• 제목/요약/키워드: Abnormal Returns

검색결과 102건 처리시간 0.023초

한국에서 유통정보기술 투자가 주가에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : RFID 사례를 중심으로 (Distribution Information Technology Investment and the Market Value of the Firm : Focusing on RFID case)

  • 손삼호
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This paper investigates how the market value of the firms are impacted by distribution information technology investment in Korea over time and across markets, industries and project characteristics. This is the first empirical study on the market payoffs from the RFID investment in Korea. The purpose of this study is to provide a appropriate guideline for investors and practitioners with respect to the announcement representing RFID adoption in Korea. This reaction guideline will stimulate the practitioners to monitor and evaluate the benefits and costs of the innovative RFID technology. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper employs event study methodology to analyze the payoffs from distribution information technology investment announcements over a fifteen-year period from 2003 to 2017. Event study method is based on the assumptions such as market efficiency, unanticipated RFID invest announcements and no confounding effects in the data. This study collected the information on RFID investment announcements by using a full text search engine Bigkinds provided by Korea Press Foundation over a fifteen-year period from January 2003 through December 2017. This paper selected 88 announcements representing RFID adoption by 46 firms. This paper estimated the payoffs from RFID investment announcement through events windows by using the market model of Mcwilliams and Siegel (1997) and calculated the Z-values. Using this test statistics we could infer if RFID adoption make large differences in abnormal returns across various classifications of the firms. Results - There is significant positive market returns from the announcement representing distribution information technology investment in the pre-2009 time period, the significances of payoffs disappear in the post-2009 time period. For this reason investors or practitioners can understand the importance of market entry time and the fact that the greater rewards may belong to early innovators while late imitators cannot reap such a rewards. This paper also find that there is a large differences in the payoffs from the announcement across markets, industries and project characteristics. Conclusions - Analysing the selected sample of 88 announcements representing RFID Adoption over fifteen-year period from 2003 to 2017, this study find that there is not only significant abnormal excess returns from RFID investment announcements but also there is great differences in the abnormal returns over time and across firm sizes or affiliated markets, industries, and project characteristics. This means that there are considerable values for the investors across various firm classifications. The findings of this paper provide useful implications for the practitioners to make judicious decisions whether to adopt the innovative technologies in general or not considering the various concrete circumstances in Korea.

뮤추얼펀드의 자금흐름과 주식거래가 주가에 미치는 효과 (Mutual Funds Trading and its Impact on Stock Prices)

  • 고봉찬;김진우
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.35-62
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 2002년 1월부터 2008년 6월까지의 국내 뮤추얼펀드 월별 자료를 이용하여 펀드의 성과지속성과 스마트머니 현상이 존재하는지를 검증하고, 이들 현상이 펀드의 자금유출입에 따른 주식거래에 의해 초래되는 가격압박효과에 기인하는지를 실증분석하였다. 먼저, 과거 성과가 가장 높았던 펀드그룹이 과거 성과가 가장 낮았던 펀드그룹에 비해 향후 3년까지 월평균 0.11%~1.05%의 유의한 초과수익률을 보임으로써 성과지속성은 존재하는 것으로 분석되었으나, 과거 순자금유입액이 가장 많았던 펀드그룹은 가장 적었던 펀드그룹에 비해 향후 투자성과가 오히려 낮게 나타남에 따라 스마트머니 효과는 약한 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 펀드의 과거 자금유출입에 따른 주식거래량으로 측정한 가격압박측정치가 가장 높았던 주식그룹은 가장 낮았던 주식그룹에 비해 당월에 1.01%의 높은 초과수익률을 얻음으로써 가격압박효과가 존재하는 것으로 분석되었다. 그러나 가격압박측정치가 동일한 펀드그룹 내에서도 과거 성과가 높았던 펀드들은 성과가 낮았던 펀드들에 비해 여전히 향후 2년까지 월평균 0.08%~0.77%의 높은 초과수익률을 보임으로써, 펀드 성과지속성의 주요 발생원인이 가격압박효과보다는 펀드매니저의 능력차이에 기인하는 것임을 시사하고 있다. 이러한 결과는 회귀분석을 통해서도 미래 펀드수익률에 대하여 가격압박측 정치는 비유의적인 계수값을 갖는 반면, 과거 펀드수익률은 유의한 양의 설명력을 갖는 것으로 나타남으로써 지지되고 있다.

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Measuring the Long-run Stock Returns to Investors

  • Choi, Seung-Doo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2002
  • This paper compares long-run returns of privatization initial public offerings to those of domestic stock markets of respective countries using a sample of 196 privatization initial public offerings from 39 countries. The evidence indicates that the privatization initial public offerings (IPOs) significantly outperform their domestic stock markets. There are substantial differences in the long-run performance of privatization IPOs depending on the return estimation techniques, however. Evidence indicates that the inference based either on conventional t or on skewness-adjusted t statistics may yield misspecified test statistics. The quality of estimation tends to be improved by simply eliminating the outliers from the sample, especially for the buy-and-hold abnormal return technique.

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사옥신축의 정보효과와 기업가치 결정요인에 대한 연구 (Information Effect of New Office Investments and Determinant of Firm Value)

  • 이진훤;이포상
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study examines the information effect of the disclosure of new office investments on the Korean stock market and investigates determinant of performance of sample firms. Design/methodology/approach - The sample consists of companies listed on the Korean Exchange that announced investments in new office construction for eleven-years from January 2007 to December 2017. It analyzes excess return using event study methodology and studies the determinants of abnormal return with multiple regression analysis. Findings - We find that abnormal returns of the short and long window are positive on average and statistically significant. In particular, CAR of high growth subsample is a larger positive return than that of the low one both short and long window. Difference in abnormal returns by investment size is observed only in short time window. But there is not observed difference by cash holding level. Research implications or Originality - This finding is able to be added to the evidence of the theory of corporate value maximization academically. Moreover, it shows the possibility that building a new office can have a positive effect on corporate value. It is expected to help investors make decisions because it can provide useful information to market participants in practice.

증권거래법 개정과 합병공시효과 (The Amendments of 'Securities and Exchange Act' and the Announcement Effects of M&A)

  • 장봉규;정두식
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.59-86
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 합병제의 기업의 합병공시에 대한 반응과 증권거래법 개정이 합병공시효과에 미치는 영향을 검증하고자 연구대상기간을 법개정 전 후로 나누어 그 성과차이를 분석하였다. 이를 분석하기 위해서 자본자유화가 본격적으로 허용된 1992년 1월부터 개정된 증권거래법이 시행되기 이전인 1998년 4월 1일까지를 법개정 이전, 1998년 4월 1일부터 2002년 12월 31일까지를 법개정 이후 기간으로 나누어 합병공시효과에 유의적인 차이가 있는지를 분석하였다. 연구방법은 한국의 주가가 업종중심으로 움직이는 특성을 감안하여 업종조정모형과 종합지수와의 차이를 분석하기 위해 시장조정모형을 동시에 사용하였다. 연구결과를 요약하면 합병제의기업은 합병공시로 인하여 초과수익률을 얻는 것으로 나타났으며, 합병형태별 분석에서도 각 항목별로 유의적인 초과수익률을 얻는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 증권거래법 개정이 합병공시에 어떤 영향을 미칠 것인가를 분석한 결과는 합병기업 전체표본의 분석 결과와 마찬가지로 세분화시킨 항목별 분석에서도 법개정 이전 보다 법개정 이후가 유의적(1% 유의수준)인 초과수익률($3{\sim}4%$)이 나타났고, 합병공시에 영향을 미치는 요인분석을 위한 회귀분석에서도 법개정이 가장 큰 영향요인으로 나타나 본 연구에서 제기하였던 증권거래법 개정이 합병공시에 영향을 미쳤다는 사실을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Does Ramzan Effect the Returns and Volatility? Evidence from GCC Share Market

  • ABRO, Asif Ali;UL MUSTAFA, Ahmed Raza;ALI, Mumtaz;NAYYAR, Youaab
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권7호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2021
  • The study aims to investigate the impact of seasonality in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' share market during the month of Ramadan. It helps in finding the opportunities for stock market investors to earn abnormal (returns) gain by investing during Ramadan in GCC stock markets. This study uses stock returns data of GCC countries (Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, Dubai, and UAE) from January 2004 to November 2019. Stock prices indexes of GCC stock markets have been obtained from Datastream. The ARCH-GARCH model is used to study the impact of the Ramadan month on the return and volatility of the stock market in GCC countries. The results showed that the Ramadan month has a significant impact on share market prices in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. However, Ramadan has an insignificant impact on share market prices in Bahrain and Oman. The study found no evidence of serial correlational between residuals in Kuwait; meaning that stock return was not dependent on the prior stock returns in Kuwait, therefore, we cannot go for forecasting. The ARCH-LM test statistic for Qatar does not fulfill the requirement of a good regression model; therefore, we cannot go for forecasting or testing the hypothesis of Qatar.

주식분할의 장기성과 (Long-term Performance of Stock Splits)

  • 변종국;조정일
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 1998년부터 2002년 동안 주식분할을 실시한 과거 거래소 상장기업을 대상으로 장기성과를 분석하였다. 장기성과는 Event-time 포트폴리오 접근방식으로 측정되어지는 BHAR과 CAAR을 이용하였고 또한 Calendar-time 포트폴리오 접근방식으로 1요인 CAPM 모형과 3요인 모형을 이용하였다. 분석결과 주식분할의 공시월 부근에서 유의적인 양(+)의 초과수익률을 발견할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 기존 국내 연구들에서 밝혀진 바와 같이 주식분할의 공시효과가 존재한다는 것을 재확인 한 것이다. 하지만 이후 기간별 BHAR과 CAAR 모두 유의적인 음(-)의 초과수익률이 나타났으며, 이러한 결과는 Calendar-time 포트폴리오 접근방식인 1요인 CAPM 모형과 3요인 모형에서도 재확인 할 수 있었다. 분할비율에 따른 BHAR과 CAAR을 분석한 결과 분할비율이 높은 기업군도 주식분할 이후 여전히 음(-)의 초과수익률이 나타났으며 주식분할 이전 보다 이후에 영업성과가 더 악화되는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 주식분할이 기업의 수익성이 개선된다는 신호로 보기에는 무리가 있었다. 배당성향의 증감에 따라 표본을 분류하여 장기성과를 분석한 결과에서 두 표본 간에 뚜렷한 차이를 발견할 수 없었다. 본 연구의 결과를 통하여 볼 때 주식분할은 한국 주식시장에서 단기적으로는 주가에 양(+)의 영향을 미치고 있지만 장기적으로는 주식분할이 주가에 미치는 영향은 없는 것으로 판단된다.

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주식분할의 장기성과 측정 모델에 대한 연구 (A Study about Measurement Model of Long Term Performance in Stock Split)

  • 신연수
    • 정보학연구
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2006
  • The event study analyzes returns around event date at a time. Event study provides estimation periods and cumulative returns. Stock split announcements are generally associated with positive abnormal returns. It is important to investigate the responses of stocks to new information contained in the announcements of stock splits. So It is important to study the long term performance in the case of Stock Split. This Study forced to two approach method in evaluating the performance, the event time portfolio approach and calendar time portfolio approach. The event time portfolio approach exists the CAR model, BHAR model and WR model. And the calendar time portfolio approach has the 3 factor model, 4 factor model, CTAR model, and RATS model.

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Cash Flow Anomalies Associated with Business Conditions in Korean Stock Market

  • Yoon, Bo-Hyun;Son, Sam-Ho
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - Many studies report that returns on hedge portfolios that eliminate particular risk types are abnormal from traditional asset pricing models' perspectives. This study examines the pervasiveness of anomalous returns conditioned on business cycle and group size. Research design, data, and methodology - Using KOSPI and KOSDAQ market data from July 1991 to December 2013, we categorize stocks into appropriately sized groups, and dichotomize our sample periods into expansion and recession periods then, we construct hedge portfolios by sorting stocks by anomaly variables and calculate their returns. Results - Four anomalies, including earnings yield, net stock issue, total asset growth, and liquidity appear pervasive across all groups for the entire sample period. However, only the hedge returns of net stock issues are significant across all group sizes during both expansion and recession. Conclusions - A net stock issue can be an appropriate proxy for expected growth of book equity for all group sizes in recessions. This finding could provide insights to investment industry participants and to researchers interested in the relationship between expected growth of book equity and business cycle risk.

한국의 서비스 품질상 수상이 기업가치에 미치는 영향 : 사건연구방법론적 접근 (Effect of Korean Service Quality Awards on the Market Value by using Event Study Methodology)

  • 오병섭;박지영;정승환;최강화
    • 경영과학
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.161-196
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    • 2010
  • This paper empirically investigates the impact of winning a service quality award on the market value in Korea. We estimates the mean "abnormal" change in the stock prices of sample firms when information of winning a service quality award was publicly announced. To access the validity of the research question, this paper employed collected 47 firms data that received the Korean Service Quality Awards so far. Event study methodology was used to analyze the effect of Korean service quality awards. The findings are as follows; The average abnormal returns on the event date are not significant at the 0.05 level which means that the receiving Korean Service Quality Awards has no influence on the firms' market value. On the other hand successive awarded firms have an increasing effect on the market value and it is significant at the 0.05 level. Furthermore, the results show that the factors of firm size such as firm's total assets are critical to vary the firms' abnormal returns. There might be some limitations in this study. The most obvious problem is the limitation of sample size. Although 518 sample cases were found during the period from 2000 to 2008, most of the cases were deleted according to the sample criteria. We are expecting the future research with more data and more precise results. Furthermore, our research consider the only two service award institutions even though there are several different service award authorities in Korea. It is needed to expand the research scope and range to adopt the various service award institutions for the future work.