• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.1900-1904
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• 2007

지금까지 수공구조물의 설계와 기존 시설의 안전도를 평가시 수문, 수리 및 경제학적 함수들에서 발생하는 불확실성을 설명하기 위하여 안전율 또는 여유고를 증가시키거나 이들 정보의 양과 질을 증가시켜 데이터베이스를 확장하고 측정오차를 최소화시키며, 전통적인 통계해석을 적용하였다. 공공의 안전을 확보하기 위하여 설계과정에 안전율 또는 여유고가 도입되었으나 이것은 단순히 보다 높은 재현기간의 적용을 의미하며, 수문현상이 가지는 추계학적 특성보다 확정론적인 근거로부터 안전설계 개념이 개발되었다. 수자원 계획시 고려되는 부하와 저항은 확정론적인 고정치가 아니라 시간에 따라 변하고 동적이며, 무작위적이므로 확률 변수로서 고려되어야 한다. 이에 따라 최근 수자원 계획과정에서 불확실성 해석에 의한 위험도 분석 개념이 도입되고 있으며, 특히 이상기후 및 집중호우의 빈발, 급격한 도시화로 인한 유출양상의 변화 등으로 급증하고 있는 훙수피해를 감안할 때 설계빈도의 상향조정과 같은 확정론적인 방법보다는 매개변수 또는 함수의 불확실성을 고려한 위험도 해석의 필요성이 더욱 증대되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 수자원 계획시 입력자료 및 매개변수의 불확실성과 불확실성의 분리를 고려한 홍수량의 산정 및 각 매개변수의 영향을 평가하여 홍수위험도 해석에 있어서 모델 매개변수의 영향 규명과 처리방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.14-21
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• 1994

The studios on the stability of damaged ships have been carried out continuously to prevent frequent damages or sinkings which cause large loss of life and fortunes. For dry cargo ships, continuing losses have resulted in new legislation of the probabilistic damage stability. IMO has developed requirements for the subdivison and damage stability of dry cargo ships based on probabilistic concepts. The calculation of the probabilistc damage stability is a complicated and iterative job hence development of computer programs is indispensable. In this research, programming of the probabilistic damage stability according to new requirements has been done and the results were compared with those carried out by the other foreign packages. New algorithm using a grid model in a transversal section was introduced to reduce efforts in preparing input data for damage scenarios and as a result, has brought significant improvement in efficiency and performance.

• KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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• v.20 no.10
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• pp.534-542
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• 2014

Multiscale modeling is a new simulation approach which can manage different spatial and temporal scales of system. In this study, as part of multiscale modeling research, we propose the way of combining two different simulation methods, molecular dynamics(MD) and stochastic rotation dynamics(SRD). Our conceptual implementations are based on LAMMPS, one of the well-known molecular dynamics programs. Our prototype of multiscale modeling follows the form of the third party implementation of LAMMPS. It added MD to SRD in order to simulate the boundary area of the simulation box. Because it is important to guarantee the seamless simulation, we also designed the overlap zones and communication zones. The preliminary experimental results showed that our proposed scheme is properly worked out and the execution time is also reduced.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.4B
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• pp.389-397
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• 2010

This study introduced a Bayesian based frequency analysis in which the statistical trend analysis for hydrologic extreme series is incorporated. The proposed model employed Gumbel extreme distribution to characterize extreme events and a fully coupled bayesian frequency model was finally utilized to estimate design rainfalls in Seoul. Posterior distributions of the model parameters in both Gumbel distribution and trend analysis were updated through Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation mainly utilizing Gibbs sampler. This study proposed a way to make use of nonstationary frequency model for dynamic risk analysis, and showed an increase of hydrologic risk with time varying probability density functions. The proposed study showed advantage in assessing statistical significance of parameters associated with trend analysis through statistical inference utilizing derived posterior distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.103-108
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• 1997

In this paper, the application of fuzzy decision to optimization of induction motor design is proposed. This method can reflect the designer's experience, view, and judgment, but also can be applied to multi-objective optimization design easily. The electromagnetic performance of the induction motor are calculated by means of the equivalent magnetic circuit method. The design method is The $D^2L$ method which is combined with fuzzy decision and optimization algorithm. As the optimization algorithm, the evolution strategy(ES) is applied. The proposed algorithm is applied to a multiobjective optimization of an induction motor design where the motor should have less weight and, at the same time, have higher efficiency and power factor at rated operating points.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.21-28
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• 2006

Vibration of a non-linear system with multiple degrees of freedom under random parametric excitations was evaluated by probabilistic method. The non-linear characteristic terms of system structure were quasi-linearized and excitation terms were remained as they were. An analytical method where the expectation values of square mean of error was minimized was used. The numerical results were compared with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. A linear congruential generator and Box-Muller method were used in Monte Carlo simulation. The comparison showed the results by probabilistic method agreed well with those by Monte Carlo simulation.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.782-787
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• 2005

Magnitude of generated harmonic currents along with the operation of AC traction has nonlinear characteristics, and generated harmonic currents for high speed traction are more and more in high speed railroad(HSR) systems, especially. This paper presents probabilistic approximation method for the harmonic currents analysis about the operating speed of AC traction. To use probabilistic method for HSR system, probability density function(PDF) for collected operating speed based measure data is calculated. Mean and variance of harmonic currents of single traction are obtained based on the operating speed PDF and electrical traction model. The results of Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS) are in well accordance with the experimental and analytic methods. The harmonics of different number of trainloads are systematically investigated. It is assessed by the total demand distortion(TDD) for the HSR system.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.892-896
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• 2001

Investigation is performed on the stability of nonlinear system under turbulent fluid motion modelled as white noise random process, which is a preliminary result in the course of research on the characteristic and nonlinear control of the stochastic system. Adopted physical model is beam-type structure with tip-mass and main base mass. The governing equation is derived via F-P-K approach in stochastic sense. By means of Gaussian Closure method infinite dynamic moment equations due to system nonlinearity is closed to finite one. At the best of authors' knowledge, it is the first trial to design nonlinear controller by using of sliding mode technique in stochastic domain and control performance and effect in stochastic domain is studied.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.1-13
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• 2011

Joint roughness is one of the most important parameters in analysis of rock slope stability. Especially in probabilistic analysis, the random properties of joint roughness influence the probability of slope failure. Therefore, a large dataset on joint roughness is required for the probabilistic analysis but the traditional direct measurement of roughness in the field has some limitations. Terrestrial LiDAR has advantagess over traditional direct measurement in terms of cost and time. JRC (Joint Roughness Coefficient) was calculated from statistical parameters which are known from quantitative methods of converting the roughness of the material surface into JRC. The mean, standard deviation and distribution function of JRC were obtained, and we found that LiDAR is useful in obtaining large dataset for random variables.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.31-36
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• 2010

An alternative method is presented for predicting failure probability of pipelines with corrosion defects in this paper. The failure of corroded pipeline occurs when the operating pressure is grater than the remaining strength of the pipeline, and a limit state function can be defined as the differences between the remaining strength and the operating pressure. Then, based on structural reliability theory, we can estimate the failure probability of corroded pipeline, which is dependent on elapsed time of the pipeline with active corrosion defects. In this study, a root finding (RF) method has been adopted to solve the limit state function instead of Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) method which traditionally has been employed to solve those kinds of problems. The calculation results shows that there are only small differences between the RF and the MCS method but the RF has higher efficiency in calculation than the MCS.