• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률 적합도 모델

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Selection of Probability Distribution of Pavement Life Based on Reliability Method (신뢰성 개념을 이용한 적정 포장 수명분포 선정)

  • Do, Myung-Sik;Kwon, Soo-Ahn
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we present the methodology about an optimal probability distribution selection as well as survival rate estimation with the national highway database from 1999 to 2008. Probability paper methods are adopted to estimate the parameters of each hazard model. The goodness-of-fit test, such as the Anderson-Darling statistics, was performed. As a result, we found that Lognormal distributionan is an appropriate distribution of newly constructed sections as well as overlayed sections. We also ascertained that the results of survival rate for pavement life between the proposed method and observed data are similar. Such a selection methodology and measures based on reliability theory can provide useful information for maintenance plans in pavement management systems as long as additional life data on pavement sections are accumulated.

Evaluation of RVE Suitability Based on Exponential Curve Fitting of a Probability Distribution Function (확률 분포 함수의 지수 곡선 접합을 이용한 RVE 적합성 평가)

  • Chung, Sang-Yeop;Yun, Tae Sup;Han, Tong-Seok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5A
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    • pp.425-431
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    • 2010
  • The phase distribution in a multi-phase material strongly affects its material properties. Therefore, a proper method to describe the phase distribution of a material is needed. In this research, probability distribution functions, two-point correlation and lineal-path functions, are used to represent the probabilistic phase distributions of a material. The probability distribution function is calculated using a numerical method and is described as an analytical form via exponential curve fitting with three parameters. Application of analytical form of probability distribution function is investigated using two-phase polycrystalline solids and soil samples. It is confirmed that the probability distribution functions can be represented as an exponential form using curve fitting which helps identifying the applicability of a representative volume element(RVE).

Study on Wireless Body Area Network System Design Based on Transmission Rate (전송률을 고려한 WBAN 시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Joo-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we proposed WBAN system model to management an application that requires low rate data transfer in IEEE 802.15.4. We have to use different wireless sensor network technology to transfer different date rate and emergency message in medical application service. A suitable system model for WBAN and a WBAN MAC protocol in order to solve these existing system problems are proposed. Firstly, the priority queuing was applied to contention access period, and the system model which could guarantee transmission of a MAC command frame was proposed. Secondly, the MAC frame was newly defined to use the system model which was proposed above. Thirdly, WBAN CSMA/CA back-off algorithm based on data transmission rate was proposed to enhance data throughput and transmission probability of the data frame which does not have priority in the proposed WBAN system. The proposed algorithm is designed to be variable CSMA/CA algorithm parameter, depending on data rate. For the evaluation of WBAN CSMA/CA algorithm, we used Castalia. As a result of the simulation, it is found that the proposed system model can not only relieve loads of data processing, but also probability of collision was decreased.

Non-stationary frequency analysis of monthly maximum daily rainfall in summer season considering surface air temperature and dew-point temperature (지표면 기온 및 이슬점 온도를 고려한 여름철 월 최대 일 강수량의 비정상성 빈도해석)

  • Lee, Okjeong;Sim, Ingyeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.338-344
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the surface air temperature (SAT) and the dew-point temperature (DPT) are applied as the covariance of the location parameter among three parameters of GEV distribution to reflect the non-stationarity of extreme rainfall due to climate change. Busan station is selected as the study site and the monthly maximum daily rainfall depth from May to October is used for analysis. Various models are constructed to select the most appropriate co-variate(SAT and DPT) function for location parameter of GEV distribution, and the model with the smallest AIC(Akaike Information Criterion) is selected as the optimal model. As a result, it is found that the non-stationary GEV distribution with co-variate of exp(DPT) is the best. The selected model is used to analyze the effect of climate change scenarios on extreme rainfall quantile. It is confirmed that the design rainfall depth is highly likely to increase as the future DPT increases.

무선 센서 네트워크를 위한 물리계층 보안 기술연구

  • Im, Sang-Hun;Jeon, Hyeong-Seok;Choe, Jin-Ho;Ha, Jeong-Seok
    • Information and Communications Magazine
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2014
  • 본고에서는 센서 네트워크의 분산 검출 분야에서 최근 활발히 연구되고 있는 물리계층 보안기술들을 소개하고자 한다. 복잡한 연산과정을 요구하는 기존 암호학 기반의 보안 시스템은 배터리용량과 연산 능력이 제한된 센서 네트워크에서 많은 유지보수 비용을 유발할 수 밖에 없다. 본고에서 소개할 물리계층 보안기술들은 기존의 통신 모뎀 기술을 보안 강화의 목적으로 재활용하는 기술이다. 따라서, 복잡한 연산이나 추가적인 하드웨어를 필요로 하지 않기 때문에 자원이 제한된 센서 네트워크에 매우 적합하다. 본고에서는 센서네트워크에서 제안된 대표적인 물리계층 보안기술인 확률적 암호화 (stochastic encryption) 기법과 채널 인지 암호화 (channel aware encryption) 기법을 소개한다. 제안된 물리계층 암호화 기술을 두 가지 무선 채널 모형 PAC (parallel access channel)과 MAC (multiple access channel)에서 간략화된 모델로 재해석하여 센서 네트워크를 위한 보안 기술로서 적합성 여부를 평가하도록 하겠다.

A Study on the MMPP Model Verification for the Real-time VBR Traffic of ATM Network (ATM망의 실시간 VBR 트래픽에 대한 MMPP 모델 적합성 검증 연구)

  • 정승국;이영훈
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.28 no.8B
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    • pp.699-706
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    • 2003
  • This paper is to verify that 2-state MMPP Model conform to ATM VBR traffic characteristics by measuring and analyzing real-time VBR traffic in KT's ATM network. As a result, we validated the fact that real-time VBR traffic of ATM network cannot be apply to MMPP model and must be represented by previously general On-Off Model with characteristics as follows: arrival rate of On state (λ$_1$) is deterministic, arrival rate of Off state (λ$_2$) is zero, and two transition rate (T$_1$,T$_2$) is only random variable. As research results are to handle real traffic, these results can be used to all ATM network traffic model with traffic management function such as KT's ATM network.

Reliability Analysis Modeling of Communication Networks Considering Rerouting (재경로 설정을 고려한 통신망의 신뢰도 분석 모델링)

  • Ro, Cheul-Woo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we develop queueing network models of communication networks with reliability model considering link failures. The reliability of a communication network with a virtual connection exposed to link failures is analyzed. Stochastic Reward Nets (SRN) is an extension of stochastic Petri nets and provides compact modeling facilities for system analysis. To get the performance index, appropriate reward rates are assigned to its SRN. It is shown that SRN modeling is well suited to specify, automatically generate and solve for reliability under rerouting. Markov models using SRN are developed and solved to depict various rerouting caused by link failures and reliability analysis in communication networks.

Recognition of Video Characters by Learning Dialogues Using Author-Topic Models (Author-Topic 모델 기반 대본 학습을 통한 비디오 등장 인물 인식)

  • Lim, Byoung-Kwon;Heo, Min-Oh;Zhang, Byoung-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2011.06c
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2011
  • 기계학습 기술이 발달함에 따라 기계학습은 제한된 상황에서 벗어나, 실생활과 비슷한 복잡하고 다양한 상황에서의 학습이 중요한 이슈가 되었다. 본고에서는 현실과 비슷한 상황을 도입하기 위하여 드라마를 사용한다. 드라마 내의 등장인물들은 말투, 어조, 관심주제와 같이 다양한 특성을 내재하고 있다. 등장인물들의 다양한 특성 중 관심주제는 대본 안에 글로 드러나 있으므로 기계학습을 통해 등장 인물의 인식에 활용할 수 있다. 최근, 확률그래프모델 분야에서 문서의 주제를 다루는 기법으로 자주 거론되는 토픽 모델 중 하나인 Author-Topic (AT) 모델은 등장인물의 관심주제를 학습하는 데에 적합하다. 본 논문에서는 AT 모델로 대본을 학습하고, 학습된 데이터 분포를 이용하여 장면에 등장하는 인물들을 인식하는 방법을 제시한다. 이 방법의 성능을 측정하기 위해, 미국 TV 드라마 'Friends' 대본 39편을 학습시키고, 장면에 대해 등장인물을 인식하는 실험을 수행하였다. 이 실험을 통해 본고에서 Author-Topic 모델을 이용한 인물 인식 방법이 다수의 인물이 참여한 담화의 인물들을 인식하는데 강점이 있음을 확인할 수 있다.

The Survey of Cold Storage Temperature and Determine of Appropriate Statistics Probability Distribution Model (국내 식품냉장창고 온도분포 분석 및 적정 확률분포모델 설정)

  • Kim, Hyong-Tae;Kim, Sang-Kyu;Behk, Ok-Jin;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.312-316
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    • 2012
  • This study was to present the proper probability distribution models that based on the data for surveys of food cold storage temperatures as the input variables to the further MRA (Microbial risk assessment). The temperature was measured by directly visiting 7 food plants. The overall mean temperature for food cold storages in the survey was $2.55{\pm}3.55^{\circ}C$, with 2.5% of above $10^{\circ}C$, $-3.2^{\circ}C$ and $14.9^{\circ}C$ as a minimum and maximum. Temperature distributions by space-locations was $0.80{\pm}1.69^{\circ}C$, $0.59{\pm}1.68^{\circ}C$, and $0.65{\pm}1.46^{\circ}C$ as an upper (2.4~4 m), middle (1.5~2.4 m), and lower (0.7~1.5 m), respectively. Probability distributions were also created using @RISK program based on the measured temperature data. Statistical ranking was determined by the goodness of fit (GOF) to determine the proper probability distribution model. This result showed that the LogLogistic (-4.189, 5.9098, 3.2565) distribution models was found to be the most appropriate for relative MRA conduction.

Analysis of Temperature and Probability Distribution Model of Frozen Storage Warehouses in South Korea (국내 식품냉동창고 온도분포 실태 및 확률분포모델 분석)

  • Park, Myoung-Su;Kim, Ga-Ram;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2019
  • This study aimed to generate a probability distribution model based on temperature data of frozen food storage facility as input variables for microbial risk assessment (MRA). We visited 8 food-handling businesses to collect temperature data from their cold storage warehouses. The overall mean temperature inside the storage facilities was $-20.48{\pm}3.08^{\circ}C$, with 20.4% of the facilities having above $-18^{\circ}C$, with minimum and maximum temperature values of -10.3 and $-25.80^{\circ}C$ respectively. Temperature distributions by space locations of natural and forced convection were $-22.57{\pm}0.84$ and $-17.81{\pm}1.47^{\circ}C$, $-22.49{\pm}1.05$ and $-17.94{\pm}1.44^{\circ}C$, and $-22.68{\pm}1.03$ and $-18.08{\pm}1.42^{\circ}C$ in the upper (2.4~4 m), middle (1.5~2.4 m), and lower (0.7~1.5 m) shelves, respectively. Probability distributions from the temperature data were obtained using the program @RISK. Statistical ranking was determined using goodness of fit to determine the probability distribution model. Our results show that a log-normal distribution [5.9731, 3.3483, shift (-26.4281)] is most appropriate for relative MRA conduction.