• 제목/요약/키워드: 3-second gust

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태풍 Maemi에 의한 3-second gust가 경상남도에 미치는 최대 피해액 산정 (An Evaluation of the Maximum Damage Cost in Gyeongsangnam-do by Typhoon Maemi's 3-second gust)

  • 정우식;박종길;최효진
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2010년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.114.1-114.1
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라에 적합한 재해예측모형을 구축하기 위하여 중해상도(10km)의 입력 자료를 이용하여 태풍에 의해 지상에 발생 가능한 3-second gust를 추정하였다. 중해상도 입력자료의 구축은 경상남도(부산광역시 포함) 시 군 구 단위의 행정구역으로 구분하였으며, 추정된 3-second gust를 이용하여 건물의 주요구성 요소별로 피해 확률을 구한 뒤, 발생 가능한 최대피해액을 산정하였다. 태풍 Maemi에 의한 최대강풍 피해액은 여러 주택유형 중에서도 '대표주택' 유형의 경우 약 6천억 원으로 분석되었다. 비교적 내륙에 위치한 지역에서는 적은 피해액을, 해안가에 위치한 지역에서는 많은 피해액을 나타내며, 부산광역시에서 피해액이 높은 구 군의 경우 경상남도 시 군의 평균적인 피해액과 비슷한 것으로 보아 부산이 경상남도와 비교하여 면적으로는 작지만 태풍에 의한 강풍에 매우 취약함을 알 수 있다.

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태풍 연직프로파일과 gust factor를 이용한 지상의 최대풍속 추정 (Estimation of the Maximum Wind to Surface Using Wind Profile in Typhoon and Gust Factor)

  • 정우식;박종길;최효진
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.290-292
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    • 2008
  • we applied Wind Field Module of PHRLM so that disaster prevention agency concerned can effectively estimate the possible strong wind damages by typhoon. In this study, therefore, we estimated wind speed at 300m level using 700hPa wind according to the research method by Franklin(2003), PHRLM(2003), and Vickery and Skerlj(2005). Then we calculated wind speed at 10m level using the estimated wind speed at 300m level, and finally, peak 3.second gust on surface. The case period is from 18LST August 31 to 03LST September 1, 2002, when the typhoon Rusa in 2002 was the most intense. Among disaster prediction models in the US, Wind Field Module of PHRLM in Florida was used for the 2002 typhoon Rusa case. As a result, peak 3.second gust on the surface increased $10\sim20%$ in the typhoon's 700hPa wind speed.

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태풍 내습 시 3-second gust를 이용한 피해액 산정 (An Estimation of Amount of Damage Using the 3-second Gust When the Typhoon Attack)

  • 정우식;박종길;최효진
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2010
  • The most efficient measures to reduce damage from natural disasters include activities which prevent disasters in advance, decrease possibility of disasters and minimize the scale of damage. Therefore, developing of the risk assessment model is very important to reduce the natural disaster damage. This study estimated a typhoon damage which is the biggest damage scale among increased natural disasters in Korea along with climate change. The results of 3-second gust at the height of 10m level from the typhoon 'Maemi' which did considerable damage to Korean in 2003, using the wind data at the height of 700 hPa. September 12th 09 LST~13th 12 LST period by the time a typhoon Maemi approached to the Korean peninsula. This study estimate damage amount using 'Fragility curve' which is the damage probability curve about a certain wind speed of the each building component factors based on wind load estimation results by using 3-second gust. But the fragility curve is not to Korea. Therefore, we use the fragility curves to FPHLM(FDFS, 2005). The result of houses damage amount is about 11 trillion 5 million won. This values are limit the 1-story detached dwelling, $62.51\sim95.56\;m^2$ of total area. Therefore, this process is possible application to other type houses.

한반도 영향 태풍의 월별 최대풍 특징과 사례 연구 - 태풍 루사·매미·곤파스·볼라벤을 대상으로 - (Characteristics of Monthly Maximum Wind Speed of Typhoons Affecting the Korean Peninsula - Typhoon RUSA, MAEMI, KOMPASU, and BOLAVEN -)

  • 나하나;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.441-454
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    • 2019
  • The present study analyzes the characteristics of 43 typhoons that affected the Korean Peninsula between 2002 and 2015. The analysis was based on 3-second gust measurements, which is the maximum wind speed relevant for typhoon disaster prevention, using a typhoon disaster prevention model. And the distribution and characteristics of the 3-second gusts of four typhoons, RUSA, MAEMI, KOMPASU, and BOLAVEN that caused great damage, were also analyzed. The analysis show that between May and October during which typhoons affected the Korean Peninsula, the month with the highest frequency was August(13 times), followed by July and September with 12 occurrences each. Furthermore, the 3-second gust was strongest at 21.2 m/s in September, followed by 19.6 m/s in August. These results show that the Korean Peninsula was most frequently affected by typhoons in August and September, and the 3-second gusts were also the strongest during these two months. Typhoons MAEMI and KOMPASU showed distribution of strong 3-second gusts in the right area of the typhoon path, whereas typhoons RUSA and BOLAVEN showed strong 3-second gusts over the entire Korean Peninsula. Moreover, 3-second gusts amount of the ratio of 0.7 % in case of RUSA, 0.8 % at MAEMI, 3.3 % at KOMPASU, and 21.8 % at BOLAVEN showed as "very strong", based on the typhoon intensity classification criteria of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Based on the results of this study, a database was built with the frequencies of the monthly typhoons and 3-second gust data for all typhoons that affected the Korean Peninsula, which could be used as the basic data for developing a typhoon disaster prevention system.

한국형 재해평가모형(RAM)의 초기입력자료 적합성 평가 (Compatibility for the Typhoon Damages Predicted by Korea Risk Assessment Model Input Data)

  • 박종길;이보람;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권7호
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    • pp.865-874
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to investigate the correlation between the distribution chart and input data of the predicted 3-second gust and damage cost, by using the forecast field and analysis field of Regional Data Assimilation Prediction System (RDAPS) as initial input data of Korea risk assessment model (RAM) developed in the preceding study. In this study the cases of typhoon Rusa which caused occurred great damage to the Korean peninsula was analyzed to assess the suitability of initial input data. As a result, this study has found out that the distribution chart from the forecast field and analysis field predicted from the point where the effect due to the typhoon began had similarity in both 3-second gust and damage cost with the course of time. As a result of examining the correlation, the 3-second gust had over 0.8, and it means that the forecast field and analysis field show similar results. This study has shown that utilizing the forecast field as initial input data of Korea RAM could suit the purpose of pre-disaster prevention.

태풍의 영향으로 발생 가능한 최대 풍피해 분포에 관한 연구 (A Study on Maximum Wind Potential Damage Distribution Influence of the Typhoon)

  • 정우식;박종길;김은별;이나경
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2011년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.168-168
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    • 2011
  • 최근 한반도는 과거 최대 강우량의 기록을 갱신하는 집중호우가 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며, 2000년대 들어 기상재해에 대한 피해 규모가 수조원에 달한다. 자연재해를 예방하여 피해를 최소화하기 위해서는 미래에 발생 가능성이 있는 재해를 사전에 예측하고, 재난발생 가능성을 감소시키며, 발생한 재난의 피해를 최소화시키기 위한 활동이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2003년도에 발생한 태풍 'Maemi'의 영향으로 부산과 경남지역에 발생 가능한 최대 풍피해의 정도를 예측해보고자 하였다. 이를 위해서 태풍의 중심기압과 태풍의 이동경로와 대상지역의 거리를 이용하여 3-second gust를 산정하였고, 이를 이용하여 시 군 구 단위의 주택에 대한 최대 풍피해 분포 특성을 파악하였다. 태풍 Meami에 의한 부산 경남지방의 3-second gust를 산정한 결과 풍속이 25m/s 이상의 폭풍영역에 해당되는 지역은 김해시, 강서구, 남해군, 고성군, 창원시, 사상구, 북구, 함안군, 통영시, 하동군, 거제시, 사천시이고, 강풍영역에는 대부분의 지역이 포함되었다. 그 중에서 3-second gust가 가장 높았던 지역은 북구와 사상구였고, 다음으로 강서구 창원시 사천시, 함안군 이였으며, 마산시, 김해시, 거제시 그리고 양산시가 다음으로 높게 나타났다. 고성군은 3-second gust가 가장 낮게 나타났다. 부산과 경남지방의 집 한 채 피해액은 북구와 강서구, 사상구가 가장 높게나왔고, 다음으로 사천시와 창원시 순으로 높게 나타났다. 거창군은 부산 경남지방 중에서 가장 낮은 피해액이 나타났다. 이러한 결과에는 그 지역에서 발생 가능한 3-second gust의 영향이 크게 작용한 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 태풍의 특성 자료를 제외한 자료의 경우 국내 자료의 한계로 인해 국외 자료를 이용하거나, 가정을 통해 계산을 진행하였다. 그러나 향후 보다 정확한 최대 풍피해를 평가하기 위해서는 기초자료의 마련이 반드시 이루어져야한다.

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한반도 태풍시기 강풍유발 피해액 산정의 정확도 향상을 위한 기초자료의 고도화 (Basic Data Advancement for Improving the Accuracy of Estimating the Damage Cost Caused by Strong Winds on the Korean Peninsula during Typhoon Periods)

  • 윤희성;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2022
  • In this study, type analysis was conducted along with the advancement of basic data to calculate the maximum damage caused by strong winds during the typhoon period. The result of the damage by region showed that in 2012, the difference in damage was clearly distinguished as the region was classified in detail. In addition, the result of the annual damage in 2011 was strong on the west coast, and in 2016, the damage to the southeast coast was significant. In 2012, the 3-second gust was relatively stronger on the west and southeast coasts than in 2011, and the winds blew stronger along the southeast coast in 2016. Monthly damage data showed that the damage to the west coast was high in August, and the damage to the southeast coast was high in October from 2002 to 2019. The 3-second gust showed the result of wide expansion throughout the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula in October. As a result, the damage differs for type bacause the intensities and paths of typhoons vary depending on their characteristics, the 3-second gust blows differently by region based on regional characteristics, and the sale price is considered in metropolitan cities.

태풍 접근에 의한 바람 환경 변화가 건물에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Changing in Wind Environment of Typhoon Approaching to a Building)

  • 박종길;정우식;최효진
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.561-564
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    • 2009
  • In order to reduce damage from natural disasters, prevention activities through analysis and predicting based on meteorological factor and damage data is required. Other countries already have continuously studied on natural disasters and developed reducing disasters damage. But the risk assessment model for natural disaster is not to Korea. Therefore, a previous model of hurricane, Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model(FPHLM), is the basis and is applying to domestic situation. Accordingly, this study introduces the variables selecting process because input variables should be selected under Korea present state and be used. The estimating representative damage method would be necessary along with selecting housing types representing relevant areas because estimating damage amount of all over relevant areas housing was very hard during damage estimating process. But there is no exact representative housing types in the Korea. Therefore, we select housing types applicable to risk assessment model for natural disasters representing the Korea through previous studies and literature reviews. We using ASCE 7-98(Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures, 1998) standard which estimated wind load using 3-second gust. ASCE 7-98 divided Main Wind Force Resistance System(MWFRS) and Component and Cladding(C&C) and it estimated wind load. Therefore, we estimate wind load affected by 3-second gust of a typhoon Maemi through calculating wind load process using selected representative detached house types in the process of selecting input variables for previous disaster predict model. The result of houses damage amount is about 230 hundred million won. This values are limit the 1-story detached dwelling, 19~29pyeong(62.81~95.56 $m^2$) of total area and flat roof. Therefore, this process is possible application to other type houses.

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Emerging issues and new frameworks for wind loading on structures in mixed climates

  • Solari, Giovanni
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.295-320
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    • 2014
  • Starting from an overview on the research on thunderstorms in the last forty years, this paper provides a general discussion on some emerging issues and new frameworks for wind loading on structures in mixed climates. Omitting for sake of simplicity tropical cyclones and tornadoes, three main aspects are pointed out. The first concerns the separation and classification of different intense wind events into extra-tropical depressions, thunderstorms and gust fronts, with the aim of improving the interpretation of the phenomena of engineering interest, the probabilistic analysis of the maximum wind velocity, the determination of the wind-induced response and the safety format for structures. The second deals with the use of the response spectrum technique, not only as a potentially efficient tool for calculating the structural response to thunderstorms, but also as a mean for revisiting the whole wind-excited response in a more general and comprehensive framework. The third involves the statistical analysis of extreme wind velocities in mixed climates, pointing out some shortcomings of the approaches currently used for evaluating wind loading on structures and depicting a new scenario for a more rational scheme aiming to pursue structural safety. The paper is set in the spirit of mostly simplified analyses and mainly qualitative remarks, in order to capture the conceptual aspects of the problems dealt with and put on the table ideas open to discussion and further developments.