• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률 밀도함수

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Analysis of runoff aggregation structure and energy expenditure pattern for Choyang creek basin on the basis of power law distribution (멱함수 법칙분포를 기반으로 한 조양하 유역의 유출응집구조와 에너지소비 양상에 대한 해석)

  • Kim, Joo-Cheol;Cui, Feng Xue;Jung, Kwan Sue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.725-734
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    • 2017
  • The main purpose of this study is to analyze runoff aggregation structure and energy expenditure pattern of Choyang creek basin within the framework of power law distribution. To this end geomorphologic factors of every point in the basin of interest, which define tractive force and stream power as well as drainage area, are extracted based on GIS, and their complementary cumulative distributions are graphically analyzed through fitting them to power law distribution. The results indicate that three distinct behavioral regimes are observed from the complementary cumulative distributions of three geomorphogic factors. Based on the parameter estimation of power law distribution by maximum likelihood drainage area and stream power can be judged as scale invariance factor without finite scale while tractive force as scale dependence factor with finite scale. Furthermore, it is judged that tractive force would not follow power law distribution because it shows limited complex system behaviors only within the small extent of scale. The exponent of power law distribution for drainage area obtained in this study by maximum likelihood is larger than the previous researches due to the difference of parameter estimation methodologies. And the exponent for stream power is smaller than the previous researches due to the scaling property of channel slope for the basin of interest.

New Analytical Approach for Dual-hop AF Relay systems over Rayleigh Fading Channels (레일리 페이딩 채널에 대한 이중 홉 증폭 후 전달 릴레이 시스템의 새로운 분석 기법)

  • Ko, Kyun-Byoung;Seo, Jeong-Tae
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.48 no.8
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, another analytical approach for dual-hop amplify-and-forward(AF) relay systems is proposed over Rayleigh fading channels. Previous approaches derived the moment generating function(MGF) by using the cumulative distribution function(CDF) or probability density function(PDF) of the received signal-to-noise ratio(SNR) for source-relay-destination(S-R-D) link. Then, the average symbol error rate is expressed based on derived MGFs. In this paper, another new approach is proposed. It means that the MGF is directly derived by utilizing PDFs of both source-relay(S-R) and relay-destination(R-D) links. Additionary, the newly derived MGF is compared and analyzed with previous ones. Furthermore, simulation results are presented to validate the accuracy of proposed analytical expression. Based on this, it is confirmed that the proposed analytical approach can be a another solution for dual-hop AF relay systems.

A Feasibility Study of Simultaneous Measurement of Gas-Liquid Two-Phase Flowrate and Quality with a Sharp-Edged Orifice (차압유량계를 이용한 기액 2상유량 및 건도의 동시측정 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • 이상천;오홍의;김중엽
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.335-342
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    • 1986
  • The feasibility of simultaneous measurement of gas-liquid tow-phase flowrate and quality with a sharp-edged orifice has been investigated. Instantaneous pressure drop curves were monitored for various combinations of gas and liquid flowrates in the bubbly flow regime and some statistical properties of the curves were calculated. The time-averaged value of pressure drop increases with increasing gas and liquid flowrate, whereas the mean amplitude and the intensity of fluctuation monotonically increase as void fraction becomes larger in the flow regime. The statistical furctions for the instantaneous curves indicate a consistent pattern throughout the flow regime and the probability density function, which as a single-peaked and symmetrical distribution, is well predicted by the Gaussian distribution function. The results indicate that simultaneous determination of two-phase flowrate and quality may be possible based upon the statistical analysis of instaneous pressure drop curves measured in a sharp-edged orifice.

Index of union and other accuracy measures (Index of Union와 다른 정확도 측도들)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Choi, So Yeon;Lim, Dong Hui
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.395-407
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    • 2020
  • Most classification accuracy measures for optimal threshold are divided into two types: one is expressed with cumulative distribution functions and probability density functions, the other is based on ROC curve and AUC. Unal (2017) proposed the index of union (IU) as an accuracy measure that considers two types to get them. In this study, ten kinds of accuracy measures (including IU) are divided into six categories, and the advantages of the IU are studied by comparing the measures belonging to each category. The optimal thresholds of these measures are obtained by setting various normal mixture distributions; subsequently, the first and second type of errors as well as the error sums corresponding to each threshold are calculated. The properties and characteristics of the IU statistic are explored by comparing the discriminative power of other accuracy measures based on error values.The values of the first type error and error sum of IU statistic converge to those of the best accuracy measures of the second category as the mean difference between the two distributions increases. Therefore, IU could be an accuracy measure to evaluate the discriminant power of a model.

Long-term Wave Monitoring and Analysis Off the Coast of Sokcho (속초 연안의 장기 파랑관측 및 분석)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Ryu, Kyung-Ho;Cho, Hongyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.274-279
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    • 2015
  • Wave data acquired over eleven years near Sokcho Harbor located in the central area of the east coast were analyzed using spectral method and wave-by-wave analysis method and its major wave characteristics were examined. Significant wave heights were found to be high in winter and low in summer, and peak periods were also found to be long in winter and short in summer. The maximum significant wave height observed was 8.95 m caused by the East Sea twister. The distributional pattern of the significant wave heights and peak periods were both fitted better by Kernel distribution function than by Generalized Gamma distribution function and Generalized Extreme Value distribution function. The wave data were compiled to subdivide the wave height into intervals for each month, and the cumulative occurrence rates of wave heights were calculated to be utilized for the design and construction works in nearby construction works.

Analysis of the Long-term Wave Characteristics off the Coast of Daejin (대진 연안의 장기 파랑 특성 분석)

  • Jeong, Weon Mu;Cho, Hongyeon;Baek, Wondae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.142-147
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    • 2015
  • Wave data acquired over seven years near Daejin Harbor located in the north central area of the east coast was analyzed using spectral method and wave-by-wave analysis method and its major wave characteristics were examined. Significant wave heights were found to be high in winter and low in summer, and peak periods were also found to be long in winter and short in summer. The maximum significant wave height observed was 6.59 m and was caused by Typhoon No. 1216, SANBA. The distributional pattern of the significant wave heights and peak periods were both reproduced better by Kernel distribution function than by Generalized Gamma distribution function and Generalized Extreme Value distribution function. Meanwhile, the wave data was subdivided by month and wave height level and the cumulative appearance rate was proposed to aid designing and constructing works in nearby coastal areas.

Analysis of the Variation Pattern of the Wave Climate in the Sokcho Coastal Zone (속초 연안의 파랑환경 변화양상 분석)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Weon-Mu;Baek, Won-Dae;Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2012
  • Exploratory data analysis was carried out by using the long-term wave climate data in Sokcho coastal zone. The main features found in this study are as follows. The coefficient of variations on the wave height and period are about 0.11 and 0.02, respectively. It also shows that the annual components of the wave height and period are dominant and their amplitudes are 0.24 m and 0.56 seconds, respectively. The amount of intra-annual variation range is about two times greater than that of the inter-annual variation range. The distribution shapes of the wave data are very similar to the log-normal and GEV(generalized extreme value) functions. However, the goodness-of-fit tests based on the KS test show as "rejected" for all suggested density functions. Then, the structure of the timeseries wave height data is roughly estimated as AR(3) model. Based on the wave duration results, it is clearly shown that the continuous and maximum duration is decreased as a power function shape and the total duration is exponentially decreased. Meanwhile, the environment of the Sokcho coastal zone is classified as a wave-dominated environment.

Non-stationary Rainfall Frequency Analysis Based on Residual Analysis (잔차시계열 분석을 통한 비정상성 강우빈도해석)

  • Jang, Sun-Woo;Seo, Lynn;Kim, Tae-Woong;Ahn, Jae-Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.449-457
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    • 2011
  • Recently, increasing heavy rainfalls due to climate change and/or variability result in hydro-climatic disasters being accelerated. To cope with the extreme rainfall events in the future, hydrologic frequency analysis is usually used to estimate design rainfalls in a design target year. The rainfall data series applied to the hydrologic frequency analysis is assumed to be stationary. However, recent observations indicate that the data series might not preserve the statistical properties of rainfall in the future. This study incorporated the residual analysis and the hydrologic frequency analysis to estimate design rainfalls in a design target year considering the non-stationarity of rainfall. The residual time series were generated using a linear regression line constructed from the observations. After finding the proper probability density function for the residuals, considering the increasing or decreasing trend, rainfalls quantiles were estimated corresponding to specific design return periods in a design target year. The results from applying the method to 14 gauging stations indicate that the proposed method provides appropriate design rainfalls and reduces the prediction errors compared with the conventional rainfall frequency analysis which assumes that the rainfall data are stationary.

A Study of the Failure Distribution and the Failure Difference by the Stress on the K-1 Tracked Vehicle (K-1전차의 고장분포와 부하에 따른 고장률 차이에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Choi, Seok-Yoon
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study is as follows. First, the hazard function on the failure probability density function of the K-1 tracked vehicles can be occurred in the form of the bathtub curve. Second, the failure mode may be different under two different operational situations. The research result shows that the bathtub curve can be fitted in the Weibull distribution, that assumes different shapes according to the specific stage of the system's life cycle. The K-1 tracked vehicle has a relatively high hazard(failure) rate at the time of its first service. The failure rate starts decreasing for a time immediately after it goes into service. After the break-in period, the surviving components have a fairly constant hazard rate. As the K-1 system ages, deterioration of its various parts takes place and the hazard rate starts Increasing. Second, the result shows the failure rate in the harsh operational environment is higher than that in the mild operational environment. In conclusion, the bathtub curve can be logically appropriate in establishing the depot overhaul cycle. Moreover, it is necessary for determining the right time of the depot overhaul to consider not only the age of defense equipment but also the different operational environment.

Fragility Analyses on Seismic Isolated LRB Concrete Bridges (LRB 면진 콘크리트 교량의 손상도 해석)

  • Kim, Jong-In;Kim, Doo-Kie;Kim, Tae-Hyeong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2006
  • In performing a risk analysis of structures under earthquakes, it is imperative to identify the vulnerability of structures associated with various damage stages considering structural properties, soil-structure interactions, site condition, and so on. In this paper, the method to derive a representative fragility curve of seismic isolated LRB(lead rubber bearing) bridges is proposed. In which, the curve is assumed log-normally distribution with two parameters. The risk analysis of seismic isolated LRB bridges considering earthquake effects such as PGA, PGV, SA, SV, and SI is also performed to assure the earthquake resisting capability of the structures. An practical way for constructing the representative fragility curves is also recommended combining fragility curves of structures.