• Title/Summary/Keyword: 할인율

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Technology Valuation Evaluation Model of Decision Making System using Income Approach for Commercialization in LNG Plant Construction (수익접근법을 활용한 LNG 플랜트공사의 의사결정지원시스템 기술가치 평가)

  • Park, Hwan Pyo;Han, Jae Goo;Chin, Kyung Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2014
  • The proportion of investment in national R&D projects in construction and transportation has been increasing continuously; in terms of the size of R&D projects, there are many medium- to large-sized projects of over KRW 10 billion. However, in spite of such continuous increase in R&D investments, there are many technologies developed but not commercialized, i.e., the quiescence of technology. Accordingly, it is necessary to link the R&D results to commercialization by expanding the scope of R&D projects. In this context, this study presented objective reference prices to be used in contracting/transacting technology and implementing commercialization strategy by conducting technology valuations against on-going research projects with earnings approach, and by estimating value of patented technology. Sum of free cash flow (business value) that can be generated during the life of the technology was estimated as KRW 512 million by reflecting a discount rate of 16.34% to convert it into the present value. In addition, the technology value was computed as KRW 227million by applying a technology factor of 44.39% to the above value. Based on the technology value estimated in this way, it is necessary to establish industrialization and commercialization strategy of the technology.

Estimating the Economic Value of Sindu Coastal Sand Dune (신두해안사구의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Shin, Young-Chul
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.702-717
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    • 2009
  • This study estimates the willingness-to-pay(WTP) for conserving Sindu coastal sand dune and asset value of Sindu coastal sand dune by means of contingent valuation method. CV market scenario is designed to elicitate his/her WTP considering use value and nonuse value of Sindu coastal sand dune. The yearly WTP for Sindu coastal sand dune is 3,059 won(95% C.I. 2,591~3,612 won) in the case of a househodl, therefore amounts to 44 billion won(95% C.I. 37~52 billion won) for the whole nation. We estimate the asset value of Sindu coastal sand dune by 7.5% discount rate to be 587 billion won with 95% confidence interval of 497 to 693 billion won. The direct use value which has accounted for 13.4% is 79 billion won(95% C.I. 67~93 billion won), and the indirect use value which has accounted for 30.2% amounts to 177 billion won(95% C.I. 150~209 billion won), and the option value which has accounted for 19.4% is 114 billion won(95% C.I. 97~135 billion won), and the conservation value which has accounted for 37.0% amounts to 217 billion won(95% C.I. 184~256 billion won).

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An Analysis of the Economy of Scale for Domestic On-site Hydrogen Fueling Stations (국내 분산형 수소충전소의 규모의 경제성 분석)

  • Gim, Bong-Jin;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.170-180
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the economy of scale for domestic on-site hydrogen stations fueled with natural gas and naptha. We evaluate the economic feasibility of on-site hydrogen stations with hydrogen production capacities of $30Nm^3/hr,\;100Nm^3/hr\;and\;300Nm^3/hr$. We build a classical economic feasibility model and we make some sensitivity analyses by changing the values of input factors such as the hydrogen sale price and the discount rate. The estimated hydrogen prices of steam methane reforming stations with production capacities of $30\;Nm^3/hr,\;100\;Nm^3/hr\;and\;300\;Nm^3/hr$ are 18,472 won/kg, 10,689 won/kg and 7,758 won/kg, respectively. Also, the hydrogen prices are about the same if we use naptha as a raw material for hydrogen energy instead of natural gas. It turns out that small and medium size domestic on-site hydrogen stations will not be economical in the near future. This indicates that we need to construct large scale on-site hydrogen fueling stations even for the initial phase of the hydrogen economy.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of the Metropolitan Area Green Heat Project (수도권 그린히트 프로젝트의 경제적 타당성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Kee;Kim, Lae Hyun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2015
  • The Metropolitan Area Green Heat Project (MAGHP), which collects unused heat gathered from power plants, steel works, landfills in western Metropolitan area and distribute it to integrated energy business (IEB) companies, is proposed for the purpose of enhancing energy efficiency and providing low-price heat for IEB companies. Therefore, in order to decide on whether to initiate the MAGHP, the economic feasibility analysis of the project is widely demanded. This paper attempts to consider and measure four economic benefits: heat supply benefit, production cost reduction benefit, greenhouse gas mitigation benefit, and air quality improvement benefit. In addition, the paper tries to conduct the economic feasibility analysis. The project requires three-year investment and thirty-year operation. Three important findings emerge from the analysis. First, its net present value is computed to be 1,269 billion won and more than zero. Second, its benefit/cost ratio is calculated to be 1.72 and bigger than 1.0. Third, its internal rate of return is estimated to be 24.26% and larger than the social rate of return, 5.5%. In conclusion, the MAGHP is socially profitable and should be conducted immediately.

Current Status and Characterization of CANDU Spent Fuel for Geological Disposal System Design (심지층 처분시스템 설계를 위한 중수로 사용후핵연료 현황 및 선원항 분석)

  • Cho, Dong-Keun;Lee, Seung-Woo;Cha, Jeong-Hun;Choi, Jong-Won;Lee, Yang;Choi, Heui-Joo
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2008
  • Inventories to be disposed of, reference turnup, and source terms for CANDU spent fuel were evaluated for geological disposal system design. The historical and projected inventory by 2040 is expected to be 14,600 MtU under the condition of 30-year lifetime for unit 1 and 40-year lifetime for other units in Wolsong site. As a result of statistical analysis for discharge burnup of the spent fuels generated by 2007, average and stand deviation revealed 6,987 MWD/MtU and 1,167, respectively. From this result, the reference burnup was determined as 8,100 MWD/MtU which covers 84% of spent fuels in total. Source terms such as nuclide concentration for a long-term safety analysis, decay heat, thermo-mechanical analysis, and radiation intenity and spectrum was characterized by using ORIGEN-ARP containing conservativeness in the aspect of decay heat up to several thousand years. The results from this study will be useful for the design of storage and disposal facilities.

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The Maritime Environment Impact Assessment of Offshore Floating Wind Power in Ulsan - A Focus on Habitat Equivalence Analysis - (울산 부유식 해상풍력단지 조성에 따른 환경피해의 경제적 가치추정 - 서식지 등가성 분석법을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Su-Young;Moon, Beom-Sik;Kim, Tae-Goun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to provide an objective evaluation standard for the assessment of marine spatial characteristics via Ulsan floating offshore wind power project using HEA.. Various levels of damage occur in the waters (5,017.6) near the floating offshore wind power terminals in Ulsan, including commercial damage, ecological destruction and reduction in quality of life due to seascape damage. Alternative restoration projects for calculating the economic value of damage were selected including artificial reef projects and estimates based on HEA. For basic households with a 4.5% social discount rate and a 100% maturity index over four years, the damage was approximately 457 hundred million won. The HEA in this study resolves the possible irrationality in the evaluation of marine spatial characteristics, since the value is calculated based on objective and clear DATA. Therefore, the study results are intended to facilitate conflict resolution between stakeholders in the future during the implementation of the marine spatial plan.

Feasibility Analysis on Replacing LED Lighting with Incandescent Bulbs in Public Institution (백열 전구의 LED 조명 교체에 대한 타당성 분석 - 공공기관을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Youn Mi;Lee, Myung Koon
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2010
  • LED light has various advantages such as an energy saving effect of over 80% compared to existing lighting and environmentally friendly characteristics; however, there has been no affordable market for LED lighting because of its expensive price. This study discussed the validity of the expansion of distribution of LED lighting through an assessment of economic efficiency concerning LED lightening in order to analyze its efficiency in terms of energy savings and maintenance and repair, which will be generated as a result of the change from existing incandescent bulbs to LED lighting in the public sector. As to the target of analysis, the paper reviewed the validity of change to LED lighting as a result of the elimination of existing incandescent bulbs, by referring to 'the current incandescent bulb use and elimination performance' published by the Ministry of Knowledge Economy based on the "Elimination management system" executed by Korea Energy Management Corporation. The paper considered expenses for change, annual power savings amount and electric charges savings amount, repair and maintenance cost, $CO_2$ reduction volume, and the profit from the sale of CER (certified emission reduction). As a result of analyzing economic efficiency, when the discount rate during the change of existing incandescent bulb lighting to LED lighting is 3.26%, the profit was 8,648,400,000 won. Accordingly, NPV was analyzed to have a 'positive (+)' value, which means that this change is profitable.

A Study on the Evaluation of Competitiveness and Economic Feasibility of Ship Repair Industry in Korea (우리나라 수리조선의 경쟁력 및 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dug-Sup;Shin, Sang-Hoon;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.69-86
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    • 2022
  • This study analyses the necessity of the large-size shipyard and explores competitiveness factors of it. Furthermore, the competitiveness is evaluated and the economic feasibility of building and operation of shipyard is examined. As a result of AHP analysis of the determining factors of the competitiveness of the repairing shipyard, the importance of the factors was found in the order of arrival and departure safety, repair technology, dock and wharf facilities, repair cost, repair period (on time delivery), and repair parts supply. Moving distance, repair service quality, repair parts supply, arrival and departure safety, repair technology, dock and quay wall facilities, and repair period (on time delivery) were identified as key factors in the AHP analysis for competitiveness of the Busan Port repair shipyard to be built in the future. As a result of the analysing economic feasibility, the net present value of the Busan Port repair shipyard construction and operation investment project was KRW 435.6 billion, and the internal rate of return was 9.8%, higher than the social discount rate (4.5%), and the cost-benefit ratio (B/C) was high at 1.167. As a result of the study, the necessity and economic feasibility of the Busan Port repair shipyard are sufficiently ensured, and the competitiveness assessment was highly positive.

Optimum Population in Korea : An Economic Perspective (한국의 적정인구: 경제학적 관점)

  • Koo, Sung-Yeal
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2005
  • The optimum population of a society or country can be defined as 'the population growth path that maximizes the welfare level of the society over the whole generations of both the present and the future, under the paths allowed by its endowments of production factors such as technology, capital and labor'. Thus, the optimum size or growth rate of population depends on: (i) the social welfare function, (ii) the production function, and (iii)demographic economic interrelationship which defines how the national income is disposed into consumption(birth and education of children included) and savings on the one hand and how the demographic and economic change induced thereby, in turn, affect production capacities on the other. The optimum population growth path can, then, be derived in the process of dynamic optimization of (i) under the constraints of (ii) and (iii), which will give us the optimum population growth rate defined as a function of parameters thereof. This paper estimates the optimum population growth rate of Korea by: specifying (i), (ii), and (iii) based on the recent development of economic theories, solving the dynamic optimization problem and inserting empirical estimates in Korea as the parametric values. The result shows that the optimum path of population growth in Korea is around TFR=1.81, which is affected most sensitively, in terms of the size of the partial elasticity around the optimum path, by the cost of children, share of capital income, consumption rate, time preference, population elasticity of utility function, etc. According to a survey implemented as a follow up study, there are quite a significant variations in the perceived cost of children, time preference rate, population elasticity of utility across different socio-economic classes in Korea, which implied that, compared to their counterparts, older generation and more highly educated classes prefer higher growth path for the population of Korea.

Sensitivity analysis of RPLS inventory model with price dependent demand linearly under order-size-dependent delay in payments in a two-stage supply chain (주문량에 따라 종속적으로 외상거래기간이 허용되는 상황 하에 선형수요함수를 고려한 RPLS 재고모형의 퇴화율에 따른 민감도분석)

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.577-582
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    • 2022
  • Credit transactions are used as a means of price discrimination from competitors in order for suppliers to increase customer demand. In particular, in the case of a two-stage supply chain consisting of a supplier, a retailer, and a customer, the deferral of payment for goods allowed by the supplier is a means of reducing the inventory investment cost of the retailer. Retailers have the opportunity to discount the selling price while anticipating an increase in end-customer demand through the reduction of the inventory investment cost. In view of the fact that such trade credit is provided for the purpose of increasing demand as a means of discrimination from competitors, it may be more general that the credit transaction period is allowed flexibly according to the transaction volume. In particular, in the case of deteriorating products, the credit transaction period given according to the order volume is a factor that increases the order volume of the retailer, but product deterioration can be a limiting factor in the increase in the order volume. The deterioration rate actually plays an important role in determining the inventory policy of the retailer. Therefore, in this paper, the effect of such deterioration rate on the inventory policy of retailer is analyzed.