• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수예측모형

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An Experimental Study on Scour at V-shaped Riffle (V형 여울에서 발생하는 세굴에 관한 실험 연구)

  • Yu, Dae-Young;Park, Jung-Hwan;Woo, Hyo-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.507-520
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    • 2003
  • A V-shaped riffle is an artificial hydraulic structure haying two wings from the streamside with a narrow opening in between. It is usually made of crushed stones or large boulders. It limits channel width and accelerates the flow through the constricted section causing a local scour just downstream. The V-shaped riffle provides with a unique aquatic habitat by forming a pool and sandbars around the pool edge, increasing local morphologic, hydraulic and sedimentological diversity. This study investigates experimentally the scour characteristics of the V-shaped riffle in the sandbed stream and proposes a predictive equation for the scour. Total 45 cases of experiments were conducted to examine the effect of hydraulic factors and configuration of V-shaped riffle on the geometry of scour holes. From the comparison of the experimental results of this study with the predictive equation of spur dike by Breusers and Raudkivi(1991), it is found that their predictive equation of spur dike underestimates the maximum scour depth downstream of the V-shaped riffle. h new predictive equation for the maximum scour depth was developed using the non-dimensional hydraulic and geometrical variables. The parameters used in the proposed equations were determined using the experimental data. The analysis reveals that the scour depth is dependent dominantly on the Froude number at the opening of the V-shaped riffle, while the angle of riffle and the opening width also affect the scour depth. The proposed equation for the scour of V-shaped riffle well agrees with the experimental data. It can be used for estimating the scour of the V-shaped riffle in sandbed streams.

Evaluation of Future Water Deficit for Anseong River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 안성천 유역의 미래 물 부족량 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Wung;Jung, Jaewon;Hong, Seung Jin;Han, Daegun;Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2017
  • The average global temperature on Earth has increased by about $0.85^{\circ}C$ since 1880 due to the global warming. The temperature increase affects hydrologic phenomenon and so the world has been suffered from natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Therefore, especially, in the aspect of water deficit, we may require the accurate prediction of water demand considering the uncertainty of climate in order to establish water resources planning and to ensure safe water supply for the future. To do this, the study evaluated future water balance and water deficit under the climate change for Anseong river basin in Korea. The future rainfall was simulated using RCP 8.5 climate change scenario and the runoff was estimated through the SLURP model which is a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model for the basin. Scenario and network for the water balance analysis in sub-basins of Anseong river basin were established through K-WEAP model. And the water demand for the future was estimated by the linear regression equation using amounts of water uses(domestic water use, industrial water use, and agricultural water use) calculated by historical data (1965 to 2011). As the result of water balance analysis, we confirmed that the domestic and industrial water uses will be increased in the future because of population growth, rapid urbanization, and climate change due to global warming. However, the agricultural water use will be gradually decreased. Totally, we had shown that the water deficit problem will be critical in the future in Anseong river basin. Therefore, as the case study, we suggested two alternatives of pumping station construction and restriction of water use for solving the water deficit problem in the basin.

Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model to Predict Flood Runoff in a Small Mountaineous Watershed (산지 소유역의 홍수유출 예측을 위한 모의발생 수문모형의 개발)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.58-68
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    • 1988
  • Most of the Korean watersheds are mountaineous and consist of various soil types and land uses And seldom watersheds are found to have long term hydrologic records. The SNUA, a hydrologic watershed model was developed to meet the unique characteristics of Korean watershed and simulate the storm hydrographs from a small mountaineous watershed. Also the applicability of the model was tested by comparing the simulated storm hydrographs and the observed from Dochuk watershed, Gwangjugun, Kyunggido The conclusions obtained in this study could be summarized as follows ; 1. The model includes the simulation of interception, evaporation and infiltration for land surface hydrologic cycle on the single storm basis and the flow routing features for both overland and channel systems. 2. Net rainfall is estimated from the continuous computation of water balance at the surface of interception storage accounting for the rainfall intensities and the evaporation losses at each time step. 3. Excess rainfall is calculated by the abstraction of infiltration loss estimated by the Green and Ainpt Model from the net rainfall. 4. A momentum equation in the form of kinematic wave representation is solved by the finite differential method to obtain the runoff rate at the exit of the watershed. 5. The developed SNUA Model is a type of distributed and event model that considers the spatial distribution of the watershed parameters and simulates the hydrograph on a single storm basis. 6. The results of verification test show that the simulated peak flows agree with the observed in the occurence time but have relative enors in the range of 5.4-40.6% in various flow rates and also show that the simulated total runoff have 6.9-32% of relative errors against the observed. 7. To improve the applicability of the model, it was thought that more studies like the application test to the other watersheds of various types or the addition of the other hydrologk components describing subsurface storages are needed.

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Automatic Generation of DEM using LIDAR Data (LiDAR 데이터를 이용한 DEM 자동 생성 기법)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Han, Su-Hee;Yu, Ki-Yun;Kim, Yong-Il;Lee, Byung-Kil
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.4 s.34
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2005
  • DEM is needed for urban modeling, forecasting of floods and the analysis of slope and aspect. It has been generated using digital maps, aerial photos or satellite imageries. Recently, however, many studies on DEM generation from LiDAR data has been conducted because of its efficiency and accuracy. Filtering is said to be the process of making DEM by eliminating non-ground points from LiDAR data. In most researches, some input parameters such as the size of filter are required. The purpose of this investigation is to automatically obtain DEM by eliminating objects of various sizes without the knowledge of the objects' sizes. The experimental results show that most of objects on steep terrain are eliminated by the proposed method.

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DEM Extraction from LiDAR DSM of Urban Area (도시지역 LiDAR DSM으로부터 DEM추출기법 연구)

  • Choi, Yun-Woong;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2005
  • Nowadays, it is possible to construct the DEMs of urban area effectively and economically by LiDAR system. But the data from LiDAR system has form of DSM which is included various objects as trees and buildings. So the preprocess is necessary to extract the DEMs from LiDAR DSMs for particular purpose as effects analysis of man-made objects for flood prediction. As this study is for extracting DEM from LiDAR DSM of urban area, we detected the edges of various objects using edge detecting algorithm of image process. And, we tried mean value filtering, median value filtering and minimum value filtering or detected edges instead of interpolation method which is used in the previous study and could be modified the source data. it could minimize the modification of source data, and the extracting process of DEMs from DSMs could be simplified and automated.

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Estimation of Soil Erosion and Sediment Outflow in the Mountainous River Catchment (산지하천 유역의 토양침식량과 유사유출량 평가)

  • Kim, DongPhil;Kim, JooHun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2014
  • Soil erosion, transportation, and sedimentation by water flow often occur in a stream. This excessive occurrence threatens the safety of hydraulic structures, and aggravates natural disasters like flood. To prevent soil disaster according to the soil erosion, it is necessary to predict accurate sediment outflow primarily. Besides, it is very important to choose appropriate models by basin characteristics, to estimate accurate quantity of related factors, and to acquire available hydrological data. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to estimate soil erosion amount and sediment amount according to rainfall-runoff by using rainfall, discharge, and sediment in the Seolmacheon experimental catchment. And, it proposed sediment delivery ratio of the Seolmacheon catchment by result of studying sediment delivery ratio. Hereafter, this study will estimate sediment delivery ratio by basin characteristics, and formulate the method of estimating soil erosion and sediment outflow in various conditions by applying the results in other catchments.

A Study on the Development of Digital Contents for Land Estimation (토지평가 디지털컨텐츠 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Song Eun-Jee
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2003
  • The problem of the objective adequacy on land estimation has been seriously discussed with the Issue of paradigm conversion on land policy as the economy situation has been worse enough to be confused due to the sale price which could not be predicted in Korea. Especially as the data of the government land value is not recognized as the official one, the separate alternation has been adopted to calculate the value of land compensation or development allotment. Rather it has raised a question in argument that the system of the declared value does not accomplish its basic function properly on the contrary of the original purpose to unify the computation of the government land value. To reconsider the adequacy of government land value, the most crucial factor is to select the items of land estimation reasonably. In addition, it is urgently required to develop the system of digital contents to provide the data of land evaluation which most of people could trust, who are facing of the flood of information through internet.

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Impact of Activation Functions on Flood Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Networks (홍수량 예측 인공신경망 모형의 활성화 함수에 따른 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Jihye;Jun, Sang-Min;Hwang, Soonho;Kim, Hak-Kwan;Heo, Jaemin;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study was to analyze the impact of activation functions on flood forecasting model based on Artificial neural networks (ANNs). The traditional activation functions, the sigmoid and tanh functions, were compared with the functions which have been recently recommended for deep neural networks; the ReLU, leaky ReLU, and ELU functions. The flood forecasting model based on ANNs was designed to predict real-time runoff for 1 to 6-h lead time using the rainfall and runoff data of the past nine hours. The statistical measures such as R2, Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the error of peak time (ETp), and the error of peak discharge (EQp) were used to evaluate the model accuracy. The tanh and ELU functions were most accurate with R2=0.97 and RMSE=30.1 (㎥/s) for 1-h lead time and R2=0.56 and RMSE=124.6~124.8 (㎥/s) for 6-h lead time. We also evaluated the learning speed by using the number of epochs that minimizes errors. The sigmoid function had the slowest learning speed due to the 'vanishing gradient problem' and the limited direction of weight update. The learning speed of the ELU function was 1.2 times faster than the tanh function. As a result, the ELU function most effectively improved the accuracy and speed of the ANNs model, so it was determined to be the best activation function for ANNs-based flood forecasting.

Estimation of roughness coefficient for 1D flow modeling in vegetated channel (식생하도의 1차원 흐름모의를 위한 조도계수 산정)

  • Jiwon Ryu;Un Ji;Eun-kyung Jang;Inhyeok Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.524-524
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    • 2023
  • 하천 내 식생의 분포는 흐름저항의 증가와 수위상승에 큰 영향을 미치는 요소 중 하나이다. 동일한 단면정보를 가졌더라도 식생이 분포하는 하도는 식생이 없는 하도에 비해 흐름저항으로 인해 유속이 현저히 느려져 홍수위 상승을 유발하기 때문이다. 따라서 식생의 종류, 크기, 분포 형태, 잎의 밀도 등에 따라 흐름저항계수를 정량화하며 흐름을 정확히 예측하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 2019년 한국건설기술연구원 하천실험센터에서 진행된 식생하도에 대한 실규모 실험의 조건과 지형정보를 HEC-RAS(Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System) 1차원 수치모형에 입력하고, 식생 패치의 분포를 고려한 Manning's n의 공간적 분포 및 적용방식에 따른 수면 경사 재현 정확도에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 실험은 상단 폭 11 m, 경사 1:2(V:H)의 사다리꼴 단면을 가진 실규모 수로에서 70 m 길이의 구간을 대상으로 진행되었다. 실험 구간 내 6개의 압력식 수위계를 설치해 수위 측정 및 수면 경사 산정을 실행하였다. 실험 조건으로 적용된 인공 식생패치의 분포 및 밀도 조건은 3가지로 큰 패치와 작은 패치로 구성된 조밀한 조건, 단일 패치로 구성된 조밀한 조건, 단일 패치로 구성된 성긴 조건이었으며, 모두 정수(emergent)상태로 진행되었다. 적용된 패치의 형상은 내성천에서 조사된 자연 형태의 식생패치 형태를 참고하였으며, 버드나무 종을 모사하였다. 실험 조건에 따라 유량은 각각 평균 1.5 cms와 2.7 cms로 공급하였으며, 평균 수심은 약 1 m로 측정되었다. 위 실험 내용을 바탕으로 수치모의를 위한 경계조건과 지형정보를 수립하였으며 모의 케이스는 크게 두 가지로, 수로 내 식생의 분포를 종방향으로 고려한 케이스와 횡방향으로 고려하여 조도계수를 적용한 케이스로 분류하였다. 모의에 적용된 조도계수는 실험에서 획득한 데이터와 베르누이 방정식을 활용하여 산정되었으며, 두 케이스에 대한 모의 결과는 실험에서 관측된 수위와 비교하였다. 본 연구에 따르면 여러 개의 식생패치가 정수상태로 존재하는 하천에 대한 1차원 수치모의 시 식생의 분포를 종방향으로 고려하여 하나의 구간조도계수를 적용하는 방식이 종횡단면의 식생패치 위치를 고려한 조도계수를 세분화하여 적용하는 방식에 비해 수위 계산 정확도가 상대적으로 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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Projection of future drought for upland crops based on CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate model (CMIP5 및 CMIP6 기반 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 밭가뭄 전망)

  • Min-Gi Jeon;Won-Ho Nam;Chanyang Sur;Jun-Yeong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.43-43
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 강수량 및 강우패턴이 변화하고 있으며, 기록적인 가뭄이나 홍수와 같은 극한사상의 발생빈도가 점차 증가하고 있다. 국외의 경우 2000년부터 2021년까지 미국 서부 지역에서 극한 가뭄사상이 발생하였으며, 호주에서는 2017년부터 2019년까지 호주 남동부와 뉴사우스웨일스 지역에 극심한 가뭄이 나타났다. 국내의 경우 2000년대에 들어서 가뭄이 국지적으로 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 2022년부터 20023년까지 전라남도 지역에 극심한 가뭄이 발생하였다. CMIP6(Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6)는 기후변화에 관한 정부간 협의체(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC) 6차 평가보고서 (Sixth Assessment Report, AR6)에서 기후 모델 간의 비교와 평가를 위해 설립된 국제 협업 프로젝트로 기후변화를 예측하기 위해 다양한 기후 모델을 사용하여 미래의 기후 시나리오를 제시하였다. SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오는 CMIP6에서 사용되는 미래 사회경제적 발전 경로를 나타내며, 기후변화의 다양한 미래 상황을 평가 및 기후영향을 분석할 수 있다. 국내 논 용수는 주로 저수지와 같은 수리시설물을 통해 공급되는 반면, 밭 용수의 경우 수리시설물로부터 용수를 공급받는 관개전은 일부에 불과하고 대부분의 밭의 경우 용수공급을 강우에 의존하여 가뭄에 더욱 취약한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP5 기후모델 기반 RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오 및 CMIP6 기후모델 기반 SSP 시나리오를 적용하여 미래 기후 데이터를 비교하고자 한다. 또한, 미래 기후변화 시나리오를 토양수분모형을 적용하여 미래 밭가뭄을 전망하고자 한다.

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