• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 1991.10a
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• pp.57-62
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• 1991

For the purpose of developing the method for efficiently calculating the design sensitivity and the reliability for the complicated structure such as ship structure, the probabilistic finite element method is introduced to formulate the deterministic design sensitivity analysis method and incorporated with the second moment reliability methods such as MVFOSM, AFOSM and SORM. Also, the probabilistic design sensitivity analysis needed in the reliability-based design is performed. The reliability analysis is carried out for the initial yielding failure, in which the derivative derived in the deterministic desin sensitivity is used. The present PFEM-based reliability method shows good agreement with Monte Carlo method in terms with the variance of response and the associated probability of failure even at the first or first few iteration steps. The probabilistic design sensitivity analysis evaluates explicitly the contribution of each random variable to probability of failure. Further, the reliability index variation can be easily predicted by the variation of the mean and the variance of the random variables.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 1994.04a
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• pp.199-208
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• 1994

One of the main objectives of the study is to propose a practical but realistic limit state model considering combined effect of axial and bending load for reliability analysis and safety assessment of cable-stayed bridge under vehicle traffic loads. This paper is intended to propose a new approach for the evaluation of reserved load carrying capacity of cable-stayed bridge under vehicle traffic loads in terms of equivalent strength, which may be defined as a bridge strength corresponding to the reliability index of the bridge. This can be derived from an inverse process based on the concept of FOSM form of reliability index. AFOSM and IST methods are used for the reliability analysis of the proposed models. The proposed reliability model and methods are applied to the safety assessment of Jindo Bridge which is one of major two cable-stayed bridges in Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.21 no.3 s.75
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• pp.94-100
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• 2006

The goal of this study is to show the way to increase the safety of deteriorated PSC beam bridges by the to-box reinforcing method. This method is to change the open girder section into the closed box section by connecting bottom flanges of neighboring PSC girders with the precast panels embedding PS tendons at the anchor block. The box section is composed of three concrete members with different casting ages, RC slab, PSC beam, precast panel. This different aging requires a time-dependent analysis considering construction sequences. Reliability index and failure probability are produced by the AFOSM reliability analysis. Transversely five schemes and longitudinally two schemes are considered. The full reinforcing scheme, transversely and longitudinally, shows the highest reliability index, but it requires more cost for retrofit. The partial reinforcing scheme 4, 4-1 are recommended in this study as the economically best scheme.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 1992.04a
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• pp.134-139
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• 1992

This study introduces simple derivation of optimum load factors based on both cornell's MFOSM (Mean First Order End Moment) methods and Lind - Hasofers AFOSM (Advanced First Order 2nd Moment) methods and demonstrates the relationship between the optimum reliability, the load factors, the probability distributions selected to model the load, and a measure of relative failure cost. Although some of the cost parameters cannot be evaluated accurately and the upper tail characteristics of the distributions of the random loads remain uncertainty, this optimum reliability formulation provides insight on which Parameters are most significant in selecting appropriate load criteria for structure design.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 1995.10a
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• pp.334-338
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• 1995

In recent years, the prediction of the deterioration rate of concrete structures has become major research interest. However, there are still many uncertain factors in the deterioration process and the relation between deterioration and durability of structures. This is mainly due to various uncertainties involved in the construction process and the environmental conditions which affect the rate of deterioration of concrete structures. In this study a limit state model in terms of random crack width due to applied dead and live loads is proposed for the assessment of crack damage of reinforced concrete structures. The AFOSM reliability method is used for the reliability evaluation of the crack durability of concrete bridges. The proposed model for crack durability of concrete bridges is applied to the Seoul interior circuit elevated expressway. The sensitivity analyses are performed for the proposed model.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 1993.10a
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• pp.195-200
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• 1993

This paper develops practical and realistic reliability models and methods for the evalusion of system reliability and system reliability-based rating of R.C box-girder bridge superstructures. The precise prediction of reserved carrying capacity of bridge as a system is extremely difficult expecially when the bridges are highly redundant and significantly deteriorated or damaged. This paper proposes a new approach for the evaluation of reserved system carrying capacity of bridges in terms of equivalent system-strength, which may be defined as a bridge system-strength corresponding to the system reliability of the bridge. This can be derived from an inverse process based on the concept of FOSM form of system reliability index. The strength limit state models for R.C box-girder bridges suggested in the paper are based on the basic bending and shear strength. and the system reliability problem of box-girder superstructure is formulated as parallel-series models obtained from the FMA(Failure Mode Approach) based on major failure mechanism or critical failure states of each girder. AFOSM and IST(Importance Sampling Technique) simulation algorithm is used for the reliability analysis of the proposed models.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2010.06a
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• pp.305-309
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• 2010

The buckling behavior of CWR tracks is affected by the various parameters such as stiffness and geometry of track panel, ballast resistance, rail temperature, initial imperfection, and wheel load. Until now, CWR tracks were managed by the dichotomous logic (deterministic approach) despite these influence factors are having the nature of random variables. So, the design method and existing management process to prevent the track buckling can be very non-economic since the value of these influence factors to calculate the track buckling strength are selected by considering the worst track condition. In this study, buckling probability evaluation process is proposed which is based on the reliability index, AFOSM method, and limit state equation.

• Computational Structural Engineering
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.351-360
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 실용적 체계신뢰성에 기초한 강사장교의 안전도평가를 위한 체계적인 모형을 제안하였다. 공용중인 강사장교의 시스템 안전도평가를 위하여 요소신뢰성해석을 위한 케이블, 주형 그리고 주탑의 한계 상태모형과 각 요소들간의 조합파괴를 포함하는 주파괴경로를 정의할 수 있는 체계신뢰성해석 모형을 제안하였다. 요소신뢰성해석을 위한 수치해석기법으로는 AFOSM(Advanced First Order Second Moment) 방법을 사용하였고, 체계신뢰성해석을 위해서는 부분 ETA(partial Event Tree Analysis) 모형을 사용하였다. 제안된 방법의 타당성을 고찰하기 위하여 진도대교의 안전도 평가에 적용하였다. 부분 ETA 모혀을 사용한 체계신뢰성 평가 방법은 기존의 요소신뢰성 방법에 비해 구조물의 여용성을 충분히 반영하는 상당히 합리적이며 실제적인 결과를 보여주는 실용적인 방법으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.223-234
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• 1998

In this study, an attempt is made to apply the concept of fuzzy-bayesian theory to the integrity assessment of structure system, and uncertainty states are represented in terms of fuzzy sets which define several linguistic variables such as "very good", "good", "average", "poor", "very poor", etc. Especially, the concept of fuzzy conditional probability aids to derive a new reliability analysis which includes the subjective assessment of engineers without introducing any additional correction factors. The fuzzy concept are also used as reliability indexes for the condition assessment based on the proposed models, the proposed fuzzy theory-based approach with the results of PEM and AFOSM are applied to retaining wall.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.433-436
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• 2004

The safety of buildings is generally estimated by analyzing a plane frame ignoring a minor bending moment. In this paper, uncertainties of reinforced concrete shear wall subjected to a biaxial bending are considered. First, major parameters are selected from all parameters of general shear wall design to perform a reliability analysis in their practical ranges, means and standard derivations of selected design parameters for the reliability analysis are calculated by a data mining as a simulation method. The bi-section method is used to find inclined neutral axis and its limit state using MATLAB subjected to the concept on strength design method. The reliability index $\beta$ as a safety index is calculated based on AFOSM(Advanced First-Order Second Moment) method. Also, if target reliability index $\beta_T$ is decided by an engineer an amount of reinforcement can be calculated by subtracting the reliability index $\beta$ from the target reliability index $\beta_T$.