• Title/Summary/Keyword: 항로 예측

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The National Survey of Acute Pulmonary Thromboembolism in Korea (급성 폐혈전색전증 전국 실태 조사 보고)

  • Scientific Committee for National Survey of Acute Pulmonary Thromboembolism, Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2003
  • Background : According to the study in ICOPER (International Cooperative Pulmonary Embolism Registry), the overall mortality rate of acute pulmonary thromboembolism (APTE) at 3 months is 17.4%. According to the study for current status of APTE in Japan, the hospital mortality rate is 14%. Although the incidence and mortality rate of APTE has been increasing, patient characteristics, management strategies, and outcome of APTE in the Korean population have not yet been assessed in large series. We therefore performed the national survey for the current status of APTE in the Korean population. Methods : 808 registry patients with APTE were analyzed with respect to clinical characteristics, risk factors, diagnostic procedures, treatment, and clinical outcome. Results : Main risk factors were immobilization, recent major surgery, and cancer. Common symptoms were dyspnea and chest pain. Common signs were tachypnea and tachycardia. The majority of registry patients underwent lung perfusion scanning. Spiral CT was used in 309 patients(42.9%), and angiography in 48 patients(7.9%). Heparin was the most widely used treatment. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, onset in hospital (odds ratio 1.88, p=0.0385), lung cancer (odds ratio 9.20, p=0.0050), tachypnea (odds ratio 3.50, p=0.0001), shock (odds ratio 6.74, p=0.0001), and cyanosis (odds ratio 3.45, p=0.0153) were identified as significant prognostic factors. The overall mortality rate was 16.9% and mortality associated with APTE was 9.0%. Conclusions : The present registry demonstrated the clinical characteristics, diagnostic strategies, management and outcome of patient with APTE in Korea. The mortality rate was 9.0%, and the predictors of mortality were onset in hospital, lung cancer, tachypnea, shock, and cyanosis. These results may be important for risk stratification as well as for the identification of potential candidates for more aggressive treatment.

Thermal Environment Analysis for Preserving Ancient Mural Painting in Songsan-ri Tomb No. 6, Gongju, Korea (공주 송산리 6호 벽화고분 보존을 위한 온열환경 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Dae Woon;Jeong, Sun Hye;Lee, Min Young;Chung, Yong Jae
    • Journal of Conservation Science
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.521-534
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    • 2016
  • Ancient tombs are typically comprised of confined rooms, which have different spatial characteristics than the external environment because they are covered by heavy layers of soil. In this study, we examined the thermal energy flow from the outside to inside of Songsan-ri tomb No. 6. External heat flows slowly to the inside because of heavy soil layer, and the presence of several rooms and entrances. For this reason, it takes about two months for the air temperature to travel from the outside to the inside of the tomb. Interestingly, the gradational inflow of thermal energy from outside the tomb leads to delicate horizontal and vertical variations in the wall temperature. These micro-environmental differences occur in the inner tomb every year, so we can expect them to cause condensation with regularity. In addition, we show that the previously installed forced circulation air conditioning system risks fatal damage to the mural wall painting. The results of this research suggest an optimal air conditioning system and optimized space planning to conserve Songsan-ri tomb No. 6 and its mural painting.

The Wavelet Series Analysis for the Fourth-order Elliptic Differential Equation (4계 타원형 미분 방정식을 위한 웨이블릿 급수해석)

  • Jo, Jun-Hyung;Woo, Kwang-Sung;Sin, Young-Sik
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.355-364
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    • 2011
  • In this study, the details of WSA(wavelet series analysis) have been demonstrated to solve the 4th-order elliptic differential equation. It is clear to solve the 2nd-order elliptic differential equation with the basis function of Hat wavelet series that is used in the previous study existed in $H^1$-space. However, it is difficult to solve the 4th order differential equation with same basis function of Hat wavelet series because of insufficient differentiability and integrability. To overcome this problem, the linear equations in terms of moment and deflection have been formulated and solved sequentially that are similar to extension of Elastic Load Method and Moment Area Method in some senses. Also, the differences and common points between the proposed method and the meshless method are discussed in the procedure of WSA formulation. As we expect, it is easy to ascertain that the more terms of Hat wavelet series are used, the better numerical solutions are improved. Also the solutions obtained by WSA have been compared with the conventional FEM solutions in case of Euler beam problems with stress singularity.

Behavior Analysis and Control of a Moored Training Ship in an Exclusive Wharf (전용부두 계류중인 실습선의 선체거동 해석 및 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Ik-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2017
  • Recently, gusts, typhoon and tsunamis have been occurring more frequently around the world. In such an emergency situation, a moored vessel can be used to predict and analyze other vessel behavior, but if the mooring system is destroyed, marine casualties can occur. Therefore, it is necessary to determine quantitatively whether a vessel should be kept in the harbour or evacuate. In this study, moored ship safety in an exclusive wharf according to swell effects on motion and mooring load have been investigated using numerical simulations. The maximum tension exerted on mooring lines exceeded the Safety Working Load for intervals 12 and 15 seconds. The maximum bollard force also exceeded 35 tons (allowable force) in all evaluation cases. The surge motion criteria result for safe working conditions exceeded 3 meters more than the wave period 12 seconds with a wind speed of 25 knots. As a result, a risk rating matrix (risk category- very high risk, high risk and moderate risk) was developed with reference to major external forces such as wind force, wave height and wave periods to provide criteria for determining the control of capabilities of mooring systems to prevent accidents.

Experimental Investigation on the Droplet Entrainment in the Air-Water Horizontal Stratified Flow (물-공기 수평 성층류 유동조건에서 액적이탈 현상에 대한 실험연구)

  • Bae, Byeong Geon;Yun, Byong Jo;Kim, Kyoung Doo;Bae, Byoung Uhn
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2015
  • In the high convective gas flow condition, irregular shaped water waves from which droplet entrainment occurs are generated under horizontally stratified two-phase flow condition. KAERI proposed a new mechanistic droplet entrainment model based on the momentum balance equation consisting of the shear stress, surface tension, and gravity forces. However, this model requires correlation or experimental data of several physical parameters related to the wave characteristics. In the present study, we tried to measure the physical parameters such as wave slope, wave hypotenuse length, wave velocity, wave frequency, and wavelength experimentally. For this, an experiment was conducted in the horizontal rectangular channel of which width, height, and length are, respectively, 40 mm, 50 mm, and 4.2 m. In the present test, the working fluids are chosen as air and water. The PIV technique was applied not only to obtain images for phase interface waves but also to measure the velocity field of the water flow. Additionally, we developed the parallel wire conductance probe for the confirmation of wave height from PIV image. Finally, we measured the physical parameters to be used in the validation of new droplet entrainment model.

Analysis of Investment in Domestic Disaster Prevention and Planning (국내 재해예방투자 현황 및 계획 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Gon;Park, Jong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.815-815
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라의 경우 1조원 이상 피해를 입힌 자연재해가 '98년 이후 집중적으로 발생하는 등 최근 급격한 도시화 산업화 및 범지구적인 이상기후 현상으로 자연재해로 인한 피해가 점차 대형화 다양화되는 추세이다. 그에 따른 국내 재해관리 및 사전예방의 중요성은 그 동안 여러 차례 기획사업 및 재정계획을 통해 제시된 바 있으나, 대부분 추진계획 수립에 그치고 실질적인 예산 편성시에는 충분히 반연되지 못한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 재해예방투자사업의 규모와 구체적 계획에 대하여 살펴보고자 한다. 재해사전예방 분야의 기존 투자계획으로는 "제1차 국가안전관리 5개년 기본계획"과 "2005-2009 국가재정운용계획", "수해방지대책 백서" 등이 있었으며 그 중 "제1차 국가안전관리 5개년 기본계획"은 정부역사상 처음으로 시행하는 중 장기 국가재난관리정책으로, 풍수해대책, 설해대책 등의 자연재해를 비롯하여 총 17개의 재난유형별 재난관리대책을 포괄하고 있으며, 11개 부처 및 시도에 대해 27개 사업, 36조 8천억원을 투자하는 계획을 제시하였다. 가장 최근에는 2010년 8월에 국무총리실 주도 재난관리 개선 민관합동 TF팀을 구성하여 기후변화 및 기상이변에 선제적 대응 및 기존 방재체계에 대한 근본 패러다임 전환을 통한 선진적 방재시스템 구축을 추진하기 위하여 기후변화대응 재난관리 개선 종합대책을 마련하였다. 일선 경험이 많은 민간전문가 주도로 철저히 현장 중심의 문제점과 대안을 검토하고 대책을 준비함으로서 기존의 재난관리대책 구축방법과 차별성을 띄었다고 할 수 있다. 이번 재난관리 개선 종합대책에서는 5개 시 도의 현장조사와 기존대책을 분석하고, 전문가 의견 등을 검토하여 도시유역종합치수계획, 소하천 및 사방댐 정비, 소규모 시설 정비 등 26건을 포함한 '99년부터 3회에 걸쳐 추진한 재해관련 범정부 종합대책을 검토하여 필요성이 있으나 추진이 미흡했던 과제는 포함시켰다. 또한 기후변화 대응에 필요한 신규과제 및 재해취약요인이 드러난 도시방재를 위한 개선과제를 집중 검토하도록 하였다. 다수부처 관련 쟁점과제에 대해서는 주관부처를 정하거나 민간 전문가가 참여하는 조정회의 및 세미나, 공청회를 통해 보완 검토하였다. 그 결과로서 2011년 전년대비 재해예방 관련 사업에 대한 국고 투자규모는 도시침수방지 17%, 수자원 관리 25%, 항만 정비 17%, 산사태 예방 24%, 농업기반시설 정비 20%, 위험지 정비 19%, 재난 예측 및 대응시스템 개선 16% 증가하여 투자계획이 수립되었으며 전체적으로는 약 21% 증가된 투자계획이 수립되었다.

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A Study on the Radiometric Correction of Sentinel-1 HV Data for Arctic Sea Ice Detection (북극해 해빙 탐지를 위한 Sentinel-1 HV자료의 방사보정 연구)

  • Kim, Yunjee;Kim, Duk-jin;Kwon, Ui-Jin;Kim, Hyun-Cheol
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_2
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    • pp.1273-1282
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    • 2018
  • Recently, active research on the Arctic Ocean has been conducted due to the influence of global warming and new Arctic ship route. Although previous studies already calculated quantitative extent of sea ice using passive microwave radiometers, melting at the edge of sea ice and surface roughness were hardly considered due to low spatial resolution. Since Sentienl-1A/B data in Extended Wide (EW) mode are being distributed as free of charge and bulk data for Arctic sea can be generated during a short period, the entire Arctic sea ice data can be covered in high spatial resolution by mosaicking bulk data. However, Sentinel-1A/B data in EW mode, especially in HV polarization, needs significant radiometric correction for further classification. Thus, in this study, we developed algorithms that can correct thermal noise and scalloping effects, and confirmed that Arctic sea ice and open-water were well classified using the corrected dual-polarization SAR data.

Estimation of Deformation Modulus of Basaltic Rock Masses in Northeastern and Northwestern Jeju Island (제주도 북동부 및 북서부 현무암반의 변형계수 추정)

  • Yang, Soon-Bo;Boo, Sang-Pil
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the in situ deformation moduli, which were measured by borehole loading tests at basaltic rock masses located in the northeastern onshore and offshore and the northwestern onshore of Jeju Island, were examined in relation to RQD and RMR. The measured deformation moduli were also compared with the estimated deformation moduli from conventional empirical formulas using RQD and RMR. In addition, the measured deformation moduli were analyzed with respect to both the velocity ratio ($V_P/V_S$) and dynamic Poisson's ratio, which were obtained from the elastic wave velocities measured by velocity logging tests. As results, with only RQD, it was inappropriate to evaluate the quality of the Jeju island basaltic rock masses, which are characterized by vesicular structures, to select a measurement method of in situ deformation moduli, and to estimate the deformation moduli. On the other hand, it was desirable to evaluate the quality of the Jeju Island basaltic rock masses, and to estimate the deformation moduli by using RMR. The conventional empirical formulas using RMR overestimated the deformation moduli of the Jeju Island basaltic rock masses. There was qualitative consistency in the relation between velocity ratio and deformation moduli. To estimate appropriately the deformation moduli of the Jeju Island basaltic rock masses, empirical formulas were proposed as the function of RMR and velocity ratio, respectively.

Development Plan of R.O.K. Naval forces to prepare Tasks in the Arctic Ocean: Based on Operational Environment(SWOT) Analysis (한국 해군의 북극해 진출과 발전방안에 대한 고찰: 작전환경(SWOT) 분석을 중심으로)

  • Ji, Young
    • Maritime Security
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.311-343
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    • 2020
  • Because of the global warming, the Arctic Ocean is expected to be ice-free by the year 2035. When the Arctic Ocean will be opened, a number of national interests will become more salient as experiencing a shortened sailing distance and decreasing navigation expense, possibility of natural resources transport by sea from Arctic Circle, and indirect-profit making by building a herb port in Asia. To secure the national interests and support the free activities of people in this region, R.O.K government is trying to make advanced policies. In order to carry out the naval tasks in the Arctic Ocean, using the operational characteristics(mobility, flexibility, sustainability, presence of capabilities, projection) is necessary. To this end, ROK Navy should analyze the operational environment (O.E.) by its capability(weakness and strength), opportunity, and threat. R.O.K. Navy should make an effort over the following issues to implement the tasks in the Arctic Ocean: first, Navy needs to map out her own plan (Roadmap) under the direction of government policies and makes crews participate in the education·training programs in home and abroad for future polar experts. Third, to develop the forces and materials for the tasks in cold, far operations area, Navy should use domestic well-experienced shipbuilding skills and techniques of the fourth industrial revolution. Next, improving the combined operations capabilities and military trust with other countries in the Arctic region to cover the large area with lack of forces' number and to resolve the ports of call issues. Lastly, preparation in advance to execute a variety of missions against military and non-traditional threats such as epidemics, HA/DR, SOLAS, in the future operation area is required.

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Basic Research for the Development of Collision Risk Model of Passing Vessels at an Anchorage (Safety Domain) (정박지 통항선박의 충돌위험 모델 개발을 위한 기초연구 - 정박지 통항선박의 안전 -)

  • Lee, Jin-Suk;Kwon, Yumin;Choi, Jung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to obtain a safe area for a passing vessel between anchored vessels by developing a model to predict the collision risk, frequent collisions occur between the anchored vessel and the passing vessel through the anchorage. For this, this study selected the southern anchorage of Busan port, which is the largest harbor in Korea, as the target area and extracted and analyzed VTS (Vessel Traffic Service) data during the period in which anchored vessels were the most waited. The ratio of D/L for each bearing was obtained to determine the safe distance (D) passes based on the length (L) of the passing vessel between anchored vessels. Based on the average domain of the D/L ratio distribution, the percentage of anchored vessels within the scope of the pre-studied ship's domain was analyzed to obtain a domain reflecting the degree of risk of VTSOs. Further research will evaluate and analyze the collision risk of a passing vessel using Domain-watch, the minimum safe distance between anchored vessels, and the safe domain of a passing vessel through anchorage, to develop a model for VTS to manage anchorages more efficiently and safely.