• 제목/요약/키워드: 3-Parameter Weibull Distribution

검색결과 107건 처리시간 0.027초

복합재료 피로 수명 분포에 관한 고찰 (Analysis on fatigue life distribution of composite materials)

  • 황운봉;한경섭
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.790-805
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    • 1988
  • 본 연구에서는 유리섬유 강화 에폭시 복합재료의 파괴 강도와 피로 수명을 정 규분포, 로그 정규 분포와 2모수 및 3모수 Weibull 분포 함수의 기대값으로 살펴 보았 다. 2연속 응력 피로 실험 [작은 응력에서 큰 응력으로의 실험(low-high test), 큰 응력에서 작은 응력으로의 실험(high-low test)]의 결과도 분포 함수들을 사용하여 분 석하였다. 비통계학적 누적 손상 법칙들(non-statistical cumulative damage rules) 을 2연속 응력 피로 수명 분산 예측에 이용하기 위해서 동등 순위 가정(equal rank assumption)을 확장하여 수정하였다. 수정한 누적 손상 모형은 Miner의 법칙, Brou- tman과 Sahu의 손상모형 및 Hashin과 Rotem의 모형 등이다.

크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석 (Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel)

  • 김재갑;김재훈
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

3변수 Weibull 분포형의 형상매개변수 및 극치값 가중치를 고려한 EDF 검정에 대한 연구 (A Study on Empirical Distribution Function with Unknown Shape Parameter and Extreme Value Weight for Three Parameter Weibull Distribution)

  • 김태림;신홍준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2013
  • 적절한 확률분포형을 결정하고 그에 따른 확률수문량을 산정하는 것은 빈도해석에서 가장 중요한 절차이며, 이를 수행하기 위해서는 경험적 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료와 가정한 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료의 일치 정도를 판별하는 적합도 검정을 거쳐야 한다. 지금까지 일반적으로 적용된 적합도 검정 방법은 분포형의 전체적인 적합정도를 판별하여 최근의 기상이변으로 인한 극치 사상에 대하여는 충분히 고려하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 분포형의 극치 사상에 가중치를 주는 modified Anderson-Darling(AD) 검정 방법을 3변수 Weibull 분포형에 적용하여 검정통계량 한계값과 기각력을 살펴보았으며 이를 실제자료에 적용한 결과, modified AD 검정 방법이 다른 기존의 적합도 검정보다 더 우수한 기각력을 가지고 있음을 확인하였다. 이는 앞으로 3변수 Weibull 분포형을 이용한 극치 수문량 선정에 있어 modified AD 방법이 하나의 기준으로 작용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

세라믹스의 파괴강도에 관한 확률론적 해석 (A Probabilistic Analysis on Fracture Strength of Ceramics)

  • 김선진
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 1996
  • Weibull distribution function is applied very successfully to the strength of brittle materials such as ceramics and the weakest link model is applied to explain the ovents. This paper deals with the effect of specimen size on the strength of ceramics. The values of tensile strength were calculated by the Monte-Calro simuation. The tensile strength obtained was plotted on Weibull probabillity papers and represented by the 3-parameter Weibull distribution. The strength distribution function was compared with the theoretical weibull distribution. As a result, it was found that the Weibull shape parameter was changed due to the size and there was a possibility of a false indication as if the weakest link model holds good. We should be very careful when we apply the Weibull statistics to estimate the strength of products.

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Estimation of Weibull Scale Parameter Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Lee, Hwa-Jung;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.593-603
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    • 2004
  • We consider the problem of estimating the scale parameter of the Weibull distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We propose two estimators by using the approximate maximum likelihood estimation method for Weibull and extreme value distributions. The proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error.

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콤바인 수확기(收穫機)의 고장특성(故障特性) 및 신뢰성(信賴性) 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (A Study on Failure Characteristics and Reliability Prediction of the Rice Combine Harvester)

  • 김학규;정창주
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1986
  • This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

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폴리아세탈 소재의 확률론적 변형률-수명선도 평가 (An Evaluation of Probabilistic Strain-Life Curve in Polyacetal)

  • 장천수;김철수;박범규;김정규
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제30권11호
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    • pp.1417-1424
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    • 2006
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue life of mechanical components including engineering plastics, it is important to estimate probabilistic strain-life curves to accurately define the variation of fatigue characteristics. This paper intends to provide new assessment of P-$\varepsilon$-N (probabilistic strain-life curves) for considering the variation of fatigue characteristics in polyacetal. The fatigue strain controlled tests were conducted under constant 50% humidity and room temperature condition by a universal testing machine at strain ratio, R=0. A practical procedure is introduced to evaluate probabilistic strain-life curves. Three probabilistic distributions were used for generating P-$\varepsilon$-N curves such as normal, 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull. In this study, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue characteristic were examined using chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The more appropriate P-$\varepsilon$-N curves for these materials are generated by the proposed method considering 3-parameter Weibull distribution.

저압 증기 터빈블레이드 강의 P-S-N 선도 평가 (A Evaluation of P-S-N Curve of Low Pressure Steam Turbine Blade Steel)

  • 김철수;정화영;김정규
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집A
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    • pp.272-277
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    • 2001
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue data of the LP steam turbine blade steel, it is important to estimate P - S - N curves to accurately define the probability distributions. In this study, new procedure is introduced to determine the expression of P - S - N curves. For this purpose, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue life were examined by the proposed analysis. Furthermore, parameter estimation for P - S - N curves was performed using various optimization to maximize the correlation coefficient. As a result of this, sequential linear programing method is used for estimation of P - S - N curves.

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우리나라 해역별 해양환경에 최적화된 확률모형 개발 (Development of Probabilistic Models Optimized for Korean Marine Environment Varying from Sea to Sea Based on the Three-parameter Weibull Distribution)

  • 조용준
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.20-36
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    • 2024
  • 요 지 : 본 연구에서는 먼저 우리나라 해역별 해양환경 특성이 담긴 장기 파랑 관측자료로부터 Goda 모형을 활용하여 파력과 양력 시계열자료를 생성하였다. 이어 이렇게 생성된 시계열자료부터 Three-parameter Weibull distribution에 기반한 파력과 양력 확률모형을 개발하였다. 해역별로 다른 우리나라 해양환경은 파력과 양력 확률모형 모수에서도 그 차이를 확연하게 드러내었다. 충분히 발달한 풍성 파가 우월한 남해안의 경우 큰 Scale Coefficient, 작은 Location Coefficient, 1.3 전후의 Shape Coefficient로 특정되는 것을 확인하였다. 이에 비해 파랑의 성장이 취송거리에 의해 제한되는 서해를 마주하고 있는 군산의 경우 작은 Scale Coefficient, 큰 Location Coefficient, 2.0 전후의 Shape Coefficient로 특정되었다. 서해와 남해가 만나는 해역을 마주하고 있는 목포의 경우 작은 Scale Coefficient, 큰 Location Coefficient, 제일 작은 Shape Coefficient를 지녀 남해와 서해의 해양환경이 혼재한다는 사실도 확인할 수 있었다.

신뢰도 평가에서 제한된 데이터를 이용한 와이블분포 모형화 기법 (A Weibull Model Building Technique for Reliability Assessment with Limited failure Data)

  • 김광원
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2006
  • The Weibull distribution is a good candidate for accurate probabilistic model with its rich shape-forming ability and relatively simple CDF(cumulative distribution function). If there are sufficient information to get convincible mean and variance for a probabilistic event, reliable parameters of the Weibull distribution can be determined uniquely. However, sufficient information is not given as usual. There needs more deliberate model building method for that case. This Paper presents an effective parameter estimation technique for Weibull distribution with limited failure data.