• Title/Summary/Keyword: 화물수요

Search Result 184, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Mathematical Models for Leasing Purchasing Empty Containers (공 컨테이너의 임대 계획을 위한 수리계획모형 및 해법)

  • Park, Sun Wook;Jeon, Su Min;Kim, Kap Hwan
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-51
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study addresses how to plan purchasing and leasing of containers to satisfy the demand on containers. The problem can be further decomposed into the long-term planning and the short-term scheduling. The long-term plan specifies the composition of owned containers, long-term leasing containers, and short-term containers. The short-term plan considers the seasonality of demand and determines the time of leasing and the amount of the short-term and the long-term leasing containers. The length of the planning horizon is 10-20 years for the long-term planning, while it is one year for the short-term planning. The time unit is one year for the long-term planning, while it is one month for the short-term planning. This study discusses how to estimate the demand of containers and proposes deterministic models for scheduling purchasing and leasing of containers.

  • PDF

A study on the impact analysis of blank sailing in the shipping industry using poisson regression analysis (포아송 회귀분석을 이용한 해운선사의 블랭크 세일링 영향 분석 연구)

  • Won-Hyeong Ryu;Bong-Keun Choi;Jong-Hoon Kim;Shin-Woo Park;Hyung-Sik Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2023.11a
    • /
    • pp.120-121
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, there has been a continuous imbalance between the demand and supply in the shipping industry. Consequently, shipping companies are implementing blank sailing to adjust the supply of vessels and achieve a balance between demand and supply. Blank sailing can create negative ripple effects by delaying cargo transportation, so this study uses Poisson regression analysis,

  • PDF

Estimation of Demand for and Proper Capacity of Ro-Ro Berths in Korea-Japan Trade (한일간 Ro-Ro 부두 수요 및 적정 규모 추정)

  • Kim, Yul-Seong;Lee, Kyung-Nam;Kang, Dal-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.107-120
    • /
    • 2015
  • International logistics systems for cross-border trading aim not only to reduce costs and time, but also to maximize added value. For accuracy of shipping time, cost reduction, rapidity, and safety improvement, demand for Ro-Ro shipping as a global supply chain operating system has increased. To anticipate these demands, this study estimates the optimal demand and scale of Ro-Ro berth construction by analyzing shipping volumes between Korea and Japan. Based on Ro-Ro shipping speeds and distances between Korea and Japan, the shipping volume (container and general cargo) of Busan port is sorted into two separate zones. After analyzing the ratio of items that have great potential benefits from using Ro-Ro shipping, we estimate possible shipping volumes using Ro-Ro berth provision. The results reveal that two berths for 20,000t vessels are additionally required to accommodate the estimated volume. Results suggest the construction of an exclusive Ro-Ro berth in Busan port. This would not only accommodate the demand between Korea and Japan, but also provide a way to avoid the lean-to-one-side port policy.

LNG Gas Demand Forecasting in Incheon Port based on Data: Comparing Time Series Analysis and Artificial Neural Network (데이터 기반 인천항 LNG 수요예측 모형 개발: 시계열분석 및 인공신경망 모형 비교연구)

  • Beom-Soo Kim;Kwang-Sup Shin
    • The Journal of Bigdata
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-175
    • /
    • 2023
  • LNG is a representative imported cargo at Incheon Port and has a relatively high contribution to the increase/decrease in overall cargo volume at Incheon Port. In addition, in the view point of nationwide, LNG is the one of the most important key resource to supply the gas and generate electricity. Thus, it is very essential to identify the factors that have impact on the demand fluctuation and build the appropriate forecasting model, which present the basic information to make balance between supply and demand of LNG and establish the plan for power generation. In this study, different to previous research based on macroscopic annual data, the weekly demand of LNG is converted from the cargo volume unloaded by LNG carriers. We have identified the periodicity and correlations among internal and external factors of demand variability. We have identified the input factors for predicting the LNG demand such as seasonality of weekly cargo volume, the peak power demand, and the reserved capacity of power supply. In addition, in order to predict LNG demand, considering the characteristics of the data, time series prediction with weekly LNG cargo volume as a dependent variable and prediction through an artificial neural network model were made, the suitability of the predictions was verified, and the optimal model was established through error comparison between performance and estimates.

Structural Analysis for Ports of Korea-China Car Ferry using Shift Effect Method - Focusing on Incheon Port (전이할당 분석을 이용한 한중카페리 항만의 구조분석에 관한 연구 -인천항을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jinkyu;Yeo, Gitae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.39-58
    • /
    • 2014
  • Korea and China have maintained sea routes between two nations through the shipping conference which was established in May 1993. Due to this effort, the market of Korea-China car ferry on Yellow sea makes growth year by year. The car ferry business has shown fierce competition because it has huge impacts on regional and national level economy. In this respect, the aim of this research is to analyze the structural analysis for ports of Korea-China car ferry using Shift Effect(SE) method. As a results, passengers and cargo volumes of Incheon port continuously transfer to Pyeontaek and Gunsan port. Moreover, absolute growth rate of Incheon port do not reach the potential growth rate. The competitiveness power of Incheon port has lower position compared to Pyeontaek and Gunsan port. The cargo volumes of ports located on western coast of Korea have increased recently, however, passengers and cargo volumes of Incheon port have shown lower increasing rate compared to average of Korean western coast ports. For Incheon port, high value added cargoes which give large profit on port side, have to be attracted. Moreover, Incheon port has to become a specialized port.

Using the Gyeong-in Ara Waterway to Revitalize Coastal Shipping (연안해운 활성화 측면에서의 경인아라뱃길 활용 방안)

  • Lee, Choong-Hyo;Sun, Il-Suck
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.39-57
    • /
    • 2016
  • Many countries are developing transportation technologies aimed at reducing environmental pollution and the environmental burden. For example, environmentally friendly transportation routes and methods are being used to improve inland waterways in Europe. Against this backdrop, a case study was conducted on special cargo (weight cargo, earth and sand, etc.) on Korea's Gyeong-In Ara Waterway, an inland waterway connecting the Han River and the West Sea, serving a distribution function. The results of the analysis showed that coastal shipping could be promoted using the waterway, including a positive synergy among environmental, economic, and social aspects. That is, by shifting from overland transportation to marine transportation, it is possible to reduce environmental pollution, ease traffic congestion, decrease traffic accidents, and shorten the licensing period for the weight cargo demand of the northern area of the Han River. In this respect, the Gyeong-in Ara Waterway could become an environmentally friendly transportation route, promoting coastal shipping in Korea. However, for this to occur, support systems such as subsidies for marine transportation and using the inland waterway are required, as happens in the EU. Furthermore, existing policies to promote coastal shipping should be improved and applied more broadly.

A Study on Forecasting of Air Freight in Korea (우리나라 항공화물 운송수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Min-Sik;Yun, Seung-Jung;Song, Byeong-Heum
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-63
    • /
    • 1997
  • Generally, air freight forecasting model used to major factor GNP(GDP), Yield, Exchange rate, as its independent variables. We studied about the factors that affect to Air Freight in Korea, and we found six affective variables. Those are GNP, Exchange rate, Flight routes, Flight numbers, Sum of dollars Export and import. To find the relationship between the Air Freight and GNP, Exchange rate, Flight routes, Flight numbers, Sum of dollars Export and import we used regression analysis. Through the regression analysis, we found some problems in the model. There are collieneraities between the variables, so we took the variables selection model to choose the best affective variables of air cargo. We have defined the the Korean air freight forecasting model with two variables and forecast far the $1996{\sim}2010$ period were made by using this model.

  • PDF

A Study on Surface Ships Collision Avoidance Based on Collision Prediction (충돌예측 기반 선박 충돌회피모델에 관한 연구)

  • 김창민;김용기;최중락
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
    • /
    • 2002.05a
    • /
    • pp.47-50
    • /
    • 2002
  • 산업이 발달함에 따라 대량의 화물을 빠르게 운반할 수 있는 해상운송수단의 수요가 증가하게 되고 이로 인하여 해상 선박 간 충돌사고가 빈번히 발생하게 되었다 선박 충돌은 주로 조선하는 사람들의 관습, 습관의 차이, 부주의, 판단오류 등의 이유로 발생한다. 연구자들은 선박 충돌을 방지하기 위하여 조선에 관련된 많은 부분을 지능화한 지능형 충돌회피시스템 개발에 노력을 기울이고 있다. 선박을 비롯한 자율운동체의 충돌방지 기법은 비행체, 수중운동체, 자율로봇 등 영역 특성을 달리하는 다양한 분야에서 연구되어오고 있다 기존 연구들의 충돌방지는 주로 장애물의 공간적 특성에 기반하고 있다. 이에 개체의 움직임을 예측하여 시간적 요소를 가미하면 더욱 향상된 충돌방지가 가능하다. 특히, 선박은 느린 운동 특성과 조선법, 규격화된 통신수단의 발달로 인하여 상대편 선박의 이동 예측이 용이하므로 이를 적용하여 보다 향상된 충돌방지가 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 충돌회피기법의 과정에 예측을 추가한 예측기반 충돌회피모형을 제안하고 선박운항환경을 모의실험에 의하여 해당 모형 적용시 충돌회피 경로 산출의 안전성이 크게 개선됨을 보인다.

  • PDF

The presentation of Future food(Spirulina and fermentation) and initialing ceremony and remedial measures to enhance health (차세대식품(스피룰리나의 발효)연구와 기조인식 및 건강증진 개선방안)

  • Jin, Jung-sik;Park, Jung-hwan;Shin, Byong-cheo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
    • /
    • 2011.05a
    • /
    • pp.113-114
    • /
    • 2011
  • 차세대식품으로 주목받고 있는 스피룰리나의 항균성 유산균(Probiotics: Lactobacillus Pentosus) 발효를 통해 얻어지는 항균성 발효스피룰리나의 국민건강증진 방편으로 이를 이용, 소비자 및 수요자의 접근을 용의하기위하며, 주 소비층인 환자, 노약자, 임산부, 어린이층의 Target content의 개발과 발효스피룰리나에 대한 시험결과 즉, 2010년 3월 락토바실러스 펜토수스 K34를 이용해 발효한 결과 발효공정을 통해 락트산; 아세트산; 구연산; 숙신산등의 유기산이 적어도 3종 이상 생성되었으며, 단백질 함량은 10% 이하로 변화를 보이지 않았고, 탄수화물의 거의 분해되어 락트산 및 프로피온산 등의 유기산으로 변화됨에 따라, 개발된 새로운 식품원료의 다양한 식품개발은 건강증진을 위해 소비수요층의 용의한 접근의 한 방편으로, 만화나 일러스트레이션을 이용한 접근을 통한 홍보 전략이 필요하다.

  • PDF

A Study on utilization plan of the multi-purpose freight car (다목적 화차 활용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ick-Hee;Lee, Kye-Seung;Park, Hong-Kyun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2010.06a
    • /
    • pp.1549-1557
    • /
    • 2010
  • Multi-purpose freight car is very useful to overcome the unbalance between freight demand and freight car supply. it means removable container is the auxiliary device to make flat car and container and it will be able to transport the container and flat freight. The study is analyzed the freight car operation frequency and freight volume and researched the efficient operation plan. The multi-purpose freight car will contribute in improved the seasonal and the item demand fluctuation and solved the problem of decrease utilization of the open freight car.

  • PDF