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Water Supply forecast Using Multiple ARMA Model Based on the Analysis of Water Consumption Mode with Wavelet Transform. (Wavelet Transform을 이용한 물수요량의 특성분석 및 다원 ARMA모형을 통한 물수요량예측)

  • Jo, Yong-Jun;Kim, Jong-Mun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 1998
  • Water consumption characteristics on the northern part of Seoul were analyzed using wavelet transform with a base function of Coiflets 5. It turns out that long term evolution mode detected at 212 scale in 1995 was in a shape of hyperbolic tangent over the entire period due to the development of Sanggae resident site. Furthermore, there was seasonal water demand having something to do with economic cycle which reached its peak at the ends of June and December. The amount of this additional consumption was about $1,700\;\textrm{cm}^3/hr$ on June and $500\;\textrm{cm}^3/hr$ on December. It was also shown that the periods of energy containing sinusoidal component were 3.13 day, 33.33 hr, 23.98 hr and 12 hr, respectively, and the amplitude of 23.98 hr component was the most humongous. The components of relatively short frequency detected at $2^i$[i = 1,2,…12] scale were following Gaussian PDF. The most reliable predictive models are multiple AR[32,16,23] and ARMA[20, 16, 10, 23] which the input of temperature from the view point of minimized predictive error, mutual independence or residuals and the availableness of reliable meteorological data. The predicted values of water supply were quite consistent with the measured data which cast a possibility of the deployment of the predictive model developed in this study for the optimal management of water supply facilities.

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Multimodal Route Selection from Korea to Europe Using Fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS Approaches: The Perspective of the China-Railway Express (한-유럽 복합운송 경로선택에 관한 연구 중국-유럽 화물열차를 중심으로)

  • Wang, Guan;Ahn, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.13-31
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    • 2021
  • Since the signing of the Korea-Europe Free Trade Agreement, the volume of trade transactions between South Korea and Europe has increased. The traditional single-mode transport system has been transformed into an intermodal transport system using two or more modes of transport. In addition, the conventional sea and air transport routes have been restricted, leading to a decline in Korean exports to Europe, and the rail transport mode is becoming mainstream in the market due to the influence of COVID-19. This paper focuses on the China-Railway Express to explore a new intermodal transport route from Korea to Europe. First, the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to evaluate the factor weights when selecting intermodal transport routes from Korea to Europe. Then, the TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method is used to rank three alternatives. The results show that among the four factors (total cost, total time, transportation capability, and service reliability), the total cost is the most significant factor, followed by the total time, service reliability, and transportation capability. Furthermore, the alternative route 1 (Incheon-Dalian-Manchuria-Hamburg) is preferred.

Evaluation of the Bending Properties of Glulam with Different Cross-Section (집성재 단면구성에 따른 휨성능 평가)

  • Lee, Jun-Jae;Kim, Kwang-Mo;Han, Jae-Su;Kim, Jae-Keon
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, bending capacities of glulams with different configurations of cross-section were evaluated. These configurations included horizontal(BH), vertical(BVN), vertical with vertical plywood (BVV) and vertical combination of lamination with horizontal plywood(BVH). Full-scale bending tests were performed to investigate the effect of different section configurations on bending strength(MOR) and stiffness(MOE) of glulam. Compared with type BH, MOR of glulam with type BVN configuration was improved about 23%, which was considered to be caused by defect dispersion effect, while MOE of glulams with these two types of configurations were similar. Because MOE of plywood is generally smaller than that of solid wood laminar, MOE of type BVH glulam decreased about 15%, but in the case of type BVV glulam, MOR was improved without any reduction of MOE. The reason of this result could be undersood in the view of shear-reinforcement effect, which was verified from analysis of fracture mode. From the results of this study, it was concluded that bending capacity of glulam could be improved by proper section design, such as laminar arrangement and shear reinforcement.

A Study of Wind Characteristics around Nuclear Power Plants Based on the Joint Distribution of the Wind Direction and Wind Speed

  • Yunjong Lee
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.299-307
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    • 2023
  • Given that toxic substances are diffused by the various movements of the atmosphere, it is very important to evaluate the risks associated with this phenomenon. When analyzing the behavioral characteristics of these atmospheric diffusion models, the main input data are the wind speed and wind direction among the meteorological data. In particular, it is known that a certain wind direction occurs in summer and winter in Korea under the influence of westerlies and monsoons. In this study, synoptic meteorological observation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration were analyzed from January 1, 2012 to the end of August of 2022 to understand the regional wind characteristics of nuclear power plants and surrounding areas. The selected target areas consisted of 16 weather stations around the Hanbit, Kori, Wolsong, Hanul, and Saeul nuclear power plants that are currently in operation. The analysis was based on the temperature, wind direction, and wind speed data at those locations. Average, maximum, minimum, median, and mode values were analyzed using long-term annual temperature, wind speed, and wind direction data. Correlation coefficient values were also analyzed to determine the linear relationships among the temperature, wind direction, and wind speed. Among the 16 districts, Uljin had the highest wind speed. The median wind speed values for each region were lower than the average wind speed values. For regions where the average wind speed exceeds the median wind speed, Yeongju, Gochang, Gyeongju, Yeonggwang, and Gimhae were calculated as 0.69 m s-1, 0.54m s-1, 0.45m s-1, 0.4m s-1, and 0.36m s-1, respectively. The average temperature in the 16 regions was 13.52 degrees Celsius; the median temperature was 14.31 degrees and the mode temperature was 20.69 degrees. The average regional temperature standard deviation was calculated and found to be 9.83 degrees. The maximum summer temperatures were 39.7, 39.5, and 39.3 in Yeongdeok, Pohang, and Yeongcheon, respectively. The wind directions and speeds in the 16 regions were plotted as a wind rose graph, and the characteristics of the wind direction and speed of each region were investigated. It was found that there is a dominant wind direction correlated with the topographical characteristics in each region. However, the linear relationship between the wind speed and direction by region varied from 0.53 to 0.07. Through this study, by evaluating meteorological observation data on a long-term synoptic scale of ten years, regional characteristics were found.

Evaluation of Design Formulae for T-joints on the Branch Plate and Hollow Steel Sections welded connections (지관 플레이트가 주관에 용접된 각형강관 접합부의 설계내력 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Keum Sung;Bae, Kyu Woong;Moon, Tae Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.17 no.5 s.78
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    • pp.581-591
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a design formulae that evaluates the design strength of T-joints made of cold-formed square hollow steel sections with longitudinal branch plate. The T-joints had a configuration that a branch member used to longitudinal plate to the main chord in the plane. This study focused on the branch plate T-joints governed by the main chord flange failure mode among the experimental results. Based on the test results of the longitudinal branch plate T-joint in the square hollow sections, the ultimate strength on the T-joints was defined as 1.5 times the load at 1% B the strength of joints that governed the serviceability in control for $16.7{\leq}2\gamma(B/T){\leq}31.3$ and $0.20{\leq}{\beta}(b1/B){\leq}0.75$. Existing yield line models for normal T-joints were investigated to be the main chord flange failure for the branch plate T-joint, and this proposal design formula was based on the theory of the yield line model. Finally, the value of the finite element method compared with the value of the test and theory for the T-joints verified the validity of the design formulae.

An Effect Analysis According to Change of Logistics Course of Undersea Tunnel Construction between Korea and Japan (한일간 해저터널 건설 가정 시 물류경로 변경에 따른 효과분석)

  • Park, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.3 s.119
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2007
  • Logistics needs in Asia are surprisingly increasing due to rapid growth of China in Northeast Asia We are endeavoring to make an economic block in opposition to NAFTA and EU by economic revival, political stability, and easing of exclusive parts between countries as increasing of traffic infra such as asian highway, transcontinental railway in the region of Northeast Asia and as considering diversification of transportation mode. Now, Busan is not a final terminal of this business, and it is not a concreted level in considering an undersea tunnel between Korea and Japan as effort to extend to Japan. Therefore, this study performed an effect analysis which be affected to Northeast Asia and Korea in future by analysis and comparison of a cost and time required of marine transportation and railway before and after construction through course analysis and summary of discussed content until now for undersea tunnel between Korea and Japan. This result expects as a accelerative play for study cf undersea tunnel between Korea and Japan in future. In this result, we estimate that it is an effective things in a cost and time required if undersea tunnel between Korea and Japan is constructed, and we simply searched for theirs effects in the aspects of Northeast Asia, national balanced development, regional economic in Busan, and marine logistics.

Variability of Mid-plane Symmetric Functionally Graded Material Beams in Free Vibration (중립면 대칭 기능경사재료 보의 자유진동 변화도)

  • Nguyen, Van Thuan;Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, a scheme for the evaluation of variability in the eigen-modes of functionally graded material(FGM) beams is proposed within the framework of perturbation-based stochastic analysis. As a random parameter, the spatially varying elastic modulus of FGM along the axial direction at the mid-surface of the beam is chosen, and the thru-thickness variation of the elastic modulus is assumed to follow the original form of exponential variation. In deriving the formulation, the first order Taylor expansion on the eigen-modes is employed. As an example, a simply supported FGM beam having symmetric elastic modulus with respect to the mid-surface is chosen. Monte Carlo analysis is also performed to check if the proposed scheme gives reasonable outcomes. From the analyses it is found that the two schemes give almost identical results of the mean and standard deviation of eigen-modes. With the propose scheme, the standard deviation shape of respective eigen-modes can be evaluated easily. The deviated mode shape is found to have one more zero-slope points than the mother modes shapes, irrespective of order of modes. The amount of deviation from the mean is found to have larger values for the higher modes than the lower modes.

Scientific Missions and Technologies of the ISSS on board the NEXTSat-1

  • Choi, Cheong Rim;Sohn, Jongdae;Lee, Jun-Chan;Seo, Yong Myung;Kang, Suk-Bin;Ham, Jongwook;Min, Kyoung-Wook;Seon, Jongho;Yi, Yu;Chae, Jang-Soo;Shin, Goo-Hwan
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2014
  • A package of space science instruments, dubbed the Instruments for the Study of Space Storms (ISSS), is proposed for the Next Generation Small Satellite-1 (NEXTSat-1), which is scheduled for launch in May 2016. This paper describes the instrument designs and science missions of the ISSS. The ISSS configuration in NEXTSat-1 is as follows: the space radiation monitoring instruments consist of medium energy particle detector (MEPD) and high energy particle detector (HEPD); the space plasma instruments consist of a Langmuir probe (LP), a retarding potential analyzer (RPA), and an ion drift meter (IDM). The space radiation monitoring instruments (MEPD and HEPD) measure electrons and protons in parallel and perpendicular directions to the geomagnetic field in the sub-auroral region, and they have a minimum time resolution of 50 msec for locating the region of the particle interactions with whistler mode waves and electromagnetic ion cyclotron (EMIC) waves. The MEPD measures electrons and protons with energies of tens of keV to ~400 keV, and the HEPD measures electrons with energies of ~100 keV to > ~1 MeV and protons with energies of ~10 MeV. The space plasma instruments (LP, RPA, and IDM) observe irregularities in the low altitude ionosphere, and the results will be compared with the scintillations of the GPS signals. In particular, the LP is designed to have a sampling rate of 50 Hz in order to detect these small-scale irregularities.

A Study on the Residual Strength of the Carbon Steel pipe using in Fuel Gas (연료가스 배관용 탄소강관의 잔존강도에 대한 연구)

  • Yim, Sang-Sik;Kim, Ji-sun;Ryu, Young-don;Lee, Jin-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.112-117
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    • 2016
  • The standard(KS D 3631) should be obey for using fuel gas pipe in Korea and a carbon steel pipe is coated with synthetic resine for protecting the corrosion. The coating is just performed for anti-corrosion, and actual strength of pipe is given by the carbon steel pipe when the fuel gas is transported. When the flaws are occurred in the steel pipe, the estimation method which is used for residual strength is necessary. But the suitable method is not exist for applying the fuel gas pipe. Eventually, the residual strength is estimated by overseas regulation such as ASME B31G or DNV RP F101. But the method based on the relative regulations are not sufficiently valid and it can not estimate the 85% over even. Therefore, the test was performed for validation with pipe specimen. The specimen was made with artificial flaw. The test results showed the certain differences according to flaw depth and DNV RP F101 is suitable to estimate the residual strength in Korea. The results in this paper contain in case of the severe flaw depth and suitable mode for Korea, so the result can be expected as valuable and widely used in various field.

Development of Analytical Method for Colistin in Fish and Shrimp using Liquid Chromatography Mass Spectrometry (LC-MS/MS를 이용한 수산물 중 콜리스틴 분석법 개발)

  • Shin, Dasom;Kang, Hui-Seung;Lee, Soo-Bin;Cho, Yoon-Jae;Cheon, So-Young;Jeong, Jiyoon;Rhee, Gyu-Seek
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2016
  • Colistin is a last resort antimicrobial agent against multi-drug resistant Gram-negative bacteria. This study was conducted to develop an analytical method to determine colistin in fish and shrimp. The analytes were confirmed and quantified via liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) in the positive ion mode using multiple reaction monitoring (MRM). The sample was extracted with acidified 5% methanol (containing 0.5% formic acid). Then, solid phase extraction (SPE) was used for cleanup. Matrix-matched calibration curves were linear over the calibration ranges (0.05-1.2 mg/kg) for all the analytes into blank sample with $r^2$ > 0.99. All the values fulfilled the criteria requested by the Codex guidelines. Average recoveries ranged from 85.9% to 107.9%. The repeatability of measurements, expressed as the coefficient of variation (CV, %), was less than 15%. The limit of detection (LOD) was 0.02 mg/kg, and the limit of quantitation (LOQ) was 0.05 mg/kg. This improved method showed higher accuracy and acceptable sensitivity to meet the CAC guideline requirements and is applicable for the analysis of residual colistin (A+B) in fish and shrimp.