• 제목/요약/키워드: Absolute error

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다중 프레임의 SAD를 이용한 드론 속도 측정 (Estimation of Drone Velocity with Sum of Absolute Difference between Multiple Frames)

  • 남돈호;염석원
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2019
  • 드론은 원거리 동영상을 효율적으로 획득할 수 있어서 활용성이 높다. 드론 운용에서 속도의 크기인 속력은 설정할 수 있지만 이동하는 방위의 정확한 값은 설정이 불가능하다. 본 논문에서는 드론에서 획득한 동영상을 이용하여 일정한 속도로 이동하는 드론의 속도를 추정한다. 기준 프레임과 표적 프레임의 Sum of Absolute Difference(SAD)를 최소로 하는 표적 프레임의 변위를 구한다. 드론의 실제 속도(Ground Truth)는 각 프레임에서 일정한 동일 지점(Matching Point)의 위치를 이용하여 계산한다. 실험에서 150m 상공에서 일정한 속력으로 이동하는 드론으로 동영상을 획득하였다. 추정한 x와 y방향의 속도와 속력의 평균 제곱근 오차(RMSE)를 구하여 제안한 방법의 신뢰성을 보였다.

연안해역 퇴적물 입도정보 추정오차 분석 (Estimation Error Analysis on the Sediment Grain Size Information in the Coastal Zone)

  • 조홍연;김창일;오영민
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.124-136
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    • 2006
  • 백령도 용기포항 연안해역에서 2004년 6월에 채취한 총 90개 퇴적물을 분석하여 추정된 정보를 기준격자정보로 하여, 내삽기법과 퇴적물 추출 밀도변화에 따른 추정 퇴적물 입도분포 정보(중앙입경(D50) 등)의 변화를 분석하였다. 격자정보 추출방법에 의한 절대편차의 표준편차는 자료수가 많은 6월에는 $8.0 {\mu}m$ 정도, 적은 경우인 11월은 $10{\mu}m$ 이상으로 분석되었다. 표본추출밀도에 따른 격자내용과 기준격자정보를 비교하여 추정한 절대편차의 통계정보는, 표본의 수가 감소할수록 절대편차의 평균오차는 증가하는 경향을 보인다. 연구사업에서 요구되는 퇴적물 정보의 정확도(절대편차 평균기준) 수준이 10% 이하인 경우에는 50개정도의 표본이 적당한 수준으로 파악되었다. 이 경우의 표본추출밀도는 용기포항 연안해역 격자정보 전환 면적(5.9 $km^2$)을 기준으로 50개 정도를 적용하는 경우, $km^2$당 9개 정도이다.

Modeling of Co(II) adsorption by artificial bee colony and genetic algorithm

  • Ozturk, Nurcan;Senturk, Hasan Basri;Gundogdu, Ali;Duran, Celal
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.363-371
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    • 2018
  • In this work, it was investigated the usability of artificial bee colony (ABC) and genetic algorithm (GA) in modeling adsorption of Co(II) onto drinking water treatment sludge (DWTS). DWTS, obtained as inevitable byproduct at the end of drinking water treatment stages, was used as an adsorbent without any physical or chemical pre-treatment in the adsorption experiments. Firstly, DWTS was characterized employing various analytical procedures such as elemental, FT-IR, SEM-EDS, XRD, XRF and TGA/DTA analysis. Then, adsorption experiments were carried out in a batch system and DWTS's Co(II) removal potential was modelled via ABC and GA methods considering the effects of certain experimental parameters (initial pH, contact time, initial Co(II) concentration, DWTS dosage) called as the input parameters. The accuracy of ABC and GA method was determined and these methods were applied to four different functions: quadratic, exponential, linear and power. Some statistical indices (sum square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, average relative error, and determination coefficient) were used to evaluate the performance of these models. The ABC and GA method with quadratic forms obtained better prediction. As a result, it was shown ABC and GA can be used optimization of the regression function coefficients in modeling adsorption experiments.

머신러닝을 활용한 가변 롤포밍 공정 web-warping 예측모델 개발 (Application of Machine Learning to Predict Web-warping in Flexible Roll Forming Process)

  • 우영윤;문영훈
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.282-289
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    • 2020
  • Flexible roll forming is an advanced sheet-metal-forming process that allows the production of parts with various cross-sections. During the flexible process, material is subjected to three-dimensional deformation such as transverse bending, inhomogeneous elongations, or contraction. Because of the effects of process variables on the quality of the roll-formed products, the approaches used to investigate the roll-forming process have been largely dependent on experience and trial- and-error methods. Web-warping is one of the major shape defects encountered in flexible roll forming. In this study, an SVR model was developed to predict the web-warping during the flexible roll forming process. In the development of the SVR model, three process parameters, namely the forming-roll speed condition, leveling-roll height, and bend angle were considered as the model inputs, and the web-warping height was used as the response variable for three blank shapes; rectangular, concave, and convex shape. MATLAB software was used to train the SVR model and optimize three hyperparameters (λ, ε, and γ). To evaluate the SVR model performance, the statistical analysis was carried out based on the three indicators: the root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, and relative root-mean-square error.

수문지역별 최적확률강우강도추정모형의 재정립 -영.호남 지역을 중심으로 - (Estimation Model for Optimum Probabilistic Rainfall Intensity on Hydrological Area - With Special Reference to Chonnam, Buk and Kyoungnam, Buk Area -)

  • 엄병헌;박종화;한국헌
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.108-122
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    • 1996
  • This study was to introduced estimation model for optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity on hydrological area. Originally, probabilistic rainfall intensity formula have been characterized different coefficient of formula and model following watersheds. But recently in korea rainfall intensity formula does not use unionize applyment standard between administration and district. And mingle use planning formula with not assumption model. Following the number of year hydrological duration adjust areal index. But, with adjusting formula applyment was without systematic conduct. This study perceive the point as following : 1) Use method of excess probability of Iwai to calculate survey rainfall intensity value. 2) And, use method of least squares to calculate areal coefficient for a unit of 157 rain gauge station. And, use areal coefficient was introduced new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for each rain gauge station. 3) And, use new probabilistic rainfall intensity formula to adjust a unit of fourteen duration-a unit of fifteen year probabilistic rainfall intensity. 4) The above survey value compared with adjustment value. And use three theory of error(absolute mean error, squares mean error, relative error ratio) to choice optimum probabilistic rainfall intensity formula for a unit of 157 rain gauge station.

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Near-Optimum Blind Decision Feedback Equalization for ATSC Digital Television Receivers

  • Kim, Hyoung-Nam;Park, Sung-Ik;Kim, Seung-Won;Kim, Jae-Moung
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a near-optimum blind decision feedback equalizer (DFE) for the receivers of Advanced Television Systems Committee (ATSC) digital television. By adopting a modified trellis decoder (MTD) with a trace- back depth of 1 for the decision device in the DFE, we obtain a hardware-efficient, blind DFE approaching the performance of an optimum DFE which has no error propagation. In the MTD, the absolute distance is used rather than the squared Euclidean distance for the computation of the branch metrics. This results in a reduction of the computational complexity over the original trellis decoding scheme. Compared to the conventional slicer, the MTD shows an outstanding performance improvement in decision error probability and is comparable to the original trellis decoder using the Euclidean distance. Reducing error propagation by use of the MTD in the DFE leads to the improvement of convergence performance in terms of convergence speed and residual error. Simulation results show that the proposed blind DFE performs much better than the blind DFE with the slicer, and the difference is prominent at the trellis decoder following the blind DFE.

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수문학적 활용을 위한 머신러닝 기반의 강우보정기술 개발 (The Development of a Rainfall Correction Technique based on Machine Learning for Hydrological Applications)

  • 이영미;고철민;신성철;김병식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2019
  • For the purposes of enhancing usability of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), the quantitative precipitation prediction scheme by machine learning has been proposed. In this study, heavy rainfall was corrected for by utilizing rainfall predictors from LENS and Radar from 2017 to 2018, as well as machine learning tools LightGBM and XGBoost. The results were analyzed using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Normalized Peak Error (NPE), and Peak Timing Error (PTE) for rainfall corrected through machine learning. Machine learning results (i.e. using LightGBM and XGBoost) showed improvements in the overall correction of rainfall and maximum rainfall compared to LENS. For example, the MAE of case 5 was found to be 24.252 using LENS, 11.564 using LightGBM, and 11.693 using XGBoost, showing excellent error improvement in machine learning results. This rainfall correction technique can provide hydrologically meaningful rainfall information such as predictions of flooding. Future research on the interpretation of various hydrologic processes using machine learning is necessary.

Development of Korean VTEC Polynomial Model Using GIM

  • Park, Jae-Young;Kim, Yeong-Guk;Park, Kwan-Dong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.297-304
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    • 2022
  • The models used for ionosphere error correction in positioning using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) are representatively Klobuchar model and NeQuick model. Although these models can correct the ionosphere error in real time, the disadvantage is that the accuracy is only 50-60%. In this study, a method for polynomial modeling of Global Ionosphere Map (GIM) which provides Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) in grid type was studied. In consideration of Ionosphere Pierce Points (IPP) of satellites with a receivable elevation angle of 15 degrees or higher on the Korean Peninsula, the target area for model generation and provision was selected, and the VTEC at 88 GIM grid points was modeled as a polynomial. The developed VTEC polynomial model shows a data reduction rate of 72.7% compared to GIM regardless of the number of visible satellites, and a data reduction rate of more than 90% compared to the Slant Total Electron Content (STEC) polynomial model when there are more than 10 visible satellites. This VTEC polynomial model has a maximum absolute error of 2.4 Total Electron Content Unit (TECU) and a maximum relative error of 9.9% with the actual GIM. Therefore, it is expected that the amount of data can be drastically reduced by providing the predicted GIM or real-time grid type VTEC model as the parameters of the polynomial model.

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.310-314
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

ARMA-GARCH 모형에 의한 중국 금 선물 시장 가격 변동에 대한 분석 및 예측 (Volatility analysis and Prediction Based on ARMA-GARCH-typeModels: Evidence from the Chinese Gold Futures Market)

  • 이몽화;김석태
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.211-232
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    • 2022
  • Due to the impact of the public health event COVID-19 epidemic, the Chinese futures market showed "Black Swan". This has brought the unpredictable into the economic environment with many commodities falling by the daily limit, while gold performed well and closed in the sunshine(Yan-Li and Rui Qian-Wang, 2020). Volatility is integral part of financial market. As an emerging market and a special precious metal, it is important to forecast return of gold futures price. This study selected data of the SHFE gold futures returns and conducted an empirical analysis based on the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-type model. Comparing the statistics of AIC, SC and H-QC, ARMA (12,9) model was selected as the best model. But serial correlation in the squared returns suggests conditional heteroskedasticity. Next part we established the autoregressive moving average ARMA-GARCH-type model to analysis whether Volatility Clustering and the leverage effect exist in the Chinese gold futures market. we consider three different distributions of innovation to explain fat-tailed features of financial returns. Additionally, the error degree and prediction results of different models were evaluated in terms of mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Theil inequality coefficient(TIC) and root mean-squared error (RMSE). The results show that the ARMA(12,9)-TGARCH(2,2) model under Student's t-distribution outperforms other models when predicting the Chinese gold futures return series.