• Title/Summary/Keyword: 향후전망

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A Flexible Mobile-Geofence to support Connected-Cars Technology (커넥티드 카 기술을 지원하는 가변적 모바일 지오펜스)

  • Eom, Young-Hyun;Choi, Young-Keun;Yoo, HyunMi;Cho, Sungkuk;Jeon, Byungkook
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2017
  • The existing geofences provide only context-awareness service for entering or leaving the set region when a user sets a virtual region for his/her PoI(Point of Interest). Applying the mobile-geofence technology to the connected car technology, which is attracting attention as a next generation technology, it is possible to provide application service without additional infrastructure construction cost However, to do this, we need to expand and improve the functions of traditional geofence. In this paper, we propose and implement a flexible mobile-geofence in which the radii of each geofence applied to vehicles is changed according to context-aware in order to support connected cars technology based on the previously studied mobile three-dimensional geofence system. The proposed flexible mobile-geofence shows experimentally that the region of the geofence is changed according to context-aware of itself and its surroundings after applying a flexible decision algorithm by the flexible factor analysis. In the future, we are expected that the flexible mobile-geofence proposed in this paper will be applied not only to connected-cars technology but also to the application technology of V2X(Vehicle to Everything) for safe and efficient vehicle operation.

Current Status and Future Challenges of the National Population Projection in South Korea Concerning Super-Low Fertility Patterns (국제비교를 통해 바라본 한국의 장래인구추계 현황과 전망)

  • Jun, Kwang-Hee;Choi, Seul-Ki
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.85-111
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    • 2010
  • South Korea has experienced a rapid fertility decline and notable mortality improvement. As the drop in TFR was quicker and greater in terms of tempo and magnitude, it cast a new challenge of population projection - how to improve the forecasting accuracy in the country with a super-low fertility pattern. This study begin with the current status of the national population projection as implemented by Statistics Korea by comparing the 2009 interim projection with the 2006 official national population projection. Secondly, this study compare the population projection system including projection agencies, projection horizons, projection intervals, the number of projection scenarios, and the number of assumptions on fertility, mortality and international migration among super-low fertility countries. Thirdly we illustrate a stochastic population projection for Korea by transforming the population rates into one parameter series. Finally we describe the future challenges of the national population projection, and propose the projection scenarios for the 2011 official population projection. To enhance the accuracy, we suggest that Statistics Korea should update population projections more frequently or distinguish them into short-term and long-term projections. Adding more than four projection scenarios including additional types of "low-variant"fertility could show a variety of future changes. We also expect Statistics Korea topay more attention to the determination of a base population that should include both national and non-national populations. Finally we hope that Statistics Korea will find a wise way to incorporate the ideas underlying the system of stochastic population projection as part of the official national population projection.

The Risk Analysis of Flood in Nakdong-river Basin-Focused on the Effect of Hydraulic Structure (수공구조물 영향을 고려한 낙동강 유역에서의 홍수 위험 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Jung;Moon, Bo-Ram;Bae, Sung-Hwan;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.608-608
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    • 2012
  • 현재 기후변화의 기상변동성이 커짐에 따라 태풍 및 집중호우 등의 이상기후 현상이 전 지구상에 걸쳐 광역적으로 나타나고 있다. IPCC에서는 이러한 기후변화가 기온 상승에 따른 증발산량의 증가, 강수량 및 유출량의 시공간적 분포의 변동 등을 초래하여 수자원의 효율적 관리 및 안정적인 공급에 어려움을 증대시킬 것으로 전망하였다. 뿐만 아니라 현재 국내 전반에 걸쳐 4대강 사업이 진행되고 있고, 낙동강에서도 낙동강 살리기 사업이 실시되어 주변 지형들의 변화가 진행되고 있다. 이러한 지형의 변화는 현재까지 구축되어 있는 기존자료의 대폭적인 변화를 의미하므로 홍수관련 연구결과에도 변화를 의미하고 있다. 이에 따라 4대강 사업 이후의 기후 변화에 따른 낙동강유역에서의 유출량의 증가를 분석하여 극한홍수의 발생가능성을 제시하고 이러한 극한홍수발생에 따른 위험지역도 과거에 의해 변경될 것으로 판단되어 국내외적으로 하천의 수리검토에 널리 사용되고 있는 1차원 수리해석 프로그램인 FLDWAV를 이용하여 취약지점을 분석하고 위험도를 분석하고자 한다. 낙동강 살리기 사업으로 낙동강에 건설된 8개의 보를 고려한 본류 및 지류에서의 제내지 및 제외지 지형데이터를 구축하고 구축된 자료을 이용해 낙동강 본류 및 지류에 대해서 극한홍수시 200년 빈도, 500년 빈도 홍수량 및 홍수위를 FLDWAV를 통해 정상류로 계산해서 예측하고 500년 빈도 홍수량과 홍수위를 부정류로 계산하여 제방고와 홍수위를 비교하여 범람위험지역을 선정하였다. 그리고 그 결과를 통해 GIS를 통하여 범람위험지역 제내지의 주요도심 구간 포함, 범람 범위를 분석함과 동시에 극한홍수에 따른 도심구간, 비도시구간 등의 범람범위를 분석하였다. 또한 선정한 범람위험지역의 범람 피해규모를 산정하고 피해범위의 현황을 파악하였다. 연구의 결과는 다음과 같이 나타났다. 500년 빈도 홍수시 범람위험지역은 낙동강 본류의 하류부에서 각각 154.7km, 123.2km, 12.9km에 위치한 지점이 선정되었으며 각 지점의 피해규모는 제내지에 범람된 유출량의 수위는 각각 21.7m, 24.3m, 2.11m로 계산되었고 이때의 피해면적은 각각 $2.68km^2$, $2.64km^2$, $1.25km^2$로 나타났다. 이 결과는 기후변화로 인한 극한홍수 발생 가능성과 취약지점의 분석을 통한 지역의 홍수피해 저감과 정책개발에 기본 자료로 활용될 것이며 낙동강 살리기 사업으로 인한 하천주변 지형의 변화를 제공함으로서 앞으로 진행될 연구의 기본 자료로서 이용가능 할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 이전의 홍수방어계획을 개선한 새로운 홍수방어계획의 수립을 통하여 향후 발생될 홍수의 예방 및 대응방안 수립의 참고자료로 이용될 것이며 제내지 및 제외지의 공간확보 연구를 통해 해당 지자체의 토지매수계획의 참고자료로 이용 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Recent Technological Advances in Optical Instruments and Future Applications for in Situ Stable Isotope Analysis of CH4 in the Surface Ocean and Marine Atmosphere (표층해수 내 용존 메탄 탄소동위원소 실시간 측정을 위한 광학기기의 개발 및 활용 전망)

  • PARK, MI-KYUNG;PARK, SUNYOUNG
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.32-48
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    • 2018
  • The mechanisms of $CH_4$ uptake into and release from the ocean are not well understood due mainly to complexity of the biogeochemical cycle and to lack of regional-scale and/or process-scale observations in the marine boundary layers. Without complete understanding of oceanic mechanisms to control the carbon balance and cycles on a various spatial and temporal scales, however, it is difficult to predict future perturbation of oceanic carbon levels and its influence on the global and regional climates. High frequency, high precision continuous measurements for carbon isotopic compositions from dissolved $CH_4$ in the surface ocean and marine atmosphere can provide additional information about the flux pathways and production/consumption processes occurring in the boundary of two large reservoirs. This paper introduces recent advances on optical instruments for real time $CH_4$ isotope analysis to diagnose potential applications for in situ, continuous measurements of carbon isotopic composition of dissolved $CH_4$. Commercially available, three laser absorption spectrometers - quantum cascade laser spectroscopy (QCLAS), off-axis integrated cavity output spectrometer (OA-ICOS), and cavity ring-down spectrometer (CRDS) are discussed in comparison with the conventional isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS). Details of functioning and performance of a CRDS isotope instrument for atmospheric ${\delta}^{13}C-CH_4$ are also given, showing its capability to detect localized methane emission sources.

KTX Impact on the Inter-Regional Transportation System (고속철도 개통후 지역간 교통체계의 변화)

  • Lee, Jin-Seon;Kim, Gyeong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2005
  • To relieve congestion in the current system of intercity transportation, the Korea decided in 1990 to construct a high-speed railroad between Seoul and Busan and it is now in operation. This new mode of transportation significantly cut travel time between major cities and a trip from Seoul to the southeastern port of Busan. Since the KTX opening, average daily passenger numbers on both the Gyeongbu and Honam lines have increased about 1.3 fold over 2003 levels. As of December 2004, the KTX trains are carrying about 81,000 people a day. On KTX routes, the daily number of airline passengers dropped. Express long-distance bus traffic also dropped by 20% to 30%, while that on short-distance routes (100km or less) increased by about 20%. These figures clearly indicate that the Korean transportation network is becoming railroad-centric. However, the number of KTX passengers is fewer than anticipated possibly due to the Korean economic downturn and the operation of the KTX will leave many existing Saemaul and Mugunghwa train sets idle, which will be put into operation for areas, not covered by the KTX. When all the existing major lines have been electrified, more high-speed rail services will be phased in using direct connections to maximize operational efficiency. And also, the dual management by KTX and conventional rail will be regarded as the promotion of the benefit of the public.

Address-Internetworking Scheme between Wireless Sensor Network and Internet Using TCP Port-Numbers (TCP 포트번호를 이용한 센서 네트워크와 인터넷(IPv4/IPv6)의 주소 연동)

  • Kim, Jeong-Hee;Kwon, Hoon;Kim, Do-Hyeu;Kwak, Ho-Young;Do, Yang-Hoi;Kim, Dae-Young;Byun, Yung-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.114-123
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    • 2007
  • As a promising technology that enables ubiquitous computing and will lead the information technology industries of the next generation, the new field of sensor networks is one of the most active research topics today. From now on, each node, the network formation, and even the sensor network itself will interact with the generic network and evolve dynamically according to environmental changes, in a process of continual creation and extinction. In this paper, we propose a address-Internetworking scheme for interactive networking between a sensor network and the Internet based on the TCP port-numbers. The proposed scheme enables internetworking between a sensor network address scheme based on Zigbee and the Internet address scheme based on the Internet Protocol version 6 (IPv6). We implement the proposed address-Internetworking scheme using Berkeley TinyOS, Mica Motes, and IP. In addition we verify the proposed scheme by an interconnection experiment, which involves wireless sensor networks and the Internet, using IPv4/IPv6.

Effect of the Spread on Housing Mortgage Loans (가산금리가 주택담보대출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Woo Seok
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.75-88
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the spread on housing mortgage loans. In particular, this study analyzes how the spread has a decisive effect on housing mortgage loans when a structural change occurs in the spread. For the sake of empirical analysis, this study utilizes the housing mortgage loan, housing mortgage loan interest rate, COFIX interest rate, and spread. The period of analysis is from December 2010 to December 2017. Results of the analysis show that there is a statistically significant structural change in the spread and housing mortgage loans (May and June 2015, respectively). It is estimated that the structural change in the spread has an influence on the structural change in housing mortgage loans. In addition, the effect of the spread on housing mortgage loans is larger than the effect of the COFIX interest rate and the housing mortgage loan interest rate. This indicates that the adjustment of the spread is a significant burden on housing mortgage loans. As economic uncertainties both internally and externally are increasing, pressure on interest rate hikes is also increasing. Considering these circumstances, interest rate hikes will be inevitable in the future. If the base interest rate and the spread increase simultaneously at Korea's current economic level, it will obviously lead to an economic recession as the burden on the repayment of principal and interest of housing mortgage loans will increase. Therefore, it is imperative that financial authorities prepare institutional arrangements in order to protect financial consumers by preventing arbitrary calculation of the spread, which would not be objective and would not be transparent from the banks.

A Study on Collaboration of Korean Performing Arts Markets - Focused on PAMS, Haevichi Arts Festival, G-FAFE (국내 공연예술 마켓의 협업 방안 연구 - 서울아트마켓, 제주해비치아트페스티벌, 경기공연예술페스타를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sun Young;Yi, Eui Shin
    • Review of Culture and Economy
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-61
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    • 2018
  • Most of the Korean performing arts markets are not only small but also show their limitations in terms of their role as a platform for the promotion of performing arts and future growth prospects. This study started from the perception that the domestic performing arts markets need the cooperation between the markets in order to overcome the current situation and become the representative performing arts markets of Asia. To do this, we conducted surveys and in-depth interviews on market collaborations with domestic performing arts officials such as PAMS, Jeju Haevichi Art Festival and G-FAFE. For successful inter-market collaboration, the first is to change ideas and thinking about collaborations, second, to select programs suitable for direct supervision and collaboration based on evaluation of comparative advantage, and third, to establish and operate the 'Performing Arts Market Collaboration Promotion Committee(tentative name)'. And the fourth, starting from the sharing of the network that is most required at this stage, it is necessary to develop the sharing of manpower and places through mutual financial support or sharing between the central government, the metropolitan municipalities.

Retheorising Civil Society in State-Civil Society Partnership in Welfare : A Critical Review of the Partnership Literature (국가-시민사회 복지파트너십에서 시민사회단체의 역할 : 세 가지 이론적 관점을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Suyoung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.267-302
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, partnership has become a central strategy for welfare provision worldwide. Particularly, civil society organisations have obtained considerable attention as the most accountable and democratic partner for public welfare delivery. Yet the mainstreaming of civil society into welfare policies challenges the conventional nature of civil society as an independent sector, and brings into critical question, how the political position of the civil society sector could be redefined in the new era of multi-sectoral partnership. The purpose of this study is to explore the current debates of state-civil society partnership and to propose three theoretical viewpoints (i.e. the mainstream, critical and alternative perspectives) regarding the role of the civil society sector in partnership. In doing so, this article introduces the key literature and scholars in partnership debates and provides analytical frameworks that researchers can use in examining state-civil society partnership cases.

Does the Business Survey Index of the Federation of Korean Industries at the Service Industry Lead the domestic stock market ? (서비스 산업에서 전경련 BSI지수는 주식시장을 예측할 수 있는가?)

  • Kim, Joo Il;Kim, Byoung ryul
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2016
  • We examine the information transmission between the business survey index(BSI) based on the returns data offered by Federation of Korean Industries and KOSPI Index based on the returns data offered by Korea Bank. The data includes monthly return data from January 1998 to September 2015. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality KOSPI Index precede and have explanatory power BSI. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that BSI Index show immediate response to KOSPI Index and are influenced by till time 4 From time 2 the impact gradually disappears. Also KOSPI Index show immediate response to BSI and are influenced by till time 4 From time 2 the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis showed a high influence of the KOSPI Index on the BSI and significant influence of the BSI on the KOSPI Index. This implies that returns on the KOSPI Index have a significant influence over returns on the BSI. The study is a further extension of existing studies on information transmission mechanism between the BSI and KOSPI. Finally, our results can be used as a guide by the Korea Bank and Republic of Korea and as well as Federation of Korean Industries.