• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.79-86
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• 2022

Recently, the amount of maintenance is increasing due to the aging of power facilities, but the budget is constrained. Therefore, the importance of asset management that selects replacement priorities based on the failure probability and enhances investment effects is increasing. Because the number of distribution transformers is very large, the proportion of investment cost is very high. Therefore, it is important to select the investment priority by evaluating the reliable remaining life based on the failure probability. This paper evaluates the statistical expected life using the failure data of distribution transformers for the last 11 years and the current operation data. The hazard rate of distribution transformer and MV cable was compared with each other and the adequacy of early failure removal was reviewed and the statistical expected life corresponding to the cumulative failure probability B3% was calculated.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.453-461
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• 1999

The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the structure and machinery compo-nents. In this study the practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function is shown with a $135,000m^3$ LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution taht determine the stress spectrum are dis-cussed. At the end some of uncertainties associated with fatigue life prediction are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors expressed in combination of probability density function and S-N data is proposed. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter and stress block. The conser-vative fatigue design can be achieved when using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divded into more stress blocks.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집 센서 박막재료연구회 및 광주 전남지부
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• pp.50-53
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• 2008

In this work, the $TiO_2$ pigment influence in HDPE dielectric strength was analyzed. Chemical and structural characterizations were made to identify changes during the processing and your influence in the electrical properties. Formulations containing 0, 0.5, 1, 2.5, 4 and 6 of titanium dioxide were processed by extrusion and injection molding with stabilization-antioxidants, ultraviolet stabilizers and plasticizers. The electrical strength tests were analyzed by the statistical distribution of Weibull, and the maximum likelihood method. The high concentrations present lower values to electrical strength. The $\beta$ parameter could be using to insulator particles dispersion. The $TiO_2$ concentration variation shows that these incorporations implicate strength values increase has a maximum (5,35MV/cm). High pigment concentration induces a little falls in property values. Observing the $\beta$ parameter, minimum experiment electric field (Ebmin) and electric strength value, found that the best electric perform formulation was the formulation with 2.5% $TiO_2$ weight.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.331-332
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• 2007

In this work, the TiO2 pigment influence in HDPE dielectric strength was analyzed. Chemical and structural characterizations were made to identify changes during the processing and your influence in the electrical properties, formulations containing 0, 0.5, 1, 2.5, 4 and 6 of titanium dioxide were processed by extrusion and injection molding with stabilization-antioxidants, ultraviolet stabilizers and plasticizers. The electrical strength tests were analyzed by the statistical distribution of Weibull, and the maximum likelihood method. The high concentrations present lower values to electrical strength. The parameter could be using to insulator panicles dispersion. The TiO2 concentration variation shows that these incorporations implicate strength values increase has a maximum (5,35MV/cm). High pigment concentration induces a little falls in property values. Observing the parameter, minimum experiment electric field (Ebmin) and electric strength value, found that the best electric perform formulation was the formulation with 2.5% TiO2 weight.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2007년도 제38회 하계학술대회
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• pp.1982-1983
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• 2007

In this work, the $TiO_2$ pigment influence in HDPE dielectric strength was analyzed. Chemical and structural characterizations were made to identify changes during the processing and your influence in the electrical properties. Formulations containing 0, 0.5, 1, 2.5, 4 and 6 of titanium dioxide were processed by extrusion and injection molding with stabilization-antioxidants, ultraviolet stabilizers and plasticizers. The electrical strength tests were analyzed by the statistical distribution of Weibull, and the maximum likelihood method. The high concentrations present lower values to electrical strength. The ${\beta}$ parameter could be using to insulator particles dispersion. The TiO2 concentration variation shows that these incorporations implicate strength values increase has a maximum (5,35MV/cm). High pigment concentration induces a little falls in property values. Observing the ${\beta}$ parameter, minimum experiment electric field (Ebmin) and electric strength value, found that the best electric perform formulation was the formulation with 2.5% TiO2 weight.

• 정보학연구
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.47-64
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• 2007

Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. Accurate predictions of software release times, and estimation of the reliability and availability of a software product require quantification of a critical element of the software testing process : test coverage. This model called enhanced non-homogeneous poission process(ENHPP). In this paper, exponential coverage and S-coverage model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential coverage reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001). In this analysis of software failure data, algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE statistics for the sake of efficient model, was employed.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.1241-1250
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• 1996

The characteristics of fatigue cumulative damage and fatigue life of 8-harness satin woven CFRP composites with a circular hole under constant amplitude and 2-level block loading are estimated by Stochastic Makov chain model. It is found in this study that the fatigue damage accumulation behavior is very random and the fatigue damage is accumulated as two regions under constant amplitude fatigue loading. In constant amplitude fatigue loading the predicted mean number of cycles to a specified damage state by Markov chain model shows a good agreement with the test result. The predicted distribution of the fatigue cumulative damage by Markov chain model is similar to the test result. The fatigue life predictions under 2-level block loading by Markov chain model revised are good fitted to the test result more than by 2-parameter Weibull distribution function using percent failure rule.

• 대한기계학회논문집
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.1908-1918
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• 1991

본 연구에서는 피로 잔류강도저하(fatigue residual strength degradation) 개념을 이용하여 복합재료의 잔류강도와 피로수명을 예측하고 실험을 통하여 비교 평 가하였으며, 설계시 고려되어야 할 인자를 파악하여 파손방지를 위한 유한 수명설계 및 손상허용설계의 기본자료를 집적함으로서 새로운 소재인 탄소섬유 강화 복합재료의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 개발과 고강도 경량화를 위한 이용설계에 활용할 수 있도록 하는 데 그 목적이 있다.

• 융합보안논문지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.35-40
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• 2008

소트프웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나, 단조 증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정 등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하다가 시간절단이 될 경우에 미래의 고장 시간 예측에 관하여 연구되었다. 고장 시간 예측에 사용된 고장시간자료는 소프트웨어 고장 시간 분포에 널리 사용되는 와이블 분포에서 형상모수가 1이고 척도모수가 0.5를 가진 난수를 발생된 모의 자료를 이용 하였다. 이 자료를 이용하여 시계열 분석에 이용되는 ARIMA 모형 중에서 AR(1) 모형과 모의실험을 통한 예측 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법에서 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 예측방법이 효율적임을 입증 하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• 제43권4호
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• pp.456-462
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• 2015

KS F 3020-침엽수구조용재 기준에 따라 국산 소나무(Pinus densiflora) $38{\times}140{\times}3600mm$ 구조용 제재목 365개에 대하여 기계등급구분을 실시하고, 휨허용응력을 산출하여 현재 적용되는 KS기준허용응력과 비교 분석하였다. 휨허용응력 계산을 위하여 5% 휨강도 하한값을 75% 신뢰수준의 비모수적 방법, 2-parameter 그리고 3-parameter Weibull 분포를 가정한 모수적 방법, 휨강도-휨탄성계수 직선회귀 방법, 총 4가지 분석방법을 사용하여 결정하였다. 기계등급 E8, E9, E10 만이 비모수적 방법의 통계 처리가 가능한 자료 수를 얻었으며, 휨강도-휨탄성계수 직선회귀 방법은 이론적으로 모든 등급에 대한 5% 하한값 결정이 가능함을 보여주었다. 결정된 등급별 휨허용응력은 기준허용응력에 비하여 모두 낮은 값을 나타내었으며 이것은 과소설계의 위험성이 있는 것으로 현행 기계등급구분체계의 문제점으로 파악되었다. 이러한 문제는 구조설계 신뢰성과 관련하여 반드시 개선되어야 할 것으로, 휨강도-휨탄성계수 조합 등급 도입이 필요할 것으로 생각되었다.