• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.329-337
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• 2018

This study was designed to investigate the effect of medical education on the health behavior of elderly people aged 65 years or older who have the diagnosis of metabolic syndrome. From 2014 community health survey data, 9042 people with hypertension and diabetes who had disease management education experience in elderly people over 65 years old were used as the final analysis data. Data were analyzed by Chi-square test and multi-variable logistic regression. The results of the study showed that the perceived rate of cardiovascular health factors was higher in the elderly living alone with disease management education (p <.001), and the probability of walking more than 3 days per week was 1.145(P = .002), not drinking at the present time was 1.212 times (p <.001), eating thinly was 1.184 times (p = .002). From the results of this study, it is required to develop the health promotion policy that reflects the importance of education by health care providers and the health information provided to the elderly living alone.

• Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.391-414
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to find the correlation between the level of 6th graders' achievement level in Probability and Statistics education, which were proposed in the curriculum, which targeted the 6th graders in the elementary school, and statistical literacy. For this, first, questions asking the achievement level in the probability and statistics(Part A), and questions asking the statistical literacy(Part B), were used to study the achievement level of the students. Second, the achievement level in the probability and statistics, and the statistical literacy were measured. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, questionnaire that consists of 10 questions was invented. The questionnaire was divided into Part 1 and Part 2 under the consideration upon the characteristics of the questions. The results of the questionnaires given to the students were classified into "high, medium, and low" and were separated into 7 categories. Results of comparing category 3 and category 6, which have shown opposing tendencies, we could find that students who are good at school mathematics and students with high statistical literacy have respective and different characteristics. For actually effective statistical education, consideration upon and reflection of core aspects such as intuition and critical thinking in the curriculum are needed.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.40 no.4
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• pp.91-114
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• 2017

This paper shows that when children's ability is heterogeneous, a parent's choices about educational expenditures and fertility follow a pooling equilibrium or a separating equilibrium. Which of the two equilibria will prevail depends on the probability of getting a high-ability child as well as productivity differentials in producing children's adult human capital. Adopting the model of Acemoglu's (1999), this paper presents that the outcome of the pooling choice in the pooling regime and the outcome of the separating choice in the separating regime make the growth rate of human capital higher than otherwise. In addition, as the probability of a high-ability child increases, the growth rate of human capital in the separating equilibrium exceeds that in the pooling equilibrium.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.152-152
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• 2017

최근 지속적인 심한 가뭄의 발생은 사회적 이슈가 되고 있으므로 가뭄을 감시할 수 있는 가뭄 모니터링 뿐만 아니라 경감할 수 있는 가뭄전망이 되어야 한다. 이를 위해 우선적으로 우리나라 실정에 맞는 최적화된 가뭄지수의 선정 혹은 개선이 필요하며, 다음으로 개선된 가뭄지수를 기반으로 한 다양한 가뭄정보들이 수자원확보를 위한 관리와 정책에 활용되어야 한다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 국내 기존에 활용되고 있는 수문학적 가뭄지수인 MSWSI를 개선하였으며, 개선된 MSWSI를 이용하여 앙상블기법 기반의 확률론적 가뭄전망을 수행하였다. 대상 유역은 낙동강 유역을 선정하였으며, 연구내용을 살펴보면, 첫 번째로 MSWSI의 개선에 있어서는 (1) 유역 내 공식적으로 수집되는 모든 수문기상인자를 조사하여 중권역 유역별로 기존 MSWSI에서 적용한 4개 인자(강수량, 하천유량, 댐 유입량, 지하수량) 뿐만 아니라 사용 가능한 적합한 인자(댐 저수위, 댐 방류량)를 추가 선정하여 반영; (2) 각 수문인자들에 대해 기존에는 정규분포만 적용하였으나 본 연구에서는 각각 인자별 적합한 확률분포를 추정하였다. 두 번째로 극심한 가뭄이 발생한 2006년과 2014년을 대상으로 개선된 MSWSI를 이용한 앙상블기반 확률론적 가뭄전망을 수행하고 검증하였다. 분석 결과를 살펴보면, 개선된 MSWSI를 과거 실측 수문기상자료를 이용하여 검증한 결과 기존 MSWSI보다 개선된 MSWSI가 과거 발생한 가뭄현상을 더 잘 나타내어 개선된 MSWSI가 효용성이 있음을 확인하였다. 또한 앙상블 기반의 확률론적 가뭄 전망 결과, 기존보다 개선된 MSWSI를 이용한 가뭄전망이 우수한 결과를 나타냈다. 또한 대부분의 유역에서 실제 가뭄의 가뭄지수가 개선된 MSWSI를 이용한 가뭄전망 범위에 속하는 것으로 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.207-207
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• 2019

최근 우리나라는 지역 특성 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인해 수문학적 요소의 변동성이 커지고 수자원의 지속적인 관리에 있어 유출량은 중요한 문제로 여겨지고 있다. 특히 일부 소하천 또는 접경지역과 같은 미계측유역은 수문학적 요소에 대한 자료가 부족하고 수문모형의 초기치 설정과 과거 유출량 자료를 통하여 최적화한 매개변수를 결정해야하므로 장기유출분석이 어렵다. 본 연구의 적용유역으로 미계측유역인 임진강상류 유역에 대한 유출량 추정을 위해 계측 유역의 자료를 활용하여 모형의 매개변수 등을 추정하는 지역화 기법인 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 활용하여 유출량을 산정 및 검증하였다. 또한, 확률론적 예측이 가능한 앙상블 기법 적용을 통한 유출량 예측을 하였고, 이를 예측 정확성 평가지표를 통해 효율성 검토를 수행하여 미계측유역의 유출량에 대해 확률론적 예측을 수행하였다. 대표적 지역화 기법의 적용성을 검토한 결과, 계측유역을 통해 다중선형회귀분석과 공간근접분석을 abcd 모형에 적용하였다. 모의유출량을 산정하고 실측 유출량과 비교 분석 결과 모의정확성이 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 검증 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 유출량을 추정하였다. 또한, 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량 예측의 효율성을 검토하였다. 적용유역과 같은 지류를 포함하고 있는 임진강하류 유역을 대상으로 수행하였다. 검증기간(2013년~2017년) 동안의 월 예측 유출량 앙상블 생성을 위해 과거 강우량와 증발량(1988년~2012년) 자료를 사용하였으며, 지역화 기법을 적용한 abcd 모형을 이용하였다. 예측 유출량의 정확성 평가를 실시하였으며, 정확성이 비교적 높게 분석되었다. 이와 같은 결과를 토대로 미계측유역의 확률론적 유출량을 예측하였다. 따라서, 대표적 지역화 기법을 앙상블 기법에 적용하여 확률론적 유출량을 예측할 경우 보다 정확한 유출량 예측이 가능하다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.223-225
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• 2003

통계학과를 졸업하는 학생들 중에는 50%이상이 통계학(기초)을 제대로 이해를 못하고 졸업하고 있다는 가설을 검증해본다면 그 결과는 무엇일까? 통계학을 조금 배워본 사람들은 물론이고 통계학과 졸업생들조차 통계학은 난해하기 짝이 없다고 평가를 한다면 이해를 돕는 교육이라기보다는 주입(강요)식 교육이기 때문은 아닌가? 여기서는 확률변수 X를 대문자로 쓰는 것에 유의하고, 소문자 x와 구분하여 사용함으로써 초보자들이 통계이론을 보다 쉽게 이해할 수 있도록 하자는 것이다.

• Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.109-135
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• 2012

In December of 2009, General Curriculum Revised in 2009 was announced and research on corresponding mathematics curriculum revision has been initiated from that period. Finally, in August 2011, Mathematics Curriculum Revised in 2009 was announced. In this new curriculum, Creativity is emphasized as the ability pursued in General Curriculum Revised in 2009. Accordingly, for the purpose of fostering students with creative and challenging minds, teaching and learning methods including the objectives and content should be more carefully implemented in math class. In case of the area of Probability and Statistics closely related to real life situations, it is suggested that school curriculum in mathematics would not deal with only mathematical problems on algorithm, but rather present teaching and learning materials related to the real life in order to recognize the usefulness of the content of Probability and Statistics and to learn how to think about it. In this paper, effective guidelines for teaching and learning the content of Probability and Statistics and its activities that follows the direction on Mathematics Curriculum Revised in 2009' are suggested based on the analysis of the PISA and TIMSS international assessments items. Thus, the guidelines suggested in this study would be used efficiently and appropriately for developing instructional materials or planning curriculum revision and setting its direction in the future.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.155-160
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• 2005

상호정보를 이용하면 두 확률변수 사이의 종속의 정도를 평가할 수 있는 측도를 제시할 수 있고 두 변수 사이의 상관관계를 나타내는 표본상관계수의 단점을 보완한 일반화상관계수를 정의할 수 있다.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.315-334
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• 2005

The purpose of this study is to find out the implications on when and how the correlation concept can be taught. we investigate the development time and method of the concept in a statistical perspective those initially have discussed in psychology by Piaget. We first reviewed the 1958 research by Inhelder and Piaget. It was the first one which researched the development of the correlation and has become the foundation of psychological perspective. According to them, the correlation concept needs proportional and probability concept ahead of its development and argued on the coefficient of correlation based on formal and logical position. However, from a statistical perspective, the correlation concept is a part of the distribution concept. So, the level of the correlation concept grows from the comparison of conditional distributions to the conditional probability distribution where the proportional concept and probability concept are applied. As reviewed through the literature, we found that 11-12 years old students in early formal operation stage reasoned about correlation through the comparison of conditional distributions. In our study, we argue that we need to consider the possibility of beginning didactic mediation for correlation concept earlier and the method approaching it in a distribution perspective.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.273-284
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• 2008

Movements are a critical ability to young children's whole development, including physical, social/emotional, and cognitive development. This paper proposes the method to estimate movements suitable for young children's body conditions. The proposed method extracts a silhouette in each frame of videos that are obtained by deploying two video cameras by compensating illuminations, removing background and conducting morphology operations. And we extract silhouette feature values: an area, the ratio of length to width, the lowest foot position, and 7 Hu moments. Also, the area and movements of sub-area are used as local features. For motion estimation, we used probability propagation of the features extracted from the front and side frames. The proposed estimation algorithm is demonstrated for seven movements, walking, jumping, hopping, bending, stretching, balancing, and turning.