한국안전학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society of Safety)

  • 제27권5호
  • /
  • Pages.203-210
  • /
  • 2012
  • /
  • 1738-3803(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2383-9953(eISSN)
한국안전학회 (The Korean Society of Safety)
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통합DB를 활용한 청년운전자의 위험도 실증분석

Empirical Study on the Risk Analysis of Young Driver Utilizing Integrated Data Base(DB)

  • 김태호 (성균관대학교 사회시스템공학과) ;
  • 이수일 (현대해상 교통기후환경연구실) ;
  • 최병호 (교통안전공단 안전연구처)
  • 투고 : 2012.04.05
  • 심사 : 2012.08.21
  • 발행 : 2012.10.31
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초록

Traffic accident risk of young drivers(less than 25) is reported to have 8 times as high as that of middle aged drivers(between 30 and 49). Despite the rise of traffic accident risk, few have been attempted to take a look into driving characteristics of young drivers. The purpose of this paper is to analyze age-specific risks of young driver by means of database of insurance and vehicle inspection, thereby collecting data such as age, vehicle mileage, injuries and so on. We conducted Data-Mining(CART) and Portfolio analysis according to age groups(every 10 years). The conclusions which can be drawn from this empirical study are as follows: (1) Despite the fact that young drivers have low vehicle mileage, the rate of fatality is relatively high. (2) Being concerned of vehicle mileage, 24,000km of driving experience is thought to be critical in differing in fatality rate. Having annual average mileage fewer than 24,169 km, accident frequency is relatively lower than that exceeding 24,169 km(1,571 cases). Backed upon these, some recommendations about driver's license system for young driver to improve are given.

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참고문헌

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