• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수 빈도 분석

Search Result 767, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Effects of Reduced Sediment Dynamics on Fluvial Channel Geomorphology in the Jiseok River (유사계의 역동성 감소가 지석천 충적하도의 지형변화에 미치는 영향)

  • Ock, Gi-Young;Lee, Sam-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.5
    • /
    • pp.445-454
    • /
    • 2012
  • The present study aims to investigate the long-term channel morphological changes derived from channelization, embankment and levee construction works in unregulated fluvial channel of the Jiseock River. Analyses of aerial photographs taken past (Year 1966) and recent (Year 2002) showed the temporally remarkable changes in channel planform such as channel shape, bar migration, vegetation encroachment in bar. During the period, the natural single threading changed into braided types together with decreasing sinuosity by 9.2%, increasing vegetation occupied bar ranged 97% of total bars area. Because such channel morphological changes are closely similar to those in dam downstream channels, we assume that both/either flow regime alteration and/or sediment transport discontinuity may be critical for the fixed channel and spread of vegetated bars even in unregulated river without dam reservoir upstream. We found more reduced frequency and magnitude of flooding water level comparing with past, but no significant alteration of inter annual water level variation. Bed material has been coarsened by 4~5 times and the riverbed has been degraded in overall channel but aggraded locally in conjunction reach of tributaries. The results indicates that reduced sediment dynamics in fluvial channel which derived by bed material coarsening, river bed degradation and unbalanced sediment transport capacity between tributary and mainstem can be a causal factor to trigger channel morphological changes even in unregulated rivers.

Evaluation on the Hydrologic Effects after Applying an Infiltration Trench and a Tree Box Filter as Low Impact Development (LID) Techniques (저영향 개발기법의 침투도랑과 나무여과상자 적용 후 수문학적 효과 평가)

  • Flores, Precious Eureka D.;Maniquiz-Redillas, Marla C.;Tobio, Jevelyn Ann S.;Kim, Lee-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.12-18
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this research, the hydrologic effects between a pre-existing urban landuse and low impact development (LID) applied conditions were compared and evaluated. The infiltration trench and tree box filter that were utilized in LID represent only 1% of the catchment area that they drain. Storm event monitoring were conducted from July 2010 to July 2014 on a total of 22 storm events in both LID sites. After LID, hydrological improvement was observed as the sites exhibited a delay (lag time) or reduction in the magnitude, frequency and duration of runoff and flow peaks as the rainfall progress. In addition, the maximum irreducible peak flow reduction for infiltration trench was found to be 61% and 33% for the tree box filter when rainfall was 40 mm and 30 mm, respectively. In designing LID, it is recommended to consider the storage capacity and catchment area, as well as the amount of rainfall and runoff on the site.

A Study on Improvement of Hydrologic Cycle by Selection of LID Technology Application Area -in Oncheon Stream Basin- (LID 기술 적용 지역 선정에 따른 물순환 개선 연구 -온천천 유역을 대상으로-)

  • Kim, Jae-Moon;Baek, Jong-Seok;Shin, Hyun-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.545-553
    • /
    • 2021
  • The frequency by water disaster in urban areas are increasing continuously due to climate change and urbanization. Countermeasures are being conducted to reduce the damage caused by water disasters. An analysis based on permeability, one of the parameters that affect runoff, is needed to predict quantitative runoff in urban watersheds and study runoff reduction. In this study, the SWAT model was simulated for the oncheon stream basin, a representative urban stream in Busan. The permeability map was prepared by calculating the CN values for each hydrologic response unit. Based on the permeability map prepared, EPA SWMM analyzed the effect of LID technology application on the water cycle in the basin for short-term rainfall events. The LID element technology applied to the oncheon stream basin was rooftop greening in the residential complex, and waterproof packaging was installed on the road. The land cover status of the land selected based on the permeability map and the application of LID technology reduced the outflow rate, peak flow rate, and outflow rate and increased the infiltration. Hence, LID technology has a positive effect on the water cycle in an urban basin.

Evaluation of conceptual rainfall-runoff models for different flow regimes and development of ensemble model (개념적 강우유출 모형의 유량구간별 적합성 평가 및 앙상블 모델 구축)

  • Yu, Jae-Ung;Park, Moon-Hyung;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.2
    • /
    • pp.105-119
    • /
    • 2021
  • An increase in the frequency and intensity of both floods and droughts has been recently observed due to an increase in climate variability. Especially, land-use change associated with industrial structure and urbanization has led to an imbalance between water supply and demand, acting as a constraint in water resource management. Accurate rainfall-runoff analysis plays a critical role in evaluating water availability in the water budget analysis. This study aimed to explore various continuous rainfall-runoff models over the Soyanggang dam watershed. Moreover, the ensemble modeling framework combining multiple models was introduced to present scenarios on streamflow considering uncertainties. In the ensemble modeling framework, rainfall-runoff models with fewer parameters are generally preferred for effective regionalization. In this study, more than 40 continuous rainfall-runoff models were applied to the Soyanggang dam watershed, and nine rainfall-runoff models were primarily selected using different goodness-of-fit measures. This study confirmed that the ensemble model showed better performance than the individual model over different flow regimes.

Water resources planning for the Sesan and Srepok river basin in Vietnam using DSS-2S based on MIKE Hydro Basin (MIKE Hydro Basin 기반 DSS-2S를 활용한 베트남 Sesan 및 Srepok 강 유역 수자원 계획 수립)

  • Choi, Byung Man;Ko, Ick Hwan;Kim, Jeongkon;Pi, Wan Seop;Oh, Yoon Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.43-43
    • /
    • 2021
  • Sesan강과 Srepok강은 베트남, 캄보디아, 라오스가 공유하는 3S강 유역 (Sesan강, Srepok강, Sekong강)의 일부로 국제 공유하천으로 관리되고 있다. 3S강 유역은 Mekong강의 중요한 지류이며 Mekong강 유역의 상당 부분을 구성한다(Mekong강 유역 면적의 10%, 연간 총 유출량의 20%). 베트남에 속해 있는 Sesan강 유역면적은 11,255km2, Srepok강 유역면적은 18,162km2이다. Sesan강과 Srepok강의 상류는 베트남 중부 고원의 긴 산맥에 위치하고 있으며, 하류는 캄보디아에 위치해 있어 상·하류간 긴밀한 협력이 필요하다. Sesan강과 Srepok강 유역은 기후변화에 따른 홍수, 가뭄, 수력발전소 건설로 인한 유출량 변동에 따른 상·하류 분쟁, 사면침식 및 퇴적 등 많은 문제와 도전에 직면할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 World Bank의 "Viet Nam Mekong Integrated Water Resources Management (M-IWRM) Project의 일환으로 베트남 정부 차원에서 처음으로 구축한 수자원관리 의사결정지원시스템인 "DSS-2S"를 활용하여, Sesan-Srepok강 유역의 수자원 계획을 수립하였다. DSS-2S는 MIKE Hydro Basin을 기반으로 SWAT모델 등과 연계 하여 구축되었다. DSS-2S는 2S 유역의 모든 주요 하천과 지류를 반영하였으며. 여기에는 17개의 수력발전 댐과 주요 지류에서 용량이 3백만 m3 이상인 기타 저수지가 포함되었다. 이 보다 작은 용량의 저수지는 대표적인 저수지로 그룹화 되어 반영되었다. 기후변화 및 사회-경제적 발전계획 등을 반영하여, 2030년과 2050년을 목표연도로 생활, 공업, 농업, 관광, 유지용수 등 용수 수요를 추정하였다. 50% 및 85% 빈도의 공급 가능성을 고려하여 물 배분은 물 수요를 충족하고 지하수 개발 최소화를 기준으로 고려되었다. 분석 결과에 의하면 2S강 유역의 총 수자원은 32.2억 m3으로 그중 지표수자원은 29.2억 m3, 안정적으로 이용 가능한 지하수자원은 2.97억 m3으로 분석 되었으며, 지표수와 지하수 연계를 고려하면 전체 2S 강 유역에 물 부족하지는 않으나, 개별 공급 지점을 고려할 때 4월과 5월에 일부 지역에서 물 부족이 나타날 것으로 예측 된다. 장래 물 부족 해결을 위한 대안들을 제시하였으며, 본 성과는 베트남 중앙 정부의 장기수자원 종합계획 수립의 기본 자료로 활용 될 예정이다.

  • PDF

A Study on Selection of Optimal Shelters according to Dam Break Scenario Based on Continuous Rainfall Event (연속호우사상기반의 댐 붕괴 시나리오에 따른 최적대피소 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyunghun;Lim, Jonghun;Kim, Hung Soo;Shin, Soeng Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.43 no.4
    • /
    • pp.433-447
    • /
    • 2023
  • There is a growing demand for the stability of existing dams due to abnormal climate and the aging of dams. Emergency Action Plans (EAPs) for reservoir or dam failure only consider a single rainfall event. Therefore, this study simulates dam failure caused by continuous rainfall events, and proposes the establishment of EAP by selecting the optimal shelters. We define a mega rainfall event scenario caused by continuous rainfall events with 500-year frequency in the Chungju Dam watershed and estimate the mega flood. The mega flood event scenario is divided into two cases: scenario A represents the flooding case caused by discharge release from a dam, while scenario B is the case of a dam break. As a result of flood inundation analysis, the flooded damage area by the scenario A is 50.06 km2 and the area by the scenario B is 6.1 times of scenario A (307.45 km2). We select optimal shelters for each administrative region in the city of Chungju, which has the highest inundation rate in the urban area. Seven shelter evaluation indicators from domestic and foreign shelter selection criteria are chosen, and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method is used to evaluate the alternatives. As a result of the optimal shelter selection, the six shelters are selected and five are schools. This study considers continuous rainfall events for inundation analysis and selection of optimal shelters. Also, the results of this study could be used as a reference for establishment of the EAP.

Application of deep learning method for decision making support of dam release operation (댐 방류 의사결정지원을 위한 딥러닝 기법의 적용성 평가)

  • Jung, Sungho;Le, Xuan Hien;Kim, Yeonsu;Choi, Hyungu;Lee, Giha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.spc1
    • /
    • pp.1095-1105
    • /
    • 2021
  • The advancement of dam operation is further required due to the upcoming rainy season, typhoons, or torrential rains. Besides, physical models based on specific rules may sometimes have limitations in controlling the release discharge of dam due to inherent uncertainty and complex factors. This study aims to forecast the water level of the nearest station to the dam multi-timestep-ahead and evaluate the availability when it makes a decision for a release discharge of dam based on LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) of deep learning. The LSTM model was trained and tested on eight data sets with a 1-hour temporal resolution, including primary data used in the dam operation and downstream water level station data about 13 years (2009~2021). The trained model forecasted the water level time series divided by the six lead times: 1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 18-hours, and compared and analyzed with the observed data. As a result, the prediction results of the 1-hour ahead exhibited the best performance for all cases with an average accuracy of MAE of 0.01m, RMSE of 0.015 m, and NSE of 0.99, respectively. In addition, as the lead time increases, the predictive performance of the model tends to decrease slightly. The model may similarly estimate and reliably predicts the temporal pattern of the observed water level. Thus, it is judged that the LSTM model could produce predictive data by extracting the characteristics of complex hydrological non-linear data and can be used to determine the amount of release discharge from the dam when simulating the operation of the dam.

Clinical Characteristics of Autoimmune Thyroid Disease Developed in Patients with Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (1형 당뇨병 환자에서 갑상선 질환이 발생한 경우의 임상적 특성)

  • Lee, Se Min;Chung, Hye Rim;Hong, Su Young;Shin, Choong Ho;Yang, Sei Won
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
    • /
    • v.48 no.3
    • /
    • pp.292-297
    • /
    • 2005
  • Purpose : It is known that 3-50 percent of type 1 diabetes mellitus(T1DM) patients develop autoimmune thyroid disease. We analyzed the clinical characteristics of autoimmune thyroid disease(AITD) developed in patients with T1DM in Korean. Methods : The medical records of 139 patients, who were followed up in Department of Pediatrics, Seoul National University Children's Hospital from Jan. 1981 to Jul. 2004, were analyzed retrospectively. Results : Forty-four males and 95 females were enrolled. At least one of the autoantibodies for thyroid was positive in 54 cases. The detection rate for AITD was not correlated with sex ratio, control of T1DM, body mass index, age at diagnosis of T1DM, and familial history of thyroid disease, between two groups. In the male group, AITD was more frequently found at a younger age than in the female group. The frequency of AITD was significantly higher in the goiter group without sex differences. In the thyroid disease group, 40 patients(74.0 percent) were euthyroid, seven patients(12.9 percent) were hypothyroid, and seven patients(12.9 percent) were hyperthyroid. Conclusion : We should monitor thyroid function and autoantibodies routinely in T1DM patients who develop goiters, or young boys with T1DM.

Denitrification Potential and Denitrifier Abundance in Downstream of Dams in Temperate Streams (온대지역 댐 하류의 탈질화 능력과 탈질화균 분포)

  • Vo, Nguyen Xuan Que;Lee, Seung-Hoon;Doan, Tuan Van;Jung, Sokhee P.;Kang, Hojeong
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
    • /
    • v.50 no.2
    • /
    • pp.137-151
    • /
    • 2014
  • Various studies have been conducted to investigate effects of dams on river ecosystems, but less information is available regarding damming impacts on downstream denitrification. We measured denitrification enzyme activity (potential denitrification rate) and denitrifier abundances (using nirS, nirK, and nosZ as markers) in dammed headstreams of the Nakdong River in South Korea. Sediments in Phragmites-dominated riparian areas and in-stream areas across streams (dammed vs. reference) with different streambed materials (gravel and sand) were sampled occasionally. We hypothesized that (i) the higher available N and C contents in sediments downstream of dams foster larger denitrifier communities than in the reference system and (ii) differences in potential denitrification rates across the systems correspond with denitrifier abundances. Despite 30 years of different hydrological management with dams and greater inorganic N and DOC contents in sediments downstream of dams, compared to the references, abundances of denitrifier communities and potential denitrification rates within the whole sediment were not significantly different across the systems. However, nirS and nosZ denitrifier abundances and potential denitrification rates were considerably increased in specific sediments downstream of dams (gravelly riparian and sandy in-stream) with regard to flooding events and seasonal temperature variation. nirK was not amplified in all sediments. Canonical correspondence analyses (CCA) revealed that the relationship between abundances of denitrifier communities and nutrient availabilities and potential denitrification rates was a weak one.

Using 3-Dimensional Simulation for Environmently Friendly Road (친환경적도로에 대한 3차원시뮬레이션 적용)

  • Oh Il-Oh;Choi Hyun;Kang In-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
    • /
    • 2006.04a
    • /
    • pp.425-429
    • /
    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 VGIS(Virtual Geographic Information System)을 이용, 환경친화적인 도로건설을 위해 실제 좌표를 사용하므로 3차원 도로의 선형과 구조물을 설계하였다. 그리고 시공 중에 발생 할 수 있는 민원문제 및 설계변경 시 효율적인 의사결정 할 수 있도록 하였다. 대상지역은 전라남도 장흥군의 최대 역점사업인 관광을 테마로 한 정남진 가는 길을 컨셉으로 한 '가고 싶은 길', '보고싶은 다리', 기억하고픈 터널'을 주제로 설계하였으며 명실공히 남도의 새로운 관광명소가 될 자연관광도로가 될 것으로 기대된다. 기존의 3차원 설계에서는 평면적인 선형과 구조물의 형상을 이해하는데 상당한 시간이 소요되었지만, 구조물을 3차원으로 설계함으로써, 비전문가라도 구조물을 쉽게 파악 할 수 있었다. 그리고 3차원 설계는 기존 구조물과 신설될 구조물 사이에 공사 중 발생할 수 있는 환경 및 민원문제를 사전에 파악할 수 있었다. 또한, 실제와 같이 구현된 도로와 구조물의 시뮬레이션을 통하여 기존의 각종 의사 결정에 있어 보다 시각적 효과를 증진시켜 효율적인 의사결정을 가능하게 하였다. 본 연구에서는 실제 평면 설계에 쓰이는 좌표값을 3차원설계에 적용하였다. 도로 노선 및 경관분석에 많은 도움이 될 것으로 보이며 VGIS를 이용하므로 도시계획, 식물, 토양. 수로 또는 도로형태, 홍수계획 등 많은 일들이 평가에 사용된다. 여기서는 구조물 3차원 설계에 관한 기초적인 연구를 시행하였으며, 3차원설계를 통해 의사결정시 효율적인 판단을 할 수 있었고, 환경 친화적 시공 및 설계에 대한 연구가 이루어져야 될 것으로 판단된다.안전관리를 위해 채석장에 안전표지판을 설치하여야 하며, 실내가공 작업장의 자동이동시스템을 작업별로 채색하여 식별을 용이하게 하여야 하겠다. 또한 이 연구 결과를 영세사업장의 산업간호프로그램인 'Clean 3D'사업에서 적용하여 우리나라 채석사업장 근로자 건강관리를 발전시켜야 하겠다. 확장기 혈압에서 RZS와 DAD의 일치도와 평균을 중심으로 더 넓게 퍼져있어 낮은 일치도를 보였으며 또 DAD와 RMS의 혈압치는 숫자 선호도를 볼 수 있는데 특히 RMS는 더 뚜렷하게 나타났는데 확장기 혈압의 최빈치(30.6)는 100mmHg이었다. 혈압치들이 가장 가까이 "0"점으로 치우쳐져 있었다. RZS의 Central tendency는 DAD와 RMS보다 뚜렷하였다. 결론적으로 RZS는 이 연구목적으로 가장 적절함을 보여준다.청소년들의 학교급식에 대한 만족도를 높이기 위해서 다음과 같은 제언을 하고자 한다. 먼저, 학교급식에 대한 식단 작성 시 학생들이 학교에서 제공되기 원하는 식단에 대한 의견을 받고 그 의견에 대한 결과를 게시하여 학생들이 제공되기 원하는 식단을 급식 시 제공하여 학생들이 식단선택에 동참할 수 있는 기회를 주는 것이 바람직하겠다. 또한 영양사는 학급의 반대표와의 정기적인 모임을 가짐으로서 학생들의 불만사항 및 개선 요구사항에대해 서로 의견을 교환하여 설문지조사가 아닌 직접적인 대화를 하여 문제점을 파악하고자 하는 적극적인 자세가 필요하겠다. 특히 아침식사의 결식 빈도가 높았고 이는 급식성과에 부정적인 영향을 줄 뿐 아니라 학교에서 제공하는 음식의 섭취정도에도 영향을 주고 있으므로 학생들에게 학부모와 전담교사 및 학교영양사는 학생들

  • PDF