• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀분석 모델

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Outlier-Object Detection Using an Image Pair Based on Regression Analysis: Noise Variance Estimation and Performance Analysis (영상 쌍에서 회귀분석에 기초한 이상 물체 검출: 잡음분산의 추정과 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2008
  • By comparing two images, which are captured with the same scene at different time, we can detect a set of outliers, such as occluding objects due to moving vehicles. To reduce the influence from the different intensity properties of the images, an intensity compensation scheme, which is based on the polynomial regression model, is employed. For an accurate detection of outliers alleviating the influence from a set of outliers, a simple technique that reruns the regression is employed. In this paper, an algorithm that iteratively reruns the regression is theoretically analyzed by observing the convergence property of the estimates of the noise variance. Using a correction constant for the estimate of the noise variance is proposed. The correction enables the detection algorithm robust to the choice of thresholds for selecting outliers. Numerical analysis using both synthetic and Teal images are also shown in this paper to show the robust performance of the detection algorithm.

A Regression Model for Forecasting the Initial Sales Ratio of Apartment Building Projects (아파트 프로젝트의 초기 분양률 예측 회귀모델)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Do-Yeong;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2019
  • There are various factors affecting the success and failure of an apartment building project. However, after the unit sale price has been determined and the sale has started, the most important factor affecting on the project is the initial sales ratio for one month after the sale. Generally, developers predict an initial sales ratio by various data such as economic situation, the trend of the housing market, and the house price near the business place. However, it is very difficult for these factors to be calculated quantitatively in connection with the initial sales ratio. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a regression model for forecasting the initial sales ratio of apartment building projects. For this study, pre-sales data collection, correlation analysis between influencing factors, and regression model development are performed sequentially. The results of this study are used as basic data for predicting the initial sales ratio in the feasibility analysis of apartment building projects and are used as key data for the development of the risk management model.

Cost Prediction Model using Qualitative Variables focused on Planning Phase for Public Multi-Housing Projects (정성변수를 고려한 공공아파트 기획단계 공사비 예측모델)

  • Ji, Soung-Min;Hyun, Chang-Taek;Moon, Hyun-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2012
  • In planning phase of Public Multi-Housing Projects, it is required to develop the methodology and criteria for fair cost prediction with influencing power from planning phase to occupancy phase. Many studies still have focused on the prediction of cost by multiple regression. However, there is no logical explanation about the influence of nonmetric variables for the prediction of cost in planning phase. Accordingly, this research pursues a cost prediction model including nonmetric variables for use in planning phase. There are 3 steps of this research : 1) Finding the factors influencing construction cost and assigning variables for a multiple regression. 2) Conducting a dummy regression analysis with nonmetric variables and model validation by comparing actual cost data. 3) Developing the ratio of RC structure cost to wall structure cost by using cost predection model. The results could establish cost prediction process including the influence of nonmetric variables and the ratio of RC structure cost to wall structure cost.

Development of a Model for Predicting Modulus on Asphalt Pavements Using FWD Deflection Basins (FWD 처짐곡선을 이용한 아스팔트 포장구조체의 탄성계수 추정 모형 개발)

  • Park, Seong Wan;Hwang, Jung Joon;Hwang, Kyu Young;Park, Hee Mun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.797-804
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    • 2006
  • A development of regression model for asphalt concrete pavements using Falling Weight Deflectometer deflections is presented in this paper. A backcalculation program based on layered elastic theory was used to generate the synthetic modulus database, which was used to generate 95% confidence intervals of modulus in each layer. Using deflection basins of FWD data used in developing this procedure were collected from Pavement Management System in flexible pavements. Assumptions of back-calculation are that one is 3 layered flexible pavement structure and another is depth to bedrock is finite. It is found that difference of between 95% confidence intervals and modulus ranges of other papers does not exist. So, the data of 95% confidence intervals in each layer was used to develop multiple regression models. Multiple regression equations of each layer were established by SPSS, package of Statics analysis. These models were proved by regression diagnostics, which include case analysis, multi-collinearity analysis, influence diagnostics and analysis of variance. And these models have higher degree of coefficient of determination than 0.75. So this models were applied to predict modulus of domestic asphalt concrete pavement at FWD field test.

Statistical Analysis for Risk Factors and Prediction of Hypertension based on Health Behavior Information (건강행위정보기반 고혈압 위험인자 및 예측을 위한 통계분석)

  • Heo, Byeong Mun;Kim, Sang Yeob;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a prediction model of hypertension in middle-aged adults using Statistical analysis. Statistical analysis and prediction models were developed using the National Health and Nutrition Survey (2013-2016).Binary logistic regression analysis showed statistically significant risk factors for hypertension, and a predictive model was developed using logistic regression and the Naive Bayes algorithm using Wrapper approach technique. In the statistical analysis, WHtR(p<0.0001, OR = 2.0242) in men and AGE (p<0.0001, OR = 3.9185) in women were the most related factors to hypertension. In the performance evaluation of the prediction model, the logistic regression model showed the best predictive power in men (AUC = 0.782) and women (AUC = 0.858). Our findings provide important information for developing large-scale screening tools for hypertension and can be used as the basis for hypertension research.

The Study on Comparative Analysis of the Same Data through Regression Analysis Model and Structural Equation Model (동일 데이터의 비교분석에 관한 연구 (회귀분석모형과 구조방정식모형))

  • Choi, Chang Ho;You, Yen Yoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed empirically the same data through SPSS statistic(regression analysis) and AMOS program(structural equation model) used for cause and effect analysis. The result of empirical analysis was as follows. The different outcome of coefficients and p-values were deducted. Especially, in the mediated effect testing, meanwhile, SPSS statistic(regression analysis) pictured mediated effect, AMOS program(structural equation model) did not picture mediated effect on the reject zone of null hypothesis(absolute t-value and C.R.-value were nearby 1.96). Eventually, this study showed that what program used determined the outcomes of coefficients and p-values(In particular, the outcomes were differentiated further in the increasing measurement error) though using the same data.

Value Weighted Regularized Logistic Regression Model (속성값 기반의 정규화된 로지스틱 회귀분석 모델)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Jung, Mina
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.43 no.11
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    • pp.1270-1274
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    • 2016
  • Logistic regression is widely used for predicting and estimating the relationship among variables. We propose a new logistic regression model, the value weighted logistic regression, which comprises of a fine-grained weighting method, and assigns adapted weights to each feature value. This gradient approach obtains the optimal weights of feature values. Experiments were conducted on several data sets from the UCI machine learning repository, and the results revealed that the proposed method achieves meaningful improvement in the prediction accuracy.

Determining Input Values for Dragging Anchor Assessments Using Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 주묘 위험성 평가 입력요소 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Byung-Sun;Jung, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.822-831
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    • 2021
  • Although programs have been developed to evaluate the risk of dragging anchors, it is practically difficult for VTS(vessel traffic service) operators to calculate and evaluate these risks by obtaining input factors from anchored ships. Therefore, in this study, the gross tonnage (GT) that could be easily obtained from the ship by the VTS operators was set as an independent variable, and linear and nonlinear regression analyses were performed using the input factors as the dependent variables. From comparing the fit of the polynomial model (linear) and power series model (nonlinear), the power series model was evaluated to be more suitable for all input factors in the case of container ships and bulk carriers. However, in the case of tanker ships, the power supply model was suitable for the LBP(length between perpendiculars), width, and draft, and the polynomial model was evaluated to be more suitable for the front wind pressure area, weight of the anchor, equipment number, and height of the hawse pipe from the bottom of the ship. In addition, all other dependent variables, except for the front wind pressure area factor of the tanker ship, showed high degrees of fit with a coefficient of determination (R-squared value) of 0.7 or more. Therefore, among the input factors of the dragging anchor risk assessment program, all factors except the external force, seabed quality, water depth, and amount of anchor chain let out are automatically applied by the regression analysis model formula when only the GT of the ship is provided.

Synergy and contingency fit analysis for digital convergence value attributes (디지털융합 가치요소의 시너지와 상황 적합 분석)

  • Han, Hyun-Soo;Moon, Tae-Eun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.11
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    • pp.403-418
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we attempted to theorize the synergy effect between the value creating attributes for digital convergence model in the service industry. Our investigation is based upon contingency fit theory to understand the strategic fit for the two inherent value attributes of fixed and mobile value, as well as resolving fundamental limitations of service processes. Empirical validation of the derived research model is analyzed using hierarchical regression method. The results indicate that the relative advantage of each value creating attributes are strongly associated with the characteristics of domain service industries, and compatibility is critical to user adoption of convergent service model. Moreover, the less significant statistical impact of the synergy between mobile and fixed value attributes and others implies that each value attribute uniquely contributes to particular IT convergence model, which thereby offers critical insight that focusing the convergent value in conjunction with specific application domain is the most appealing managerial focus. The findings provide useful insight for the further research in IT based industry convergent business model areas.

Inconsistent Pattern Model for Improving the Performance of Supervised Learning in Data Mining (데이터 마이닝의 지도학습 기법 성능향상을 위한 불일치 패턴 모델)

  • Heo, Jun;Kim, Jong-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.288-305
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 데이터 마이닝의 기법 중 가장 잘 알려진 지도학습 기법의 성능 향상을 위한 새로운 Hybrid 및 Combined 기법인 불일치 패턴 모델(오차 패턴 모델)에 대한 연구 논문이다. 불일치 패턴 모델이란 2개 이상의 기법 중 향후 더 레코드별로 더 잘 맞출 수 있는 기법을 메타 분류하는 불일치 패턴 모델을 개발하여, 최종적으로는 기존의 기법보다 더 좋은 분류 정확도 및 예측 향상율을 기대하기 위한 기법을 의미한다. 본 논문에서는 의사 결정나무 추론 기법인 C5.0과 C&RT 그리고 신경망 분석, 그리고 로지스틱 회귀분석과 같은 대표적인 데이터 마이닝의 지도학습 기법을 이용하여 불일치 패턴 모델을 생성하여 보고, 이들이 기존 단일 기법과 기존의 Combined 모델인 Bagging, Boosting 그리고 Stacking 기법보다 성능이 우수함을 23개의 실제 데이터 및 공신력 있는 공개 데이터를 이용하여 증명하여 보였다. 또한 데이터의 특성에 따라서 불일치 패턴 모델의 성능의 변화 및 더 우수해 지는지를 알아보기 위한 연구포 같이 수행을 하여 본 모델의 활용성을 높이고자 하였다.

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