• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.11-25
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• 2011

This study analyzes the quantitaive effect of 155M artillery ammunition procurement from third party countries in the wartime using simulation. First, we study the concept of ammunition supply, procurement plan, transportation plan in the wartime and logistics support from third party countries. We then study the ammunition support possibility from third party countries. Secondly, we make a basic model on the sea-lift from Korea to U.S in the wartime using simulation followed by making comparative models on the sea-lift from Korea to U.S and third party countries. Finally, we analyze models on the completion date of ammunition transportation and the ammunition amount of each operation step. We then execute the sensitivity analysis on the ammunition amount from third party countries. In cocclusion, ammunition prcurement from third party countreis more supply 10% than basic model.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.121-129
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to determine the relationship between observed traffic data and NOx concentrations from not an ideal condition but a real road in real-time. Also we aim to develop an estimation model for NOx emission concentrations due to vehicle exhaust gas, and it can be applied to monitor the degree of air pollution on National Road in real-time. To eliminate outliers which are occurred due to errors of equipments and other variables, we use the robust analysis and develop two models. which are considering and not considering wind impact. The result of this research can be used for understanding present condition of air pollution caused by vehicle exhaust gas and evaluating for environmental effects of transportation policy.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.28 no.3D
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• pp.307-315
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• 2008

The aim of this study is to develop travel time estimation model by using Self-Organized Neural network(in brief, SON) algorithm. Travel time data based on vehicles equipped with GPS and number-plate matching collected from National road number 3 (between Jangji-IC and Gonjiam-IC), which is pilot section of National Highway Traffic Management System were employed. We found that the accuracies of travel time are related to location of detector, the length of road section and land-use properties. In this paper, we try to develop travel time estimation using SON to remedy defects of existing neural network method, which could not additional learning and efficient structure modification. Furthermore, we knew that the estimation accuracy of travel time is superior to optimum located detectors than based on existing located detectors. We can expect the results of this study will make use of location allocation of detectors in highway.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.441-468
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• 2004

We estimate carbon embodied in the export goods of Korea. A commodity-by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO model) is constructed for the estimation. In the model, all monetary units of energy commodities are converted to physical unit, carbon tons. Results show that total $CO_2$ embodied in the exports of non-energy goods of Korea equals 51.18 million carbon ton or 44% of total $CO_2$ emissions in Korea in 2000. Overall carbon intensity of export goods is estimated as 0.227 carbon ton per million Won. These findings suggest Korea's responsibility on global warming may be imputed to the countries who import and consume Korean goods. It is in accordance with the user pay principle. It is also argued that if UNFCCC impose the burden of $CO_2$ mitigation on importing countries rather than exporting countries, we can prevent '$CO_2$ emission leakages' effectively.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.1-17
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• 2021

Forecasting the daily volume of container is important in many aspects of port operation. In this article, we utilized a machine-learning algorithm based on decision tree to predict future container throughput of Busan port. Accurate volume forecasting improves operational efficiency and service levels by reducing costs and shipowner latency. We showed that our method is capable of accurately and reliably predicting container throughput in short-term(days). Forecasting accuracy was improved by more than 22% over time series methods(ARIMA). We also demonstrated that the current method is assumption-free and not prone to human bias. We expect that such method could be useful in a broad range of fields.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.41 no.12
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• pp.1969-1977
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• 2016

We study the connection time of vehicle-to-mobile roadside unit (V2MR) communications which can reduce the significant cost of the fixed RSU by installing a gateway of mobile network into a transit bus called the mobile RSU. In the V2MR communications, the connectivity of a commute vehicle can be improved via ad-hoc connection to a nearby mobile RSU. In this paper, we present a new analysis model to estimate the connection time between a commute vehicle and a mobile RSU, when there is a bus station in the overlapping route. Since the connection time between two vehicles is highly dynamic and unpredictable, our analysis will provide a fundamental basis of connection-time estimation of V2MR communications. Numerical results obtained from VEINS simulation show that our analysis can estimate the connection time of V2MR communications with the average error below 1.0 percent. Moreover, we show that the average connection time of V2MR communications can be extended to approximately 3.85 times of that of V2R communications.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.1305-1309
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 지금까지 국내에서 주로 사용되고 있는 대표적인 집중형 모형인 TANK 모형과 국 내외적으로 적용성이 점차 확대되고 있는 GIS 기반의 준분포형 모형인 SWAT(Soil Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 각각 MODSIM 모형과 연계하여 유역 내 이수상황을 고려한 하천 자연유하량을 분석하였으며, 두 연계모형 간의 비교분석을 통해 SWAT 모형의 국내 유역에 적용성 및 두 모형의 갈수기 하천 자연유하량 산정의 정확성을 검토하였다. 적용대상 유역으로 유역 내 이수활동이 이루어지고 있는 합천댐 유역을 선정하였으며, 합천댐 유역에 최근 10년간(1997년$\sim$2006년)의 장기유출량을 산정해본 결과 두 모형 모두 유출률에서는 연도별로 관측치와 다소 차이를 나타낼 때도 있지만 그 이외에 평균제곱근 오차는 3.339 이하, 결정계수 및 모형의 효율성 계수는 0.707 이상으로 나타남으로써 SWAT-MODSIM 모형과 TANK-MODSIM 모형 모두 장기 일유출량 추정 및 유역 전반의 통합관리 측면에서 그 적용성 및 활용이 우수하다고 판단된다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.510-518
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• 2015

Weather condition has effect on traffic condition, but there is a lack of research between weather and traffic condition. So, in this study analyzes speed variation according to rainfall intensity in national highway provincial road. The results of the analysis, average speed is reduced about 3.2%. But average speed decrease by maximum 8.8% when traffic volume is below 200vph per direction. Because relatively, free flow traffic speed has greatly deceased according to rainfall intensity in provincial road. Also in this study estimates of speed reduction model according to rainfall and performs the statistical verification. Estimated speed reduction model's slops are gradual when rainfall increased, because average speed is reduced by rainfall when free flow.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.155-175
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• 2018

This study estimates the technical efficiency and total factor productivity(TFP) of and analyzes the relationship between TFP and exports for Korean manufacturing companies from 2000 to 2016. Specially, TFP is decomposed into Technical Change(TC), Technical Efficiency Change (TEC), and Sale Effect(SE), and compared between large and small enterprises. First, in the case of technical efficiency, the Korean economy has been very vulnerable to external shocks, such as the sharp decline following the 2008 financial crisis. The efficiency of the electronics, automobile, and machinery sectors is low and needs to be improved. In addition, the technological efficiency of large enterprises is higher than that of SMEs in most manufacturing sub-sectors except for non-ferrous metals. In the case of TFP, most changes are due to TC, and the effective combination of labor, capital and the effect of scale have little effect, suggesting that improvement of internal structure is urgent. In addition, volatility due to the impact of the financial crisis in 2008 was much larger in SMEs than in large companies, so external economic impacts are more greater for SMEs than large enterprises. The relationship between TFP decomposition factors and exports shows that TC has a positive effect only on exports of SMEs. Therefore, in order to increase exports, in the case of SMEs, R&D support to promote technological development is needed. In the case of large companies, it is necessary to establish differentiated strategies for each export market, competitor company, and item to link efficiency and scale effect of exports.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.181-200
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• 2003

Comovement of international stock market prices has been lately a major controversy in the global stock market. This paper explores whether the common trend has really existed among the US, Japan and Korea's stock markets using the econometric techniques such as VAR, VECM as applied. Pair of indices from the exchange market and the over-the-counter market in each country has been tested, and the exchange market only has been turned out that the common trend existed. The dynamic analyses using the Granger causality test, impulse response function, and the forecast error decomposition have followed to show that the US stock market has played some important role in the Korea and Japan's market in the exchange as well as in the OTC market. The results of the paper imply that the more careful investigation with respect to the co-integration may be necessary in the global market integration studies.