• Title/Summary/Keyword: 효용함수

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Estimating Departure-based Mode Choice by Spatial logistic Models (공간로지스틱 모형을 이용한 이용자 출발지 기준 수단선택 확률추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Moon, Dae-Seop;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2009
  • In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas. This will help transportation agencies to evaluate how the difference of individuals' departure places such as residential, retail, and commercial area affects on mode choice behaviors.

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Effective Technique for Inlining Function Calls in Code Obfuscation Using Genetic Algorithm (유전 알고리즘을 이용한 코드 난독화에서의 효율적 함수 호출 인라인 기법)

  • Kim, Jung-Il;Lee, Eun-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2010.06b
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2010
  • 코드 난독화 기법 중의 하나인 인라인(Inline)은 코드의 복사를 통하여 함수의 호출 구조를 파괴하여서 코드의 복원과 이해를 어렵게 만든다. 하지만 적절한 전략 없이 인라인 기법을 적용하게 되면, 프로그램 성능이 저하되며 난독화의 결과도 기대 이하일 가능성이 존재한다. 따라서 지나친 성능의 저하를 막으면서 결과적으로 코드의 복원과 이해를 최대한 어렵게 하기 위한 인라인 수행 전략이 필요하다. 이를 위하여 본 논문에서는 정적 함수 호출 그래프를 기반으로 인라인의 적용 여부를 유전 알고리즘을 사용하여 결정하도록 한다. 그리고 인라인 전후의 효용을 보여주기 위하여 정보이론 및 제어 흐름의 복잡도에 기반하여 전체 프로그램의 복잡도를 정의하였다. 마지막으로 해당 기법의 효용을 실험을 통해 보였다.

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Profit Margin Hedging Strategy in Crude Oil Purchasing (이윤율헤징을 이용한 원유 구매 전략)

  • Yang, Ji Hye;Kim, Hyun Seok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.499-517
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this article is to show profit margin hedging can be an optimal strategy in crude oil purchasing. This study theoretically analyzes profit margin hedging strategy is optimal in crude oil purchasing using expected target utility function and conducts simulations to show if the profit margin hedging is profitable. In addition, this study tests existence of mean reversion of crude oil futures prices to confirm the theory that profit margin hedging is more profitable than other strategies, such as always hedging or buying at expiration with spot price, if futures prices are mean reverting. The simulation results show that the expected utility of profit margin hedging higher than other strategies. Although we cannot find any evidence that crude oil futures prices follow mean reverting process, we can conclude that profit margin hedging can be optimal strategy in crude oil purchasing based on theoretical proof and simulation results.

주가시계열에 대한 확률미분방정식(確率微分方程式)의 모수(母數) 추정(推定)과 자본시장의 운동법칙(運動法則)

  • Lee, Il-Gyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.279-337
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    • 1998
  • 이 논문에서는 주가가 확률과정, 즉 확률미분방정식에 의하여 생성되는가를 검정하고 주가의 운동법칙을 규명한다. 일별종합주가지수가 양수의 완전시계열상관을 갖고 있으며, 더욱이 3년 정도의 시차까지 의미있는 시계열상관을 갖고 있음이 발견되었다. 수익률과 가격변화의 시계열상관도 존재하고 시계열은 정상성(定常性)을 갖고 있다. 마팅게일에 의하여 주가가 생성되고있지 않음이 밝혀졌다. 한국증권거래소에서 계산하고 있는 일별 종합주가지수를 포함한 41개 산업별 지수를 사용하여 자본시장의 운동법칙을 규명하기 위하여 가장 많이 이용하고 있는 세개의 확률미분방정식을 검정하였다. 각 주가지수들이 온스타인 울렌벡 브라운 운동과정과 평균회귀과정을 따르지 않고 있다는 것이 발견되었다. 그러나 주가가 편류를 갖는 일반 기하 브라운 운동과정에 의하여 생성되고 있음이 검정을 통하여 확인되었다. 평균회귀과정에 의하여 주가가 생성되지 않는다는 발견은 의외라 할 수 있다. 주가가 온스타인 울렌벡 과정을 따르지 않는다는 것은 주가가 제 1계 정상적 자기회귀과정이 아니라는 것을 의미한다. 일별종합주가지수는 제 4계 자기회귀과정에 의하여 생성된다. 가격변화와 수익률의 생성함수는 제 4계 자기회귀과정이다. 종합주가지수의 제 1계 시계열상관계수는 1이다. 상당히 큰 시차를 갖을 때까지 시계열상관이 대략적으로 1을 유지하고 있다. 따라서 지수가 마팅게일을 따르고 있지 않다. 이 점은 가격변화와 수익률에 있어서도 유사하다. 가격변화, 수익률, 대수수익률의 제 1계 시계열상관이 0.1로 유의적이다. 따라서 수익도 마팅게일 과정을 따르고 있지 않다. 증권가격은 세 번에 걸쳐 구조의 번화가 발생하였다. 구조의 변화가 발생할 때마다 평균가격이 상승하였다. 이와 같은 현상은 장기적 기대가격이 미지일 가능성이 배제되지 않는다. 단기적 기대 주가가 알려진 반면 장기적 기대 주가가 미지라면 평균회귀과정은 장기적 기대주가로 회귀하고 있는 과정이므로 장기기대 주가의 미지성이 평균회귀 과정의 기각을 유도하게 된다. 우리나라의 투자자들은 무위험자산과 위험을 동시에 고려하여 투자활동을 전개하고 있음이 발견되었다. 선형의 효용함수를 갖는 위험중립적 태도의 투자자가 아니다. 위험기피형 효용함수 아래에서 투자활동을 수행하고 있는 합리적 투자자들이라 할 수 있다. 뿐 만 아니라 자신의 평생에 걸친 소비를 소비가 이루어지는 각 기마다 가급적 일정하게 하는 소비행동을 목표로 삼고 소비와 투자에 대한 의사결정을 내리고 있음이 실증분석을 통하여 밝혀졌다. 투자자들은 무위험 자산과 위험성 자산을 동시에 고려하여 포트폴리오를 구성하는 투자활동을 행동에 옮기고 있다.

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A Production-Based Approach to Travel Choice Modeling (생산기반 가정아래서의 통행선택행위분석)

  • Mun, Dong-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.209-231
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggested an approach to characterize travel choice behaviors using the implicit price instead of the indirect utility. The choice criterion to compare the implicit prices of available trip options was developed from the utility maximization problem of a trip maker which is supposed to choose the best option from the available ones differentiated by only by the quantitative attributes such as travel cost and time but also by qualitative attributes such as comfort and safety. The utility maximization problem is constructed under household production theory, and is incorporated with a special kind of joint homogeneous production functions. The implicit price of a certain trip option is the sum of the monetary price and the multiple of travel time and the value-of-travel-time, and the value-of-travel-time refers to the portion of wage, which can be assignable to the trip-making activity. This choice criterion is statistically identifiable, and behaviorally plausible. Moreover, this criterion has the expression simpler than the indirect utility, and therefore could be an effective target of the statistical estimation for travel choice behaviors.

Development of MCDM for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resource Projects (수자원사업 대안선정 및 투자우선순위결정을 위한 다기준의사결정모형 개발)

  • Yeo, Kyudong;Kim, Gilho;Lee, Sangwon;Choi, Seungan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.6B
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    • pp.551-563
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    • 2011
  • Water resource projects need an enormous national budget. Therefore, a reasonable and reliable decision making is required for the planning of water resource projects, but decision making has been mostly performed by economic analysis. The objective of this study is to develop a Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM) model which can assess the project in various aspects for the selection of preferable alternative and determination of investment priority in water resource projects. In this study, the criteria involves economic feasibility, policies, vulnerability, and sub-items which have weights obtained from the expert survey for the consistent evaluation. We also derived the utility function considering risk trend of each item based on the expert survey. Then, the total score was estimated by weights of each item and utility score of each attribute. The results show that vulnerability is a major contributor for the criteria. This study will contribute to the selection of proper water resource projects considering efficiency of project and fairness for vulnerable area.

Robust Design Methodology for Utility Dependent Design Attributes (효용 종속인 설계 속성의 강건설계)

  • Kim, Kyung-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.92-99
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    • 2021
  • The ever-growing demand for enhanced competitiveness of engineered systems require designing in quality strategies that can efficiently incorporate multiple design attributes into a system. In a robust design, there must be consideration for any uncontrollable factors that should not be disregarded in the design process. Studies on multi-attribute design challenges usually assume mutual utility independence amongst the design attributes. However, mutual utility independence does not exist in every design situation. In this study, a new robust design methodology that has two utility-dependent attributes are presented. The proposed method was then compared with a traditional robust design that utilizes a wave soldering process design. The results of this case study indicate that the proposed method yields a better solution than the traditional method.

Application of Multi-Attribute Utility Analysis for the Decision Support of Countermeasures in Early Phase of a Nuclear Emergency (원자력 사고시 초기 비상대응 결정지원을 위한 다속성 효용 분석법의 적용)

  • Hwang, Won-Tae;Kim, Eun-Han;Suh, Kyung-Suk;Jeong, Hyo-Joon;Han, Moon-Hee;Lee, Chang-Woo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2004
  • A multi-attribute utility analysis was investigated as a tool for the decision support of countermeasures in early phase of a nuclear accident. The utility function of attributes was assumed to be the second order polynomial expressions, and the weighting constant of attributes was determined using a swing weighting method. Because the main objective of this study focuses on the applicability of a multi-attribute utility analysis as a tool for the decision support of countermeasures in early phase of a nuclear accident, less quantifiable attributes were not included due to lack of information. In postulated accidental scenarios for the application of the designed methodology, the variation of the numerical values of total utility for the considered actions, e.g. sheltering, evacuation and no action, was investigated according to the variation of attributes. As a result, it was shown that the numerical values of total utility for the actions are distinctly different depending on the exposure dose and monetary value of dose. As increasing in both attributes, the rank of the numerical values of total utility increased for evacuation, which is more extreme action than for sheltering, while that of no action decreased. As expected probability of high dose is higher, the break-even values for the monetary value of dose, which are the monetary value of dose when the ranking of actions is changed, were lower. In audition, as aversion psychology for dose is higher, the break-even values for dose were lower.

Choquet integrals and interval-valued necessity measures (쇼케이 적분과 구간치 필요측도)

  • Jang, Lee-Chae;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.499-503
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    • 2009
  • Y. R$\acute{e}$ball$\acute{e}$ [11] discussed the representation of necessity measure through the Choquet integral criterian. He also consider a decision maker who ranks necessity measures related with Choquet integral representation. In this paper, we consider a decision maker have an "ambiguity"(say, interval-valued) necessity measure according to their Choquet's expected utility. Furthermore, we prove two theorems which are weak Choquet integral representation of preferences with a monotone set function for interval-valued necessity measures and strong Choquet integral representation of preferences with an interval-valued utility function for necessity measures.