• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀분석 모델

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Computational analysis of the reentrant wave propagation in three-dimensional cardiac tissue (3차원 심근조직에서의 회귀성 파동에 대한 수치적 해석)

  • Kim, Hun-Young;Leem, Chae-Hun;Shim, Eun-Bo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 3차원 심근조직에서의 회귀성파동에 대한 수치적 해석결과를 제시한다. 심근 조직에서의 회귀성파동은 심실세동(ventricular fibrillation)의 원인으로 지목되고 있으며 심근세포 이온채널 또는 전기전도시스템 등과 같은 여러 가지 요소들이 관련된 복합적 현상으로 생각되고 있다. 지금까지 이에 관한 많은 연구가 전기생리학적 모델을 이용하여 이루어진바 있으며, 주로 동물 심근세포모델에 기반으로 균일한 2차원 또는 3차원 모델에서의 전기전도 현상 해석을 한 바 있다. 그러나 실제 심장조직의 경우, 두께를 가진 3차원적 형상을 지니고 있으며 층을 따라서 전기생리학적으로 상이한 특성을 가진 세포들로 구성된다. 즉 심근은 층을 가로질러 Epi-cardiac, mid-cardiac, endo-cardiac cell들로 구성되며 각기 다른 APD(action potential duration)을 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이러한 세가지 종류의 인체 심근세포모델을 사용한 3차원 심근조직에서의 활동전위 전도현상에 대한 결과를 제시한다. 이를 위하여 기존의 인체 3가지 종류의 심근세포 모델을 구현하여 그 타당성을 검토한다. 그리고 이를 바탕으로 3차원 조직모델을 구현하는데, simplified bidomain방법을 사용하였다. 3차원 공간상에서 심근세포에 의한 활동전위 전달현상을 해석하기 위하여 유한요소법을 도입한다. 최종적으로는 3가지의 심근세포층을 가진 3차원 심근조직을 구성하고, 여기에 회귀성 파동을 유도한다. 그리고 단일층으로 이루어진 3차원조직에서의 결과와 비교 분석하여 다세포층에 의한 불균일 효과를 분석하였다.

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Analyzing the Impact of Pandemics on Air Passenger and Cargo Demands in South Korea

  • Jungtae Song;Irena Yosephine;Sungchan Jun;Chulung Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2023
  • 글로벌 팬데믹 사태는 항공 수요에 부정적인 영향을 끼치는 요소 중 하나다. 글로벌 팬데믹으로 인해 한국은 2020년과 2021년의 항공 승객 수가 2019년 대비 각각 68.1%와 47% 감소했다. 본 연구는 지난 20여년 동안 발생한 4대 팬데믹 특성을 분석, 전염병의 영향을 연구하는 것을 목표로 한다. SARS, H1N1, MERS 및 COVID-19의 발생기간 동안 한국의 항공 여객 및 화물 수요에 대한 실증 데이터를 활용하여 영향력을 분석한다. 또한 머신러닝 회귀 모델을 구축하여 향후 발생할 다른 전염병 대한 항공 수요를 예측하고자 한다. 연구 결과, 전염병이 항공 운항편수와 승객에 부정적인 영향을 미친다는 사실을 발견하였다. 반면화물 수송에는 긍정적인 영향을 미친다는 분석 결과를 도출하였다. 본 분석에 활용되는 회귀 모델은 팬데믹 기간 동안 항공수요를 예측하는 데 평균 86.8%의 기능을 보였다. 또한 본 연구는 특정 국가의 팬데믹 상황보다 전 세계적인 팬데믹 상황이 항공 운송 수요에 더 많은 영향을 미친다는 것을 보여준다.

Developing a Security Systems Operation Cost Estimation Model : A Transformation Model to Function Point (증권시스템 운영비용 산정 모델 개발 : 프로그램 본수의 기능점수 변환 모델)

  • Choi, Won-Young;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구의 선행 연구에서는 증권시스템의 기능점수를 직접 구하여 기능점수와 운영비용과의 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 수집된 자료의 건수가 적었던 관계로 통계적 유의성을 충분하게 확보하지 못하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 증권시스템의 기능점수를 직접 측정하는 것이 현실적으로 많은 제약이 있음을 감안하여, 비교적 자료 수집이 용이한 프로그램 본 수를 측정하였다. 이러한 프로그램 본 수는 스텝 수로 1차 변환이 되었고, 스텝 수는 다시 기능점수로 2차 변환이 되었다. 이렇게 변환된 기능점수와 운영비용과의 회귀분석을 실시하였으며, 증권정보시스템 운영비용 추정 모델을 제시하였다.

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An Improved Calibration Method for the COCOMO II Post-Architecture Model

  • Yoon, Myoung-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2000
  • To date many software engineering cost models have been developed to predict cost, schedule, and effort of the software under development. The COCOMO Ⅱ is well- suited for the new software development life cycle such as non-sequential and rapid- development processes. The traditional regression approach based on the least square criterion is the most commonly used technique for empirical calibration in the COCOMO Ⅱ model. It has a few assumptions frequently violated by software engineering data sets. The source data is also generally imprecise in reporting size effort, and cost-driver ratings, particularly across different organizations. And that the outlier for the source data is a peculiarity and indicates a data point. To cope with difficulties, in this paper, we propose a new regression method for calibrating COCOMO Ⅱ post-architecture model based on the minimum relative error(MRE) criterion. The characteristic of the proposed method is insensitive to the extreme values of the data in the empirical calibration. As the experimental results, It is evident that our proposed calibration method MRE was shown to be superior to the traditional regression approach for model calibration, as illustrated by the values obtained for standard deviation(^σ), and prediction at level LPRED(L) measures.

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The Effects of School Climate on Peer Victimization for Junior High School Students (학교분위기가 중학생의 또래폭력 피해경험에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Eun-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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    • no.26
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    • pp.87-111
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the actual conditions of peer victimization and to examine how the various factors of school climate influence peer victimization. Analysis on the relationship between various school climate and peer victimization has not been yet dealt with in Korea. Participants in this study were middle school students chosen from 11 middle schools in Seoul, by convenience sampling. A total of 1,204 surveys were then analyzed. Methods for analysis included Frequencies, Descriptives, Pearson's Correlation, Hierarchical Regression. From the result of the analysis, the level of verbal violence came out to be a relatively high form of peer victimization. The hierarchical regression were conducted in two steps. The second model's descriptive variable was higher by 19.6% than the first model. The variables of interaction between teacher and student in peer violence(${\beta}=.130$), of school facility maintenance(${\beta}=.067$), of safety of school environment(${\beta}=.331$), and economic status and sex out of controlled variables were proved to be of significance, and those variables explained 23.0% of the entire model. Based on the results of this study, practical and effective policy solutions to improve the school climate better have been suggested.

A Prediction Model of Landslides in the Tertiary Sedimentary Rocks and Volcanic Rocks Area (제3기 퇴적암 및 화산암 분포지의 산사태 예측모델)

  • Chae Byung-Gon;Kim Won-Young;Na Jong-Hwa;Cho Yong-Chan;Kim Kyeong-Su;Lee Choon-Oh
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.14 no.4 s.41
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2004
  • This study developed a prediction model of debris flow to predict a landslide probability on natural terrain composed of the Tertiary sedimentary and volcanic rocks using a logistic regression analysis. The landslides data were collected around Pohang, Gyeongbuk province where more than 100 landslides were occurred in 1998. Considered with basic characteristics of the logistic regression analysis, field survey and laboratory soil tests were performed for both slided points and not-slided points. The final iufluential factors on landslides were selected as six factors by the logistic regression analysis. The six factors are composed of two topographic factors and four geologic factors. The developed landslide prediction model has more than $90\%$ of prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is possible to make probabilistic and quantitative prediction of landslide occurrence using the developed model in this study area as well as the previously developed model for metamorphic and granitic rocks.

The study On Linear Regression Model At One Component Input System) (성분입력계의 선형회귀모델에 관한 연구)

  • 김치홍;주영수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1990.07a
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 1990
  • 일종의 Autoregression Model에 강우와 유량의 입력에 의하여 일유입량의 예측을 행한 것으로 댐 지점의 일유입량과 우량시계열을 회귀분석하여 댐 유역의 하천유량을 예측 할 수 있는 수학적 모형을 수립하고 통계적 분석을 행 하고자 한다.

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Development of Variable Selection Technique using Stepwise Regression and Data Envelopment Analysis (단계적 회귀법과 자료봉합분석을 이용한 변수선택기법의 개발)

  • Jeong, Min-Eui;Yu, Song-Jin
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.598-604
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we develop stepwise regression data envelopment model to select important variables. We formulate null hypothesis to understand the importance of each variable and use Kruskal-Wallis test for this purpose. If the Kruskal-Wallis test does reject the null hypothesis this will imply there is significant fluctuation in the efficiency score relative to base model. And therefore we have to further check the pair of variables that causes the fluctuation in order to determine its importance using Conover-Inman test. The proposed models helps understand the extent of misclassification decision making units as efficient/inefficient when variables are retained or discarded alongside provides useful managerial prescription to make improvement strategies.

A Study of Bicycle Crash Analysis at Urban Signalized Intersections (도시부 신호교차로에서의 자전거사고 분석)

  • Oh, Ju-Taek;Kim, Eung-Cheol;Ji, Min-Kyung
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.2 s.32
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2007
  • The rapid growths of economy and automobiles since the 1970's have caused serious traffic jams and environmental disruption in urban areas. To relieve these problems caused by urbanization, there should be considered alternative means of transportation modes. Many developed countries have accepted bicycles as a so called "Green Mode" for environmentally oriented strategies to increase the qualities of urban lives. Korea have also attempted various means to raise bicycle usages. In this research, significant factors affecting bicycle crashes at signalized intersections in urban areas were studied. The model results showed that Poisson regression is the best fit methodology for data modeling and revealed that traffic volume, a number of driveways, configuration of the ground, presence of bicycle path, school, and bus stop, residential area, size of intersection are significant factors affecting the bicycle crashes.

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A Model for Estimation Software Development Team Size (소프트웨어 개발팀 규모 추정 모델)

  • 이상운
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.29 no.12
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    • pp.873-882
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    • 2002
  • Estimation of development cost, effort and time is difficult and a key problem of software engineering in the early stage of software development. These are estimated by using the function point which is measured from a requirement specification. However, it is often a serious Question of the staffing level required for the software development. The purpose of this paper is to show us the model which can be used to estimate a size of development team. Three hundred one software projects have been analyzed and studied for the model. First, an analysis was conducted for statistical algorithmic model. After various data transformation and regression analysis, it was concluded that no good model was available. Therefore, non-algorithmic model was suggested for analysis, which has random distribution of residuals and makes good performance using RBF (Radial Basis Function) network. Since the model provides a standard to determine the required size of development team, it ran be used as management information.