• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수경보

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Flood Disaster Prediction and Prevention through Hybrid BigData Analysis (하이브리드 빅데이터 분석을 통한 홍수 재해 예측 및 예방)

  • Ki-Yeol Eom;Jai-Hyun Lee
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2023
  • Recently, not only in Korea but also around the world, we have been experiencing constant disasters such as typhoons, wildfires, and heavy rains. The property damage caused by typhoons and heavy rain in South Korea alone has exceeded 1 trillion won. These disasters have resulted in significant loss of life and property damage, and the recovery process will also take a considerable amount of time. In addition, the government's contingency funds are insufficient for the current situation. To prevent and effectively respond to these issues, it is necessary to collect and analyze accurate data in real-time. However, delays and data loss can occur depending on the environment where the sensors are located, the status of the communication network, and the receiving servers. In this paper, we propose a two-stage hybrid situation analysis and prediction algorithm that can accurately analyze even in such communication network conditions. In the first step, data on river and stream levels are collected, filtered, and refined from diverse sensors of different types and stored in a bigdata. An AI rule-based inference algorithm is applied to analyze the crisis alert levels. If the rainfall exceeds a certain threshold, but it remains below the desired level of interest, the second step of deep learning image analysis is performed to determine the final crisis alert level.

Analysis of the Runoff Characteristics of Small Mountain Basins Using Rainfall-Runoff Model_Danyang1gyo in Chungbuk (강우-유출모형을 활용한 소규모 산지 유역의 유출특성 분석_충북 단양1교)

  • Hyungjoon Chang;Hojin Lee;Kisoon Park;Seonggoo Kim
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.24 no.12
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2023
  • In this study, runoff characteristics analysis was conducted as a basic research to establish a forecasting and warning system for flood risk areas in small mountainous basins in South Korea. The Danyang 1 Bridge basin located in Danyang-gun, Chungcheongbuk-do was selected as the study basin, and the watershed characteristic factors were calculated using Q-GIS based on the digital elevation model (DEM) of the basin. In addition, nine heavy rainfall events were selected from 2020 to 2023 using hydrometeorological data provided by the National Water Resources Management Comprehensive Information System. HEC-HMS rainfall-runoff model was used to analyze the runoff characteristics of small mountainous basins, and rainfall-runoff model simulation was performed by reflecting 9 heavy rainfall events and calculated basin characteristic factors. Based on the rainfall-runoff model, parameter optimization was performed for six heavy rain events with large error rates among the simulated events, and the appropriate parameter range for the Danyang 1 Bridge basin, a small mountainous basin, was calculated to be 0.8 to 3.4. The results of this study will be utilized as foundational data for establishing flood forecasting and warning systems in small mountainous basin, and further research will be conducted to derive the range of parameters according to basin characteristics.

Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Extended Sewer Surcharge on Anyangcheon Watershed Using PCSWMM (PCSWMM 모형을 이용한 안양천 유역에서 내수침수의 시간적.공간적 해석)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Kim, Sung-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1150-1155
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    • 2006
  • 대부분의 도시지역은 불투수면적 비율이 상당히 높은 특징으로 인한 유출용적 및 첨두유출량의 증가와 외수위보다 낮은 지반고의 지형학적 특징으로 인한 내수배제의 불량으로, 저지대의 침수위험도가 상당히 높다. 이러한 이유로, 빈도별 설계홍수량을 산정하여 침수위험지역을 파악하고 관리하는 공간적인 치수관리가 이루어지고 있지만, 효율적인 치수관리를 위해서는 공간적인 측면뿐 아니라, 침수위험지역 내 침수발생의 시간적인 측면도 고려하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 침수위험지역 내 내수침수발생에 대하여 공간적.시간적으로 살펴보고, 내수침수발생 위험지역 및 우선관리지역을 선정하였다. 대상유역으로는 안양천 유역에서 대부분의 침수가 발생하는 서울시에 포함된 안양천 하류유역으로 하였다. 서울시에 포함된 안양천 하류지역에서 내수침수발생의 주원인으로는 외수위보다 낮은 지반고와 배수계통의 통수능력 부족으로 나타나고 있어, 이들 지역의 침수위험지역을 파악하기 위해 하도 및 관거의 유출해석에 우수한 SWMM 모형의 EXTRAN block을 이용하여 모의를 실시하고 맨홀이 월류되는 지역을 내수침수 위험지역으로 선정하였다. 각 빈도별 지속시간별 모의결과, 목감천 하류부의 고척 1동, 신월 1동, 화곡 2동, 도림천과 봉천천, 대방천이 만나는 구로동, 대림 1동, 대방동에서 침수가 발생하기 시작하였다. 이들 지역은 또한 10년에서 30년 빈도별 모의에서도 모두 침수위험이 높은 지역으로 선정되어, 우선관리지역으로 선정하였다. 우선관리지역의 선정은 홍수예.경보 측면에서는 주민의 신속한 대피와 같은 홍수대처능력과 치수관리측면에서는 소요되는 자원의 효율적 배분을 기대할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 대상으로 홍수범람모의시스템을 구축하여 분석결과를 피해지역주민 및 관련기관 실무자들에게 제공함으로써 시간과 공간에 구애받지 않는 재해관리와 신속한 재해 상황 대처가 가능해 질 것으로 사료된다.는 또 다른 형태의 주제도라고 볼 수 있으며, 이를 구축하기 위해서는 자료변환 및 가공이 필요하다. 즉, 각 상습침수지구에 필요한 지형도는 국립지리원에서 제작된 1:5,000 수치지형도가 있으나 이는 자료가 방대하고 상습침수지구에 필요하지 않은 자료들을 많이 포함하고 있으므로 상습침수지구의 데이터를 인터넷을 통해 서비스하기 위해서는 많은 불필요한 레이어의 삭제, 서비스 속도를 고려한 데이터의 일반화작업, 지도의 축소.확대 등 자료제공 방식에 따른 작업 그리고 가시성을 고려한 심볼 및 색채 디자인 등의 작업이 수반되어야 하며, 이들을 고려한 인터넷용 GIS기본도를 신규 제작한다. 상습침수지구와 관련된 각종 GIS데이타와 각 기관이 보유하고 있는 공공정보 가운데 공간정보와 연계되어야 하는 자료를 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 효율적으로 관리하기 위해서는 단계별 구축전략이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 상습침수구역관련 정보를 검색, 처리 및 분석할 수 있는 상습침수 구역 종합정보화 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.N, 항목에서 보 상류가 높게 나타났으나, 철거되지 않은 검전보나 안양대교보에 비해 그 차이가 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상

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Development and Evaluation of Computational Method for Korean Threshold Runoff (국내 유역특성을 반영한 한계유출량 산정기법 개발 및 평가)

  • Cho, Bae-Gun;Ji, Hee-Sook;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.11
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    • pp.875-887
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate a Korean threshold runoff computation method. The selected study area is the Han-River basin and the stream channels in the study area are divided into 3 parts; natural channel and artificial manmade channel for small mountainous catchments, and main channel for master stream. The threshold runoff criteria for small streams is decided to 0.5 m water level increase from the channel bottom, which is the level that mountain climbers and campers successfully escape from natural flood damage. Threshold runoff values in natural channel of small mountainous area are computed by the results from the regional regression analysis between parameters of basin and stream channel, while those in artificial channel of small mountainous area are obtained from the data of basin and channel characteristics parameter. On the other hand, the threshold runoff values for master channel are used the warning flood level that is useful information for escaping guideline for riverside users. For verification of the threshold runoff computation method proposed in this study, three flash flood cases are selected and compared with observed values, which is obtained from SCS effective rainfall computation. The 1, 3, 6-hour effective rainfall values are greater than the corresponding threshold runoff values represents that the proposed computation results are reasonable.

The Estimation of IDF Curve Considering Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 IDF곡선 추정방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kyoung, Min-Soo;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Hyung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.774-779
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    • 2007
  • IDF 곡선은 전통적으로 지점에서의 과거 관측 강우량 시계열 자료를 수집하여 작성하여 왔으며, 이때 과거 강우량 자료는 정상성을 지니고 있고 미래를 대변한다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 그러나 이미 많은 연구자들에 의해 기후변화가 전구적으로 발생하고 있으며 우리나라에서도 더 이상 기후변화의 사실여부는 이제 더이상 논란 꺼리가 아니다. 특히, 기후변화의 영향을 직접적으로 받을 수밖에 없는 수자원 분야에서는 1990년대부터 잦은 홍수와 가뭄의 반복으로 곤란을 겪고 있다. 특히, 우리나라는 협소한 국토면적과 과다한 인구로 토지나 수자원 등 국토자원 이용의 강도가 다른 나라에 비하여 현저하게 높기 때문에 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화와 같은 약간의 기후변동으로도 심각한 문제가 발생할 가능성이 내포되어 있다. 특히, 기후변화는 유역 규모의 강우 발생 패턴과 강우량의 증가 및 감소에 영향을 미치게 되며 이로 인해 강우 시계열 자료는 비정상성과 경향성을 지니게 된다. 그러나 지금까지는 IDF 곡선의 작성시 강우의 경향성을 무시해 왔다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화가 IDF 곡선에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 GCM 기후변화 시나리오를 이용하여 IDF 곡선을 작성하였다. 이를 위하여 먼저, YONU CGCM의 제한실험과 점증실험을 실시하여 전구적 규모의 기후변화 시나리오를 작성하였으며, 통계학적 축소기법과 추계학적 일기발생기법을 이용하여 대상지점의 일 수문기상 시계열을 모의하였다. 그리고 BLRP(Bartlett Lewis Rectangular Pulse) 모형과 분해(koutsoyiannis, 2000) 기법을 이용하여 모의된 일 강우 자료를 시자료로 분해하였으며 이를 이용하여 IDF 곡선을 작성하였다. 그 결과, 기후변화 시 지속기간별 재현기간별 강우량이 현재에 크게 비해 증가됨을 확인할 수 있었다.으며 여러명이 동시에 서버에 접속을 하기 때문에 컴퓨터에 부하가 많이 걸리는 모델링이나 복잡한 분석은 실시하기 어려우며, 대용량 데이터를 전송할 수 있는 대역폭이 확보 되어야 한다. 또한, Internet 환경으로 개발을 해야되기 때문에 데스크탑용 GIS에 비해 개발속도가 느리며 개발 초기비용이 많이 들게 된다. 하지만, 네트워크 기술의 발달과 모바일과의 연계 등으로 이러한 약점을 극복할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 인터넷 GIS를 이용하여 홍수재해 정보를 검색, 처리, 분석, 예경보할 수 있는 홍수방재정보 시스템을 구축토록 하였다.비해 초음파 감시하 치골상부 방광천자가 정확하고 안전한 채뇨법으로 권장되어야 한다고 생각한다.應裝置) 및 운용(運用)에 별다른 어려움이 없고, 내열성(耐熱性)이 강(强)하므로 쉬운 조건하(條件下)에서 경제적(經濟的)으로 공업적(工業的) 이용(利用)에 유리(有利)하다고 판단(判斷)되어진다.reatinine은 함량이 적었다. 관능검사결과(官能檢査結果) 자가소화(自家消化)시킨 크릴간장은 효소(酵素)처리한 것이나 재래식 콩간장에 비하여 품질 면에서 손색이 없고 저장성(貯藏性)이 좋은 크릴간장을 제조(製造)할 수 있다는 결론을 얻었다.이 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.에 착안하여 침전시 슬러지층과 상등액의 온도차를 측정하여 대사열량의 발생량을 측정하고 슬러지의 활성을 측정할 수 있는 방법을 개발하였다.enin과 Rhaponticin의 작용(作用)에 의(依)한 것이며, 이는 한의학(韓醫學) 방제(方劑) 원리(原理)인 군신좌사(君臣佐使) 이론(理論)에서 군약(君藥)이 주증(主症)에 주(主)로 작용(作用)하는 약물(藥物)이라는 것을 밝혀주는 것이라고 사료(思料)된다.일전 $13.447\;{\mu}g/hr/g$, 섭취 7일중 $8.123

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The Applicability Assesment of the Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Using Translation Model (이류모델을 활용한 초단시간 강우예측의 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Seong-Sim;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.8
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    • pp.695-707
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    • 2010
  • The frequency and size of typhoon and local severe rainfall are increasing due to the climate change and the damage also increasing from typhoon and severe rainfall. The flood forecasting and warning system to reduce the damage from typhoon and severe rainfall needs forecasted rainfall using radar data and short-term rainfall forecasting model. For this reason, this study examined the applicability of short-term rainfall forecast using translation model with weather radar data to point out that the utilization of flood forecasting in Korea. This study estimated the radar rainfall using Least-square fitting method and estimated rainfall was used as initial field of translation model. The translation model have verified accuracy of forecasted radar rainfall through the comparison of forecasted radar rainfall and observed rainfall quantitatively and qualitatively. Almost case studies showed that accuracy is over 0.6 within 4 hours leading time and mean of correlation coefficient is over 0.5 within 1 hours leading time in Kwanak and Jindo radar site. And, as the increasing the leading time, the forecast accuracy of precipitation decreased. The results of the calculated Mean Area Precipitation (MAP) showed forecast rainfall tend to be underestimated than observed rainfall but the correlation coefficient more than 0.5. Therefore it showed that translation model could be accurately predicted the rainfall relatively. The present results indicate that possibility of translation model application of Korea just within 2 hours leading forecasted rainfall.

LSTM Prediction of Streamflow during Peak Rainfall of Piney River (LSTM을 이용한 Piney River유역의 최대강우시 유량예측)

  • Kareem, Kola Yusuff;Seong, Yeonjeong;Jung, Younghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2021
  • Streamflow prediction is a very vital disaster mitigation approach for effective flood management and water resources planning. Lately, torrential rainfall caused by climate change has been reported to have increased globally, thereby causing enormous infrastructural loss, properties and lives. This study evaluates the contribution of rainfall to streamflow prediction in normal and peak rainfall scenarios, typical of the recent flood at Piney Resort in Vernon, Hickman County, Tennessee, United States. Daily streamflow, water level, and rainfall data for 20 years (2000-2019) from two USGS gage stations (03602500 upstream and 03599500 downstream) of the Piney River watershed were obtained, preprocesssed and fitted with Long short term memory (LSTM) model. Tensorflow and Keras machine learning frameworks were used with Python to predict streamflow values with a sequence size of 14 days, to determine whether the model could have predicted the flooding event in August 21, 2021. Model skill analysis showed that LSTM model with full data (water level, streamflow and rainfall) performed better than the Naive Model except some rainfall models, indicating that only rainfall is insufficient for streamflow prediction. The final LSTM model recorded optimal NSE and RMSE values of 0.68 and 13.84 m3/s and predicted peak flow with the lowest prediction error of 11.6%, indicating that the final model could have predicted the flood on August 24, 2021 given a peak rainfall scenario. Adequate knowledge of rainfall patterns will guide hydrologists and disaster prevention managers in designing efficient early warning systems and policies aimed at mitigating flood risks.

Urban Runoff Network Flow Velocity Monitoring System Using Ubiquitous Technique and GIS (Ubiquitous 기술과 GIS를 이용한 도시배수관망 유속측정 시스템 개발)

  • Choi, Changwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.479-486
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    • 2010
  • Reliable hydrologic data acquisition is the basic and essential requirement for efficient water management. Especially the acquisition of various stream data in a certain location is very important to construct on alarm system to response an urban flood which occurs frequently due to the effect of climate change. Although the frequency of stream inundation flood occurrence becomes low owing to the consistent stream improvement, the urban flood due to the drainage system problems such as deterioration and bad management occurs continuously. The consistent management and current status understanding of the urban drainage system is essential to reduce the urban flood. The purpose of this study is to develop the urban runoff network flow velocity monitoring system which has the capability of collecting stream data whenever, wherever and to whomever without expert knowledge using Code Division Multiple Access technique and Bluetooth near-distance wireless communication technique. The urban runoff network flow velocity monitoring system consists of three stages. In the first stage, the stream information obtained by using ubiquitous floater is transferred to the server computer. In the second stage, the current state of the urban drainage system is assessed through the server computer. In the last stage, the information is provided to the user through a GUI. As a result of applying, the developed urban runoff network flow velocity monitoring system to Woncheon-Stream in Suwon, the information necessary for urban drainage management can be managed in real time.

Appraisal of spatial characteristics and applicability of the predicted ensemble rainfall data (강우앙상블 예측자료의 공간적 특성 및 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyeop;Seong, Yeon-Jeong;Kim, Gyeong-Tak;Jeong, Yeong-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.1025-1037
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    • 2020
  • This study attempted to evaluate the spatial characteristics and applicability of the predicted ensemble rainfall data used for heavy rain alarms. Limited area ENsemble prediction System (LENS) has 13 rainfall ensemble members, so it is possible to use a probabilistic method in issuing heavy rain warnings. However, the accessibility of LENS data is very low, so studies on the applicability of rainfall prediction data are insufficient. In this study, the evaluation index was calculated by comparing one point value and the area average value with the observed value according to the heavy rain warning system used for each administrative district. In addition, the accuracy of each ensemble member according to the LENS issuance time was evaluated. LENS showed the uncertainty of over or under prediction by member. Area-based prediction showed higher predictability than point-based prediction. In addition, the LENS data that predicts the upcoming 72-hour rainfall showed good predictive performance for rainfall events that may have an impact on a water disaster. In the future, the predicted rainfall data from LENS are expected to be used as basic data to prepare for floods in administrative districts or watersheds.

Cause Analysis and Improvement Suggestion for Flood Accident in Dorimcheon - Focused on the Tripping and Isolation Accidents (도림천에서 발생한 고립 및 실족사고의 원인분석을 통한 개선방안 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Su;Jeon, Jong-Hyeong;Kim, Tai-Hoon;Kim, Hyunju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the causes of flood accidents, such as isolation and lost footing accidents in Dorimcheon, to provide legal and institutional improvements. For cause analysis, Field Investigation, Stakeholder Interview, Report, manual, Law et al. Review, Analysis of water level change characteristics, automatic alarm issuance standard level analysis, and evacuation time according to river control were evaluated. Dorimcheon has the characteristics of a typical urban river, which is disadvantageous in terms of water control. In addition, the risk of flood accidents is high because the section where fatal accidents occur forms sharply curved channels. Tripping and isolation accidents occur in the floodplain watch and evacuation stage, which is the stage before the flood watch and warning is issued. Because floodplain evacuation is issued only when the water level rises to the floodplain, an immediate response according to the rainfall forecast is essential. Furthermore, considering that the rate of water level rise is up to 2.62 cm/min in Sillimgyo 3 and Gwanakdorimgyo, sufficient evacuation time is not secured after the floodplain watch is issued. Considering that fatal accidents occurred 0.46 m below the standard water level for the flood watch, complete control is very important, such as blocking the entry of rivers to prevent accidents. Based on these results, four improvement measures were suggested, and it is expected to contribute to the prevention of Tripping and Isolation Accidents occurring in rivers.