• Title/Summary/Keyword: Abnormal meteorology

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An Outlook of Changes in the Flowering Dates and Low Temperature after Flowering under the RCP8.5 Projected Climate Condition (기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 과수 개화기 변화 및 개화 후 저온 발생 전망)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Jin-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.313-320
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    • 2018
  • In the spring of 2018, opened-flowers of fruit trees were frozen to death due to abnormal low temperature around Jeonbuk Province and southern Gyeonggi Province areas. In the 2000s, abnormal weather is observed all over the world very frequently. As a consequence, various sectors of the society suffer from economic damage and negative effects of the abnormal weather. Moreover, recent global climate change is believed to increase the incidence of extreme weathers, which are out of the normal range of the local climate. It is necessary to identify these abnormal weather phenomena accurately and analyze the effects of them on crops in order to understand the effects of them on crop yields. This study projected the trend of the low-temperature occurrence in the future by predicting the changes in future flowering dates and quantifying the temperature distribution after flowering using climate change scenarios. This study targeted areas actually producing a major portion of pear, peach, and apple in South Korea. The results of this study predicted that the flowering dates of these fruits will be approximately 20 days earlier than the current normal year in the future (2071-2100) for the study area. Moreover, it was found that the distribution of low temperature would vary by fruit type and region to some degree. The results of this study present only a portion of fruit trees cultivars grown in South Korea. It was expected that, when this approach is applied to various crops and fruit trees, it will be possible to contribute to preparing countermeasures for climate change in the agricultural sector.

Improvement and Evaluation of Automatic Quality Check Algorithm for Particulate Matter (PM10) by Analysis of Instrument Status Code (부유분진(PM10) 측정기 상태 코드 분석을 통한 자동 품질검사 알고리즘 개선 및 평가)

  • Kim, Mi-Gyeong;Park, Young-San;Ryoo, Sang-Boom;Cho, Jeong Hoon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2019
  • Asian Dust is a meteorological phenomenon that sand particles are raised from the arid and semi-arid regions-Taklamakan Desert, Gobi Desert and Inner Mongolia in China-and transported by westerlies and deposited on the surface. Asian dust results in a negative effect on human health as well as environmental, social and economic aspects. For monitoring of Asian Dust, Korea Meteorological Administration operates 29 stations using a continuous ambient particulate monitor. Kim et al. (2016) developed an automatic quality check (AQC) algorithm for objective and systematic quality check of observed PM10 concentration and evaluated AQC with results of a manual quality check (MQC). The results showed the AQC algorithm could detect abnormal observations efficiently but it also presented a large number of false alarms which result from valid error check. To complement the deficiency of AQC and to develop an AQC system which can be applied in real-time, AQC has been modulated. Based on the analysis of instrument status codes, valid error check process was revised and 6 status codes were further considered as normal. Also, time continuity check and spike check were modified so that posterior data was not referred at inspection time. Two-year observed PM10 concentration data and corresponding MQC results were used to evaluate the modulated AQC compared to the original AQC algorithm. The results showed a false alarm ratio decreased from 0.44 to 0.09 and the accuracy and the probability of detection were conserved well in spite of the exclusion of posterior data at inspection time.

Change of Diurnal Respiration and Transpiration Rate of Fruits in Kiwifruit during Fruit Growth (참다래 착과 과실의 호흡과 증산속도의 일변화)

  • Han Sang-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.152-158
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this study is to investigate change in diurnal respiration and transpiration of the fruits of kiwifruit during fruit growth. Three-hourly fruit transpiration and respiration rate were measured by a chamber technique. Results showed a tendency of higher transpiration and respiration in at maturation to commercial harvest period in 1995 fruit than in 1996 fruit. Fruit respiration rates were very similar to the transpiration rates. The air temperature record for the fruit maturation period in 1996 showed a sudden drop on September $19{\sim}24$ and October 14 down to $7{\sim}13^{\circ}C$. These results suggest that abnormal fruit transpiration and respiration rate in the fruit maturation period might be influenced by the air temperature.

Development and Assessment of Real-Time Quality Control Algorithm for PM10 Data Observed by Continuous Ambient Particulate Monitor (부유분진측정기(PM10) 관측 자료 실시간 품질관리 알고리즘 개발 및 평가)

  • Kim, Sunyoung;Lee, Hee Choon;Ryoo, Sang-Boom
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.541-551
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    • 2016
  • A real-time quality control algorithm for $PM_{10}$ concentration measured by Continuous Ambient Particulate Monitor (FH62C14, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.) has been developed. The quality control algorithm for $PM_{10}$ data consists of five main procedures. The first step is valid value check. The values should be within the acceptable range limit. Upper ($5,000{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) and lower ($0{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) values of instrument detectable limit have to be eliminated as being unrealistic. The second step is valid error check. Whenever unusual condition occurs, the instrument will save error code. Value having an error code is eliminated. The third step is persistence check. This step checks on a minimum required variability of data during a certain period. If the $PM_{10}$ data do not vary over the past 60 minutes by more than the specific limit ($0{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$) then the current 5-minute value fails the check. The fourth step is time continuity check, which is checked to eliminate gross outlier. The last step is spike check. The spikes in the time series are checked. The outlier detection is based on the double-difference time series, using the median. Flags indicating normal and abnormal are added to the raw data after quality control procedure. The quality control algorithm is applied to $PM_{10}$ data for Asian dust and non-Asian dust case at Seoul site and dataset for the period 2013~2014 at 26 sites in Korea.

An Exploratory Study on the Cause of the Poor Performance of Climate Change in Korea (우리나라 기후변화 대응의 저성과 원인에 대한 탐색적 연구 - 우리나라 CCPI(Climate Change Performance Index) 사례 중심 -)

  • Kim, Yeongsin;Kim, SeongHeon;Lee, Jieun;Song, Youngchul
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.315-324
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    • 2016
  • The relevant ministries, including the Ministry of Environment in Korea, provided Post-2020 Long-term Mitigation Target and Implementation Plan. The plan consisted of four Business As Usual (BAU) reduction levels by 14.7%, 19.2%, 25.7%, and 31.3% until 2030. The Korean government finalized the mitigation target of 37%. But all the initial alternatives were below the goal, 30% from BAU, that has been promised to the international community as well as set out in the Framework Act on Low Carbon Green Growth. In order to achieve a specific goal, performance management should pursue "Justify doing the right things." Otherwise, performance management would not work properly. According to Kingdon's Policy Stream Framework, abnormal alternatives are difficult to be presented as scenarios because alternative building should focus on the role of the need to adhere to the basic principles and professionals. Such a result is possible only when the policy actors does not balance themselves. Performance management statistics has been analyzed by 6 years CCPI data since 2011, taking into account the impact after enactment. This study also has been complemented by a variety of sources, including the media, documents, and artifacts during the period. As a result, raising awareness about climate change was analyzed as one of the solutions because the climate change issue affects the normal performance management throughout the life of the people to stay linked to the environment.

Analysis of Abnormal Wave at the West Coast on 31 March 2007 (2007년 3월 31일 서해안에 발생한 이상파랑에 대한 원인 분석)

  • Eom, Hyun-Min;Seung, Young-Ho;Woo, Seung-Buhm;You, Sung-Hyup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2012
  • On 31 March 2007, the abnormal wave occurred along western coast of Korean including Yeonggwang. In this paper, this event is studied using available field measurement data for the event analysis and numerical model for reproducing the unknown waves. We found several 1-min interval tidal elevation and mean sea level pressure (MSLP) data along the western coast of Korea and analyzed it using wavelet technique. We computed the arrival time and the propagation direction of abnormal wave using wavelet results and performed the numerical simulation using 2 dimensional shallow water wave model. The sea level under the forcing of air pressure jump was obviously amplified by the Proudman resonant effect. The computed sea levels compared with observations are underestimated, but the order of arrival time at the tidal station showed good agreement.

Estimation of freeze damage risk according to developmental stage of fruit flower buds in spring (봄철 과수 꽃눈 발육 수준에 따른 저온해 위험도 산정)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Soo-ock;Yun, Eun-jeong;Ju, Okjung;Park, Jong Sun;Shin, Yong Soon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2019
  • The flowering seasons can be advanced due to climate change that would cause an abnormally warm winter. Such warm winter would increase the frequency of crop damages resulted from sudden occurrences of low temperature before and after the vegetative growth stages, e.g., the period from germination to flowering. The degree and pattern of freezing damage would differ by the development stage of each individual fruit tree even in an orchard. A critical temperature, e.g., killing temperature, has been used to predict freeze damage by low-temperature conditions under the assumption that such damage would be associated with the development stage of a fruit flower bud. However, it would be challenging to apply the critical temperature to a region where spatial variation in temperature would be considerably high. In the present study, a phenological model was used to estimate major bud development stages, which would be useful for prediction of regional risks for the freeze damages. We also derived a linear function to calculate a probabilistic freeze risk in spring, which can quantitatively evaluate the risk level based solely on forecasted weather data. We calculated the dates of freeze damage occurrences and spatial risk distribution according to main production areas by applying the spring freeze risk function to apple, peach, and pear crops in 2018. It was predicted that the most extensive low-temperature associated freeze damage could have occurred on April 8. It was also found that the risk function was useful to identify the main production areas where the greatest damage to a given crop could occur. These results suggest that the freezing damage associated with the occurrence of low-temperature events could decrease providing early warning for growers to respond abnormal weather conditions for their farm.

Changes in the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Precipitation Due to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 강수량의 시공간적 발생 패턴의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Jun;Kang, DaeGyoon;Park, Joo-Hyeon;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Yongseok
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.424-433
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    • 2021
  • Recent climate change has caused abnormal weather phenomena all over the world and a lot of damage in many fields of society. Particularly, a lot of recent damages were due to extreme precipitation, such as torrential downpour or drought. The objective of this study was to analyze the temporal and spatial changes in the precipitation pattern in South Korea. To achieve this objective, this study selected some of the precipitation indices suggested in previous studies to compare the temporal characteristics of precipitation induced by climate change. This study selected ten ASOS observatories of the Korea Meteorological Administration to understand the change over time for each location with considering regional distribution. This study also collected daily cumulative precipitation from 1951 to 2020 for each point. Additionally, this study generated high-resolution national daily precipitation distribution maps using an orographic precipitation model from 1981 to 2020 and analyzed them. Temporal analysis showed that although annual cumulative precipitation revealed an increasing trend from the past to the present. The number of precipitation days showed a decreasing trend at most observation points, but the number of torrential downpour days revealed an increasing trend. Spatially, the number of precipitation days and the number of torrential downpour days decreased in many areas over time, and this pattern was prominent in the central region. The precipitation pattern of South Korea can be summarized as the fewer precipitation days and larger daily precipitation over time.

Agro-climatic Zonal Characteristics of the Frequency of Abnormal Duration of Sunshine in South Korea (한국의 농업기후지대별 이상일조 출현 특성 평가)

  • Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yong-Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In-Tae;Min, Sung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2014
  • The occurrence of abnormal sunshine duration was analyzed using meteorological data collected from 60 observation stations during the last 38 years (1973-2010). The 20 agro-climatic zones defined by the Rural Development Administration, were used as a spatial unit for the analysis. On average, abnormal duration of sunshine occurred 1.24 times per year since 1973. The abnormally long duration of sunshine occurred less frequenctly in 2000s (0.47 per year) than in 1970s (1.26 per year). However, the frequency of abnormally short duration of sunshine has increased from an average of 0.58 per year in 1970s to 0.98 in 2000s. The highest frequency of abnormally long duration of sunshine appeared in Central Inland zone with an average of 1.35 frequencies per year. On the other hand, abnormally short duration of sunshine was the most frequent in South Eastern Coastal zone with an average of 0.97 frequencies per year.