• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률 교육

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Prediction of Marine Accident Frequency Using Markov Chain Process (마코프 체인 프로세스를 적용한 해양사고 발생 예측)

  • Jang, Eun-Jin;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.266-266
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    • 2019
  • Marine accidents are increasing year by year, and various accidents occur such as engine failure, collision, stranding, and fire. These marine accidents present a risk of large casualties. It is important to prevent accidents beforehand. In this study, we propose a modeling to predict the occurrence of marine accidents by applying the Markov Chain Process that can predict the future based on past data. Applying the proposed modeling, the probability of future marine accidents was calculated and compared with the actual frequency. Through this, a probabilistic model was proposed to prepare a prediction system for marine accidents, and it is expected to contribute to predicting various marine accidents.

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Social Media Analysis Based on Keyword Related to Educational Policy Using Topic Modeling (토픽모델링을 이용한 교육정책 키워드 기반 소셜미디어 분석)

  • Chung, Jin-myeong;Park, Young-ho;Kim, Woo-ju
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2018
  • The traditional mass media function of conveying information and forming public opinion has rapidly changed into an environment in which information and opinions are shared through social media with the development of ICT technology, and such social media further strengthens its influence. In other words, it has been confirmed that the influence of the public opinion through the production and sharing of public opinion on political, social and economic changes is increasing, and this change is already in use on the political campaign. In addition, efforts to grasp and reflect the opinions of the public by utilizing social media are being actively carried out not only in the political area but also in the public area. The purpose of this study is to explore the possibility of using social media based public opinion in educational policy. We collected media data, analyzed the main topic and probability of occurrence of each topic, and topic trends. As a result, we were able to catch the main interest of the public(the 'Domestic Computer Education Time' accounted for 43.99%, and 'Prime Project Selection' topics was 36.81% and 'Artificial Intelligence Program' topics was 7.94%). In addition, we could get a suggestion that flexible policies should be established according to the timing of the curriculum and the subject of the policy even if the category of the policy is same.

Classification of latent classes and analysis of influencing factors on longitudinal changes in middle school students' mathematics interest and achievement: Using multivariate growth mixture model (중학생들의 수학 흥미와 성취도의 종단적 변화에 따른 잠재집단 분류 및 영향요인 탐색: 다변량 성장혼합모형을 이용하여)

  • Rae Yeong Kim;Sooyun Han
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2024
  • This study investigates longitudinal patterns in middle school students' mathematics interest and achievement using panel data from the 4th to 6th year of the Gyeonggi Education Panel Study. Results from the multivariate growth mixture model confirmed the existence of heterogeneous characteristics in the longitudinal trajectory of students' mathematics interest and achievement. Students were classified into four latent classes: a low-level class with weak interest and achievement, a high-level class with strong interest and achievement, a middlelevel-increasing class where interest and achievement rise with grade, and a middle-level-decreasing class where interest and achievement decline with grade. Each class exhibited distinct patterns in the change of interest and achievement. Moreover, an examination of the correlation between intercepts and slopes in the multivariate growth mixture model reveals a positive association between interest and achievement with respect to their initial values and growth rates. We further explore predictive variables influencing latent class assignment. The results indicated that students' educational ambition and time spent on private education positively affect mathematics interest and achievement, and the influence of prior learning varies based on its intensity. The perceived instruction method significantly impacts latent class assignment: teacher-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to higher-level classes, while learner-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to lower-level classes. This study has significant implications as it presents a new method for analyzing the longitudinal patterns of students' characteristics in mathematics education through the application of the multivariate growth mixture model.

Component-Based Human Body Tracking Using Density Propagation (확률전파를 이용한 구성요소기반 인체 추적)

  • Cha, Eun-Mi;Lee, Kyoung-Mi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.10b
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    • pp.549-552
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문에서는 인체의 각 구성 요소별로 추적하여 사람의 동작을 추적하는 방법을 제안한다. 입력 영상에서 피부색 등의 색상정보를 이용하여 구성요소를 검출한다. 본 논문에서는 인체의 구성요소 중 동작 추적에 가장 필요한 5가지 구성요소를 검출하여 추적하였다. 이렇게 검출된 구성요소는 개별적으로 확률전파에 의해 추적되어지고, 각 구성요소의 추적결과는 융합을 통해 전체 인체의 동작을 추적할 수 있다. 제안하는 인체동작 추적 시스템은 유아의 동작교육에 이용되는 7가지 동작에 적용되었다.

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Design and implementation of Web Course_ware based on Simulation for statistical Inference Study (통계적 추론 학습을 위한 시뮬레이션 중심 웹 코스웨어의 설계와 구현)

  • Choi, Eun-Seon;Choi, Jin-Seek
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2006
  • 고등학교 수학과 교육과정에서의 ‘확률과 통계'단원은 실제로 자료의 수집과 요약을 통하여 자료 분석방법을 배우고 사회와 자연현상을 인식하고 추론하는 능력을 기르는데 목표를 두고 있다. 추상적인 수학내용을 직접 시도하거나 학생들이 실제적인 자료를 수집하고 직접 자료를 해석하고 추론해 보는 경험과정은 수학실험과 시뮬레이션이라는 컴퓨터 학습을 통해 가능하고 개념학습의 전 단계에서 보다 구성적이고 탐구적인 활동을 강화할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 ‘확률과 통계'의 교수-학습과정에서 수학적 시뮬레이션을 활용한 웹 기반 학습모형을 제시하여 학습자들에게 수학적 내용과 관련된 구체적 매체를 조작하는 컴퓨터 실험 활동을 통하여 수학에서의 원리발견과 통계적 추론을 경험하고 유도할 수 있는 탐구적 학습 환경을 조성해 보고자 한다.

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On the SMART Storytelling Mathematics Education Based on Executable Expressions (실행식(Executable expression) 기반 SMART 스토리텔링 수학교육)

  • Cho, Han Hyuk;Song, Min Ho
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.269-283
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    • 2014
  • Recently, 3S Mathematics Education (Storytelling mathematics education, SMART mathematics education, and STEAM mathematics education) is emphasized. Based on recently published report on Storytelling mathematics textbook, we propose executable expression based SMART storytelling mathematics related to the elementary mathematic curriculum on 3D building blocks. We designed letters and expressions to represent three dimensional shape of 3D building blocks, and we compare its characteristics with that of LEGO blocks. We assert that text-based executable expressions not only construct what students want to make but also teachers can read students thinking process and can support educational help based on students needs. We also present linear function, quadratic function, and function variable concepts using executable expressions based on 3D building block as an example of SMART storytelling mathematics. This research was supported by the collaborated creativity mentoring project between Siheung City and college of education at Seoul National University. We hope designed executable expressions can be used for the development of SMART storytelling mathematics education.

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Study on Enumerating the Degree of Similarity in Pairs of the Stnadardized Scores and Lower and Upper tail Probabilites using the Folded Normal Distribution (동형고사에서 표준점수차의 확률분포를 이용한 상사성의 측정과 평가치 산정에 관한 연구)

  • 홍석강
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2000
  • In this thesis we concerned with the degree of similarity in pairs of scores having a common mean and variance could express similarity in terms of the absolute difference between the standardized scores. We particulary discussed the distribution of absolute differences between pairs of T scores among many standardized scores and demonstrated the procedures for calculating the lower limit of Med(│d│) values i. e. the maximum possible similarity with medians and correlation coefficients of the equivalent form tests by using the folded normal distribution, although other researchers expressed the degree of similarity using only the standard normal distribution. We also described many cases how to use those techniques and to apply effectively them in real evaluation fields.

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A study of guiding probability applied markov-chain (Markov 연쇄를 적용한 확률지도연구)

  • Lee Tae-Gyu
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1986
  • It is a common saying that markov-chain is a special case of probability course. That is to say, It means an unchangeable markov-chain process of the transition-probability of discontinuous time. There are two kinds of ways to show transition probability parade matrix theory. The first is the way by arrangement of a rightangled tetragon. The second part is a vertical measurement and direction sing by transition-circle. In this essay, I try to find out existence of procession for transition-probability applied markov-chain. And it is possible for me to know not only, what it is basic on a study of chain but also being applied to abnormal problems following a flow change and statistic facts expecting to use as a model of air expansion in physics.

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Independence in probability, The conflicts between its intuitive concept and formal definition (확률 영역에서의 독립성, 그 직관적 개념과 형식적 정의의 갈등)

  • Cho, Cha-Mi;Park, Jong-Youll
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.373-386
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    • 2008
  • In highschool probability education, this study analyzed conflicts between intuitive concept and formal definition which originates from the process of establishing the concept of statistical independence. In judging independence, completely different types of problems requiring their own approach was analyzed by dividing them into two types. By doing so, this study researched a way to view independence as an overall idea. That is purposed to suggest a solution to a conflicts between intuitive concept and formal definition and to help not to judge independence out of wrong intuition. This study also suggests that calculation process which leads to precise perception of sample space and event be provided when we prove independence by expressing events with assembly symbols.

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집합을 도입한 체계적 확률의 지도연구

  • Yu Byeong U
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.16-28
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    • 1966
  • According to the modernization of mathematics education, new abstract concepts such as the concept of sets are introduced in many fields of it. The purpose of this thesis is to adopt the concept of sets to 'probability' which is included in the curriculum of high school matematics education. The considerations of the preceding chapter III, and their obvious generalizations to more complicated experiments, justify the conclusion that probability theory consists of the study of sets. An event is a set, its opposite event is the complementary set; mutually exclusive events are disjoint sets, and an event consisting of the simultaneous occurrence of two other events is a sets obtained by intersecting two other sets it is clear how this glossary, translating physical terminology into set theoretic terminology, may be continued. Furthermore, the important theorems of probability; Additional theorem, multiplication theorem, their applications and so on, are proved by the technical operations of sets. Thinking of the mathematics education introduced by the concept of sets is very important in future.

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