• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제41권10호
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• pp.997-1004
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• 2017

엘리베이터 와이어로프의 수명은 제품의 매우 중요한 특성 가운데 하나로서 사용자의 안전 및 장비의 정비 정책과 밀접한 관계가 있다. 엘리베이터 와이어로프의 수명을 사용조건에서 측정하는 것은 매우 비경제적이다. 이 연구에서는 엘리베이터 와이어로프 (8x19W-IWRC)의 가속열화시험 데이터를 활용하여 와이어로프의 수명을 추정하는 방법을 다루었다. 굽힘피로시험기를 이용하여 가속열화시험을 진행하였으며 가속변수로는 인장하중을 사용하였다. 와이어로프의 수명은 대수정규분포를 가정하였고, 선형회귀모형을 이용하여 가수명을 구한 후 가속수명모형을 이용하여 와이어로프의 수명을 추정하는 방법과 고장 확률에 대한 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용하여 추정하는 방법을 제시하고 두 모형의 수명 추정결과를 비교하였다.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.27-39
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• 2006

Many real world cases in material failure analysis do not follow perfectly the normal distribution. Forcing of the normality assumption may lead to inaccurate predictions and poor product quality. We examine the failure process of the internal bond (IB or tensile strength) of medium density fiberboard (MDF). We propose a forced censoring technique that closer fits the lower tails of strength distributions and better estimates extremely smaller percentiles, which may be valuable to continuous quality improvement initiatives. Further analyses are performed to build an accelerated common-shaped Weibull model for different product types using the $JMP^{(R)}$ Survival and Reliability platform. In this paper, a forced censoring technique is implemented for the first time as a software module, using $JMP^{(R)}$ Scripting Language (JSL) to expedite data processing, which is crucial for real-time manufacturing settings. Also, we use JSL to automate the task of fitting an accelerated Weibull model and testing model homogeneity in the shape parameter. Finally, a package script is written to readily provide field engineers customized reporting for model visualization, parameter estimation, and percentile forecasting. Our approach may be more accurate for product conformance evaluation, plus help reduce the cost of destructive testing and data management due to reduced frequency of testing. It may also be valuable for preventing field failure and improved product safety even when destructive testing is not reduced by yielding higher precision intervals at the same confidence level.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.466-472
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• 2013

국내외적으로 도시철도 및 고속철도에서 콘크리트궤도 부설이 증가하고 있는 추세에 있다. 콘크리트궤도에서 필수적으로 사용되고 있는 레일체결장치의 탄성패드는 열차하중에 대한 충격을 완화시켜주는 중요한 역할을 담당하고 있다. 일반적으로 탄성패드의 강성변화를 평가하기 위해서는 단순피로시험[1]이 시행되고 있으나 이는 실제 철도환경조건과는 상이할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 실제 철도현장에서 통과톤수를 받은 탄성패드에 대한 정적스프링계수를 측정하였다. 또한, 신품 탄성패드에 대해서 단순피로시험과 복합가속열화시험을 수행하였다. 사용한 탄성패드의 강성값은 사용시간과 반복횟수에 따른 시험결과값과 비교되었다. 시험결과의 비교를 통해 사용한 탄성패드의 정적스프링계수 변화경향이 반복하중과 열이 함께 고려된 복합가속열화시험결과와 동일한 경향을 보이는 것을 확인하였다. 또한, 복합가속열화와 관련된 T-NT식을 이용하여 탄성패드의 복합가속열화 모델을 도출하였으며, 약 2.62의 가속계수를 가지는 것을 확인하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구를 통해 폴리우레탄 탄성패드에 대한 복합가속열화 모델식을 제안하였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.423-432
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• 1999

Accelerated life testing of product is commonly used to reduced test time and costs. In this papers is considered when the product is a two component system with lifetimes following the bivariate exponential distribution of Sarkar(1987) using inverse power rule model. Also we derived the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for asymptotic normality. We compare the mean square error of the proposed estimator for the life distribution under use conditions stree through Monte Carlo simulation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.871-880
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• 2009

Recently, there has been much development on burn-in models in reliability area. Especially, the previous burn-in models have been extended to more general cases. For example, (i) burn-in procedures for repairable systems have been developed (ii) an extended assumption on the failure rate of the system has been proposed and (iii) a stochastic model for burn-in procedure in accelerated environment has been developed. In this paper, recent extensions and advances in burn-in models are introduced and some issues to be considered in the future study are discussed.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.923-931
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• 2005

The two parameter generalized exponential distribution was recently introduced by Gupta and Kundu (1999). It is observed that the generalized exponential distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze skewed data set. This paper develops the accelerated life test model using generalized exponential distribution and considers maximum likelihood estimation of parameters under the tampered random variable model. To show the performance of proposed maximum likelihood estimates, some simulation will be performed. Using a real data set, an example will be given.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.71-83
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• 2000

This paper presents accelerated life tests for Type I censoring data under probabilistic stresses. Probabilistic stress, $S_j$, is the random variable for stress influenced by test environments, test equipments, sampling devices and use conditions. The hazard rate, ,$theta_j$, is the random variable of environments and the function of probabilistic stress. Also it is assumed that the general stress distribution is uniform, the life distribution for the given hazard rate, $\theta$, is exponential and inverse power law model holds. In this paper, we obtained maximum likelihood estimators of model parameters and the mean life in use stress condition.

• Genomics & Informatics
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.166-172
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• 2016

Although a large number of genetic variants have been identified to be associated with common diseases through genome-wide association studies, there still exits limitations in explaining the missing heritability. One approach to solving this missing heritability problem is to investigate gene-gene interactions, rather than a single-locus approach. For gene-gene interaction analysis, the multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) method has been widely applied, since the constructive induction algorithm of MDR efficiently reduces high-order dimensions into one dimension by classifying multi-level genotypes into high- and low-risk groups. The MDR method has been extended to various phenotypes and has been improved to provide a significance test for gene-gene interactions. In this paper, we propose a simple method, called accelerated failure time (AFT) UM-MDR, in which the idea of a unified model-based MDR is extended to the survival phenotype by incorporating AFT-MDR into the classification step. The proposed AFT UM-MDR method is compared with AFT-MDR through simulation studies, and a short discussion is given.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.689-697
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• 2005

This paper presents the reliability estimation of door hinge for home appliances, which consists of bushing and shaft. The predominant failure mechanism of bushing made of polyoxymethylene(POM) is brittle fracture due to decrease of strength caused by voids existing, and that of shaft made of acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene(ABS) is creep due to plastic deformation caused by excessive temperature and lowering of glass transition temperature by absorbed moisture. Since the brittle fracture of bushing is overstress failure mechanism, the load-strength interference model is used to estimate the failure rate of it along with failure analysis. By the way, the creep of shaft is wearout failure mechanism, and an accelerated life test is then planned and implemented to estimate its lifetime. Through the technical review about failure mechanism, temperature and humidity are selected as accelerating variables. Assuming Weibull lifetime distribution and Eyring model, the life-stress relationship and acceleration factor, $B_{10}$ life and its lower bound with $90\%$ confidence at worst case use condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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• pp.303-311
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• 2004

This paper presents the reliability estimation of door hinge for home appliances, which consists of bushing and shaft. The predominant failure mechanism of bushing made of polyoxymethylene(POM) is brittle fracture due to decrease of strength caused by voids existing, and that of shaft made of acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene(ABS) is creep due to plastic deformation caused by excessive temperature and lowering of glass transition temperature by absorbed moisture. Since the brittle fracture of bushing is overstress failure mechanism, the load-strength interference model is used to estimate the failure rate of it along with failure analysis. By the way, the creep of shaft is wearout failure mechanism, and an accelerated life test is then planned and implemented to estimate its lifetime. Through the technical review about failure mechanism, temperature and humidity are selected as accelerating variables. Assuming Weibull lifetime distribution and Eyring model, the life-stress relationship and acceleration factor, B$_{10}$ life and its lower bound with 90% confidence at worst case use condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.a.