• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.215-241
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• 1999

본 연구는 우리나라 상장기업중 금융 보험업을 제외하고 비교적 상장기업수가 많은 9개 산업에서 임의로 선정한 180개 표본기업을 분석대상으로 하였다. 1989년 1월부터 1996년 12월까지를 분석대상기간으로 설정하여 베타계수 예측능력을 향상시키기 위한 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력을 평가하고 위험수준별 예측능력에 차이가 있는지도 분석하였다. 아울러 베타계수 추정시 사용된 수익률 측정간격에 빠른 베타계수의 안정성과 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력을 분식하였다. 본 연구의 중요한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 포트폴리오를 구성한 경우 수익률 측정기간에 관계없이 일관되게 예측오차가 유의적으로 적게 나타나 회계위험변수모형의 베타계수 예측능력이 우수하였으며 베타계수예측에 회계 변수의 유용성이 확인되었다. 둘째, 위험수준에 따른 베타계수의 안정성 분석에서는 중위험집단의 베타가 안정성이 높았으며 고위험집단에서 예측오차가 가장 크게 나타나 불안정하였다. 회계위험변수모형의 예측능력은 위험수준에 관계없이 단순모형보다 우수하여 베타예측에 회계정보의 유용성을 일반화시킬 수 있을 것이다. 셋째, 수익률 측정간격에 따른 베타계수의 안정성과 예측능력 분석에서는 월별수익률을 이용하는 경우보다 주별수익률을 이용하는 경우 추정베타의 안정성이 높고 베타계수 예측모형의 예측능력이 향상되는 것으로 나타났다. 넷째, OLS베타를 수정하지 않고 이용하는 경우보다 Bayesian 기법으로 수정한 Bayesian수정 베타를 이용할 경우 예측오차가 감소하여 Bayesian 수정기법의 유용성이 확인되었다.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.71-97
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• 2009

In this study, I compare the ability of alternative accounting method for employee stock option to reflect firm value using the Ohlson's(1995) valuation model for 200 firms. The each methods, I compare are employee stock option expense recognition based on the K-GAAP disclosures, and asset recognition at the grant date based on the SFAS No. 123 Exposure Draft: Accounting for stock-based compensation. The model include: (1) a model that uses reported earnings, equity book value, and compensation expense based on the K-GAAP disclosures; (2) a model that uses pro-forma earnings, equity book value and adds a measure of the unrecognized asset arising form granting of employee stock options. Finding form estimating equations that the K-GAAP method for calculating compensation has no explanatory power, and the SFAS No.123 Draft Exposure method for arising asset and fair value compensation better captures than market's perception of the economic impact of stock options on firm values. However, the correlation of employee stock option compensation expense is positive. These results suggest that incentive benefits derived from employee stock option plans outweigh the cost associated with plan. In addition, I couldn't find evidence that company in KOSDAQ that have high growth potential benefit more from employee stock option plan compared to lager, more mature firm in SEC.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.951-953
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• 2007

Generation of Corporate risk Contents using Financial Data The purpose of this paper is to capture risk profiles of smaller-sized Korean firms vis-$\grave{a}$-vis larger-sized firms during the Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, risk profiles are provided by estimating expected default risks and by tracking how these have changed during this period with respect to their magnitude, volatility, and sensitivity measures. Methodology used in this study employs the Black-Scholes-Merton model for producing estimates of default risks. And the conventional trans-log function is utilized for obtaining sensitivity measures of the estimated default risks. According to empirical evidence obtained here, it is revealed that contractions of corporate loans associated with IMF austerity policy was the main factor responsible for the drastic change in the default risk profile of Korean firms after occurrence of the Asian financial crisis.

• The Journal of Information Technology
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.251-267
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• 1999

This study examines that pricing multiple on and incremental explanatory power of equity book value(earnings) increase(decrease) as financial health decrease. Test using a sample of 75 bankrupt firms and test using a cross-sectional, pooled sample both yield inference consistent with predictions. It is thus hypothesized that the more bankrupt time are, the higher(lower) pricing multiple book value of equity(earnings) obtained. Findings are robust to inclusion of controls for debt/assets ratio, ROA, and ROIC. Overall, the results is the hypothesis.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.7 no.12
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• pp.123-130
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• 2007

The purpose of this paper is to capture risk profiles of smaller-sized Korean firms $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ larger-sized firms during the Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, risk profiles are provided by estimating expected default risks and by tracking how these have changed during this period with respect to their magnitude, volatility, and sensitivity measures. Methodology used in this study employs the Black-Scholes-Merton model for producing estimates of default risks. And the conventional trans-log function is utilized for obtaining sensitivity measures of the estimated default risks. According to empirical evidence obtained here, it is revealed that contractions of corporate loans associated with IMF austerity policy was the main factor responsible for the drastic change in the default risk profile of Korean firms after occurrence of the Asian financial crisis.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.12 no.9
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• pp.75-81
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• 2014

This study is analyzed using the Shanghai stock market and Shenzhen stock market data in order to analyze the usefulness of accounting information to appear from the introduction of international accounting standards in China. Summarized the relevant previous researches for objective study approach, studied the hypothesis based on the empirical analysis and set a hypothesis as adjusting the stuffs to fix in this research model. In this study, Analyzed the hypothesis to input of detailed variables for analyzing the value relevance between periods before fair value and after fair value. Also, in this hypothesis study, analyzed and estimated to affect the quality of information the acceptant period when compare with acceptant periods and before periods of fair value. These results suggested that impact the net asset value per share and earnings per share of the company because the value of the relationship had statistically significant at the level of relevance. Therefore, in the future studies about fair value assessment, will be expected that usefulness of the enterprise value evaluation method enable to discuss it such as critical sucess factors.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.745-760
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• 2021

Prediction of a stock price has been a subject of interest for a long time in financial markets, and thus, many studies have been conducted in various directions. As the efficient market hypothesis introduced in the 1970s acquired supports, it came to be the majority opinion that it was impossible to predict stock prices. However, recent advances in predictive models have led to new attempts to predict the future prices. Here, we summarize past studies on the price prediction by evaluation measures, and predict the direction of stock prices of Samsung Electronics, LG Chem, and NAVER by applying various machine learning models. In addition to widely used technical indicator variables, accounting indicators such as Price Earning Ratio and Price Book-value Ratio and outputs of the hidden Markov Model are used as predictors. From the results of our analysis, we conclude that no models show significantly better accuracy and it is not possible to predict the direction of stock prices with models used. Considering that the models with extra predictors show relatively high test accuracy, we may expect the possibility of a meaningful improvement in prediction accuracy if proper variables that reflect the opinions and sentiments of investors would be utilized.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.9 no.7
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• pp.304-314
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• 2009

A valuation of the most hotels in Korea have been decided by their asset value and influenced by real estate market. On the other hand, most hotels aim to maximize their through generating profit as other enterprise do it. Therefore a valuation of the hotel industry should be decided from calculating in their profit value. This study is tried to find out the relationships of the company value by free cash flow model between accounting index in hotel industry. The results are as follows. First, there is a 25% gap between high level and low level in hotel industry. Second, in the first rate hotels it is meaningful 99% between asset size and liability rate. Third, there is 99% meaningful relationship asset size of the first level and second level hotels and company values.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.11 no.5
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• pp.145-158
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• 2013

I estimate stock prices of listed companies using financial information and Ohlson model, which is used for the evaluation of company value. Furthermore, I use the artificial neural network, one of artificial intelligence systems, which are not based on linear relationship between variables, to estimate stock prices of listed companies. By reapplying this in estimating stock prices of newly listed companies, I evaluate the appropriateness in stock valuation with such methods. The result of practical analysis of this study is as follows. On the top of that, the multiplier for the actual stock price is accounted by generating the estimated stock prices based on the artificial neural network model. As a result of the comparison of two multipliers, the estimated stock prices by the artificial neural network model does not show statistically difference with the actual stock prices. Given that, the estimated stock price with artificial neural network is close to the actual stock prices rather than the estimated stock prices with Ohlson model.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.9 no.11
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• pp.307-313
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• 2018

In this study, analyzed the effect of the introduction and operation of internal control system of a company on accounting information usefulness in a rapidly changing business environment. In order to conduct this study, we studied a comprehensive analysis on the usefulness of internal control and accounting information, and applied the research model to the purpose of this study. In this study, we analyzed the degree of the relationship between variables based on the discretionary accruals of the modified Jones model using the internal control evaluation index based on the components of the internal control system for China. In the empirical analysis, analyzed that the operation of internal control has a negative influence on discretionary accruals, which is a substitute for usability of accounting information. In addition, the risk management factors of the internal control system have a negative correlation with the usefulness of accounting information. The results of this study suggest that it is possible to present the positive function of internal control system to many firms where the introduction and operation of internal control is important, and to provide useful guidance in the study of the relationship between the operation of internal control and discretionary accruals for foreign company.