• Title/Summary/Keyword: 후측모의

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Hindcast simulation of large swell waves in the East Sea (동해 이상고파 후측모의)

  • Ha, Taemin;Yoon, Jae Seon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.476-476
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    • 2016
  • 근래 들어 우리나라 동해안에서 이상고파라 불리는 너울성 고파가 자주 발생하여 상당한 인명 피해를 야기하는 등 사회적으로 큰 이슈가 되고 있다. 이상고파는 일반적으로 동해상에서 발달한 강한 저기압에 의해 발생한 고파가 상대적으로 주기가 긴 너울의 특성을 띄며 우리나라 연안에 도달하여 피해를 발생시키는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 연안에 해상상태가 잦아지는 상황에서 갑작스럽게 전파되어 오기 때문에 많은 인명피해가 발생하게 된다. 현재 미국 등의 해양예보 선진국들은 파랑모델을 운용하여 너울을 포함한 파랑예보를 수행하고 있으며, 해상부이 등의 다양한 파랑관측을 통해 그 성능을 향상시키고 있다. 우리나라에서도 선진 해양예보시스템을 활용하여 이상고파를 예측하고자 하는 연구의 필요성이 제기되고 있으며 정부 관련 부처를 중심으로 그에 대한 연구가 점차 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 파랑모델을 활용하여 기존에 발생한 이상고파 피해사례에 대한 후측모의를 수행하고 우리나라에서 발생하는 이상고파의 발달과정을 분석하였다. 또한, 파랑모델의 후측모의 결과를 관측자료와 비교하여 모델의 성능을 검증하고 문제점을 분석하였다.

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Wave Hindcasting on the Storm Waves at the Korean Straits of April, 2016 (2016년 4월 대한해협 폭풍파랑 후측모의 실험)

  • Chun, Hwusub;Ahn, Kyungmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2017
  • In the present study, the storm waves at the Korean Straits of April, 2016 have been reproduced by the wave hindcasting, and then their characteristics were investigated. Before the wave hindcasting, the wave measurements at the Korean Straits were analyzed. The analysis showed that the waves at the Korean Straits were dominated by the Northeastern waves, same as those in the East Sea. Accordingly, the wave hindcasting was been carried out with the same condition in Ahn et al. (2016). In the numerical results, the maximum significant wave height at the Korean Straits was 5.06 m, and the corresponding significant wave period was 9.2 s. The computed significant wave heights and wave periods were overestimated by 4 cm and 0.8 s, respectively. After the wave hindcasting, the computed significant wave heights and peak periods were compared with the JONSWAP relationship. This comparison showed that the storm waves at the Korean Straits were close to wind waves, not swell.

Hind-casting Simulation of Sedimentation Changes and Passage Hindrance In Keum River Estuary (금강하구 퇴적변화 및 통행지장에 관한 후측모의)

  • Suh SeungWon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.224-232
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    • 2004
  • Sedimentation changes related with bottom shear stress attenuation at JangHang channel in the Keum River Estuary, where several huge coastal constructions including an estuarine dam have been conducted for last 2 decades, were evaluated for 7 cases to figure out passage hindrance through the channel by a hydrodynamic model using hind-casting technique from 1988 to 2000 at every 2 years interval. Due to the construction of Keum River Estuary Dam, the maximum bottom shear stress rapidly lessened to $0.2-0.6N/m^2$ compared to$1-2N/m^2$ in natural status. Especially it marks below the critical shear stress of $0.4N/m^2$ resulting in severe siltation in the channel just after the closing of dam gates in 1994. It is concluded that the dam may block the tidal energy propagation to upstream and directly results in sedimentation environment in front of dam site. It is also revealed that at least 20% of passage hindrance of small fishing boats through the channel could be counted due to sedimentation by analysis of predicted mean spring tides.

Characteristics of Storm Waves at Gangneung port Based on the Wave Hindcasting (파랑 후측 모의 실험 기반 강릉항 폭풍파랑 분석)

  • Ahn, Kyungmo;Hwang, Soon-mi;Chun, Hwusub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.375-382
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    • 2016
  • In the present study, the wave hindcasting has been performed, and then the characteristics of storm waves at Gangnueng port was investigated, in which the high waves are observed. Comparing the numerical results with the wave measurements at Gangneung port, Niigata, and Hamada, there were good agreements between them. In particular, the Pearson correlation coefficients of significant wave heights and peak periods at Gangneung port were 0.92 and 0.72, respectively. Then the extreme wave analysis on the significant wave heights was carried out for the estimation of the frequency of storm waves. In this analysis, the storm waves over the threshold were fitted to GPD(Generalized Pareto Distribution). According to this analysis, the return period of the storm wave on February, 24, 2008, one of the large storm waves at Gangneung port, was 8.2 months. Among the computed significant wave heights larger than one-year wave, 58.3% of them were resulted from the storm, while the others were from the typhoon. Additionally, the regression analysis on the waves larger than one-month wave has been conducted, and then the relationship between the computed significant wave heights and the significant wave period, $T_{1/3}=7H_s^{0.25}$ was obtained.

Analysis of Wave Characteristics near Wangdeungdo through Southwest Sea Wave Hindcasting (서남해 파랑 후측모의 실험을 통한 왕등도 인근 파랑 특성 분석)

  • Young Ju Noh;Min Young Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2024
  • Wave conditions are crucial for offshore wind farm design, particularly in determining structural loads and layout. However, there is limited wave hindcasting research for the Wangdeungdo Island area, a potential offshore wind site. This study used the MIKE21 model for a year-long wave hindcast around Wangdeungdo in 2021. Validation showed high reproducibility for significant wave heights with RMSE values of 0.177 and 0.225 and Pearson correlations of 0.971 and 0.970 at Sangwangdeungdo and Buan buoys. Subsequent analysis of the wave characteristics near Wangdeungdo indicated significant seasonal variations and differences in maximum significant wave heights across locations, which are expected to significantly impact the design loads for offshore wind structures.

Coarse Grid Wave Hindcasting in the Yellow Sea Considering the Effect of Tide and Tidal Current (조석 및 조류 효과를 고려한 황해역 광역 파랑 수치모의 실험)

  • Chun, Hwusub;Ahn, Kyungmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.286-297
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    • 2018
  • In the present study, wave measurements at KOGA-W01 were analyzed and then the numerical wind waves simulations have been conducted to investigate the characteristics of wind waves in the Yellow sea. According to the present analysis, even though the location of the wave stations are close to the coastal region, the deep water waves are prevailed due to the short fetch length. Chun and Ahn's (2017a, b) numerical model has been extended to the Yellow Sea in this study. The effects of tide and tidal currents should be included in the model to accommodate the distinctive effect of large tidal range and tidal current in the Yellow Sea. The wave hindcasting results were compared with the wave measurements collected KOGA-W01 and Kyeockpo. The comparison shows the reasonable agreements between wave hindcastings and measured data, however the model significantly underestimate the wave period of swell waves from the south due to the narrow computational domain. Despite the poorly prediction in the significant wave period of swell waves which usually have small wave heights, the estimation of the extreme wave height and corresponding wave period shows good agreement with the measurement data.

A Study on the Statistical Characteristics and Numerical Hindcasts of Storm Waves in East Sea (동해 폭풍파랑의 통계적 특성과 파랑 후측모의 실험에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Hwusub;Kang, Tae-Soon;Ahn, Kyungmo;Jeong, Weon Mu;Kim, Tae-Rim;Lee, Dong Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, the statistical analysis on the storm waves in the East Sea have been carried out, and the several storm waves were reproduced by the modified WAM as a first step for the accurate and prompt forecasting and warning against the swell waves in East Sea. According to the present study, the occurrences of the storm waves from the North were the most probable, while the waves from the Northeast were most frequently observed. It was found that the significant wave heights of storm waves from the North and Northern northeast were larger than those of storm waves from the Northeast. But due to long fetch distance, the significant wave periods of storm waves from the Northesast were longer than those of North and Northern northeast. In addition to the wave analysis, the numerical experiments for the storm waves in East Sea were carried out using the modified WAM, and three periods of storm waves in 2013 were calculated. The numerical results were well agreed with wave measurements. However the numerical simulation results in shallow water region showed lower accuracies compared to deep water, which might be due to lower resolution of wind field and bottom topography caused by large grid size, 5 minute, adopted in the present study. Overall computational efficiency of the modified WAM found to be excellent compared to original WAM. It is because the modified WAM adopted the implicit scheme, thereby the present model performed 10 time faster than original WAM in computation time.

Assessment of Design water level variation Due to Climate Change for Port Nam-Hyang, Ulleng-Do (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 울릉도 남양항의 설계수위 변화 평가)

  • Kwon, Kyong Hwan;Park, Jee Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.219-219
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    • 2022
  • 지구 온난화와 함께 발생하는 해수면 상승은 한반도의 해안지역을 비롯하여 울릉도 등 도서지역 전반에 걸쳐 진행 중이다. 또한 해수면의 온도 상승으로 인한 열대저기압의 생성 시 에너지 공급이 증가하며 연안으로 내습하는 파랑 내습 에너지가 커지게 된다. 경상북도 울릉군에 위치한 남양항은 최근 2019년 태풍 다나스 및 2020년 태풍 마이삭 등에 의해 고파랑 혹은 침수 피해가 발생하여 항 내에서는 물양장과 선박이 파괴되고 방파제가 전도되는 등의 피해가 속출하였다. 동해안의 태풍 내습, 지구 온난화와 저기압 발달에 의한 수위 상승 등과 같은 다양한 해양기후를 고려한 연안 구조물의 파랑 영향을 검토하는 것이 중요할 것으로 판단되었다. 기상청 태풍센터에서 제공하는 1979년부터 2020년까지 한반도 해역에 내습한 태풍 중 울릉도에 영향을 미친 태풍은 18개로 울릉도 인근에 영향을 준 내습 태풍을 10년 단위로 분석해 보면, 1980년대 3개, 1990년대 2개, 2000년대 8개, 2010년대 3개, 2020년 2개로 2000년대에 울릉도 영향권에 들어간 태풍이 가장 많았으며, 심해파 추산 기간 이후 2020년 1년 동안 울릉도 인근으로 마이삭, 하이선과 같은 2개의 태풍이 연속적으로 영향을 주었다. 울릉도에 영향을 미친 18개 태풍을 대상으로 일본 기상청(JMA)에서 제공하는 1시간 바람장을 이용하여 파랑 후측 수치 모의를 수행하였으며, 해양수산부와 기상청 관측 부이를 이용하여 파랑에 대한 정확도를 확보하였다. 고파랑 내습 시 연안에 조우하는 수위 조건은 파랑 에너지의 증가를 결정하게 되며, 항만 구조물의 설계에 적용되고 있는 약최고고조위 이상(4대분조의 최대 조위)의 최극조위 조건에서 해안 구조물에 월파 및 침수 피해를 주는 요인으로 작용할 수 있다. 이를 바탕으로 울릉도 남양항에서 폭풍 시 내습한 최극고조위(0.65m)와 IPCC 5차 보고서에 제시한 최악의 시나리오(RCP 8.5) 조건에서 울릉도에서 확인된 0.79 cm 상승고를 반영하여 범람위험평가를 광역에서의 계산 결과를 입력자료로 하여 준 3차원 비 정수압 파랑 변형 수치 모형인 MIKE 3 Wave를 사용하여 실험하였다. 해수면 상승에 의한 수위 상승고는 연안 파랑 증가에 영향을 주었으며 연안 구조물의 침수 피해에 영향을 줄 것으로 판단되었다. 월파 차단, 파랑 차폐의 목적으로 건설되는 구조물의 규모 및 천단고 등을 설정하는데 설계 수위의 선정은 중요하다. 수치 실험 결과를 바탕으로 방파제 및 호안의 범람 위험 평가를 수행하고 구조물 설계 시 이러한 해수면 상승고가 반영된 설계가 중요하다는 것을 위험 평가를 통해 확인할 수 있다.

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