• Title/Summary/Keyword: 흐름예측

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Prediction of a Debris Flow Flooding Caused by Probable Maximum Precipitation (가능 최대강수량에 의한 토석류 범람 예측)

  • Kim, Yeon-Joong;Yoon, Jung-Sung;Kohji, Tanaka;Hur, Dong-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2015
  • In recent years, debris flow disaster has occurred in multiple locations between high and low mountainous areas simultaneously with a flooding disaster in urban areas caused by heavy and torrential rainfall due to the changing global climate and environment. As a result, these disasters frequently lead to large-scale destruction of infrastructures or individual properties and cause psychological harm or human death. In order to mitigate these disasters more effectively, it is necessary to investigate what causes the damage with an integrated model of both disasters at once. The objectives of this study are to analyze the mechanism of debris flow for real basin, to determine the PMP and run-off discharge due to the DAD analysis, and to estimate the influence range of debris flow for fan area according to the scenario. To analyse the characteristics of debris flow at the real basin, the parameters such as the deposition pattern, deposit thickness, approaching velocity, occurrence of sediment volume and travel length are estimated from DAD analysis. As a results, the peak time precipitation is estimated by 135 mm/hr as torrential rainfall and maximum total amount of rainfall is estimated by 544 mm as typhoon related rainfall.

Analysis of debris flow simulation parameters with entrainment effect: a case study in the Mt. Umyeon (연행작용을 고려한 우면산 토석류 모의 매개변수 특성분석)

  • Lee, Seungjun;An, Hyunuk;Kim, Minseok;Lim, Hyuntaek
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.9
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    • pp.637-646
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    • 2020
  • The shallow landslide-trigerred debris flow in hillslope catchments is the primary geological phenomenon that drives landscape changes and therefore imposes risks as a natural hazard. In particular, debris flows occurring in urban areas can result to substantial damages to properties and human injuries during the flow and sediment transport process. To alleviate the damages as a result of these debris flow, analytical models for flow and damage prediction are of significant importance. However, the analysis of debris flow model parameters is not yet sufficient, and the analysis of the entrainment, which has a significant influence on the flow process and the damage extent, is still incomplete. In this study, the effects of erosion and erosion process on the flow and the impact area due to the change in the soil parameters are analyzed using Deb2D model, a flow analysis model of debris developed in Korea. The research is conducted for the case of the Mt. Umyeon landslide in 2011. The resulting impacted area, total debris-flow volume, maximum velocity and inundated depth from the Erosion model are compared to the field survey data. Also, the effect of the entrainment changing parameters is analyzed through the erosion shape and depth. The debris flow simulation for the Raemian and Shindong apartment catchment with the consideration of entrainment effect and erosion has been successful. Each parameter sensitivity could be analyzed through sensitivity analysis for the two basins based on the change in parameters, which indicates the necessity of parameter estimation.

Reservoir Modeling for Carbon Dioxide Sequestration and Enhanced Oil Recovery (이산화탄소 지중저장과 원유 회수증진 공정을 위한 저류층 모델링)

  • Kim, Seung-Hyok;Lee, Jong-Min;Yoon, En-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2012
  • Manifold researches for carbon capture and storage (CCS) have been developed and large scale-carbon capture system can be performed recently. Hence, the technologies for $CO_2$ sequestration or storage become necessary to handle the captured $CO_2$. Among them, enhanced oil recovery using $CO_2$ can be a solution since it guarantees both oil recovery and $CO_2$ sequestration. In this study, the miscible flow of oil and $CO_2$ in porous media is modeled to analyze the effect of enhanced oil recovery and $CO_2$ sequestration. Based on Darcy-Muskat law, the equation is modified to consider miscibility of oil and $CO_2$ and the change of viscosity. Finite volume method is used for numerical modeling. As results, the pressure and oil saturation changes with time can be predicted when oil, water, and $CO_2$ are injected, respectively, and $CO_2$ injection is more efficient than water injection for oil recovery.

Fracture and Hygrothermal Effects in Composite Materials (복합재의 파괴와 hygrothermal 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kook-Chan Ahn;Nam-Kyung Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 1996
  • This is an explicit-Implicit, finite element analysis for linear as well as nonlinear hygrothermal stress problems. Additional features, such as moisture diffusion equation, crack element and virtual crack extension(VCE ) method for evaluating J-integral are implemented in this program. The Linear Elastic Fracture Mechanics(LEFM) Theory is employed to estimate the crack driving force under the transient condition for and existing crack. Pores in materials are assumed to be saturated with moisture in the liquid form at the room temperature, which may vaporize as the temperature increases. The vaporization effects on the crack driving force are also studied. The Ideal gas equation is employed to estimate the thermodynamic pressure due to vaporization at each time step after solving basic nodal values. A set of field equations governing the time dependent response of porous media are derived from balance laws based on the mixture theory Darcy's law Is assumed for the fluid flow through the porous media. Perzyna's viscoplastic model incorporating the Von-Mises yield criterion are implemented. The Green-Naghdi stress rate is used for the invariant of stress tensor under superposed rigid body motion. Isotropic elements are used for the spatial discretization and an iterative scheme based on the full newton-Raphson method is used for solving the nonlinear governing equations.

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Trend of Research and Industry-Related Analysis in Data Quality Using Time Series Network Analysis (시계열 네트워크분석을 통한 데이터품질 연구경향 및 산업연관 분석)

  • Jang, Kyoung-Ae;Lee, Kwang-Suk;Kim, Woo-Je
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this paper is both to analyze research trends and to predict industrial flows using the meta-data from the previous studies on data quality. There have been many attempts to analyze the research trends in various fields till lately. However, analysis of previous studies on data quality has produced poor results because of its vast scope and data. Therefore, in this paper, we used a text mining, social network analysis for time series network analysis to analyze the vast scope and data of data quality collected from a Web of Science index database of papers published in the international data quality-field journals for 10 years. The analysis results are as follows: Decreases in Mathematical & Computational Biology, Chemistry, Health Care Sciences & Services, Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, Biochemistry & Molecular Biology, and Medical Information Science. Increases, on the contrary, in Environmental Sciences, Water Resources, Geology, and Instruments & Instrumentation. In addition, the social network analysis results show that the subjects which have the high centrality are analysis, algorithm, and network, and also, image, model, sensor, and optimization are increasing subjects in the data quality field. Furthermore, the industrial connection analysis result on data quality shows that there is high correlation between technique, industry, health, infrastructure, and customer service. And it predicted that the Environmental Sciences, Biotechnology, and Health Industry will be continuously developed. This paper will be useful for people, not only who are in the data quality industry field, but also the researchers who analyze research patterns and find out the industry connection on data quality.

Design Scheme to Develop Integrated Remediation Technology: Case Study of Integration of Soil Flushing and Pneumatic Fracturing for Metal Contaminated Soil (복합복원기술 개발을 위한 설계안 : 중금속 오염토양을 위한 토양세척과 토양파쇄의 통합 사례 연구)

  • Chung, Doug-Young;Yang, Jae-E.
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2006
  • In remediation of the contaminated soil, it requires to select at least more than two remediation technologies depending on the fate and transport phenomena through complicated reactions in soil matrix. Therefore, methodologies related to develop the integrated remediation technology were reviewed for agricultural soils contaminated with heavy metals. Pneumatic fracturing is necessary to implement deficiency because soil washing is not effective to remove heavy metals in the subsurface soil. But it needs to evaluate the characteristics such as essential data and factors of designated technology in order to effectively apply them in the site. In the remediation site, the important soil physical and chemical factors to be considered are hydrology, porosity, soil texture and structure, types and concentrations of the contaminants, and fate and its transport properties. However, the integrated technology can be restrictive by advective flux in the area which remediation is highly effective although both soil washing and pneumatic fracturing were applied simultaneously in the site. Therefore, we need to understand flow pathways of the target contaminants in the subsurface soils, that includes kinetic desorption and flux, predictive simulation modeling, and complicated reaction in heterogenous soil.

Impact Analysis for Transit Oriented Street Design (A Case Study for Kangnam Street in Seoul) (대중교통우선가로제 시행방안 및 기대효과 분석 (강남대로 중앙버스전용차로 도입을 중심으로))

  • 황기연;이조영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2003
  • Considering the high density developments along the major traffic corridors in Seoul, transit-oriented street designs will be a very effective to control traffic congestion along the corridors. For testing the effectiveness, we selected. for our case study, Kangnam Street, which is one of the most highly developed corridors in Seoul The traffic study on Kangnam street in 2000 shows that the daily average bus speed is 11.73km/h, which is 5km/h lower than the auto speed. The Central Bus Lane system was applied on the Kangnam street to test impact on bus speed as well as auto speed. Simulation results show that with Central Bus Lane have been improved the travel speeds of bus as well as auto on Kangnam street from 14.4km/hr to 35.0km/hr and from 25.1km/hr to 26.1km/hr, respectively. The bus market share increases about 6-8 percentages. Especially, 13.4% of bus users are increased for long-distance trips.

Estimation of Watershed Parameters and Runoff Computation Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 유역매개변수의 추정 및 유출량 산정)

  • Lee, Im-Keun;Ahn, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.1 s.174
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2007
  • There exist various difficulties in runoff analysis due to many ungauged basins in Korea and the runoff phenomena is also more and more complicated by the change of geologic characteristics due to the urbanization. So, we use GIS technique which is widely used in hydrologic field and cell runoff concept for the fast and effective runoff simulation. This study uses the observations of 6 stage stations in Wi-Cheon watershed and simulates the watershed parameters by using WMS model. We construct DEM by the grids which are consisted based on the criteria of minimum area according to land use. The cell runoff is estimated by an average weighted method using mean annual streamflow and mean maximum daily streamflow obtained from six stage stations. The runoff ratio at arbitrary site is estimated by conducting the direction analysis of streamflow and by removing sinkhole. We compare the simulated and observed runoffs and know that the simulated runoff shows the valid results. So, we could use the geographical information and cell runoff concept for more fast and effective runoff simulation studies.

The Effects of Parenting Attitudes on the Developmental Trajectories in School Adjustment of Adolescents in Out-of-Home Care (주양육자의 양육태도가 가정외보호 청소년의 학교적응 발달궤적에 미치는 영향)

  • An, Eunmi;Kang, HyunAh;Nho, Choong Rai;Woo, Seokjin;Chun, Jongserl;Chung, Ick Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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    • no.54
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    • pp.145-172
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to examine whether parenting attitudes would have an effect on the developmental trajectories of school adjustment for adolescents in out-of-home care. Additionally, we hypothesized that this model would be different between boys and girls. In this study, we analyzed three waves of data collected from 341 adolescents living in residential facilities, group homes or foster homes by using cluster sampling methods. Growth-curve longitudinal analysis was conducted, and the results indicated that levels of school adjustment had increased from the 1st through the 3rd grade of middle school. Positive parenting attitudes had a positive impact on initial school adjustment and rate of change, whereas negative parenting attitudes had a negative impact only on the initial school adjustment. Second, multi-group analysis revealed that there were group differences between boys and girls in their initial school adjustment by positive parenting attitudes. Based on these results, this study discussed further suggestions to increase school adjustments for adolescents in out-of-home care.

Model Development of Coastal Area Inundation due to Sea-level Rising (해수면 상승에 의한 해안지역 침수모의기법 개발)

  • Kim, Won Bum;Son, Kwang Ik;Jung, Woo Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.292-292
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    • 2018
  • 2016년 태풍 "차바"로 인한 부산과 울산지역의 침수 및 2003년 발생한 태풍 "매미"로 인한 마산창원지역의 침수사례는 우리나라 해안도시유역이 해수면 상승에 의한 피해에 노출되어 있음을 간접적으로 입증하는 대표적 사례라 할 수 있다. IPCC 4차 평가보고서에 따르면 전 지구적 차원에서 지난 100년 동안 해수면은 약 1.7 m 상승하였으며, 1961~2003년 사이 해수면 상승률은 연평균 3.1 mm에 이르고 있다. 특히 우리나라 남해안은 연평균 3.4 mm씩 상승하고 있어 전 세계 해수면 평균 상승속도를 상회하고 있다. 또한 1990년대 이전보다 이후 기간에 우리나라에 영향을 준 태풍의 수가 많으며 평균적으로 태풍의 강도 및 해일고가 증가하고 있다. 따라서 전 지구적 해수면 상승과 태풍해일고 증가에 따른 복합적인 해수면 상승으로 인한 해안유역의 침수피해가 증가할 것으로 예상되며 특히 미래 발생 가능한 수퍼태풍에 의한 급격한 해일고의 상승은 해안유역에 침수피해를 더욱 가중시킬 것이라 예상된다. 특히 해수면 상승으로 인한 침수피해 특성은 홍수유출에 의한 내륙 침수피해와는 다른 특성을 보이고 있어 이에 대한 대응기법 개발이 절실한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해수면 상승에 따른 해안도시지역 대한 침수피해 예방 및 저감을 위한 침수모의기법을 개발하고 효율적 대응방안을 선정하는 기법을 제안하였다. 부정류 특성을 지닌 해수면 상승 경계조건 및 건물 간 도로를 통해 흐름이 발생하는 특성을 고려하여 해안지역의 시공적 침수규모 및 유속 등을 예측할 수 있는 2차원 수치모형을 개발하였다. 2003년 발생한 태풍 "매미" 발생 기간 동안 관측된 실제 해일고를 적용하여 창원 등 해안도시유역에 범람모의를 수행하였으며 실제 침수흔적과 비교함으로써 모형을 검증하였다. 또한 해안 경계선을 따라 월파방지벽을 설치하는 경계조건을 도입하여 월파방지벽 높이에 따른 해안도시유역 침수규모를 산정하여 월파방지벽 높이에 따른 시공적 침수규모를 분석함으로써 월파방지벽의 효과를 확인하였다. 본 연구결과는 해안지역 지점별 침수규모 및 최대 침수심 발생시간을 제공함으로써 침수에 따른 중장기적 구조적 대응방안 수립은 물론 초단기적 예상 해수면 상승에 다른 대피경로 제공 등 비구조적 수재해 대응 기법을 제시하는 기초자료를 제공에 활용 할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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