• Title/Summary/Keyword: 3-Parameter Weibull Distribution

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Analysis on fatigue life distribution of composite materials (복합재료 피로 수명 분포에 관한 고찰)

  • 황운봉;한경섭
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.790-805
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    • 1988
  • Static strength and fatigue life scattering of glass fiber reinforced epoxy composite materials has been studied. Normal, lognormal, two-parameter and three-parameter Weibull distribution functions are used for strength and one-stress fatigue life distribution. The value of mean fatigue life is analysed using mean fatigue life, mean log fatigue life and expected value of 2 and 3-parameter Weibull distribution functions. Modification on non-statistical cumulative damage models is made in order to interpret the result of two-stress level fatigue life scattering. The comparison results show that 3-parameter Weibull distribution has better predictions in static strength and one-stress level fatigue life distributions. However, no advantage of 3-parameter Weibll distribution is found over 2-parameter Weibull distribution in two-stress level fatigue life predictions. It is found that two-stress level fatigue life prediction by the expanded equal rank assumption is close to the experimental data.

Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel (크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jaekab;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

A Study on Empirical Distribution Function with Unknown Shape Parameter and Extreme Value Weight for Three Parameter Weibull Distribution (3변수 Weibull 분포형의 형상매개변수 및 극치값 가중치를 고려한 EDF 검정에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Taereem;Shin, Hongjoon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2013
  • The most important procedure in frequency analysis is to determine the appropriate probability distribution and to estimate quantiles for a given return period. To perform the frequency analysis, the goodness-of-fit tests should be carried out for judging fitness between obtained data from empirical probability distribution and assumed probability distribution. The previous goodness-of-fit could not consider enough extreme events from the recent climate change. In this study, the critical values of the modified Anderson-Darling test statistics were derived for 3-parameter Weibull distribution and power test was performed to evaluate the performance of the suggested test. Finally, this method was applied to 50 sites in South Korea. The result shows that the power of modified Anderson-Darling test has better than other existing goodness-of-fit tests. Thus, modified Anderson-Darling test will be able to act as a reference of goodness-of-fit test for 3-parameter Weibull model.

A Probabilistic Analysis on Fracture Strength of Ceramics (세라믹스의 파괴강도에 관한 확률론적 해석)

  • 김선진
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 1996
  • Weibull distribution function is applied very successfully to the strength of brittle materials such as ceramics and the weakest link model is applied to explain the ovents. This paper deals with the effect of specimen size on the strength of ceramics. The values of tensile strength were calculated by the Monte-Calro simuation. The tensile strength obtained was plotted on Weibull probabillity papers and represented by the 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The strength distribution function was compared with the theoretical weibull distribution. As a result, it was found that the Weibull shape parameter was changed due to the size and there was a possibility of a false indication as if the weakest link model holds good. We should be very careful when we apply the Weibull statistics to estimate the strength of products.

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Estimation of Weibull Scale Parameter Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Lee, Hwa-Jung;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.593-603
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    • 2004
  • We consider the problem of estimating the scale parameter of the Weibull distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We propose two estimators by using the approximate maximum likelihood estimation method for Weibull and extreme value distributions. The proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error.

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A Study on Failure Characteristics and Reliability Prediction of the Rice Combine Harvester (콤바인 수확기(收穫機)의 고장특성(故障特性) 및 신뢰성(信賴性) 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Kim, H.K.;Chung, C.J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1986
  • This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

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An Evaluation of Probabilistic Strain-Life Curve in Polyacetal (폴리아세탈 소재의 확률론적 변형률-수명선도 평가)

  • Jang, Cheon-Soo;Kim, Chul-Su;Park, Bum-Gyu;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.30 no.11 s.254
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    • pp.1417-1424
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    • 2006
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue life of mechanical components including engineering plastics, it is important to estimate probabilistic strain-life curves to accurately define the variation of fatigue characteristics. This paper intends to provide new assessment of P-$\varepsilon$-N (probabilistic strain-life curves) for considering the variation of fatigue characteristics in polyacetal. The fatigue strain controlled tests were conducted under constant 50% humidity and room temperature condition by a universal testing machine at strain ratio, R=0. A practical procedure is introduced to evaluate probabilistic strain-life curves. Three probabilistic distributions were used for generating P-$\varepsilon$-N curves such as normal, 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull. In this study, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue characteristic were examined using chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The more appropriate P-$\varepsilon$-N curves for these materials are generated by the proposed method considering 3-parameter Weibull distribution.

A Evaluation of P-S-N Curve of Low Pressure Steam Turbine Blade Steel (저압 증기 터빈블레이드 강의 P-S-N 선도 평가)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2001
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue data of the LP steam turbine blade steel, it is important to estimate P - S - N curves to accurately define the probability distributions. In this study, new procedure is introduced to determine the expression of P - S - N curves. For this purpose, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue life were examined by the proposed analysis. Furthermore, parameter estimation for P - S - N curves was performed using various optimization to maximize the correlation coefficient. As a result of this, sequential linear programing method is used for estimation of P - S - N curves.

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Development of Probabilistic Models Optimized for Korean Marine Environment Varying from Sea to Sea Based on the Three-parameter Weibull Distribution (우리나라 해역별 해양환경에 최적화된 확률모형 개발)

  • Yong Jun Cho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.20-36
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    • 2024
  • In this study, probabilistic models for the wave- and lifting forces were derived directly from long-term in-situ wave data embedding the Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea based on the Three-Parameter Weibull distribution. Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea carved out their presence on the probability coefficients of probabilistic models for wave- and lifting forces. Energetic wave conditions along the southern coast of Korea distinguish themselves from the others with a relatively large scale coefficient, small location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.3. On the other hand, mild marine environment along the western coast has a small variability, leading to small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient and shape coefficient around 2.0. In the sea off Mokpo, near the boundary between the South- and West Seas, marine environment was characterized by small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.2, implying that marine environments characteristics of the South-and West Sea coexist in the sea off Mokpo.

A Weibull Model Building Technique for Reliability Assessment with Limited failure Data (신뢰도 평가에서 제한된 데이터를 이용한 와이블분포 모형화 기법)

  • Kim, Gwang-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2006
  • The Weibull distribution is a good candidate for accurate probabilistic model with its rich shape-forming ability and relatively simple CDF(cumulative distribution function). If there are sufficient information to get convincible mean and variance for a probabilistic event, reliable parameters of the Weibull distribution can be determined uniquely. However, sufficient information is not given as usual. There needs more deliberate model building method for that case. This Paper presents an effective parameter estimation technique for Weibull distribution with limited failure data.