교를 통해 두드러지는 항목에 대한 예방책을 제시하고 있다. 2000년대 이후에는 대형 해양사고가 반복적으로 발생하면서 '사고대응'에 대한 사례연구(case study)가 진행되고 있다. 국내 해양안전을 위한 정책수립 연구과정에서 통계연보나 사고사례를 주 자료로 활용하고 있으나 현재 자료는 사후결과 요약정도의 수준이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해양사고 사례분석 및 개선방안 관련 문헌연구를 통해 현행 해양관련 연구와 정책의 한계를 탐색하였다. 또한 자료 활용 한계를 개선하기 위한 방안의 일환으로 선박사고 상황보고서 속성분석, 텍스트 마이닝을 통해 해양사고 정보 분류체계인 온톨로지(ontology)를 수정 보완하였다. 해당 항목은 '신고자, 신고수단, 구조세력, 대응 조치사항, 대응취약성, 적재물, 유류유출경위, 피해유형, 사고처리결과'이며, 이 항목들은 분류체계 표준용어를 활용해 향후 지속적으로 수집 활용할 수 있다. 마지막으로 온톨로지를 실질적으로 활용하기 위한 데이터 수집 및 품질확보 방안을 제시했다. 결과적으로 현재 해양안전이 직면한 문제를 명확히 파악하고 '품질이 확보된 충분한 정보'를 활용한다면 보다 다양한 연구와 실효성 있는 정책 실현이 가능할 것이다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권11호
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• pp.2101-2106
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• 2009

The power system state estimation and prediction are very important for operation. Because that accidents of the Power system are the cause that many devices and etc are damaged. Currently, almost every power systems have 2nd,3rd back-upsystem for prevention of accident. But prevention of accident by miss-operation, due to operator or miss data, has not acounter plan. Because, we need to estimate the power system for correcting miss data and preventing miss operation by operator. We suggest algorithm for integrity of power system network data.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제35권9호
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• pp.729-733
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• 2011

The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

• 한국학교보건학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.63-71
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• 2004

Purpose: This study was conducted to identify the epidemiological characteristics of school accidents in middle school students. Methods: The subjects in this study were the students of a middle school in Gangnung. The study period was one semester, from March 2 to July 15, 1999. Data were collected by one of the authors using a structured questionnaire, and the subjects who had school accidents and visited the school health care office were interviewed. The data was analyzed using the SPSS and SAS programs. Results: The semester incidence rate per 100 students was 31.6 cases. The daily accident rate was 2.8 cases, and the accident incidence density was 2.6 cases per 1,000 students days. The mean of accident incidence was 1.7 per student. The incidence was the highest in June. The most frequent cause of accidents was carelessness, and the accidents were most frequent at recess. Conclusion: It is necessary to conduct the analytic epidemiological study to identify the risk factors of school accidents.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.53-59
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• 2017

PURPOSES : This study deals with traffic accidents involving trucks. The objective of this study is to develop a traffic accident model for trucks at roundabouts. METHODS : To achieve its objective, this study gives particular attention to develop appropriate models using Poisson and negative binomial regression models. Traffic accident data from 2007 to 2014 were collected from TAAS data set of road traffic authority. Thirteen explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume were used. RESULTS : The main results can be summarized as follows: (1) two statistically significant Poisson models (${\rho}^2=0.398$ and 0.435) were developed, and (2) the analysis revealed the common variables to be traffic volume, number of exit lanes, speed breakers, and truck apron width. CONCLUSIONS : Our modeling reveals that increasing the number of speed breakers and speed limit signs, and widening the truck apron width are important for reducing the number of truck accidents at roundabouts.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집(II)
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• pp.241-246
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• 2003

In this paper, necessity and application scope of the risk-analysis D/B which assesses the railway safety condition has been introduced. In addition, normalization of analysis work, which is one of the DB development procedures has been conducted. And the structure of accident data management has been introduced through the analysis on the classification scheme used in Korea. Also the improvement of railway accident classification and management scheme which is necessary to accident risk assesment has been presented by these procedures.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.133-141
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• 2015

PURPOSES : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within roundabouts. The objective of this study was to analyze safety effect by introduction of roundabouts. METHODS : In pursuing the above, traffic accident data on roundabouts are collected and compared. For the analysis, collected data were separated as all intersection points, turning lane accident, approach lane accident by geometric design. RESULTS : Through the study results, it was found that the total accidents decreased by 55 accidents/2 year with safety effect of roundabouts. Also the result shows that accidents by point of two-lane roundabout at turning lane(0.26) and approach lane(0.27) is risky than total accidents by point(0.09). Moreover, accidents by point shows high value as diameter of a roundabout is bigger. CONCLUSIONS : When a roundabout is introduced at the intersections there are safety effects by reduction of traffic accidents.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1-6
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• 2005

To improve safety management of railway and cope with the factors to threat technical and social safety, we need to establish railway safety management system based on analysis of hazards and assessment of risk for railway system. So we have to conduct PHA(Preliminary Hazard Analysis) first to understand weak points and factors to possibly threat safety using analysis of related data such as past accident/incident data and safety regulation and classification standards of hazards/causes of railway accidents. Therefore in this research, we led types/dangerous events/causes of risks/factors of risks from hazard log developed based on railway accident classification and hazards of railway accident. PHA model for domestic railway system will be used in risk analysis and risk assessment of railway accident.