• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀크리깅

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An Analysis on the Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity of Real Transaction Price of Apartment in Seoul Using the Geostatistical Methods (공간통계기법을 이용한 서울시 아파트 실거래가 변인의 시공간적 이질성 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2016
  • This study focused on exploring real transaction price of apartment and spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the variables that influence real transaction price of apartment from the spatial and temporal perspective. As independent variables that are considered to influence real transaction price of apartment, transport, local characteristics, educational conditions, population, and economic characteristics were taken into account. Accordingly, the influence of independent variables and spatial distribution pattern were analyzed from the global and local aspects. The spatial and temporal changing patterns of real transaction price of apartment which is a dependent variable were analyzed. First, to establish an analysis model, OLS analysis and GWR analysis were conducted, and thereby more efficient and proper model was selected. Secondly, to find spatial and temporal heterogeneity of independent variables with the use of the selected GWR model, Local $R^2$ was used for local analysis. Thirdly, to look into spatial distribution of independent variables, kriging analysis was carried out. Therefore, based on the results, it is considered that it is possible to carry out more microscopic housing submarket analysis and lay the foundation for establishing a policy on real property.

Fatigue Analysis based on Kriging for Flaperon Joint of Tilt Rotor Type Aircraft (틸트 로터형 항공기의 플랩퍼론 연결부에 대한 크리깅 기반 피로해석)

  • Park, Young-Chul;Jang, Byoung-Uk;Im, Jong-Bin;Lee, Jung-Jin;Lee, Soo-Yong;Park, Jung-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.541-549
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    • 2008
  • The fatigue analysis is performed to avoid structural failure in aerospace structures under repeated loads. In this paper, the fatigue life is estimated for the design of tilt rotor UAV. First of all, the fatigue load spectrum for tilt rotor UAV is generated. Fatigue analysis is done for the flaperon joint which may have FCL(fracture critical location). Tilt rotor UAV operates at two modes: helicopter mode such as taking off and landing; fixed wing mode like cruising. To make overall fatigue load spectrum, FELIX is used for helicopter mode and TWIST is used for fixed wing mode. The other hand, the Kriging meta model is used to get S-N regression curve for whole range of material life when S-N test data are analyzed. And then, the second order of S-N curve is accomplished by the least square method. In addition, the coefficient of determination method is used to ensure how accuracy it has. Finally, the fatigue life of flaperon joint is compared with that obtained by MSC. Fatigue.

The Study for Estimating Traffic Volumes on Urban Roads Using Spatial Statistic and Navigation Data (공간통계기법과 내비게이션 자료를 활용한 도시부 도로 교통량 추정연구)

  • HONG, Dahee;KIM, Jinho;JANG, Doogik;LEE, Taewoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.220-233
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    • 2017
  • Traffic volumes are fundamental data widely used in various traffic analysis, such as origin-and-destination establishment, total traveled kilometer distance calculation, congestion evaluation, and so on. The low number of links collecting the traffic-volume data in a large urban highway network has weakened the quality of the analyses in practice. This study proposes a method to estimate the traffic volume data on a highway link where no collection device is available by introducing a spatial statistic technique with (1) the traffic-volume data from TOPIS, and National Transport Information Center in the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and (2) the navigation data from private navigation. Two different component models were prepared for the interrupted and the uninterrupted flows respectively, due to their different traffic-flow characteristics: the piecewise constant function and the regression kriging. The comparison of the traffic volumes estimated by the proposed method against the ones counted in the field showed that the level of error includes 6.26% in MAPE and 5,410 in RMSE, and thus the prediction error is 20.3% in MAPE.

Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

Spatio-spectral Fusion of Multi-sensor Satellite Images Based on Area-to-point Regression Kriging: An Experiment on the Generation of High Spatial Resolution Red-edge and Short-wave Infrared Bands (영역-점 회귀 크리깅 기반 다중센서 위성영상의 공간-분광 융합: 고해상도 적색 경계 및 단파 적외선 밴드 생성 실험)

  • Park, Soyeon;Kang, Sol A;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.5_1
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a two-stage spatio-spectral fusion method (2SSFM) based on area-to-point regression kriging (ATPRK) to enhance spatial and spectral resolutions using multi-sensor satellite images with complementary spatial and spectral resolutions. 2SSFM combines ATPRK and random forest regression to predict spectral bands at high spatial resolution from multi-sensor satellite images. In the first stage, ATPRK-based spatial down scaling is performed to reduce the differences in spatial resolution between multi-sensor satellite images. In the second stage, regression modeling using random forest is then applied to quantify the relationship of spectral bands between multi-sensor satellite images. The prediction performance of 2SSFM was evaluated through a case study of the generation of red-edge and short-wave infrared bands. The red-edge and short-wave infrared bands of PlanetScope images were predicted from Sentinel-2 images using 2SSFM. From the case study, 2SSFM could generate red-edge and short-wave infrared bands with improved spatial resolution and similar spectral patterns to the actual spectral bands, which confirms the feasibility of 2SSFM for the generation of spectral bands not provided in high spatial resolution satellite images. Thus, 2SSFM can be applied to generate various spectral indices using the predicted spectral bands that are actually unavailable but effective for environmental monitoring.

Preparation of Probabilistic Liquefaction Hazard Map Using Liquefaction Potential Index (액상화 가능 지수를 활용한 확률적 액상화 재해도)

  • Chung, Jae-won;Rogers, J. David
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1831-1836
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    • 2014
  • Probabilistic liquefaction hazard map is now widely needed for engineering practice. Based on the Liquefaction Potential Index (LPI) calculated from liquefied and non-liquefied cases, we attempted to estimate probabilities of liquefaction induced ground failures using logistic regression. We then applied this approach for the regional area. LPIs were calculated based on 273 Standard Penetration Tests in the floodplains in the St. Louis area, USA and then interpolated using cokriging with the covariable of peak ground acceleration. Our result shows that some areas of $LPI{\geq}5$, due to soft soil layers and shallow groundwater table, appear probabilities of ground $failure{\geq}0.5$.

On the Hierarchical Modeling of Spatial Measurements from Different Station Networks (다양한 관측네트워크에서 얻은 공간자료들을 활용한 계층모형 구축)

  • Choi, Jieun;Park, Man Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.93-109
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    • 2013
  • Geostatistical data or point-referenced data have the information on the monitoring stations of interest where the observations are measured. Practical geostatistical data are obtained from a wide variety of observational monitoring networks that are mainly operated by the Korean government. When we analyze geostatistical data and predict the expectations at unobservable locations, we can improve the reliability of the prediction by utilizing some relevant spatial data obtained from different observational monitoring networks and blend them with the measurements of our main interest. In this paper, we consider the hierarchical spatial linear model that enables us to link spatial variables from different resources but with similar patterns and guarantee the precision of the prediction. We compare the proposed model to a classical linear regression model and simple kriging in terms of some information criteria and one-leave-out cross-validation. Real application deals with Sulfur Dioxide($SO_2$) measurements from the urban air pollution monitoring network and wind speed data from the surface observation network.

Improved Estimation of Hourly Surface Ozone Concentrations using Stacking Ensemble-based Spatial Interpolation (스태킹 앙상블 모델을 이용한 시간별 지상 오존 공간내삽 정확도 향상)

  • KIM, Ye-Jin;KANG, Eun-Jin;CHO, Dong-Jin;LEE, Si-Woo;IM, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.74-99
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    • 2022
  • Surface ozone is produced by photochemical reactions of nitrogen oxides(NOx) and volatile organic compounds(VOCs) emitted from vehicles and industrial sites, adversely affecting vegetation and the human body. In South Korea, ozone is monitored in real-time at stations(i.e., point measurements), but it is difficult to monitor and analyze its continuous spatial distribution. In this study, surface ozone concentrations were interpolated to have a spatial resolution of 1.5km every hour using the stacking ensemble technique, followed by a 5-fold cross-validation. Base models for the stacking ensemble were cokriging, multi-linear regression(MLR), random forest(RF), and support vector regression(SVR), while MLR was used as the meta model, having all base model results as additional input variables. The results showed that the stacking ensemble model yielded the better performance than the individual base models, resulting in an averaged R of 0.76 and RMSE of 0.0065ppm during the study period of 2020. The surface ozone concentration distribution generated by the stacking ensemble model had a wider range with a spatial pattern similar with terrain and urbanization variables, compared to those by the base models. Not only should the proposed model be capable of producing the hourly spatial distribution of ozone, but it should also be highly applicable for calculating the daily maximum 8-hour ozone concentrations.

Environmental Impact Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Accident using Spatial Information Modeling: A Case Study of Chernobyl (공간정보 모델링을 이용한 원전 사고의 환경 영향 평가: 체르노빌 사례연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Won;Song, Ah-Ram;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2012
  • This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of advanced spatial modeling techniques for environmental monitoring and impact assessment through a case study of Chernobyl nuclear accident occurred in 1986. Land-cover types changed after the accident are analysed by a post classification comparison method using bi-temporal Landsat TM data acquired in 1986 and 1992 near the accident site. Spatial modeling including various kriging algorithms are also applied to analyze the relationships between Cesium concentrations in soil and thyroid cancer incidence rates in Belarus, which was greatly damaged by the accident. The change detection results clearly showed the decrease of croplands and the increase of abandoned lands, and concrete structures were newly built around the nuclear plant to prevent the spread of radioactive contamination. In Belarus, high Cesium concentrations were observed in southern areas with high thyroid cancer risk estimated by Poisson kriging. Geographically weighted regression, which could account for geographic variations of independent variables including Cesium concentrations and distances from the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, was applied to extract the relationships between the independent variables and the thyroid cancer risk. The estimated risk values showed a correlation coefficient value of 0.98 with respect to the thyroid cancer risk values, which implied that the thyroid cancer risk in Belarus was affected by the accident. In conclusion, it is expected that advanced spatial modeling techniques applied in this study would be useful for environmental impact assessment and public health research.

Evaluation of the Feasibility of a Voice Alarm in a Highway Work Zone (음성 경고의 도로 공사구간 적용 가능성 평가)

  • Moon, Jae-Pil;Park, Hyun-jin;Oh, Cheol
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2016
  • Providing a voice alarm to drivers approaching a work zone could be an effective alternative to mitigate the potential safety problems of the work zone. This study conceived a voice alarm with a direction sound speaker and a field test was conducted that evaluated the feasibility of the voice alarm at a highway work zone. During the field study, we carried out on-site driver surveys to obtain drivers' perception and preference, collected approaching speeds, and measured sound level during the off-peak 2-hour for two days, respectively. The results showed that while the voice alarm has the potential to be an effective tool in improving safety, the alternative appeared to have the negative effect of noise. Further refinement to a voice alarm with a directional speaker is required to improve feasibility, and the results are expected to be utilized as basic data useful for the refinement.