• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.5 no.1 s.9
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• pp.1-12
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• 2006

In order to estimate a dynamic origin and destination demand between on and off-ramps in the freeways, a traffic flow theory can be used to calculate a link distribution proportion of traffics moving between them. We have developed a dynamic traffic estimation model based on the three-phase traffic theory (Kerner, 2004), which explains the complexity of traffic phenomena based on phase transitions among free-flow, synchronized flow and moving jam phases, and on their complex nonlinear spatiotemporal features. The developed model explains and estimates traffic congestion in terms of speed breakdown, phase transition and queue propagation. We have estimated the link, on and off-ramp volumes at every time interval by using traffic data collected from vehicle detection systems in Korea freeway sections. The analyzed results show that the developed model describes traffic flows adequately.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.3 s.74
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• pp.159-166
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• 2004

The capacity concept presented in the Highway Capacity Manual is for steady-state traffic flow assuming that there is no restriction in downstream flowing, which is traditionally used for planning, design, and operational analyses. In the congested traffic condition, the control objective should be to keep the congested regime from growing and to recover the normal traffic condition as soon as possible. In this control case, it is important to predict the spatial-temporal pattern of congestion evolution or dissipation and to estimate the throughput reduction according to the spatial-temporal pattern. In this context, the new concept of dynamic capacity for managing congested traffic is developed in terms of spatial-temporal evolution of downstream traffic congestion and in view of the 'input' concept assuming that flow is restricted by downstream condition rather than the 'output' concept assuming that there is no restriction in downstream flowing (e.g. the mean queue discharge flow rate). This new capacity is defined as the Maximum Sustainable Throughput that is determined based on the spatial-temporal evolution pattern of downstream congestion. And the spatial-temporal evolution pattern is estimated using the Newell's simplified q-k model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.99-109
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• 2004

Most traffic congestion on a freeway occurs in the merge area, where conflicts between mainline traffic and on-ramp traffic are frequently generated. So far, research on the merge area has mainly dealt with free flow traffic and research on the congested traffic at the merge area is rare. This study investigates the relationships between mainline traffic and on-ramp traffic at three different segments of the merge area. For this purpose, new indicators based on such traffic variables as flow, speed, and density are used. The results show that a negative relationship exists between mainline and on-ramp flow. It is also found that the speed and the density of the right two lanes in the mainline traffic are significantly affected by the on-ramp flow. Based on the correlation analysis of the indicators, it is confirmed that the ramp influence area is the right two lanes of the freeway mainline. The revealed relationships between mainline and on-ramp traffic may help to analyze the capacity of the downstream freeway segment of the merging area in congested traffic. The findings of this studyalso provide a basis to develop a model that estimates the merge traffic volume in congested traffic, which is neither theoretically nor empirically sound in most other traffic flow models developed so far.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.107-107
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• 2001

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10b
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• pp.297-297
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• 1998

고속도로의 교통혼잡을 관리하기 위해서는 근본적으로 혼잡지점 상류부의 진입교통량을 제어해야 한다. 이를 위한 효과적인 램프미터링 운영전략이나 고속도로 교통정보제공방안을 수립하기 위해서는 혼잡영향권(대기행렬길이)에 관한 신뢰성 있는 데이터가 반드시 필요하다. 고속도로의 대기행렬길이를 산정하기 위해 일반적으로 충격파이론과 Queueing이론을 제시하고 있다. 그러나, 기존의 충격파 이론을 포물선형의 교통량-밀도관계식을 근거로 하고 있어 충격파간에 발생하는 부수적인 충격파를 해석하는 과정이 수학적으로 불가능하여 실질적인 목적으로 사용할 수 없음은 이미 잘 알고 있는 사실이다. 최근에 이러한 한계를 극복할 수 있는 새로운 방법으로 교통량 밀도간의 관계식을 삼각형으로 가정하고 교통량 대신에 누적교통량을 사용하는 Simplified Theory of Kinematic Waves In Highway Traffic이 개발(Newell, 1993)되었지만, 이 방법을 적용하기 위해서는 기본적으로 대상 고속도로 구간의 교통량-밀도관계식을 규명해야 하는 어려움이 있다.(사실 실시간으로 밀도데이터를 수집하기란 불가능하다.) Queueing이론에서 제시하는 대기행렬은 모두 대기차량이 병목지점에 수직으로 정렬하여 도로를 점유하지 않는 Point Queue(혹은 Vertical stack Queue)로서 실제로 도로상에 정렬된 대기행렬(Real Physical Queue)과는 전혀 다르다. 이미 입증된 바 있어, Queueing이론을 이용함은 타당성이 없다. 이러한 사실에 근거하여 본 연구는 고속도로 대기행렬길이를 산정할 수 있는 모형개발을 위한 기초연구로서 혼잡상태의 연속류 특성을 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해, 본 연구에서는 서울시 도시고속도로에서 수집한 실제 데이터를 이용하여 진입램프지점의 혼잡상태에서 대기행렬의 증가 또는 감소하는 과정을 분석하였다. 주요 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 1. 혼잡초기의 대기행렬은 다른 혼잡시기에 비해 상대적으로 급속한 속도로 증가함. 2. 혼잡초기의 대기행렬의 밀도는 다른 혼잡시기에 비해 비교적 낮음. 3. 위의 두 결과는 서로 관계가 있으며, 혼잡시 운전자의 행태(차두간격)과 혼잡기간중에도 변화함을 의미함. 4. 교통변수 중에서 대기행렬길이를 산정하는데 적합한 교통변수를 교통량과 밀도로 판단됨. 5. Queueing이론에서 제시하는 대리행렬길이 산정방법인 대기차량대수$\times$평균차두간격은 대기행렬내 밀도가 일정하지 않아 부적합함을 재확인함. 6. 혼잡초기를 제외한 혼잡기간 중 대기행렬길이는 밀도데이터 없이도 혼잡 상류부의 도착교통량과 병목지점 본선통과교통량만을 이용하여 추정이 가능함. 7. 이상에 연구한 결과를 토대로, 고속도로 대기행렬길이를 산정할 수 있는 기초적인 도형을 제시함.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.2D
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• pp.113-118
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• 2010

This paper presents an analysis of the instability phenomenon on motorways, with the aim of arriving at the definition of a control strategy suitable for keeping the flow stable. By using some results of the motorway reliability theory, a relationship and some flow characteristics is obtained, which shows that the existence of a reliability threshold critical for flow stability. The macroscopic flow characteristics corresponding to this threshold are very different in different situations, so that this control of flow stability requires the analysis of speed and density microscopic process surveyed on a cross section of the motorway carriage ways to be controlled. A method is presented, based on integrated moving average(IMA) analysis in real time of these processes, by which it is possible to detect the approach of instability before its effects become manifest, and to single out the proper control strategy in different situations.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.10a
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• pp.71-73
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• 2013

선박 및 VTS에서 선박교통량이 밀집되는 혼잡해역의 선박교통밀도 평가는 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 선박 충돌 회피를 위한 적절한 반경인 Ship Domain 영역과 혼잡구역 내 선박 체류시간 및 전 방위 통항류를 고려하여 혼잡해역의 항로가동률 및 실시간 해상교통밀도 산출 모델을 제안하고자 한다. 또한 제안된 모델식을 기반으로 시뮬레이터를 프로그래밍하여, 실 해역 해상교통 데이터를 적용하여 제안한 모델식의 유효성을 평가하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 2002.02a
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• pp.81-96
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• 2002

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.45-52
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• 2010

The objective of this paper is to develop and apply a method that estimates the amount of traffic congestion (vehicle hours of delay) caused by traffic accidents that occur on freeways in Korea. A key feature of this research is the development of a method to separate the non- recurrent delay from any recurrent delay that is present on the road at the time and place of a reported accident. The main idea to separate these two delays is to use the speed difference between speed under accident condition and speed under normal flow condition. For the case study application, two datasets were combined to accomplish the objective of the study: (1) accident data and (2) traffic flow data. Eventually, the results can be useful for the performance evaluation of accident reduction program, for strategic plans to cope with congestion caused by traffic accidents, and for rectification of the estimation method for traffic congestion costs.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.179-191
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• 1999

To device effective freeway traffic flow control strategies and freeway traffic information dissemination strategies, it is very important to estimate real physical queue length on the freeway. Shock wave theory and queueing theory have limitation to be used to estimate the queue length. The primary objective of this study is to develop a reliable method for estimating the physical queue length and level of congestion. Queueing propagation processes were analysed by using such traffic data as main line traffic volume, ramp volume, density. speed, and physical queue length collected by video photographing on Olympic Freeway. As a result of analysis, it has been confirmed that the real queue length can be estimated by using the traffic counts arriving the congested region and passing a bottleneck location. Further more, a reliable method for estimating the level of congestion could be developed on the basis of real-time traffic counts.